On the surface, Charlie Crist is now trailing a distant second(losing by 9% to Rubio). But if the polls are accurate, Rubio will need at least a 42% favoring to have a chance at winning a run-off.
Why is that--Meeks is holding down the left(18%) vote and 3/4 of undecided independents fleeing right are the only hope for Rubio to take the election.(The arguement for the 3/4 is to assume they are part of the right wing populist movement. Fortunately for Christ, this is an overestimate to account for lack of enthusiasm of the left for Crist.)
A strange election math, is it not? But not to strange if you consider that NO, let me repeat, NO supporter of Meeks will endorse nor vote for Rubio unless Rubio cuts a deal with the left. Waiting for Hell to freeze over or Pigs to sprout wings is most likely than that to occur--unless Rubio is a much more calculating politician than Crist.
As of now, I give Crist a 60% chance of pulling off a "non-tea party affiliated" upset
What do you think?
Why is that--Meeks is holding down the left(18%) vote and 3/4 of undecided independents fleeing right are the only hope for Rubio to take the election.(The arguement for the 3/4 is to assume they are part of the right wing populist movement. Fortunately for Christ, this is an overestimate to account for lack of enthusiasm of the left for Crist.)
A strange election math, is it not? But not to strange if you consider that NO, let me repeat, NO supporter of Meeks will endorse nor vote for Rubio unless Rubio cuts a deal with the left. Waiting for Hell to freeze over or Pigs to sprout wings is most likely than that to occur--unless Rubio is a much more calculating politician than Crist.
As of now, I give Crist a 60% chance of pulling off a "non-tea party affiliated" upset
What do you think?