"Before face masks, Americans went to war against seat belts"

I can't breath with a mask on. I couldn't stand oxygen masks when i WENT in for an operation, I tolerate the mask less than those. I have problems breathing. I'll stay home until whenever. I don't want to live in a world where everyone wears a mask.
lkkxcgd2rg951.jpg
Since that Uterus holds a life and removing it would cause it's death.
Not wearing a mask will not cause me to die and even so, I'm an adult able to make my own choices but the child isn't.
A growing body of evidence supports the idea that wearing face masks in public, even when you feel well, can help curb the spread of the coronavirus — since people can spread the virus even without showing symptoms. That's the main reason to wear a mask: to protect other people from you.

However that's not written in stone, it's what the left wishes to believe. While you can find studies and such to show they work, I can find studies that say they don't. It's subjective, just like man made global warming, or the effects of hydroxychloroquine.

Because there is no consensus, then it should be the individuals choice whether to wear a mask or not.
I think there is a huge consensus among just everybody in the healthcare field in regard to mask wearing. Of course it probably does not include your local bartender who is out of work, Sam the Surfer, and my granddaughter that thinks wearing a mask makes her look ugly. And there is a lot evidence coming contact tracing that shows that people that are asymptomatic are spreading the virus.

I read the opposite from the CDC just a few weeks ago. This tells you how everything changes. First a mask was no good, now it's mandated in cities and states across the country. Before asymptomatic people were low risk for spreading, now the risk of spreading is the same.

I think there is a difference between going to a restaurant and going to a doctors office. Doctors are exposed to ill people day in day out. For most of us, we will probably never be around a person with Covid unless you are a socialite, or your business relies on personal contact with people all day long. Although our antibody testing is far from perfected, some are suggesting that we are already in the herd process and there's no stopping it.

The problem with this thing is we've never experienced anything like it; at least with the technology we have today. Who knows......next year at this time, they may be telling us what a waste of time and money it was for us to wear a mask. We simply don't know.
Early on CDC said that masks would not protect you which was true then and is basically true today. Actually, there is a very small amount of protection for the wearer but not much. Herd immunity as defined by the scientist is a calculated estimate based on transmission rate and reproductive numbers for the virus. For this virus herd immunity is 70% of the population having been exposed, that is they have antibodies. That can be off by 10 or 15%. If the scientists definition of herd immunity is used, there should not be much difference in the calculation.

We may not have all the details of a virus but we know a lot about epidemics and how to control them. For example any airborne virus or a virus whose most common transmission is through the air, the key to stopping transmission is preventing the virus from reaching a host. Masks, plastic shields, staying away from the source of virus, staying at home, etc prevents the spread, a really easy to understand concept but pretty hard to implement in a large population.

We also know a lot about a virus based on the characteristics of the family. There are 6 types of coronavirus that can infect humans which includes Mers and SARS. They have many of the same characteristic but there are some differences. It's really fortunate that there was work done developing the SARS vaccine because this gave researchers a starting point in developing the vaccine for this member of the family. Making changes to the vaccine can be very simple. However, every time you change the vaccine you start over in testing. This is why it takes so long to develop a vaccine. The fact that we are willing to accept a vaccine which has is not very effective, 40% makes it more likely we will get one sooner rather later.

It's wishful thinking, but there certainly is no guarantee a vaccine can be developed. We still don't have vaccines for HIV, flu, even the common cold.

If a new vaccine came out and was approved by September, many Americans would be hesitant to take it including myself. It reminds me of when I bought my first computer and read up on it. It was a Dummy's book. The author warned his readers to never buy software 2.0. 2.0 software is the original version. When thousands of people use it problem free in trials, it's different than when you start passing it out to millions of people. That's when they discover the hidden flaws and imperfections. It's why you always wait until version 2.2. or 2.3 to come out. Those are the versions where the flaws have been corrected.

It's the same with new medications. Yes, it undergoes intense testing, but we won't know the results or drawbacks until it's been used on tens of millions of people. Even then, it could take years to find out if it has any long-term negative effects.

Before I take it, I would need 100% guarantee from my doctor that it won't have any harmful effects on me, corroborated by my cousin, who is a retired research doctor that supervised the laboratory where she worked. Until I get that, I may wait for a while if and when a vaccine comes out.
I agree with your assessment of a vaccine with a few exceptions.
We do have a vaccine for the flu. I get one every year. A vaccine to prevent the common cold has been difficult to make, primarily because there are more than 200 different varieties of viruses that can cause colds. Also, if there were such a vaccine, you would have to get a new one every year like the flu vaccine, plus it would probably be not very effective due to the rate these viruses mutate.

The HIV is nothing like the coronations family of viruses. The problem developing a vaccine for HIV lies in genetic makeup of the virus. Unlike coronavirus, HIV has an incredibly fast replication cycle, less than 24 hour. However, the real show stopper is that HIV is prone to frequent replication errors, churning out mutated copies of itself which recombine into new strains as the virus is passed from person to person.

This coronavirus is very similar to SARS which we have developed a vaccine. Also most of the organizations developing vaccines have already proved in the lab that their vaccine kills the virus and is so far harmless to humans. The big question market is how effective the vaccine will be. Typically vaccines like these are 40% to 70% effective. The CDC has implied that a 40% effective vaccine would be acceptable. Think about what this really means. If we are able to produce enough of the vaccine to make it available like the flu vaccine at every primary care doctors office, every pharmacy, hospital, and public health clinic, we might be able to get the same inoculation numbers as the flu vaccine which is 45% of the population by the end of next year. So we might just have have 148 million vaccinated with 40% less chance of getting the virus and the remainder no protection since they were not vaccinated. After a year or so we get more effective vaccines and thus more protection. My guess is we will reach herd immunity about the time of 2024 election.

I don't think we're going see an unemployment rate of less than 5% for at least a year or so and people will dying from coronavirus for many years, hopefully at a greatly reduced rate.

BTW You will never get a 100% guarantee that a vaccine will not harm you. Deaths caused by vaccines are less than 2 per million and in almost all of those cases the person had a compromised immune system or had other conditions. You're probably more likely to get killed by a lightening strike than a vaccine.

I happen to be one of those people. I am 60 years old, and one of my two major medical conditions is the number one condition associated with death. It's one of the reasons I'd be so hesitant to take it.

If we (or others) do develop a vaccine for this thing, it should be able to wipe it out. Unlike the flu, it won't mutate so rapidly or differently, if it does at all. Experts have said if it would, then a weaker much less deadly strain would take it's place, unlike the flu. And if it does again, the next strain will be weaker yet.

Plus I think careless people have become more conscious of cleanliness now. You still can't find hand sanitizer or liquid soap in some stores. Fortunately for me, one of my tenants works at a store where they had and abundance of it because of customer limitations. She brought home some sanitizer for me and I was grateful she did. I should have plenty for while, at least until the shelves get fully stocked again. In addition, GoJo, the people who make Purell, are opening up a factory in my suburb. With some luck, they will let the citizens buy direct from them. And thanks to President Trump, there is this:

Every vaccine is different. For the influenza vaccine given to day, you should avoid it if you:
  • Have had an allergic reaction after a previous dose of influenza vaccine, or have any severe, life-threatening allergies.
  • Have ever had Guillain-Barré Syndrome (also called GBS).
In order to wipe out the coronavirus, we would need a participation much more than the 45% we get with the influenza vaccine. The CDC did a big study of why people don't get the flu vaccine. As it turns only about 2% of the population has medical condition to disqualify them. If everyone that was eligible to take the flu shot did, we would nearly wipe it out. That means last year we would have saved the lives of nearly 57,000 people, prevented an illness that sickens nearly 40 million people plus an economic impact in the hundreds of millions.

With over 50 vaccines in test trials, I don't think we will need to worry about a vaccine being available next year.
 
I can't breath with a mask on. I couldn't stand oxygen masks when i WENT in for an operation, I tolerate the mask less than those. I have problems breathing. I'll stay home until whenever. I don't want to live in a world where everyone wears a mask.
lkkxcgd2rg951.jpg
Since that Uterus holds a life and removing it would cause it's death.
Not wearing a mask will not cause me to die and even so, I'm an adult able to make my own choices but the child isn't.
A growing body of evidence supports the idea that wearing face masks in public, even when you feel well, can help curb the spread of the coronavirus — since people can spread the virus even without showing symptoms. That's the main reason to wear a mask: to protect other people from you.

However that's not written in stone, it's what the left wishes to believe. While you can find studies and such to show they work, I can find studies that say they don't. It's subjective, just like man made global warming, or the effects of hydroxychloroquine.

Because there is no consensus, then it should be the individuals choice whether to wear a mask or not.
I think there is a huge consensus among just everybody in the healthcare field in regard to mask wearing. Of course it probably does not include your local bartender who is out of work, Sam the Surfer, and my granddaughter that thinks wearing a mask makes her look ugly. And there is a lot evidence coming contact tracing that shows that people that are asymptomatic are spreading the virus.

I read the opposite from the CDC just a few weeks ago. This tells you how everything changes. First a mask was no good, now it's mandated in cities and states across the country. Before asymptomatic people were low risk for spreading, now the risk of spreading is the same.

I think there is a difference between going to a restaurant and going to a doctors office. Doctors are exposed to ill people day in day out. For most of us, we will probably never be around a person with Covid unless you are a socialite, or your business relies on personal contact with people all day long. Although our antibody testing is far from perfected, some are suggesting that we are already in the herd process and there's no stopping it.

The problem with this thing is we've never experienced anything like it; at least with the technology we have today. Who knows......next year at this time, they may be telling us what a waste of time and money it was for us to wear a mask. We simply don't know.
Early on CDC said that masks would not protect you which was true then and is basically true today. Actually, there is a very small amount of protection for the wearer but not much. Herd immunity as defined by the scientist is a calculated estimate based on transmission rate and reproductive numbers for the virus. For this virus herd immunity is 70% of the population having been exposed, that is they have antibodies. That can be off by 10 or 15%. If the scientists definition of herd immunity is used, there should not be much difference in the calculation.

We may not have all the details of a virus but we know a lot about epidemics and how to control them. For example any airborne virus or a virus whose most common transmission is through the air, the key to stopping transmission is preventing the virus from reaching a host. Masks, plastic shields, staying away from the source of virus, staying at home, etc prevents the spread, a really easy to understand concept but pretty hard to implement in a large population.

We also know a lot about a virus based on the characteristics of the family. There are 6 types of coronavirus that can infect humans which includes Mers and SARS. They have many of the same characteristic but there are some differences. It's really fortunate that there was work done developing the SARS vaccine because this gave researchers a starting point in developing the vaccine for this member of the family. Making changes to the vaccine can be very simple. However, every time you change the vaccine you start over in testing. This is why it takes so long to develop a vaccine. The fact that we are willing to accept a vaccine which has is not very effective, 40% makes it more likely we will get one sooner rather later.

It's wishful thinking, but there certainly is no guarantee a vaccine can be developed. We still don't have vaccines for HIV, flu, even the common cold.

If a new vaccine came out and was approved by September, many Americans would be hesitant to take it including myself. It reminds me of when I bought my first computer and read up on it. It was a Dummy's book. The author warned his readers to never buy software 2.0. 2.0 software is the original version. When thousands of people use it problem free in trials, it's different than when you start passing it out to millions of people. That's when they discover the hidden flaws and imperfections. It's why you always wait until version 2.2. or 2.3 to come out. Those are the versions where the flaws have been corrected.

It's the same with new medications. Yes, it undergoes intense testing, but we won't know the results or drawbacks until it's been used on tens of millions of people. Even then, it could take years to find out if it has any long-term negative effects.

Before I take it, I would need 100% guarantee from my doctor that it won't have any harmful effects on me, corroborated by my cousin, who is a retired research doctor that supervised the laboratory where she worked. Until I get that, I may wait for a while if and when a vaccine comes out.
I agree with your assessment of a vaccine with a few exceptions.
We do have a vaccine for the flu. I get one every year. A vaccine to prevent the common cold has been difficult to make, primarily because there are more than 200 different varieties of viruses that can cause colds. Also, if there were such a vaccine, you would have to get a new one every year like the flu vaccine, plus it would probably be not very effective due to the rate these viruses mutate.

The HIV is nothing like the coronations family of viruses. The problem developing a vaccine for HIV lies in genetic makeup of the virus. Unlike coronavirus, HIV has an incredibly fast replication cycle, less than 24 hour. However, the real show stopper is that HIV is prone to frequent replication errors, churning out mutated copies of itself which recombine into new strains as the virus is passed from person to person.

This coronavirus is very similar to SARS which we have developed a vaccine. Also most of the organizations developing vaccines have already proved in the lab that their vaccine kills the virus and is so far harmless to humans. The big question market is how effective the vaccine will be. Typically vaccines like these are 40% to 70% effective. The CDC has implied that a 40% effective vaccine would be acceptable. Think about what this really means. If we are able to produce enough of the vaccine to make it available like the flu vaccine at every primary care doctors office, every pharmacy, hospital, and public health clinic, we might be able to get the same inoculation numbers as the flu vaccine which is 45% of the population by the end of next year. So we might just have have 148 million vaccinated with 40% less chance of getting the virus and the remainder no protection since they were not vaccinated. After a year or so we get more effective vaccines and thus more protection. My guess is we will reach herd immunity about the time of 2024 election.

I don't think we're going see an unemployment rate of less than 5% for at least a year or so and people will dying from coronavirus for many years, hopefully at a greatly reduced rate.

BTW You will never get a 100% guarantee that a vaccine will not harm you. Deaths caused by vaccines are less than 2 per million and in almost all of those cases the person had a compromised immune system or had other conditions. You're probably more likely to get killed by a lightening strike than a vaccine.

I happen to be one of those people. I am 60 years old, and one of my two major medical conditions is the number one condition associated with death. It's one of the reasons I'd be so hesitant to take it.

If we (or others) do develop a vaccine for this thing, it should be able to wipe it out. Unlike the flu, it won't mutate so rapidly or differently, if it does at all. Experts have said if it would, then a weaker much less deadly strain would take it's place, unlike the flu. And if it does again, the next strain will be weaker yet.

Plus I think careless people have become more conscious of cleanliness now. You still can't find hand sanitizer or liquid soap in some stores. Fortunately for me, one of my tenants works at a store where they had and abundance of it because of customer limitations. She brought home some sanitizer for me and I was grateful she did. I should have plenty for while, at least until the shelves get fully stocked again. In addition, GoJo, the people who make Purell, are opening up a factory in my suburb. With some luck, they will let the citizens buy direct from them. And thanks to President Trump, there is this:

Every vaccine is different. For the influenza vaccine given to day, you should avoid it if you:
  • Have had an allergic reaction after a previous dose of influenza vaccine, or have any severe, life-threatening allergies.
  • Have ever had Guillain-Barré Syndrome (also called GBS).
In order to wipe out the coronavirus, we would need a participation much more than the 45% we get with the influenza vaccine. The CDC did a big study of why people don't get the flu vaccine. As it turns only about 2% of the population has medical condition to disqualify them. If everyone that was eligible to take the flu shot did, we would nearly wipe it out. That means last year we would have saved the lives of nearly 57,000 people, prevented an illness that sickens nearly 40 million people plus an economic impact in the hundreds of millions.

With over 50 vaccines in test trials, I don't think we will need to worry about a vaccine being available next year.

I only take the flu shot once in a while. I've known many people who came down with illness after they took the shot. Some years, you get vaccinated for one strain, but a new strain comes out that makes the original vaccine worthless.

I have little doubt a vaccine for Covid will be made, it's just a matter of how effective it is, how many people get it, how many are restricted from getting it, and any serious side-effects many of us will be waiting for before we have confidence it's beneficial to us.
 
I bet ANYTHING Trump was one of them who was against them, too, just like he is masks.

Before face masks, Americans went to war against seat belts
  • A small but vocal minority of people in the US are protesting face-mask mandates.
  • In the early 1980s, the public-safety battle was over seat belts. Most Americans didn't use them, and 65% opposed them being enforced by law.
  • "There was a libertarian streak among resistors," car-safety pioneer Ralph Nader told Business Insider. "They took the stance that 'you're not going to tie the American people up in seat belts.'"
  • More than 50 years after "Unsafe at Any Speed," Nader said, "We are a very hard society to change cognitively.""""

So let's take the politics out of this mask thing and get healthy again!
Protect yourself, protect your friends and take your tip from the scientists and docs!

Driving a car is not a Constitutional right, you blithering idiot.
Nor is going to work or the store without a mask on you fucking retard.
No law has been passed in the house and signed into law requiring you to wear a mask. It's an edict that overrides personal freedom.
Not yet. You are not personally free to infect someone else with a potentially dangerous disease you fucking retard.

Im personally free to walk around without a mask. There is no law requiring that I wear a mask. I give people their space but I will not wear a mask.

I've said it before. I wear them when I go into businesses with signs up saying they require them. I do it out of respect for the business. I wear them when I'm going to be around people who have expressed health concerns, also out of courtesy. But the absolute instant I step outside of the business or away from that acquaintance, that stupid mask is GONE. It's hard enough to breathe in a Phoenix summer without suffocating myself just to please a bunch of hypochondriac leftist sheep.

I respect that. If the business that I frequent asks, I'll abide and, like you, it comes off when Im out the door.

Yes, it's the same way with CCW licenses. If you are a carrier, and the business forbids it, you simply take your business elsewhere. It's the chance a business owner takes. If your butcher shop demands masks, you either wear the mask, or go to a butcher that doesn't require it.
 
I can't breath with a mask on. I couldn't stand oxygen masks when i WENT in for an operation, I tolerate the mask less than those. I have problems breathing. I'll stay home until whenever. I don't want to live in a world where everyone wears a mask.
lkkxcgd2rg951.jpg
Since that Uterus holds a life and removing it would cause it's death.
Not wearing a mask will not cause me to die and even so, I'm an adult able to make my own choices but the child isn't.
A growing body of evidence supports the idea that wearing face masks in public, even when you feel well, can help curb the spread of the coronavirus — since people can spread the virus even without showing symptoms. That's the main reason to wear a mask: to protect other people from you.

However that's not written in stone, it's what the left wishes to believe. While you can find studies and such to show they work, I can find studies that say they don't. It's subjective, just like man made global warming, or the effects of hydroxychloroquine.

Because there is no consensus, then it should be the individuals choice whether to wear a mask or not.
I think there is a huge consensus among just everybody in the healthcare field in regard to mask wearing. Of course it probably does not include your local bartender who is out of work, Sam the Surfer, and my granddaughter that thinks wearing a mask makes her look ugly. And there is a lot evidence coming contact tracing that shows that people that are asymptomatic are spreading the virus.

I read the opposite from the CDC just a few weeks ago. This tells you how everything changes. First a mask was no good, now it's mandated in cities and states across the country. Before asymptomatic people were low risk for spreading, now the risk of spreading is the same.

I think there is a difference between going to a restaurant and going to a doctors office. Doctors are exposed to ill people day in day out. For most of us, we will probably never be around a person with Covid unless you are a socialite, or your business relies on personal contact with people all day long. Although our antibody testing is far from perfected, some are suggesting that we are already in the herd process and there's no stopping it.

The problem with this thing is we've never experienced anything like it; at least with the technology we have today. Who knows......next year at this time, they may be telling us what a waste of time and money it was for us to wear a mask. We simply don't know.
Early on CDC said that masks would not protect you which was true then and is basically true today. Actually, there is a very small amount of protection for the wearer but not much. Herd immunity as defined by the scientist is a calculated estimate based on transmission rate and reproductive numbers for the virus. For this virus herd immunity is 70% of the population having been exposed, that is they have antibodies. That can be off by 10 or 15%. If the scientists definition of herd immunity is used, there should not be much difference in the calculation.

We may not have all the details of a virus but we know a lot about epidemics and how to control them. For example any airborne virus or a virus whose most common transmission is through the air, the key to stopping transmission is preventing the virus from reaching a host. Masks, plastic shields, staying away from the source of virus, staying at home, etc prevents the spread, a really easy to understand concept but pretty hard to implement in a large population.

We also know a lot about a virus based on the characteristics of the family. There are 6 types of coronavirus that can infect humans which includes Mers and SARS. They have many of the same characteristic but there are some differences. It's really fortunate that there was work done developing the SARS vaccine because this gave researchers a starting point in developing the vaccine for this member of the family. Making changes to the vaccine can be very simple. However, every time you change the vaccine you start over in testing. This is why it takes so long to develop a vaccine. The fact that we are willing to accept a vaccine which has is not very effective, 40% makes it more likely we will get one sooner rather later.

It's wishful thinking, but there certainly is no guarantee a vaccine can be developed. We still don't have vaccines for HIV, flu, even the common cold.

If a new vaccine came out and was approved by September, many Americans would be hesitant to take it including myself. It reminds me of when I bought my first computer and read up on it. It was a Dummy's book. The author warned his readers to never buy software 2.0. 2.0 software is the original version. When thousands of people use it problem free in trials, it's different than when you start passing it out to millions of people. That's when they discover the hidden flaws and imperfections. It's why you always wait until version 2.2. or 2.3 to come out. Those are the versions where the flaws have been corrected.

It's the same with new medications. Yes, it undergoes intense testing, but we won't know the results or drawbacks until it's been used on tens of millions of people. Even then, it could take years to find out if it has any long-term negative effects.

Before I take it, I would need 100% guarantee from my doctor that it won't have any harmful effects on me, corroborated by my cousin, who is a retired research doctor that supervised the laboratory where she worked. Until I get that, I may wait for a while if and when a vaccine comes out.
I agree with your assessment of a vaccine with a few exceptions.
We do have a vaccine for the flu. I get one every year. A vaccine to prevent the common cold has been difficult to make, primarily because there are more than 200 different varieties of viruses that can cause colds. Also, if there were such a vaccine, you would have to get a new one every year like the flu vaccine, plus it would probably be not very effective due to the rate these viruses mutate.

The HIV is nothing like the coronations family of viruses. The problem developing a vaccine for HIV lies in genetic makeup of the virus. Unlike coronavirus, HIV has an incredibly fast replication cycle, less than 24 hour. However, the real show stopper is that HIV is prone to frequent replication errors, churning out mutated copies of itself which recombine into new strains as the virus is passed from person to person.

This coronavirus is very similar to SARS which we have developed a vaccine. Also most of the organizations developing vaccines have already proved in the lab that their vaccine kills the virus and is so far harmless to humans. The big question market is how effective the vaccine will be. Typically vaccines like these are 40% to 70% effective. The CDC has implied that a 40% effective vaccine would be acceptable. Think about what this really means. If we are able to produce enough of the vaccine to make it available like the flu vaccine at every primary care doctors office, every pharmacy, hospital, and public health clinic, we might be able to get the same inoculation numbers as the flu vaccine which is 45% of the population by the end of next year. So we might just have have 148 million vaccinated with 40% less chance of getting the virus and the remainder no protection since they were not vaccinated. After a year or so we get more effective vaccines and thus more protection. My guess is we will reach herd immunity about the time of 2024 election.

I don't think we're going see an unemployment rate of less than 5% for at least a year or so and people will dying from coronavirus for many years, hopefully at a greatly reduced rate.

BTW You will never get a 100% guarantee that a vaccine will not harm you. Deaths caused by vaccines are less than 2 per million and in almost all of those cases the person had a compromised immune system or had other conditions. You're probably more likely to get killed by a lightening strike than a vaccine.

I happen to be one of those people. I am 60 years old, and one of my two major medical conditions is the number one condition associated with death. It's one of the reasons I'd be so hesitant to take it.

If we (or others) do develop a vaccine for this thing, it should be able to wipe it out. Unlike the flu, it won't mutate so rapidly or differently, if it does at all. Experts have said if it would, then a weaker much less deadly strain would take it's place, unlike the flu. And if it does again, the next strain will be weaker yet.

Plus I think careless people have become more conscious of cleanliness now. You still can't find hand sanitizer or liquid soap in some stores. Fortunately for me, one of my tenants works at a store where they had and abundance of it because of customer limitations. She brought home some sanitizer for me and I was grateful she did. I should have plenty for while, at least until the shelves get fully stocked again. In addition, GoJo, the people who make Purell, are opening up a factory in my suburb. With some luck, they will let the citizens buy direct from them. And thanks to President Trump, there is this:

Every vaccine is different. For the influenza vaccine given to day, you should avoid it if you:
  • Have had an allergic reaction after a previous dose of influenza vaccine, or have any severe, life-threatening allergies.
  • Have ever had Guillain-Barré Syndrome (also called GBS).
In order to wipe out the coronavirus, we would need a participation much more than the 45% we get with the influenza vaccine. The CDC did a big study of why people don't get the flu vaccine. As it turns only about 2% of the population has medical condition to disqualify them. If everyone that was eligible to take the flu shot did, we would nearly wipe it out. That means last year we would have saved the lives of nearly 57,000 people, prevented an illness that sickens nearly 40 million people plus an economic impact in the hundreds of millions.

With over 50 vaccines in test trials, I don't think we will need to worry about a vaccine being available next year.

I only take the flu shot once in a while. I've known many people who came down with illness after they took the shot. Some years, you get vaccinated for one strain, but a new strain comes out that makes the original vaccine worthless.

I have little doubt a vaccine for Covid will be made, it's just a matter of how effective it is, how many people get it, how many are restricted from getting it, and any serious side-effects many of us will be waiting for before we have confidence it's beneficial to us.
The reason you have a flu shot every year is to pickup protection for new strains of the viruses.

Viruses making you ill go back years when live viruses were used in most vaccines. That is no longer necessary. Today, if one person get's a flu shot and get's sick, they are almost certain to spread the news. However, for the tens of thousands of people that get flu shots and have no reaction at all, they remain silent. Ray, how often do people stop you on the street or call you and say, "Ray, guess what I got a flu yesterday and I feel just fine. My wife and I and most of my brothers and sisters have been getting flu shots every year for over 40 years and I can't remember anyone telling me they got sick. Thy myth that flu shots will make you sick has certainly contributed to the number of people that don't get vaccinated which cost us tens of thousands of lives every year.
 
I can't breath with a mask on. I couldn't stand oxygen masks when i WENT in for an operation, I tolerate the mask less than those. I have problems breathing. I'll stay home until whenever. I don't want to live in a world where everyone wears a mask.
lkkxcgd2rg951.jpg
Since that Uterus holds a life and removing it would cause it's death.
Not wearing a mask will not cause me to die and even so, I'm an adult able to make my own choices but the child isn't.
A growing body of evidence supports the idea that wearing face masks in public, even when you feel well, can help curb the spread of the coronavirus — since people can spread the virus even without showing symptoms. That's the main reason to wear a mask: to protect other people from you.

However that's not written in stone, it's what the left wishes to believe. While you can find studies and such to show they work, I can find studies that say they don't. It's subjective, just like man made global warming, or the effects of hydroxychloroquine.

Because there is no consensus, then it should be the individuals choice whether to wear a mask or not.
I think there is a huge consensus among just everybody in the healthcare field in regard to mask wearing. Of course it probably does not include your local bartender who is out of work, Sam the Surfer, and my granddaughter that thinks wearing a mask makes her look ugly. And there is a lot evidence coming contact tracing that shows that people that are asymptomatic are spreading the virus.

I read the opposite from the CDC just a few weeks ago. This tells you how everything changes. First a mask was no good, now it's mandated in cities and states across the country. Before asymptomatic people were low risk for spreading, now the risk of spreading is the same.

I think there is a difference between going to a restaurant and going to a doctors office. Doctors are exposed to ill people day in day out. For most of us, we will probably never be around a person with Covid unless you are a socialite, or your business relies on personal contact with people all day long. Although our antibody testing is far from perfected, some are suggesting that we are already in the herd process and there's no stopping it.

The problem with this thing is we've never experienced anything like it; at least with the technology we have today. Who knows......next year at this time, they may be telling us what a waste of time and money it was for us to wear a mask. We simply don't know.
Early on CDC said that masks would not protect you which was true then and is basically true today. Actually, there is a very small amount of protection for the wearer but not much. Herd immunity as defined by the scientist is a calculated estimate based on transmission rate and reproductive numbers for the virus. For this virus herd immunity is 70% of the population having been exposed, that is they have antibodies. That can be off by 10 or 15%. If the scientists definition of herd immunity is used, there should not be much difference in the calculation.

We may not have all the details of a virus but we know a lot about epidemics and how to control them. For example any airborne virus or a virus whose most common transmission is through the air, the key to stopping transmission is preventing the virus from reaching a host. Masks, plastic shields, staying away from the source of virus, staying at home, etc prevents the spread, a really easy to understand concept but pretty hard to implement in a large population.

We also know a lot about a virus based on the characteristics of the family. There are 6 types of coronavirus that can infect humans which includes Mers and SARS. They have many of the same characteristic but there are some differences. It's really fortunate that there was work done developing the SARS vaccine because this gave researchers a starting point in developing the vaccine for this member of the family. Making changes to the vaccine can be very simple. However, every time you change the vaccine you start over in testing. This is why it takes so long to develop a vaccine. The fact that we are willing to accept a vaccine which has is not very effective, 40% makes it more likely we will get one sooner rather later.

It's wishful thinking, but there certainly is no guarantee a vaccine can be developed. We still don't have vaccines for HIV, flu, even the common cold.

If a new vaccine came out and was approved by September, many Americans would be hesitant to take it including myself. It reminds me of when I bought my first computer and read up on it. It was a Dummy's book. The author warned his readers to never buy software 2.0. 2.0 software is the original version. When thousands of people use it problem free in trials, it's different than when you start passing it out to millions of people. That's when they discover the hidden flaws and imperfections. It's why you always wait until version 2.2. or 2.3 to come out. Those are the versions where the flaws have been corrected.

It's the same with new medications. Yes, it undergoes intense testing, but we won't know the results or drawbacks until it's been used on tens of millions of people. Even then, it could take years to find out if it has any long-term negative effects.

Before I take it, I would need 100% guarantee from my doctor that it won't have any harmful effects on me, corroborated by my cousin, who is a retired research doctor that supervised the laboratory where she worked. Until I get that, I may wait for a while if and when a vaccine comes out.
I agree with your assessment of a vaccine with a few exceptions.
We do have a vaccine for the flu. I get one every year. A vaccine to prevent the common cold has been difficult to make, primarily because there are more than 200 different varieties of viruses that can cause colds. Also, if there were such a vaccine, you would have to get a new one every year like the flu vaccine, plus it would probably be not very effective due to the rate these viruses mutate.

The HIV is nothing like the coronations family of viruses. The problem developing a vaccine for HIV lies in genetic makeup of the virus. Unlike coronavirus, HIV has an incredibly fast replication cycle, less than 24 hour. However, the real show stopper is that HIV is prone to frequent replication errors, churning out mutated copies of itself which recombine into new strains as the virus is passed from person to person.

This coronavirus is very similar to SARS which we have developed a vaccine. Also most of the organizations developing vaccines have already proved in the lab that their vaccine kills the virus and is so far harmless to humans. The big question market is how effective the vaccine will be. Typically vaccines like these are 40% to 70% effective. The CDC has implied that a 40% effective vaccine would be acceptable. Think about what this really means. If we are able to produce enough of the vaccine to make it available like the flu vaccine at every primary care doctors office, every pharmacy, hospital, and public health clinic, we might be able to get the same inoculation numbers as the flu vaccine which is 45% of the population by the end of next year. So we might just have have 148 million vaccinated with 40% less chance of getting the virus and the remainder no protection since they were not vaccinated. After a year or so we get more effective vaccines and thus more protection. My guess is we will reach herd immunity about the time of 2024 election.

I don't think we're going see an unemployment rate of less than 5% for at least a year or so and people will dying from coronavirus for many years, hopefully at a greatly reduced rate.

BTW You will never get a 100% guarantee that a vaccine will not harm you. Deaths caused by vaccines are less than 2 per million and in almost all of those cases the person had a compromised immune system or had other conditions. You're probably more likely to get killed by a lightening strike than a vaccine.

I happen to be one of those people. I am 60 years old, and one of my two major medical conditions is the number one condition associated with death. It's one of the reasons I'd be so hesitant to take it.

If we (or others) do develop a vaccine for this thing, it should be able to wipe it out. Unlike the flu, it won't mutate so rapidly or differently, if it does at all. Experts have said if it would, then a weaker much less deadly strain would take it's place, unlike the flu. And if it does again, the next strain will be weaker yet.

Plus I think careless people have become more conscious of cleanliness now. You still can't find hand sanitizer or liquid soap in some stores. Fortunately for me, one of my tenants works at a store where they had and abundance of it because of customer limitations. She brought home some sanitizer for me and I was grateful she did. I should have plenty for while, at least until the shelves get fully stocked again. In addition, GoJo, the people who make Purell, are opening up a factory in my suburb. With some luck, they will let the citizens buy direct from them. And thanks to President Trump, there is this:

Every vaccine is different. For the influenza vaccine given to day, you should avoid it if you:
  • Have had an allergic reaction after a previous dose of influenza vaccine, or have any severe, life-threatening allergies.
  • Have ever had Guillain-Barré Syndrome (also called GBS).
In order to wipe out the coronavirus, we would need a participation much more than the 45% we get with the influenza vaccine. The CDC did a big study of why people don't get the flu vaccine. As it turns only about 2% of the population has medical condition to disqualify them. If everyone that was eligible to take the flu shot did, we would nearly wipe it out. That means last year we would have saved the lives of nearly 57,000 people, prevented an illness that sickens nearly 40 million people plus an economic impact in the hundreds of millions.

With over 50 vaccines in test trials, I don't think we will need to worry about a vaccine being available next year.

I only take the flu shot once in a while. I've known many people who came down with illness after they took the shot. Some years, you get vaccinated for one strain, but a new strain comes out that makes the original vaccine worthless.

I have little doubt a vaccine for Covid will be made, it's just a matter of how effective it is, how many people get it, how many are restricted from getting it, and any serious side-effects many of us will be waiting for before we have confidence it's beneficial to us.
The reason you have a flu shot every year is to pickup protection for new strains of the viruses.

Viruses making you ill go back years when live viruses were used in most vaccines. That is no longer necessary. Today, if one person get's a flu shot and get's sick, they are almost certain to spread the news. However, for the tens of thousands of people that get flu shots and have no reaction at all, they remain silent. Ray, how often do people stop you on the street or call you and say, "Ray, guess what I got a flu yesterday and I feel just fine. My wife and I and most of my brothers and sisters have been getting flu shots every year for over 40 years and I can't remember anyone telling me they got sick. Thy myth that flu shots will make you sick has certainly contributed to the number of people that don't get vaccinated which cost us tens of thousands of lives every year.

I'm sure a majority don't get sick, but if you feel well, and then are faced with the possibility of getting sick because of the shot, you just don't take it. The times I've taken it, I've never experienced such a thing, but that doesn't mean it will always be that way in the future. My sister, who spent much of her life working in the hospital, took the shot and got the flu a week later.

If an when a vaccine comes out, I'm sure a lot of people will have reservations about getting one for some time. We can't deal out the media in this game. They will search high and low for stories of people getting ill or dying, because that's what sells newspapers and brings people to their internet
site, even if it is all bullshit. President Trump is absolutely correct when he says how dishonest most of our media is. They don't care about informing people, they care about making money, even if it's a disadvantage to society as a whole.
 
I can't breath with a mask on. I couldn't stand oxygen masks when i WENT in for an operation, I tolerate the mask less than those. I have problems breathing. I'll stay home until whenever. I don't want to live in a world where everyone wears a mask.
lkkxcgd2rg951.jpg
Since that Uterus holds a life and removing it would cause it's death.
Not wearing a mask will not cause me to die and even so, I'm an adult able to make my own choices but the child isn't.
A growing body of evidence supports the idea that wearing face masks in public, even when you feel well, can help curb the spread of the coronavirus — since people can spread the virus even without showing symptoms. That's the main reason to wear a mask: to protect other people from you.

However that's not written in stone, it's what the left wishes to believe. While you can find studies and such to show they work, I can find studies that say they don't. It's subjective, just like man made global warming, or the effects of hydroxychloroquine.

Because there is no consensus, then it should be the individuals choice whether to wear a mask or not.
I think there is a huge consensus among just everybody in the healthcare field in regard to mask wearing. Of course it probably does not include your local bartender who is out of work, Sam the Surfer, and my granddaughter that thinks wearing a mask makes her look ugly. And there is a lot evidence coming contact tracing that shows that people that are asymptomatic are spreading the virus.

I read the opposite from the CDC just a few weeks ago. This tells you how everything changes. First a mask was no good, now it's mandated in cities and states across the country. Before asymptomatic people were low risk for spreading, now the risk of spreading is the same.

I think there is a difference between going to a restaurant and going to a doctors office. Doctors are exposed to ill people day in day out. For most of us, we will probably never be around a person with Covid unless you are a socialite, or your business relies on personal contact with people all day long. Although our antibody testing is far from perfected, some are suggesting that we are already in the herd process and there's no stopping it.

The problem with this thing is we've never experienced anything like it; at least with the technology we have today. Who knows......next year at this time, they may be telling us what a waste of time and money it was for us to wear a mask. We simply don't know.
Early on CDC said that masks would not protect you which was true then and is basically true today. Actually, there is a very small amount of protection for the wearer but not much. Herd immunity as defined by the scientist is a calculated estimate based on transmission rate and reproductive numbers for the virus. For this virus herd immunity is 70% of the population having been exposed, that is they have antibodies. That can be off by 10 or 15%. If the scientists definition of herd immunity is used, there should not be much difference in the calculation.

We may not have all the details of a virus but we know a lot about epidemics and how to control them. For example any airborne virus or a virus whose most common transmission is through the air, the key to stopping transmission is preventing the virus from reaching a host. Masks, plastic shields, staying away from the source of virus, staying at home, etc prevents the spread, a really easy to understand concept but pretty hard to implement in a large population.

We also know a lot about a virus based on the characteristics of the family. There are 6 types of coronavirus that can infect humans which includes Mers and SARS. They have many of the same characteristic but there are some differences. It's really fortunate that there was work done developing the SARS vaccine because this gave researchers a starting point in developing the vaccine for this member of the family. Making changes to the vaccine can be very simple. However, every time you change the vaccine you start over in testing. This is why it takes so long to develop a vaccine. The fact that we are willing to accept a vaccine which has is not very effective, 40% makes it more likely we will get one sooner rather later.

It's wishful thinking, but there certainly is no guarantee a vaccine can be developed. We still don't have vaccines for HIV, flu, even the common cold.

If a new vaccine came out and was approved by September, many Americans would be hesitant to take it including myself. It reminds me of when I bought my first computer and read up on it. It was a Dummy's book. The author warned his readers to never buy software 2.0. 2.0 software is the original version. When thousands of people use it problem free in trials, it's different than when you start passing it out to millions of people. That's when they discover the hidden flaws and imperfections. It's why you always wait until version 2.2. or 2.3 to come out. Those are the versions where the flaws have been corrected.

It's the same with new medications. Yes, it undergoes intense testing, but we won't know the results or drawbacks until it's been used on tens of millions of people. Even then, it could take years to find out if it has any long-term negative effects.

Before I take it, I would need 100% guarantee from my doctor that it won't have any harmful effects on me, corroborated by my cousin, who is a retired research doctor that supervised the laboratory where she worked. Until I get that, I may wait for a while if and when a vaccine comes out.
I agree with your assessment of a vaccine with a few exceptions.
We do have a vaccine for the flu. I get one every year. A vaccine to prevent the common cold has been difficult to make, primarily because there are more than 200 different varieties of viruses that can cause colds. Also, if there were such a vaccine, you would have to get a new one every year like the flu vaccine, plus it would probably be not very effective due to the rate these viruses mutate.

The HIV is nothing like the coronations family of viruses. The problem developing a vaccine for HIV lies in genetic makeup of the virus. Unlike coronavirus, HIV has an incredibly fast replication cycle, less than 24 hour. However, the real show stopper is that HIV is prone to frequent replication errors, churning out mutated copies of itself which recombine into new strains as the virus is passed from person to person.

This coronavirus is very similar to SARS which we have developed a vaccine. Also most of the organizations developing vaccines have already proved in the lab that their vaccine kills the virus and is so far harmless to humans. The big question market is how effective the vaccine will be. Typically vaccines like these are 40% to 70% effective. The CDC has implied that a 40% effective vaccine would be acceptable. Think about what this really means. If we are able to produce enough of the vaccine to make it available like the flu vaccine at every primary care doctors office, every pharmacy, hospital, and public health clinic, we might be able to get the same inoculation numbers as the flu vaccine which is 45% of the population by the end of next year. So we might just have have 148 million vaccinated with 40% less chance of getting the virus and the remainder no protection since they were not vaccinated. After a year or so we get more effective vaccines and thus more protection. My guess is we will reach herd immunity about the time of 2024 election.

I don't think we're going see an unemployment rate of less than 5% for at least a year or so and people will dying from coronavirus for many years, hopefully at a greatly reduced rate.

BTW You will never get a 100% guarantee that a vaccine will not harm you. Deaths caused by vaccines are less than 2 per million and in almost all of those cases the person had a compromised immune system or had other conditions. You're probably more likely to get killed by a lightening strike than a vaccine.

I happen to be one of those people. I am 60 years old, and one of my two major medical conditions is the number one condition associated with death. It's one of the reasons I'd be so hesitant to take it.

If we (or others) do develop a vaccine for this thing, it should be able to wipe it out. Unlike the flu, it won't mutate so rapidly or differently, if it does at all. Experts have said if it would, then a weaker much less deadly strain would take it's place, unlike the flu. And if it does again, the next strain will be weaker yet.

Plus I think careless people have become more conscious of cleanliness now. You still can't find hand sanitizer or liquid soap in some stores. Fortunately for me, one of my tenants works at a store where they had and abundance of it because of customer limitations. She brought home some sanitizer for me and I was grateful she did. I should have plenty for while, at least until the shelves get fully stocked again. In addition, GoJo, the people who make Purell, are opening up a factory in my suburb. With some luck, they will let the citizens buy direct from them. And thanks to President Trump, there is this:

Every vaccine is different. For the influenza vaccine given to day, you should avoid it if you:
  • Have had an allergic reaction after a previous dose of influenza vaccine, or have any severe, life-threatening allergies.
  • Have ever had Guillain-Barré Syndrome (also called GBS).
In order to wipe out the coronavirus, we would need a participation much more than the 45% we get with the influenza vaccine. The CDC did a big study of why people don't get the flu vaccine. As it turns only about 2% of the population has medical condition to disqualify them. If everyone that was eligible to take the flu shot did, we would nearly wipe it out. That means last year we would have saved the lives of nearly 57,000 people, prevented an illness that sickens nearly 40 million people plus an economic impact in the hundreds of millions.

With over 50 vaccines in test trials, I don't think we will need to worry about a vaccine being available next year.

I only take the flu shot once in a while. I've known many people who came down with illness after they took the shot. Some years, you get vaccinated for one strain, but a new strain comes out that makes the original vaccine worthless.

I have little doubt a vaccine for Covid will be made, it's just a matter of how effective it is, how many people get it, how many are restricted from getting it, and any serious side-effects many of us will be waiting for before we have confidence it's beneficial to us.
The reason you have a flu shot every year is to pickup protection for new strains of the viruses.

Viruses making you ill go back years when live viruses were used in most vaccines. That is no longer necessary. Today, if one person get's a flu shot and get's sick, they are almost certain to spread the news. However, for the tens of thousands of people that get flu shots and have no reaction at all, they remain silent. Ray, how often do people stop you on the street or call you and say, "Ray, guess what I got a flu yesterday and I feel just fine. My wife and I and most of my brothers and sisters have been getting flu shots every year for over 40 years and I can't remember anyone telling me they got sick. Thy myth that flu shots will make you sick has certainly contributed to the number of people that don't get vaccinated which cost us tens of thousands of lives every year.

I'm sure a majority don't get sick, but if you feel well, and then are faced with the possibility of getting sick because of the shot, you just don't take it. The times I've taken it, I've never experienced such a thing, but that doesn't mean it will always be that way in the future. My sister, who spent much of her life working in the hospital, took the shot and got the flu a week later.

If an when a vaccine comes out, I'm sure a lot of people will have reservations about getting one for some time. We can't deal out the media in this game. They will search high and low for stories of people getting ill or dying, because that's what sells newspapers and brings people to their internet
site, even if it is all bullshit. President Trump is absolutely correct when he says how dishonest most of our media is. They don't care about informing people, they care about making money, even if it's a disadvantage to society as a whole.
The vaccine tracker has 40 vaccines in progress.
There will certainly be a choice.

And Trump is last person you want to hear from about the media.
Because his favorite is OAN, a questionable source, at best.
 
I can't breath with a mask on. I couldn't stand oxygen masks when i WENT in for an operation, I tolerate the mask less than those. I have problems breathing. I'll stay home until whenever. I don't want to live in a world where everyone wears a mask.
lkkxcgd2rg951.jpg
Since that Uterus holds a life and removing it would cause it's death.
Not wearing a mask will not cause me to die and even so, I'm an adult able to make my own choices but the child isn't.
A growing body of evidence supports the idea that wearing face masks in public, even when you feel well, can help curb the spread of the coronavirus — since people can spread the virus even without showing symptoms. That's the main reason to wear a mask: to protect other people from you.

However that's not written in stone, it's what the left wishes to believe. While you can find studies and such to show they work, I can find studies that say they don't. It's subjective, just like man made global warming, or the effects of hydroxychloroquine.

Because there is no consensus, then it should be the individuals choice whether to wear a mask or not.
I think there is a huge consensus among just everybody in the healthcare field in regard to mask wearing. Of course it probably does not include your local bartender who is out of work, Sam the Surfer, and my granddaughter that thinks wearing a mask makes her look ugly. And there is a lot evidence coming contact tracing that shows that people that are asymptomatic are spreading the virus.

I read the opposite from the CDC just a few weeks ago. This tells you how everything changes. First a mask was no good, now it's mandated in cities and states across the country. Before asymptomatic people were low risk for spreading, now the risk of spreading is the same.

I think there is a difference between going to a restaurant and going to a doctors office. Doctors are exposed to ill people day in day out. For most of us, we will probably never be around a person with Covid unless you are a socialite, or your business relies on personal contact with people all day long. Although our antibody testing is far from perfected, some are suggesting that we are already in the herd process and there's no stopping it.

The problem with this thing is we've never experienced anything like it; at least with the technology we have today. Who knows......next year at this time, they may be telling us what a waste of time and money it was for us to wear a mask. We simply don't know.
Early on CDC said that masks would not protect you which was true then and is basically true today. Actually, there is a very small amount of protection for the wearer but not much. Herd immunity as defined by the scientist is a calculated estimate based on transmission rate and reproductive numbers for the virus. For this virus herd immunity is 70% of the population having been exposed, that is they have antibodies. That can be off by 10 or 15%. If the scientists definition of herd immunity is used, there should not be much difference in the calculation.

We may not have all the details of a virus but we know a lot about epidemics and how to control them. For example any airborne virus or a virus whose most common transmission is through the air, the key to stopping transmission is preventing the virus from reaching a host. Masks, plastic shields, staying away from the source of virus, staying at home, etc prevents the spread, a really easy to understand concept but pretty hard to implement in a large population.

We also know a lot about a virus based on the characteristics of the family. There are 6 types of coronavirus that can infect humans which includes Mers and SARS. They have many of the same characteristic but there are some differences. It's really fortunate that there was work done developing the SARS vaccine because this gave researchers a starting point in developing the vaccine for this member of the family. Making changes to the vaccine can be very simple. However, every time you change the vaccine you start over in testing. This is why it takes so long to develop a vaccine. The fact that we are willing to accept a vaccine which has is not very effective, 40% makes it more likely we will get one sooner rather later.

It's wishful thinking, but there certainly is no guarantee a vaccine can be developed. We still don't have vaccines for HIV, flu, even the common cold.

If a new vaccine came out and was approved by September, many Americans would be hesitant to take it including myself. It reminds me of when I bought my first computer and read up on it. It was a Dummy's book. The author warned his readers to never buy software 2.0. 2.0 software is the original version. When thousands of people use it problem free in trials, it's different than when you start passing it out to millions of people. That's when they discover the hidden flaws and imperfections. It's why you always wait until version 2.2. or 2.3 to come out. Those are the versions where the flaws have been corrected.

It's the same with new medications. Yes, it undergoes intense testing, but we won't know the results or drawbacks until it's been used on tens of millions of people. Even then, it could take years to find out if it has any long-term negative effects.

Before I take it, I would need 100% guarantee from my doctor that it won't have any harmful effects on me, corroborated by my cousin, who is a retired research doctor that supervised the laboratory where she worked. Until I get that, I may wait for a while if and when a vaccine comes out.
I agree with your assessment of a vaccine with a few exceptions.
We do have a vaccine for the flu. I get one every year. A vaccine to prevent the common cold has been difficult to make, primarily because there are more than 200 different varieties of viruses that can cause colds. Also, if there were such a vaccine, you would have to get a new one every year like the flu vaccine, plus it would probably be not very effective due to the rate these viruses mutate.

The HIV is nothing like the coronations family of viruses. The problem developing a vaccine for HIV lies in genetic makeup of the virus. Unlike coronavirus, HIV has an incredibly fast replication cycle, less than 24 hour. However, the real show stopper is that HIV is prone to frequent replication errors, churning out mutated copies of itself which recombine into new strains as the virus is passed from person to person.

This coronavirus is very similar to SARS which we have developed a vaccine. Also most of the organizations developing vaccines have already proved in the lab that their vaccine kills the virus and is so far harmless to humans. The big question market is how effective the vaccine will be. Typically vaccines like these are 40% to 70% effective. The CDC has implied that a 40% effective vaccine would be acceptable. Think about what this really means. If we are able to produce enough of the vaccine to make it available like the flu vaccine at every primary care doctors office, every pharmacy, hospital, and public health clinic, we might be able to get the same inoculation numbers as the flu vaccine which is 45% of the population by the end of next year. So we might just have have 148 million vaccinated with 40% less chance of getting the virus and the remainder no protection since they were not vaccinated. After a year or so we get more effective vaccines and thus more protection. My guess is we will reach herd immunity about the time of 2024 election.

I don't think we're going see an unemployment rate of less than 5% for at least a year or so and people will dying from coronavirus for many years, hopefully at a greatly reduced rate.

BTW You will never get a 100% guarantee that a vaccine will not harm you. Deaths caused by vaccines are less than 2 per million and in almost all of those cases the person had a compromised immune system or had other conditions. You're probably more likely to get killed by a lightening strike than a vaccine.

I happen to be one of those people. I am 60 years old, and one of my two major medical conditions is the number one condition associated with death. It's one of the reasons I'd be so hesitant to take it.

If we (or others) do develop a vaccine for this thing, it should be able to wipe it out. Unlike the flu, it won't mutate so rapidly or differently, if it does at all. Experts have said if it would, then a weaker much less deadly strain would take it's place, unlike the flu. And if it does again, the next strain will be weaker yet.

Plus I think careless people have become more conscious of cleanliness now. You still can't find hand sanitizer or liquid soap in some stores. Fortunately for me, one of my tenants works at a store where they had and abundance of it because of customer limitations. She brought home some sanitizer for me and I was grateful she did. I should have plenty for while, at least until the shelves get fully stocked again. In addition, GoJo, the people who make Purell, are opening up a factory in my suburb. With some luck, they will let the citizens buy direct from them. And thanks to President Trump, there is this:

Every vaccine is different. For the influenza vaccine given to day, you should avoid it if you:
  • Have had an allergic reaction after a previous dose of influenza vaccine, or have any severe, life-threatening allergies.
  • Have ever had Guillain-Barré Syndrome (also called GBS).
In order to wipe out the coronavirus, we would need a participation much more than the 45% we get with the influenza vaccine. The CDC did a big study of why people don't get the flu vaccine. As it turns only about 2% of the population has medical condition to disqualify them. If everyone that was eligible to take the flu shot did, we would nearly wipe it out. That means last year we would have saved the lives of nearly 57,000 people, prevented an illness that sickens nearly 40 million people plus an economic impact in the hundreds of millions.

With over 50 vaccines in test trials, I don't think we will need to worry about a vaccine being available next year.

I only take the flu shot once in a while. I've known many people who came down with illness after they took the shot. Some years, you get vaccinated for one strain, but a new strain comes out that makes the original vaccine worthless.

I have little doubt a vaccine for Covid will be made, it's just a matter of how effective it is, how many people get it, how many are restricted from getting it, and any serious side-effects many of us will be waiting for before we have confidence it's beneficial to us.
The reason you have a flu shot every year is to pickup protection for new strains of the viruses.

Viruses making you ill go back years when live viruses were used in most vaccines. That is no longer necessary. Today, if one person get's a flu shot and get's sick, they are almost certain to spread the news. However, for the tens of thousands of people that get flu shots and have no reaction at all, they remain silent. Ray, how often do people stop you on the street or call you and say, "Ray, guess what I got a flu yesterday and I feel just fine. My wife and I and most of my brothers and sisters have been getting flu shots every year for over 40 years and I can't remember anyone telling me they got sick. Thy myth that flu shots will make you sick has certainly contributed to the number of people that don't get vaccinated which cost us tens of thousands of lives every year.

I'm sure a majority don't get sick, but if you feel well, and then are faced with the possibility of getting sick because of the shot, you just don't take it. The times I've taken it, I've never experienced such a thing, but that doesn't mean it will always be that way in the future. My sister, who spent much of her life working in the hospital, took the shot and got the flu a week later.

If an when a vaccine comes out, I'm sure a lot of people will have reservations about getting one for some time. We can't deal out the media in this game. They will search high and low for stories of people getting ill or dying, because that's what sells newspapers and brings people to their internet
site, even if it is all bullshit. President Trump is absolutely correct when he says how dishonest most of our media is. They don't care about informing people, they care about making money, even if it's a disadvantage to society as a whole.
You're absolutely correct, media cares far more about making money than serving the public. Do you remember back in the 50's and 60's when the media made clear distinctions between news and editorial content. After the TV news, you would hear, "The following is editorial comments. The views of the commentator do not necessarily represent the views of this station." Editorial content in newspapers was generally restricted to the editorial page. In the 60's intense rivalry between NBC and CBS and the fear of government regulations resulted in huge expansions of the news divisions with a rigid barrier between the news divisions and the entertainment divisions.

In the 70's with the death of David Sarnoff, long term head of NBC, a decision was made that would radically change media news, the news division must operate at a profit. Thus what was newsworthy was judged by it's entertainment value. Ted Turner seeing that news could become profitable founded CNN which settled any doubt about news being a public service. It was entertainment. Richard Murdoch seeing Turner's success with CNN and it's decidedly leanings toward the left saw the opportunity of a new news network which would lean right. Thus, Fox News was born. The slogan "fair and balanced" in describing Fox News was first interpreted as balanced programming but as CNN moved further to Left, Fox moved further to the Right.

Then comes MSNBC and a proliferation of internet websites catering to the Left, Right, Far Left, Far Right, in addition to sites that just manufacture news. Today, with most of the public getting its "news" from television and internet sites who provide content to please and entertain select audiences and newspaper readership declining, the danger of creating a public that knows little and cares little about actual news is very real.

I think it's quite possible we will see in the next few years an expansion of a C-Span like network to become a news source providing raw news. Few people would have any interest because real news is pretty boring but at least we just might have a source for real news that attempts to be unbiased.
 
Last edited:
I can't breath with a mask on. I couldn't stand oxygen masks when i WENT in for an operation, I tolerate the mask less than those. I have problems breathing. I'll stay home until whenever. I don't want to live in a world where everyone wears a mask.
lkkxcgd2rg951.jpg
Since that Uterus holds a life and removing it would cause it's death.
Not wearing a mask will not cause me to die and even so, I'm an adult able to make my own choices but the child isn't.
A growing body of evidence supports the idea that wearing face masks in public, even when you feel well, can help curb the spread of the coronavirus — since people can spread the virus even without showing symptoms. That's the main reason to wear a mask: to protect other people from you.

However that's not written in stone, it's what the left wishes to believe. While you can find studies and such to show they work, I can find studies that say they don't. It's subjective, just like man made global warming, or the effects of hydroxychloroquine.

Because there is no consensus, then it should be the individuals choice whether to wear a mask or not.
I think there is a huge consensus among just everybody in the healthcare field in regard to mask wearing. Of course it probably does not include your local bartender who is out of work, Sam the Surfer, and my granddaughter that thinks wearing a mask makes her look ugly. And there is a lot evidence coming contact tracing that shows that people that are asymptomatic are spreading the virus.

I read the opposite from the CDC just a few weeks ago. This tells you how everything changes. First a mask was no good, now it's mandated in cities and states across the country. Before asymptomatic people were low risk for spreading, now the risk of spreading is the same.

I think there is a difference between going to a restaurant and going to a doctors office. Doctors are exposed to ill people day in day out. For most of us, we will probably never be around a person with Covid unless you are a socialite, or your business relies on personal contact with people all day long. Although our antibody testing is far from perfected, some are suggesting that we are already in the herd process and there's no stopping it.

The problem with this thing is we've never experienced anything like it; at least with the technology we have today. Who knows......next year at this time, they may be telling us what a waste of time and money it was for us to wear a mask. We simply don't know.
Early on CDC said that masks would not protect you which was true then and is basically true today. Actually, there is a very small amount of protection for the wearer but not much. Herd immunity as defined by the scientist is a calculated estimate based on transmission rate and reproductive numbers for the virus. For this virus herd immunity is 70% of the population having been exposed, that is they have antibodies. That can be off by 10 or 15%. If the scientists definition of herd immunity is used, there should not be much difference in the calculation.

We may not have all the details of a virus but we know a lot about epidemics and how to control them. For example any airborne virus or a virus whose most common transmission is through the air, the key to stopping transmission is preventing the virus from reaching a host. Masks, plastic shields, staying away from the source of virus, staying at home, etc prevents the spread, a really easy to understand concept but pretty hard to implement in a large population.

We also know a lot about a virus based on the characteristics of the family. There are 6 types of coronavirus that can infect humans which includes Mers and SARS. They have many of the same characteristic but there are some differences. It's really fortunate that there was work done developing the SARS vaccine because this gave researchers a starting point in developing the vaccine for this member of the family. Making changes to the vaccine can be very simple. However, every time you change the vaccine you start over in testing. This is why it takes so long to develop a vaccine. The fact that we are willing to accept a vaccine which has is not very effective, 40% makes it more likely we will get one sooner rather later.

It's wishful thinking, but there certainly is no guarantee a vaccine can be developed. We still don't have vaccines for HIV, flu, even the common cold.

If a new vaccine came out and was approved by September, many Americans would be hesitant to take it including myself. It reminds me of when I bought my first computer and read up on it. It was a Dummy's book. The author warned his readers to never buy software 2.0. 2.0 software is the original version. When thousands of people use it problem free in trials, it's different than when you start passing it out to millions of people. That's when they discover the hidden flaws and imperfections. It's why you always wait until version 2.2. or 2.3 to come out. Those are the versions where the flaws have been corrected.

It's the same with new medications. Yes, it undergoes intense testing, but we won't know the results or drawbacks until it's been used on tens of millions of people. Even then, it could take years to find out if it has any long-term negative effects.

Before I take it, I would need 100% guarantee from my doctor that it won't have any harmful effects on me, corroborated by my cousin, who is a retired research doctor that supervised the laboratory where she worked. Until I get that, I may wait for a while if and when a vaccine comes out.
I agree with your assessment of a vaccine with a few exceptions.
We do have a vaccine for the flu. I get one every year. A vaccine to prevent the common cold has been difficult to make, primarily because there are more than 200 different varieties of viruses that can cause colds. Also, if there were such a vaccine, you would have to get a new one every year like the flu vaccine, plus it would probably be not very effective due to the rate these viruses mutate.

The HIV is nothing like the coronations family of viruses. The problem developing a vaccine for HIV lies in genetic makeup of the virus. Unlike coronavirus, HIV has an incredibly fast replication cycle, less than 24 hour. However, the real show stopper is that HIV is prone to frequent replication errors, churning out mutated copies of itself which recombine into new strains as the virus is passed from person to person.

This coronavirus is very similar to SARS which we have developed a vaccine. Also most of the organizations developing vaccines have already proved in the lab that their vaccine kills the virus and is so far harmless to humans. The big question market is how effective the vaccine will be. Typically vaccines like these are 40% to 70% effective. The CDC has implied that a 40% effective vaccine would be acceptable. Think about what this really means. If we are able to produce enough of the vaccine to make it available like the flu vaccine at every primary care doctors office, every pharmacy, hospital, and public health clinic, we might be able to get the same inoculation numbers as the flu vaccine which is 45% of the population by the end of next year. So we might just have have 148 million vaccinated with 40% less chance of getting the virus and the remainder no protection since they were not vaccinated. After a year or so we get more effective vaccines and thus more protection. My guess is we will reach herd immunity about the time of 2024 election.

I don't think we're going see an unemployment rate of less than 5% for at least a year or so and people will dying from coronavirus for many years, hopefully at a greatly reduced rate.

BTW You will never get a 100% guarantee that a vaccine will not harm you. Deaths caused by vaccines are less than 2 per million and in almost all of those cases the person had a compromised immune system or had other conditions. You're probably more likely to get killed by a lightening strike than a vaccine.

I happen to be one of those people. I am 60 years old, and one of my two major medical conditions is the number one condition associated with death. It's one of the reasons I'd be so hesitant to take it.

If we (or others) do develop a vaccine for this thing, it should be able to wipe it out. Unlike the flu, it won't mutate so rapidly or differently, if it does at all. Experts have said if it would, then a weaker much less deadly strain would take it's place, unlike the flu. And if it does again, the next strain will be weaker yet.

Plus I think careless people have become more conscious of cleanliness now. You still can't find hand sanitizer or liquid soap in some stores. Fortunately for me, one of my tenants works at a store where they had and abundance of it because of customer limitations. She brought home some sanitizer for me and I was grateful she did. I should have plenty for while, at least until the shelves get fully stocked again. In addition, GoJo, the people who make Purell, are opening up a factory in my suburb. With some luck, they will let the citizens buy direct from them. And thanks to President Trump, there is this:

Every vaccine is different. For the influenza vaccine given to day, you should avoid it if you:
  • Have had an allergic reaction after a previous dose of influenza vaccine, or have any severe, life-threatening allergies.
  • Have ever had Guillain-Barré Syndrome (also called GBS).
In order to wipe out the coronavirus, we would need a participation much more than the 45% we get with the influenza vaccine. The CDC did a big study of why people don't get the flu vaccine. As it turns only about 2% of the population has medical condition to disqualify them. If everyone that was eligible to take the flu shot did, we would nearly wipe it out. That means last year we would have saved the lives of nearly 57,000 people, prevented an illness that sickens nearly 40 million people plus an economic impact in the hundreds of millions.

With over 50 vaccines in test trials, I don't think we will need to worry about a vaccine being available next year.

I only take the flu shot once in a while. I've known many people who came down with illness after they took the shot. Some years, you get vaccinated for one strain, but a new strain comes out that makes the original vaccine worthless.

I have little doubt a vaccine for Covid will be made, it's just a matter of how effective it is, how many people get it, how many are restricted from getting it, and any serious side-effects many of us will be waiting for before we have confidence it's beneficial to us.
The reason you have a flu shot every year is to pickup protection for new strains of the viruses.

Viruses making you ill go back years when live viruses were used in most vaccines. That is no longer necessary. Today, if one person get's a flu shot and get's sick, they are almost certain to spread the news. However, for the tens of thousands of people that get flu shots and have no reaction at all, they remain silent. Ray, how often do people stop you on the street or call you and say, "Ray, guess what I got a flu yesterday and I feel just fine. My wife and I and most of my brothers and sisters have been getting flu shots every year for over 40 years and I can't remember anyone telling me they got sick. Thy myth that flu shots will make you sick has certainly contributed to the number of people that don't get vaccinated which cost us tens of thousands of lives every year.

I'm sure a majority don't get sick, but if you feel well, and then are faced with the possibility of getting sick because of the shot, you just don't take it. The times I've taken it, I've never experienced such a thing, but that doesn't mean it will always be that way in the future. My sister, who spent much of her life working in the hospital, took the shot and got the flu a week later.

If an when a vaccine comes out, I'm sure a lot of people will have reservations about getting one for some time. We can't deal out the media in this game. They will search high and low for stories of people getting ill or dying, because that's what sells newspapers and brings people to their internet
site, even if it is all bullshit. President Trump is absolutely correct when he says how dishonest most of our media is. They don't care about informing people, they care about making money, even if it's a disadvantage to society as a whole.
The vaccine tracker has 40 vaccines in progress.
There will certainly be a choice.

And Trump is last person you want to hear from about the media.
Because his favorite is OAN, a questionable source, at best.
And that choice may well be a burden as well as an opportunity. Who and how will decisions be made between less side effects and a higher percent effective, between costs and availability, single dose or multiple dose, etc. Also the successful vaccines will not become available all at the same time; that is we may have a 40% effective vaccine requiring two doses available in March and 3 months latter a 60% effective single dose vaccine with more side effects. My guess is that we will be lucky to have a vaccine available to the general public by the end of next year and even then it will take many months of inoculations before we start seeing decreasing numbers. This means we are going to have waves and hot spots breaking out for at least the next two years. So we better learn how to live with this virus and make decisions based on sound medical and economic data and advice, devoid of politics. It would be best if the president and other politicians would stop implying that a vaccine is just right around the corner and it's going wipe out the virus anytime in the near future. And telling the public that the virus is just going to disappear is about as helpful as a fart in spacesuit. We need to concentrate on saving lives and the economy, not some magical cure that does not exist and may not exist for a long time.
 
Last edited:
I can't breath with a mask on. I couldn't stand oxygen masks when i WENT in for an operation, I tolerate the mask less than those. I have problems breathing. I'll stay home until whenever. I don't want to live in a world where everyone wears a mask.
lkkxcgd2rg951.jpg
Since that Uterus holds a life and removing it would cause it's death.
Not wearing a mask will not cause me to die and even so, I'm an adult able to make my own choices but the child isn't.
A growing body of evidence supports the idea that wearing face masks in public, even when you feel well, can help curb the spread of the coronavirus — since people can spread the virus even without showing symptoms. That's the main reason to wear a mask: to protect other people from you.

However that's not written in stone, it's what the left wishes to believe. While you can find studies and such to show they work, I can find studies that say they don't. It's subjective, just like man made global warming, or the effects of hydroxychloroquine.

Because there is no consensus, then it should be the individuals choice whether to wear a mask or not.
I think there is a huge consensus among just everybody in the healthcare field in regard to mask wearing. Of course it probably does not include your local bartender who is out of work, Sam the Surfer, and my granddaughter that thinks wearing a mask makes her look ugly. And there is a lot evidence coming contact tracing that shows that people that are asymptomatic are spreading the virus.

I read the opposite from the CDC just a few weeks ago. This tells you how everything changes. First a mask was no good, now it's mandated in cities and states across the country. Before asymptomatic people were low risk for spreading, now the risk of spreading is the same.

I think there is a difference between going to a restaurant and going to a doctors office. Doctors are exposed to ill people day in day out. For most of us, we will probably never be around a person with Covid unless you are a socialite, or your business relies on personal contact with people all day long. Although our antibody testing is far from perfected, some are suggesting that we are already in the herd process and there's no stopping it.

The problem with this thing is we've never experienced anything like it; at least with the technology we have today. Who knows......next year at this time, they may be telling us what a waste of time and money it was for us to wear a mask. We simply don't know.
Early on CDC said that masks would not protect you which was true then and is basically true today. Actually, there is a very small amount of protection for the wearer but not much. Herd immunity as defined by the scientist is a calculated estimate based on transmission rate and reproductive numbers for the virus. For this virus herd immunity is 70% of the population having been exposed, that is they have antibodies. That can be off by 10 or 15%. If the scientists definition of herd immunity is used, there should not be much difference in the calculation.

We may not have all the details of a virus but we know a lot about epidemics and how to control them. For example any airborne virus or a virus whose most common transmission is through the air, the key to stopping transmission is preventing the virus from reaching a host. Masks, plastic shields, staying away from the source of virus, staying at home, etc prevents the spread, a really easy to understand concept but pretty hard to implement in a large population.

We also know a lot about a virus based on the characteristics of the family. There are 6 types of coronavirus that can infect humans which includes Mers and SARS. They have many of the same characteristic but there are some differences. It's really fortunate that there was work done developing the SARS vaccine because this gave researchers a starting point in developing the vaccine for this member of the family. Making changes to the vaccine can be very simple. However, every time you change the vaccine you start over in testing. This is why it takes so long to develop a vaccine. The fact that we are willing to accept a vaccine which has is not very effective, 40% makes it more likely we will get one sooner rather later.

It's wishful thinking, but there certainly is no guarantee a vaccine can be developed. We still don't have vaccines for HIV, flu, even the common cold.

If a new vaccine came out and was approved by September, many Americans would be hesitant to take it including myself. It reminds me of when I bought my first computer and read up on it. It was a Dummy's book. The author warned his readers to never buy software 2.0. 2.0 software is the original version. When thousands of people use it problem free in trials, it's different than when you start passing it out to millions of people. That's when they discover the hidden flaws and imperfections. It's why you always wait until version 2.2. or 2.3 to come out. Those are the versions where the flaws have been corrected.

It's the same with new medications. Yes, it undergoes intense testing, but we won't know the results or drawbacks until it's been used on tens of millions of people. Even then, it could take years to find out if it has any long-term negative effects.

Before I take it, I would need 100% guarantee from my doctor that it won't have any harmful effects on me, corroborated by my cousin, who is a retired research doctor that supervised the laboratory where she worked. Until I get that, I may wait for a while if and when a vaccine comes out.
I agree with your assessment of a vaccine with a few exceptions.
We do have a vaccine for the flu. I get one every year. A vaccine to prevent the common cold has been difficult to make, primarily because there are more than 200 different varieties of viruses that can cause colds. Also, if there were such a vaccine, you would have to get a new one every year like the flu vaccine, plus it would probably be not very effective due to the rate these viruses mutate.

The HIV is nothing like the coronations family of viruses. The problem developing a vaccine for HIV lies in genetic makeup of the virus. Unlike coronavirus, HIV has an incredibly fast replication cycle, less than 24 hour. However, the real show stopper is that HIV is prone to frequent replication errors, churning out mutated copies of itself which recombine into new strains as the virus is passed from person to person.

This coronavirus is very similar to SARS which we have developed a vaccine. Also most of the organizations developing vaccines have already proved in the lab that their vaccine kills the virus and is so far harmless to humans. The big question market is how effective the vaccine will be. Typically vaccines like these are 40% to 70% effective. The CDC has implied that a 40% effective vaccine would be acceptable. Think about what this really means. If we are able to produce enough of the vaccine to make it available like the flu vaccine at every primary care doctors office, every pharmacy, hospital, and public health clinic, we might be able to get the same inoculation numbers as the flu vaccine which is 45% of the population by the end of next year. So we might just have have 148 million vaccinated with 40% less chance of getting the virus and the remainder no protection since they were not vaccinated. After a year or so we get more effective vaccines and thus more protection. My guess is we will reach herd immunity about the time of 2024 election.

I don't think we're going see an unemployment rate of less than 5% for at least a year or so and people will dying from coronavirus for many years, hopefully at a greatly reduced rate.

BTW You will never get a 100% guarantee that a vaccine will not harm you. Deaths caused by vaccines are less than 2 per million and in almost all of those cases the person had a compromised immune system or had other conditions. You're probably more likely to get killed by a lightening strike than a vaccine.

I happen to be one of those people. I am 60 years old, and one of my two major medical conditions is the number one condition associated with death. It's one of the reasons I'd be so hesitant to take it.

If we (or others) do develop a vaccine for this thing, it should be able to wipe it out. Unlike the flu, it won't mutate so rapidly or differently, if it does at all. Experts have said if it would, then a weaker much less deadly strain would take it's place, unlike the flu. And if it does again, the next strain will be weaker yet.

Plus I think careless people have become more conscious of cleanliness now. You still can't find hand sanitizer or liquid soap in some stores. Fortunately for me, one of my tenants works at a store where they had and abundance of it because of customer limitations. She brought home some sanitizer for me and I was grateful she did. I should have plenty for while, at least until the shelves get fully stocked again. In addition, GoJo, the people who make Purell, are opening up a factory in my suburb. With some luck, they will let the citizens buy direct from them. And thanks to President Trump, there is this:

Every vaccine is different. For the influenza vaccine given to day, you should avoid it if you:
  • Have had an allergic reaction after a previous dose of influenza vaccine, or have any severe, life-threatening allergies.
  • Have ever had Guillain-Barré Syndrome (also called GBS).
In order to wipe out the coronavirus, we would need a participation much more than the 45% we get with the influenza vaccine. The CDC did a big study of why people don't get the flu vaccine. As it turns only about 2% of the population has medical condition to disqualify them. If everyone that was eligible to take the flu shot did, we would nearly wipe it out. That means last year we would have saved the lives of nearly 57,000 people, prevented an illness that sickens nearly 40 million people plus an economic impact in the hundreds of millions.

With over 50 vaccines in test trials, I don't think we will need to worry about a vaccine being available next year.

I only take the flu shot once in a while. I've known many people who came down with illness after they took the shot. Some years, you get vaccinated for one strain, but a new strain comes out that makes the original vaccine worthless.

I have little doubt a vaccine for Covid will be made, it's just a matter of how effective it is, how many people get it, how many are restricted from getting it, and any serious side-effects many of us will be waiting for before we have confidence it's beneficial to us.
The reason you have a flu shot every year is to pickup protection for new strains of the viruses.

Viruses making you ill go back years when live viruses were used in most vaccines. That is no longer necessary. Today, if one person get's a flu shot and get's sick, they are almost certain to spread the news. However, for the tens of thousands of people that get flu shots and have no reaction at all, they remain silent. Ray, how often do people stop you on the street or call you and say, "Ray, guess what I got a flu yesterday and I feel just fine. My wife and I and most of my brothers and sisters have been getting flu shots every year for over 40 years and I can't remember anyone telling me they got sick. Thy myth that flu shots will make you sick has certainly contributed to the number of people that don't get vaccinated which cost us tens of thousands of lives every year.

I'm sure a majority don't get sick, but if you feel well, and then are faced with the possibility of getting sick because of the shot, you just don't take it. The times I've taken it, I've never experienced such a thing, but that doesn't mean it will always be that way in the future. My sister, who spent much of her life working in the hospital, took the shot and got the flu a week later.

If an when a vaccine comes out, I'm sure a lot of people will have reservations about getting one for some time. We can't deal out the media in this game. They will search high and low for stories of people getting ill or dying, because that's what sells newspapers and brings people to their internet
site, even if it is all bullshit. President Trump is absolutely correct when he says how dishonest most of our media is. They don't care about informing people, they care about making money, even if it's a disadvantage to society as a whole.
The vaccine tracker has 40 vaccines in progress.
There will certainly be a choice.

And Trump is last person you want to hear from about the media.
Because his favorite is OAN, a questionable source, at best.

OAN is not really mainstream media, just media with a very small audience.

I (like most people I'm sure) are anxious for a safe and reliable vaccine to come out. Yes, people are working 24/7 around the globe to get it done. Of course, the winner of the race will get very wealthy provided no serious side-effects happen when they start vaccinating tens or hundreds of millions of people.

I've seen great economies and terrible economies. I've seen people predicting the end of the world for one reason or another. I've seen situations that look hopeless for not only myself, but more importantly, the country. But this is a new animal we've never experienced before. This is like a nightmare that won't stop, and you're just praying to wake up and realize it was nothing but a terrible dream.
 
I can't breath with a mask on. I couldn't stand oxygen masks when i WENT in for an operation, I tolerate the mask less than those. I have problems breathing. I'll stay home until whenever. I don't want to live in a world where everyone wears a mask.
lkkxcgd2rg951.jpg
Since that Uterus holds a life and removing it would cause it's death.
Not wearing a mask will not cause me to die and even so, I'm an adult able to make my own choices but the child isn't.
A growing body of evidence supports the idea that wearing face masks in public, even when you feel well, can help curb the spread of the coronavirus — since people can spread the virus even without showing symptoms. That's the main reason to wear a mask: to protect other people from you.

However that's not written in stone, it's what the left wishes to believe. While you can find studies and such to show they work, I can find studies that say they don't. It's subjective, just like man made global warming, or the effects of hydroxychloroquine.

Because there is no consensus, then it should be the individuals choice whether to wear a mask or not.
I think there is a huge consensus among just everybody in the healthcare field in regard to mask wearing. Of course it probably does not include your local bartender who is out of work, Sam the Surfer, and my granddaughter that thinks wearing a mask makes her look ugly. And there is a lot evidence coming contact tracing that shows that people that are asymptomatic are spreading the virus.

I read the opposite from the CDC just a few weeks ago. This tells you how everything changes. First a mask was no good, now it's mandated in cities and states across the country. Before asymptomatic people were low risk for spreading, now the risk of spreading is the same.

I think there is a difference between going to a restaurant and going to a doctors office. Doctors are exposed to ill people day in day out. For most of us, we will probably never be around a person with Covid unless you are a socialite, or your business relies on personal contact with people all day long. Although our antibody testing is far from perfected, some are suggesting that we are already in the herd process and there's no stopping it.

The problem with this thing is we've never experienced anything like it; at least with the technology we have today. Who knows......next year at this time, they may be telling us what a waste of time and money it was for us to wear a mask. We simply don't know.
Early on CDC said that masks would not protect you which was true then and is basically true today. Actually, there is a very small amount of protection for the wearer but not much. Herd immunity as defined by the scientist is a calculated estimate based on transmission rate and reproductive numbers for the virus. For this virus herd immunity is 70% of the population having been exposed, that is they have antibodies. That can be off by 10 or 15%. If the scientists definition of herd immunity is used, there should not be much difference in the calculation.

We may not have all the details of a virus but we know a lot about epidemics and how to control them. For example any airborne virus or a virus whose most common transmission is through the air, the key to stopping transmission is preventing the virus from reaching a host. Masks, plastic shields, staying away from the source of virus, staying at home, etc prevents the spread, a really easy to understand concept but pretty hard to implement in a large population.

We also know a lot about a virus based on the characteristics of the family. There are 6 types of coronavirus that can infect humans which includes Mers and SARS. They have many of the same characteristic but there are some differences. It's really fortunate that there was work done developing the SARS vaccine because this gave researchers a starting point in developing the vaccine for this member of the family. Making changes to the vaccine can be very simple. However, every time you change the vaccine you start over in testing. This is why it takes so long to develop a vaccine. The fact that we are willing to accept a vaccine which has is not very effective, 40% makes it more likely we will get one sooner rather later.

It's wishful thinking, but there certainly is no guarantee a vaccine can be developed. We still don't have vaccines for HIV, flu, even the common cold.

If a new vaccine came out and was approved by September, many Americans would be hesitant to take it including myself. It reminds me of when I bought my first computer and read up on it. It was a Dummy's book. The author warned his readers to never buy software 2.0. 2.0 software is the original version. When thousands of people use it problem free in trials, it's different than when you start passing it out to millions of people. That's when they discover the hidden flaws and imperfections. It's why you always wait until version 2.2. or 2.3 to come out. Those are the versions where the flaws have been corrected.

It's the same with new medications. Yes, it undergoes intense testing, but we won't know the results or drawbacks until it's been used on tens of millions of people. Even then, it could take years to find out if it has any long-term negative effects.

Before I take it, I would need 100% guarantee from my doctor that it won't have any harmful effects on me, corroborated by my cousin, who is a retired research doctor that supervised the laboratory where she worked. Until I get that, I may wait for a while if and when a vaccine comes out.
I agree with your assessment of a vaccine with a few exceptions.
We do have a vaccine for the flu. I get one every year. A vaccine to prevent the common cold has been difficult to make, primarily because there are more than 200 different varieties of viruses that can cause colds. Also, if there were such a vaccine, you would have to get a new one every year like the flu vaccine, plus it would probably be not very effective due to the rate these viruses mutate.

The HIV is nothing like the coronations family of viruses. The problem developing a vaccine for HIV lies in genetic makeup of the virus. Unlike coronavirus, HIV has an incredibly fast replication cycle, less than 24 hour. However, the real show stopper is that HIV is prone to frequent replication errors, churning out mutated copies of itself which recombine into new strains as the virus is passed from person to person.

This coronavirus is very similar to SARS which we have developed a vaccine. Also most of the organizations developing vaccines have already proved in the lab that their vaccine kills the virus and is so far harmless to humans. The big question market is how effective the vaccine will be. Typically vaccines like these are 40% to 70% effective. The CDC has implied that a 40% effective vaccine would be acceptable. Think about what this really means. If we are able to produce enough of the vaccine to make it available like the flu vaccine at every primary care doctors office, every pharmacy, hospital, and public health clinic, we might be able to get the same inoculation numbers as the flu vaccine which is 45% of the population by the end of next year. So we might just have have 148 million vaccinated with 40% less chance of getting the virus and the remainder no protection since they were not vaccinated. After a year or so we get more effective vaccines and thus more protection. My guess is we will reach herd immunity about the time of 2024 election.

I don't think we're going see an unemployment rate of less than 5% for at least a year or so and people will dying from coronavirus for many years, hopefully at a greatly reduced rate.

BTW You will never get a 100% guarantee that a vaccine will not harm you. Deaths caused by vaccines are less than 2 per million and in almost all of those cases the person had a compromised immune system or had other conditions. You're probably more likely to get killed by a lightening strike than a vaccine.

I happen to be one of those people. I am 60 years old, and one of my two major medical conditions is the number one condition associated with death. It's one of the reasons I'd be so hesitant to take it.

If we (or others) do develop a vaccine for this thing, it should be able to wipe it out. Unlike the flu, it won't mutate so rapidly or differently, if it does at all. Experts have said if it would, then a weaker much less deadly strain would take it's place, unlike the flu. And if it does again, the next strain will be weaker yet.

Plus I think careless people have become more conscious of cleanliness now. You still can't find hand sanitizer or liquid soap in some stores. Fortunately for me, one of my tenants works at a store where they had and abundance of it because of customer limitations. She brought home some sanitizer for me and I was grateful she did. I should have plenty for while, at least until the shelves get fully stocked again. In addition, GoJo, the people who make Purell, are opening up a factory in my suburb. With some luck, they will let the citizens buy direct from them. And thanks to President Trump, there is this:

Every vaccine is different. For the influenza vaccine given to day, you should avoid it if you:
  • Have had an allergic reaction after a previous dose of influenza vaccine, or have any severe, life-threatening allergies.
  • Have ever had Guillain-Barré Syndrome (also called GBS).
In order to wipe out the coronavirus, we would need a participation much more than the 45% we get with the influenza vaccine. The CDC did a big study of why people don't get the flu vaccine. As it turns only about 2% of the population has medical condition to disqualify them. If everyone that was eligible to take the flu shot did, we would nearly wipe it out. That means last year we would have saved the lives of nearly 57,000 people, prevented an illness that sickens nearly 40 million people plus an economic impact in the hundreds of millions.

With over 50 vaccines in test trials, I don't think we will need to worry about a vaccine being available next year.

I only take the flu shot once in a while. I've known many people who came down with illness after they took the shot. Some years, you get vaccinated for one strain, but a new strain comes out that makes the original vaccine worthless.

I have little doubt a vaccine for Covid will be made, it's just a matter of how effective it is, how many people get it, how many are restricted from getting it, and any serious side-effects many of us will be waiting for before we have confidence it's beneficial to us.
The reason you have a flu shot every year is to pickup protection for new strains of the viruses.

Viruses making you ill go back years when live viruses were used in most vaccines. That is no longer necessary. Today, if one person get's a flu shot and get's sick, they are almost certain to spread the news. However, for the tens of thousands of people that get flu shots and have no reaction at all, they remain silent. Ray, how often do people stop you on the street or call you and say, "Ray, guess what I got a flu yesterday and I feel just fine. My wife and I and most of my brothers and sisters have been getting flu shots every year for over 40 years and I can't remember anyone telling me they got sick. Thy myth that flu shots will make you sick has certainly contributed to the number of people that don't get vaccinated which cost us tens of thousands of lives every year.

I'm sure a majority don't get sick, but if you feel well, and then are faced with the possibility of getting sick because of the shot, you just don't take it. The times I've taken it, I've never experienced such a thing, but that doesn't mean it will always be that way in the future. My sister, who spent much of her life working in the hospital, took the shot and got the flu a week later.

If an when a vaccine comes out, I'm sure a lot of people will have reservations about getting one for some time. We can't deal out the media in this game. They will search high and low for stories of people getting ill or dying, because that's what sells newspapers and brings people to their internet
site, even if it is all bullshit. President Trump is absolutely correct when he says how dishonest most of our media is. They don't care about informing people, they care about making money, even if it's a disadvantage to society as a whole.
The vaccine tracker has 40 vaccines in progress.
There will certainly be a choice.

And Trump is last person you want to hear from about the media.
Because his favorite is OAN, a questionable source, at best.

OAN is not really mainstream media, just media with a very small audience.

I (like most people I'm sure) are anxious for a safe and reliable vaccine to come out. Yes, people are working 24/7 around the globe to get it done. Of course, the winner of the race will get very wealthy provided no serious side-effects happen when they start vaccinating tens or hundreds of millions of people.

I've seen great economies and terrible economies. I've seen people predicting the end of the world for one reason or another. I've seen situations that look hopeless for not only myself, but more importantly, the country. But this is a new animal we've never experienced before. This is like a nightmare that won't stop, and you're just praying to wake up and realize it was nothing but a terrible dream.
Yes it is a nightmare. We are now retired with all the money we need to see the world, visit or favorite restaurants go to baseball and football games, attend jazz festivals, plays, concerts, spend much needed time at my local gym, and visit all my grandchildren, yet I sit at this damn computer, watch old movies, and clean out the the storage room for the third time. With probably only a few years left on this earth, I sure as hell hate to spend my time like this but having experience with a ventilator I certainly don't want to spend any time there either. I know a lot of people that have it worse, but it still really sucks.

However, looking at the situation from a more global point of view, this country made it through the depression which lasted about 10 years and it was far worse than this.

Ray, I would really be surprised to see much change for at least a year. I figure by then we will either have a vaccine that is reducing the spread of the virus or we will have better treatments that will take the fear out of the disease.
 
Last edited:
I can't breath with a mask on. I couldn't stand oxygen masks when i WENT in for an operation, I tolerate the mask less than those. I have problems breathing. I'll stay home until whenever. I don't want to live in a world where everyone wears a mask.
lkkxcgd2rg951.jpg
Since that Uterus holds a life and removing it would cause it's death.
Not wearing a mask will not cause me to die and even so, I'm an adult able to make my own choices but the child isn't.
A growing body of evidence supports the idea that wearing face masks in public, even when you feel well, can help curb the spread of the coronavirus — since people can spread the virus even without showing symptoms. That's the main reason to wear a mask: to protect other people from you.

However that's not written in stone, it's what the left wishes to believe. While you can find studies and such to show they work, I can find studies that say they don't. It's subjective, just like man made global warming, or the effects of hydroxychloroquine.

Because there is no consensus, then it should be the individuals choice whether to wear a mask or not.
I think there is a huge consensus among just everybody in the healthcare field in regard to mask wearing. Of course it probably does not include your local bartender who is out of work, Sam the Surfer, and my granddaughter that thinks wearing a mask makes her look ugly. And there is a lot evidence coming contact tracing that shows that people that are asymptomatic are spreading the virus.

I read the opposite from the CDC just a few weeks ago. This tells you how everything changes. First a mask was no good, now it's mandated in cities and states across the country. Before asymptomatic people were low risk for spreading, now the risk of spreading is the same.

I think there is a difference between going to a restaurant and going to a doctors office. Doctors are exposed to ill people day in day out. For most of us, we will probably never be around a person with Covid unless you are a socialite, or your business relies on personal contact with people all day long. Although our antibody testing is far from perfected, some are suggesting that we are already in the herd process and there's no stopping it.

The problem with this thing is we've never experienced anything like it; at least with the technology we have today. Who knows......next year at this time, they may be telling us what a waste of time and money it was for us to wear a mask. We simply don't know.
Early on CDC said that masks would not protect you which was true then and is basically true today. Actually, there is a very small amount of protection for the wearer but not much. Herd immunity as defined by the scientist is a calculated estimate based on transmission rate and reproductive numbers for the virus. For this virus herd immunity is 70% of the population having been exposed, that is they have antibodies. That can be off by 10 or 15%. If the scientists definition of herd immunity is used, there should not be much difference in the calculation.

We may not have all the details of a virus but we know a lot about epidemics and how to control them. For example any airborne virus or a virus whose most common transmission is through the air, the key to stopping transmission is preventing the virus from reaching a host. Masks, plastic shields, staying away from the source of virus, staying at home, etc prevents the spread, a really easy to understand concept but pretty hard to implement in a large population.

We also know a lot about a virus based on the characteristics of the family. There are 6 types of coronavirus that can infect humans which includes Mers and SARS. They have many of the same characteristic but there are some differences. It's really fortunate that there was work done developing the SARS vaccine because this gave researchers a starting point in developing the vaccine for this member of the family. Making changes to the vaccine can be very simple. However, every time you change the vaccine you start over in testing. This is why it takes so long to develop a vaccine. The fact that we are willing to accept a vaccine which has is not very effective, 40% makes it more likely we will get one sooner rather later.

It's wishful thinking, but there certainly is no guarantee a vaccine can be developed. We still don't have vaccines for HIV, flu, even the common cold.

If a new vaccine came out and was approved by September, many Americans would be hesitant to take it including myself. It reminds me of when I bought my first computer and read up on it. It was a Dummy's book. The author warned his readers to never buy software 2.0. 2.0 software is the original version. When thousands of people use it problem free in trials, it's different than when you start passing it out to millions of people. That's when they discover the hidden flaws and imperfections. It's why you always wait until version 2.2. or 2.3 to come out. Those are the versions where the flaws have been corrected.

It's the same with new medications. Yes, it undergoes intense testing, but we won't know the results or drawbacks until it's been used on tens of millions of people. Even then, it could take years to find out if it has any long-term negative effects.

Before I take it, I would need 100% guarantee from my doctor that it won't have any harmful effects on me, corroborated by my cousin, who is a retired research doctor that supervised the laboratory where she worked. Until I get that, I may wait for a while if and when a vaccine comes out.
I agree with your assessment of a vaccine with a few exceptions.
We do have a vaccine for the flu. I get one every year. A vaccine to prevent the common cold has been difficult to make, primarily because there are more than 200 different varieties of viruses that can cause colds. Also, if there were such a vaccine, you would have to get a new one every year like the flu vaccine, plus it would probably be not very effective due to the rate these viruses mutate.

The HIV is nothing like the coronations family of viruses. The problem developing a vaccine for HIV lies in genetic makeup of the virus. Unlike coronavirus, HIV has an incredibly fast replication cycle, less than 24 hour. However, the real show stopper is that HIV is prone to frequent replication errors, churning out mutated copies of itself which recombine into new strains as the virus is passed from person to person.

This coronavirus is very similar to SARS which we have developed a vaccine. Also most of the organizations developing vaccines have already proved in the lab that their vaccine kills the virus and is so far harmless to humans. The big question market is how effective the vaccine will be. Typically vaccines like these are 40% to 70% effective. The CDC has implied that a 40% effective vaccine would be acceptable. Think about what this really means. If we are able to produce enough of the vaccine to make it available like the flu vaccine at every primary care doctors office, every pharmacy, hospital, and public health clinic, we might be able to get the same inoculation numbers as the flu vaccine which is 45% of the population by the end of next year. So we might just have have 148 million vaccinated with 40% less chance of getting the virus and the remainder no protection since they were not vaccinated. After a year or so we get more effective vaccines and thus more protection. My guess is we will reach herd immunity about the time of 2024 election.

I don't think we're going see an unemployment rate of less than 5% for at least a year or so and people will dying from coronavirus for many years, hopefully at a greatly reduced rate.

BTW You will never get a 100% guarantee that a vaccine will not harm you. Deaths caused by vaccines are less than 2 per million and in almost all of those cases the person had a compromised immune system or had other conditions. You're probably more likely to get killed by a lightening strike than a vaccine.

I happen to be one of those people. I am 60 years old, and one of my two major medical conditions is the number one condition associated with death. It's one of the reasons I'd be so hesitant to take it.

If we (or others) do develop a vaccine for this thing, it should be able to wipe it out. Unlike the flu, it won't mutate so rapidly or differently, if it does at all. Experts have said if it would, then a weaker much less deadly strain would take it's place, unlike the flu. And if it does again, the next strain will be weaker yet.

Plus I think careless people have become more conscious of cleanliness now. You still can't find hand sanitizer or liquid soap in some stores. Fortunately for me, one of my tenants works at a store where they had and abundance of it because of customer limitations. She brought home some sanitizer for me and I was grateful she did. I should have plenty for while, at least until the shelves get fully stocked again. In addition, GoJo, the people who make Purell, are opening up a factory in my suburb. With some luck, they will let the citizens buy direct from them. And thanks to President Trump, there is this:

Every vaccine is different. For the influenza vaccine given to day, you should avoid it if you:
  • Have had an allergic reaction after a previous dose of influenza vaccine, or have any severe, life-threatening allergies.
  • Have ever had Guillain-Barré Syndrome (also called GBS).
In order to wipe out the coronavirus, we would need a participation much more than the 45% we get with the influenza vaccine. The CDC did a big study of why people don't get the flu vaccine. As it turns only about 2% of the population has medical condition to disqualify them. If everyone that was eligible to take the flu shot did, we would nearly wipe it out. That means last year we would have saved the lives of nearly 57,000 people, prevented an illness that sickens nearly 40 million people plus an economic impact in the hundreds of millions.

With over 50 vaccines in test trials, I don't think we will need to worry about a vaccine being available next year.

I only take the flu shot once in a while. I've known many people who came down with illness after they took the shot. Some years, you get vaccinated for one strain, but a new strain comes out that makes the original vaccine worthless.

I have little doubt a vaccine for Covid will be made, it's just a matter of how effective it is, how many people get it, how many are restricted from getting it, and any serious side-effects many of us will be waiting for before we have confidence it's beneficial to us.
The reason you have a flu shot every year is to pickup protection for new strains of the viruses.

Viruses making you ill go back years when live viruses were used in most vaccines. That is no longer necessary. Today, if one person get's a flu shot and get's sick, they are almost certain to spread the news. However, for the tens of thousands of people that get flu shots and have no reaction at all, they remain silent. Ray, how often do people stop you on the street or call you and say, "Ray, guess what I got a flu yesterday and I feel just fine. My wife and I and most of my brothers and sisters have been getting flu shots every year for over 40 years and I can't remember anyone telling me they got sick. Thy myth that flu shots will make you sick has certainly contributed to the number of people that don't get vaccinated which cost us tens of thousands of lives every year.

I'm sure a majority don't get sick, but if you feel well, and then are faced with the possibility of getting sick because of the shot, you just don't take it. The times I've taken it, I've never experienced such a thing, but that doesn't mean it will always be that way in the future. My sister, who spent much of her life working in the hospital, took the shot and got the flu a week later.

If an when a vaccine comes out, I'm sure a lot of people will have reservations about getting one for some time. We can't deal out the media in this game. They will search high and low for stories of people getting ill or dying, because that's what sells newspapers and brings people to their internet
site, even if it is all bullshit. President Trump is absolutely correct when he says how dishonest most of our media is. They don't care about informing people, they care about making money, even if it's a disadvantage to society as a whole.
The vaccine tracker has 40 vaccines in progress.
There will certainly be a choice.

And Trump is last person you want to hear from about the media.
Because his favorite is OAN, a questionable source, at best.

OAN is not really mainstream media, just media with a very small audience.

I (like most people I'm sure) are anxious for a safe and reliable vaccine to come out. Yes, people are working 24/7 around the globe to get it done. Of course, the winner of the race will get very wealthy provided no serious side-effects happen when they start vaccinating tens or hundreds of millions of people.

I've seen great economies and terrible economies. I've seen people predicting the end of the world for one reason or another. I've seen situations that look hopeless for not only myself, but more importantly, the country. But this is a new animal we've never experienced before. This is like a nightmare that won't stop, and you're just praying to wake up and realize it was nothing but a terrible dream.
Yes it is a nightmare. We are now retired with all the money we need to see the world, visit or favorite restaurants go to baseball and football games, attend jazz festivals, plays, concerts, spend much needed time at my local gym, and visit all my grandchildren, yet I sit at this damn computer, watch old movies, and clean out the the storage room for the third time. With probably only a few years left on this earth, I sure as hell hate to spend my time like this but having experience with a ventilator I certainly don't want to spend any time there either. I know a lot of people that have it worse, but it still really sucks.

However, looking at the situation from a more global point of view, this country made it through the depression which lasted about 10 years and it was far worse than this.

Ray, I would really be surprised to see much change for at least a year. I figure by then we will either have a vaccine that is reducing the spread of the virus or we will have better treatments that will take the fear out of the disease.

And both are being worked on every living minute. People who had the virus and survived, developed antibodies that fight Covid off. Blood transfusions have a very encouraging future even if no vaccine is produced. As more people get it and recover, more subjects can donate this valuable plasma, particularly to front line healthcare workers, first responders, and eventually to people like me who are at high risk.

Medications have been politicizes such as hydroxychloroquine. Many doctors and experts say it is helping their patients with proper dosage. The problem is, Trump endorsed it's use, and now we have people on the right supporting the treatment, and people on the left, plus the MSM, who are against it for no reason other than Trump saying doctors who believe in the results should be allowed to prescribe it.

Everything in our country today is about politics unfortunately.
 
I can't breath with a mask on. I couldn't stand oxygen masks when i WENT in for an operation, I tolerate the mask less than those. I have problems breathing. I'll stay home until whenever. I don't want to live in a world where everyone wears a mask.
lkkxcgd2rg951.jpg
Since that Uterus holds a life and removing it would cause it's death.
Not wearing a mask will not cause me to die and even so, I'm an adult able to make my own choices but the child isn't.
A growing body of evidence supports the idea that wearing face masks in public, even when you feel well, can help curb the spread of the coronavirus — since people can spread the virus even without showing symptoms. That's the main reason to wear a mask: to protect other people from you.

However that's not written in stone, it's what the left wishes to believe. While you can find studies and such to show they work, I can find studies that say they don't. It's subjective, just like man made global warming, or the effects of hydroxychloroquine.

Because there is no consensus, then it should be the individuals choice whether to wear a mask or not.
I think there is a huge consensus among just everybody in the healthcare field in regard to mask wearing. Of course it probably does not include your local bartender who is out of work, Sam the Surfer, and my granddaughter that thinks wearing a mask makes her look ugly. And there is a lot evidence coming contact tracing that shows that people that are asymptomatic are spreading the virus.

I read the opposite from the CDC just a few weeks ago. This tells you how everything changes. First a mask was no good, now it's mandated in cities and states across the country. Before asymptomatic people were low risk for spreading, now the risk of spreading is the same.

I think there is a difference between going to a restaurant and going to a doctors office. Doctors are exposed to ill people day in day out. For most of us, we will probably never be around a person with Covid unless you are a socialite, or your business relies on personal contact with people all day long. Although our antibody testing is far from perfected, some are suggesting that we are already in the herd process and there's no stopping it.

The problem with this thing is we've never experienced anything like it; at least with the technology we have today. Who knows......next year at this time, they may be telling us what a waste of time and money it was for us to wear a mask. We simply don't know.
Early on CDC said that masks would not protect you which was true then and is basically true today. Actually, there is a very small amount of protection for the wearer but not much. Herd immunity as defined by the scientist is a calculated estimate based on transmission rate and reproductive numbers for the virus. For this virus herd immunity is 70% of the population having been exposed, that is they have antibodies. That can be off by 10 or 15%. If the scientists definition of herd immunity is used, there should not be much difference in the calculation.

We may not have all the details of a virus but we know a lot about epidemics and how to control them. For example any airborne virus or a virus whose most common transmission is through the air, the key to stopping transmission is preventing the virus from reaching a host. Masks, plastic shields, staying away from the source of virus, staying at home, etc prevents the spread, a really easy to understand concept but pretty hard to implement in a large population.

We also know a lot about a virus based on the characteristics of the family. There are 6 types of coronavirus that can infect humans which includes Mers and SARS. They have many of the same characteristic but there are some differences. It's really fortunate that there was work done developing the SARS vaccine because this gave researchers a starting point in developing the vaccine for this member of the family. Making changes to the vaccine can be very simple. However, every time you change the vaccine you start over in testing. This is why it takes so long to develop a vaccine. The fact that we are willing to accept a vaccine which has is not very effective, 40% makes it more likely we will get one sooner rather later.

It's wishful thinking, but there certainly is no guarantee a vaccine can be developed. We still don't have vaccines for HIV, flu, even the common cold.

If a new vaccine came out and was approved by September, many Americans would be hesitant to take it including myself. It reminds me of when I bought my first computer and read up on it. It was a Dummy's book. The author warned his readers to never buy software 2.0. 2.0 software is the original version. When thousands of people use it problem free in trials, it's different than when you start passing it out to millions of people. That's when they discover the hidden flaws and imperfections. It's why you always wait until version 2.2. or 2.3 to come out. Those are the versions where the flaws have been corrected.

It's the same with new medications. Yes, it undergoes intense testing, but we won't know the results or drawbacks until it's been used on tens of millions of people. Even then, it could take years to find out if it has any long-term negative effects.

Before I take it, I would need 100% guarantee from my doctor that it won't have any harmful effects on me, corroborated by my cousin, who is a retired research doctor that supervised the laboratory where she worked. Until I get that, I may wait for a while if and when a vaccine comes out.
I agree with your assessment of a vaccine with a few exceptions.
We do have a vaccine for the flu. I get one every year. A vaccine to prevent the common cold has been difficult to make, primarily because there are more than 200 different varieties of viruses that can cause colds. Also, if there were such a vaccine, you would have to get a new one every year like the flu vaccine, plus it would probably be not very effective due to the rate these viruses mutate.

The HIV is nothing like the coronations family of viruses. The problem developing a vaccine for HIV lies in genetic makeup of the virus. Unlike coronavirus, HIV has an incredibly fast replication cycle, less than 24 hour. However, the real show stopper is that HIV is prone to frequent replication errors, churning out mutated copies of itself which recombine into new strains as the virus is passed from person to person.

This coronavirus is very similar to SARS which we have developed a vaccine. Also most of the organizations developing vaccines have already proved in the lab that their vaccine kills the virus and is so far harmless to humans. The big question market is how effective the vaccine will be. Typically vaccines like these are 40% to 70% effective. The CDC has implied that a 40% effective vaccine would be acceptable. Think about what this really means. If we are able to produce enough of the vaccine to make it available like the flu vaccine at every primary care doctors office, every pharmacy, hospital, and public health clinic, we might be able to get the same inoculation numbers as the flu vaccine which is 45% of the population by the end of next year. So we might just have have 148 million vaccinated with 40% less chance of getting the virus and the remainder no protection since they were not vaccinated. After a year or so we get more effective vaccines and thus more protection. My guess is we will reach herd immunity about the time of 2024 election.

I don't think we're going see an unemployment rate of less than 5% for at least a year or so and people will dying from coronavirus for many years, hopefully at a greatly reduced rate.

BTW You will never get a 100% guarantee that a vaccine will not harm you. Deaths caused by vaccines are less than 2 per million and in almost all of those cases the person had a compromised immune system or had other conditions. You're probably more likely to get killed by a lightening strike than a vaccine.

I happen to be one of those people. I am 60 years old, and one of my two major medical conditions is the number one condition associated with death. It's one of the reasons I'd be so hesitant to take it.

If we (or others) do develop a vaccine for this thing, it should be able to wipe it out. Unlike the flu, it won't mutate so rapidly or differently, if it does at all. Experts have said if it would, then a weaker much less deadly strain would take it's place, unlike the flu. And if it does again, the next strain will be weaker yet.

Plus I think careless people have become more conscious of cleanliness now. You still can't find hand sanitizer or liquid soap in some stores. Fortunately for me, one of my tenants works at a store where they had and abundance of it because of customer limitations. She brought home some sanitizer for me and I was grateful she did. I should have plenty for while, at least until the shelves get fully stocked again. In addition, GoJo, the people who make Purell, are opening up a factory in my suburb. With some luck, they will let the citizens buy direct from them. And thanks to President Trump, there is this:

Every vaccine is different. For the influenza vaccine given to day, you should avoid it if you:
  • Have had an allergic reaction after a previous dose of influenza vaccine, or have any severe, life-threatening allergies.
  • Have ever had Guillain-Barré Syndrome (also called GBS).
In order to wipe out the coronavirus, we would need a participation much more than the 45% we get with the influenza vaccine. The CDC did a big study of why people don't get the flu vaccine. As it turns only about 2% of the population has medical condition to disqualify them. If everyone that was eligible to take the flu shot did, we would nearly wipe it out. That means last year we would have saved the lives of nearly 57,000 people, prevented an illness that sickens nearly 40 million people plus an economic impact in the hundreds of millions.

With over 50 vaccines in test trials, I don't think we will need to worry about a vaccine being available next year.

I only take the flu shot once in a while. I've known many people who came down with illness after they took the shot. Some years, you get vaccinated for one strain, but a new strain comes out that makes the original vaccine worthless.

I have little doubt a vaccine for Covid will be made, it's just a matter of how effective it is, how many people get it, how many are restricted from getting it, and any serious side-effects many of us will be waiting for before we have confidence it's beneficial to us.
The reason you have a flu shot every year is to pickup protection for new strains of the viruses.

Viruses making you ill go back years when live viruses were used in most vaccines. That is no longer necessary. Today, if one person get's a flu shot and get's sick, they are almost certain to spread the news. However, for the tens of thousands of people that get flu shots and have no reaction at all, they remain silent. Ray, how often do people stop you on the street or call you and say, "Ray, guess what I got a flu yesterday and I feel just fine. My wife and I and most of my brothers and sisters have been getting flu shots every year for over 40 years and I can't remember anyone telling me they got sick. Thy myth that flu shots will make you sick has certainly contributed to the number of people that don't get vaccinated which cost us tens of thousands of lives every year.

I'm sure a majority don't get sick, but if you feel well, and then are faced with the possibility of getting sick because of the shot, you just don't take it. The times I've taken it, I've never experienced such a thing, but that doesn't mean it will always be that way in the future. My sister, who spent much of her life working in the hospital, took the shot and got the flu a week later.

If an when a vaccine comes out, I'm sure a lot of people will have reservations about getting one for some time. We can't deal out the media in this game. They will search high and low for stories of people getting ill or dying, because that's what sells newspapers and brings people to their internet
site, even if it is all bullshit. President Trump is absolutely correct when he says how dishonest most of our media is. They don't care about informing people, they care about making money, even if it's a disadvantage to society as a whole.
The vaccine tracker has 40 vaccines in progress.
There will certainly be a choice.

And Trump is last person you want to hear from about the media.
Because his favorite is OAN, a questionable source, at best.

OAN is not really mainstream media, just media with a very small audience.

I (like most people I'm sure) are anxious for a safe and reliable vaccine to come out. Yes, people are working 24/7 around the globe to get it done. Of course, the winner of the race will get very wealthy provided no serious side-effects happen when they start vaccinating tens or hundreds of millions of people.

I've seen great economies and terrible economies. I've seen people predicting the end of the world for one reason or another. I've seen situations that look hopeless for not only myself, but more importantly, the country. But this is a new animal we've never experienced before. This is like a nightmare that won't stop, and you're just praying to wake up and realize it was nothing but a terrible dream.
Yes it is a nightmare. We are now retired with all the money we need to see the world, visit or favorite restaurants go to baseball and football games, attend jazz festivals, plays, concerts, spend much needed time at my local gym, and visit all my grandchildren, yet I sit at this damn computer, watch old movies, and clean out the the storage room for the third time. With probably only a few years left on this earth, I sure as hell hate to spend my time like this but having experience with a ventilator I certainly don't want to spend any time there either. I know a lot of people that have it worse, but it still really sucks.

However, looking at the situation from a more global point of view, this country made it through the depression which lasted about 10 years and it was far worse than this.

Ray, I would really be surprised to see much change for at least a year. I figure by then we will either have a vaccine that is reducing the spread of the virus or we will have better treatments that will take the fear out of the disease.

And both are being worked on every living minute. People who had the virus and survived, developed antibodies that fight Covid off. Blood transfusions have a very encouraging future even if no vaccine is produced. As more people get it and recover, more subjects can donate this valuable plasma, particularly to front line healthcare workers, first responders, and eventually to people like me who are at high risk.

Medications have been politicizes such as hydroxychloroquine. Many doctors and experts say it is helping their patients with proper dosage. The problem is, Trump endorsed it's use, and now we have people on the right supporting the treatment, and people on the left, plus the MSM, who are against it for no reason other than Trump saying doctors who believe in the results should be allowed to prescribe it.

Everything in our country today is about politics unfortunately.
hydroxychloroquine is a zinc ionophore, meaning it helps zinc to be absorbed into cells. But it doesnt do any good unless you have zinc available. Zinc is one of the components of a functioning immune system. The other components are avoiding sugar in diet, adequate vitamin D levels, and vitamin C in diet. But perhaps just as effective zinc ionophore is quercetin, which can be supplemented over the counter, or just by eating quercetin containing foods.

So, the reason hydroxychloroquine is "politicized" is because nobody explains such things. And that these components are relevant to any virus, flu or covid or whatever. Trump is too brain dead to be able to tell people about such things.
 
I can't breath with a mask on. I couldn't stand oxygen masks when i WENT in for an operation, I tolerate the mask less than those. I have problems breathing. I'll stay home until whenever. I don't want to live in a world where everyone wears a mask.
lkkxcgd2rg951.jpg
Since that Uterus holds a life and removing it would cause it's death.
Not wearing a mask will not cause me to die and even so, I'm an adult able to make my own choices but the child isn't.
A growing body of evidence supports the idea that wearing face masks in public, even when you feel well, can help curb the spread of the coronavirus — since people can spread the virus even without showing symptoms. That's the main reason to wear a mask: to protect other people from you.

However that's not written in stone, it's what the left wishes to believe. While you can find studies and such to show they work, I can find studies that say they don't. It's subjective, just like man made global warming, or the effects of hydroxychloroquine.

Because there is no consensus, then it should be the individuals choice whether to wear a mask or not.
I think there is a huge consensus among just everybody in the healthcare field in regard to mask wearing. Of course it probably does not include your local bartender who is out of work, Sam the Surfer, and my granddaughter that thinks wearing a mask makes her look ugly. And there is a lot evidence coming contact tracing that shows that people that are asymptomatic are spreading the virus.

I read the opposite from the CDC just a few weeks ago. This tells you how everything changes. First a mask was no good, now it's mandated in cities and states across the country. Before asymptomatic people were low risk for spreading, now the risk of spreading is the same.

I think there is a difference between going to a restaurant and going to a doctors office. Doctors are exposed to ill people day in day out. For most of us, we will probably never be around a person with Covid unless you are a socialite, or your business relies on personal contact with people all day long. Although our antibody testing is far from perfected, some are suggesting that we are already in the herd process and there's no stopping it.

The problem with this thing is we've never experienced anything like it; at least with the technology we have today. Who knows......next year at this time, they may be telling us what a waste of time and money it was for us to wear a mask. We simply don't know.
Early on CDC said that masks would not protect you which was true then and is basically true today. Actually, there is a very small amount of protection for the wearer but not much. Herd immunity as defined by the scientist is a calculated estimate based on transmission rate and reproductive numbers for the virus. For this virus herd immunity is 70% of the population having been exposed, that is they have antibodies. That can be off by 10 or 15%. If the scientists definition of herd immunity is used, there should not be much difference in the calculation.

We may not have all the details of a virus but we know a lot about epidemics and how to control them. For example any airborne virus or a virus whose most common transmission is through the air, the key to stopping transmission is preventing the virus from reaching a host. Masks, plastic shields, staying away from the source of virus, staying at home, etc prevents the spread, a really easy to understand concept but pretty hard to implement in a large population.

We also know a lot about a virus based on the characteristics of the family. There are 6 types of coronavirus that can infect humans which includes Mers and SARS. They have many of the same characteristic but there are some differences. It's really fortunate that there was work done developing the SARS vaccine because this gave researchers a starting point in developing the vaccine for this member of the family. Making changes to the vaccine can be very simple. However, every time you change the vaccine you start over in testing. This is why it takes so long to develop a vaccine. The fact that we are willing to accept a vaccine which has is not very effective, 40% makes it more likely we will get one sooner rather later.

It's wishful thinking, but there certainly is no guarantee a vaccine can be developed. We still don't have vaccines for HIV, flu, even the common cold.

If a new vaccine came out and was approved by September, many Americans would be hesitant to take it including myself. It reminds me of when I bought my first computer and read up on it. It was a Dummy's book. The author warned his readers to never buy software 2.0. 2.0 software is the original version. When thousands of people use it problem free in trials, it's different than when you start passing it out to millions of people. That's when they discover the hidden flaws and imperfections. It's why you always wait until version 2.2. or 2.3 to come out. Those are the versions where the flaws have been corrected.

It's the same with new medications. Yes, it undergoes intense testing, but we won't know the results or drawbacks until it's been used on tens of millions of people. Even then, it could take years to find out if it has any long-term negative effects.

Before I take it, I would need 100% guarantee from my doctor that it won't have any harmful effects on me, corroborated by my cousin, who is a retired research doctor that supervised the laboratory where she worked. Until I get that, I may wait for a while if and when a vaccine comes out.
I agree with your assessment of a vaccine with a few exceptions.
We do have a vaccine for the flu. I get one every year. A vaccine to prevent the common cold has been difficult to make, primarily because there are more than 200 different varieties of viruses that can cause colds. Also, if there were such a vaccine, you would have to get a new one every year like the flu vaccine, plus it would probably be not very effective due to the rate these viruses mutate.

The HIV is nothing like the coronations family of viruses. The problem developing a vaccine for HIV lies in genetic makeup of the virus. Unlike coronavirus, HIV has an incredibly fast replication cycle, less than 24 hour. However, the real show stopper is that HIV is prone to frequent replication errors, churning out mutated copies of itself which recombine into new strains as the virus is passed from person to person.

This coronavirus is very similar to SARS which we have developed a vaccine. Also most of the organizations developing vaccines have already proved in the lab that their vaccine kills the virus and is so far harmless to humans. The big question market is how effective the vaccine will be. Typically vaccines like these are 40% to 70% effective. The CDC has implied that a 40% effective vaccine would be acceptable. Think about what this really means. If we are able to produce enough of the vaccine to make it available like the flu vaccine at every primary care doctors office, every pharmacy, hospital, and public health clinic, we might be able to get the same inoculation numbers as the flu vaccine which is 45% of the population by the end of next year. So we might just have have 148 million vaccinated with 40% less chance of getting the virus and the remainder no protection since they were not vaccinated. After a year or so we get more effective vaccines and thus more protection. My guess is we will reach herd immunity about the time of 2024 election.

I don't think we're going see an unemployment rate of less than 5% for at least a year or so and people will dying from coronavirus for many years, hopefully at a greatly reduced rate.

BTW You will never get a 100% guarantee that a vaccine will not harm you. Deaths caused by vaccines are less than 2 per million and in almost all of those cases the person had a compromised immune system or had other conditions. You're probably more likely to get killed by a lightening strike than a vaccine.

I happen to be one of those people. I am 60 years old, and one of my two major medical conditions is the number one condition associated with death. It's one of the reasons I'd be so hesitant to take it.

If we (or others) do develop a vaccine for this thing, it should be able to wipe it out. Unlike the flu, it won't mutate so rapidly or differently, if it does at all. Experts have said if it would, then a weaker much less deadly strain would take it's place, unlike the flu. And if it does again, the next strain will be weaker yet.

Plus I think careless people have become more conscious of cleanliness now. You still can't find hand sanitizer or liquid soap in some stores. Fortunately for me, one of my tenants works at a store where they had and abundance of it because of customer limitations. She brought home some sanitizer for me and I was grateful she did. I should have plenty for while, at least until the shelves get fully stocked again. In addition, GoJo, the people who make Purell, are opening up a factory in my suburb. With some luck, they will let the citizens buy direct from them. And thanks to President Trump, there is this:

Every vaccine is different. For the influenza vaccine given to day, you should avoid it if you:
  • Have had an allergic reaction after a previous dose of influenza vaccine, or have any severe, life-threatening allergies.
  • Have ever had Guillain-Barré Syndrome (also called GBS).
In order to wipe out the coronavirus, we would need a participation much more than the 45% we get with the influenza vaccine. The CDC did a big study of why people don't get the flu vaccine. As it turns only about 2% of the population has medical condition to disqualify them. If everyone that was eligible to take the flu shot did, we would nearly wipe it out. That means last year we would have saved the lives of nearly 57,000 people, prevented an illness that sickens nearly 40 million people plus an economic impact in the hundreds of millions.

With over 50 vaccines in test trials, I don't think we will need to worry about a vaccine being available next year.

I only take the flu shot once in a while. I've known many people who came down with illness after they took the shot. Some years, you get vaccinated for one strain, but a new strain comes out that makes the original vaccine worthless.

I have little doubt a vaccine for Covid will be made, it's just a matter of how effective it is, how many people get it, how many are restricted from getting it, and any serious side-effects many of us will be waiting for before we have confidence it's beneficial to us.
The reason you have a flu shot every year is to pickup protection for new strains of the viruses.

Viruses making you ill go back years when live viruses were used in most vaccines. That is no longer necessary. Today, if one person get's a flu shot and get's sick, they are almost certain to spread the news. However, for the tens of thousands of people that get flu shots and have no reaction at all, they remain silent. Ray, how often do people stop you on the street or call you and say, "Ray, guess what I got a flu yesterday and I feel just fine. My wife and I and most of my brothers and sisters have been getting flu shots every year for over 40 years and I can't remember anyone telling me they got sick. Thy myth that flu shots will make you sick has certainly contributed to the number of people that don't get vaccinated which cost us tens of thousands of lives every year.

I'm sure a majority don't get sick, but if you feel well, and then are faced with the possibility of getting sick because of the shot, you just don't take it. The times I've taken it, I've never experienced such a thing, but that doesn't mean it will always be that way in the future. My sister, who spent much of her life working in the hospital, took the shot and got the flu a week later.

If an when a vaccine comes out, I'm sure a lot of people will have reservations about getting one for some time. We can't deal out the media in this game. They will search high and low for stories of people getting ill or dying, because that's what sells newspapers and brings people to their internet
site, even if it is all bullshit. President Trump is absolutely correct when he says how dishonest most of our media is. They don't care about informing people, they care about making money, even if it's a disadvantage to society as a whole.
The vaccine tracker has 40 vaccines in progress.
There will certainly be a choice.

And Trump is last person you want to hear from about the media.
Because his favorite is OAN, a questionable source, at best.

OAN is not really mainstream media, just media with a very small audience.

I (like most people I'm sure) are anxious for a safe and reliable vaccine to come out. Yes, people are working 24/7 around the globe to get it done. Of course, the winner of the race will get very wealthy provided no serious side-effects happen when they start vaccinating tens or hundreds of millions of people.

I've seen great economies and terrible economies. I've seen people predicting the end of the world for one reason or another. I've seen situations that look hopeless for not only myself, but more importantly, the country. But this is a new animal we've never experienced before. This is like a nightmare that won't stop, and you're just praying to wake up and realize it was nothing but a terrible dream.
Yes it is a nightmare. We are now retired with all the money we need to see the world, visit or favorite restaurants go to baseball and football games, attend jazz festivals, plays, concerts, spend much needed time at my local gym, and visit all my grandchildren, yet I sit at this damn computer, watch old movies, and clean out the the storage room for the third time. With probably only a few years left on this earth, I sure as hell hate to spend my time like this but having experience with a ventilator I certainly don't want to spend any time there either. I know a lot of people that have it worse, but it still really sucks.

However, looking at the situation from a more global point of view, this country made it through the depression which lasted about 10 years and it was far worse than this.

Ray, I would really be surprised to see much change for at least a year. I figure by then we will either have a vaccine that is reducing the spread of the virus or we will have better treatments that will take the fear out of the disease.

And both are being worked on every living minute. People who had the virus and survived, developed antibodies that fight Covid off. Blood transfusions have a very encouraging future even if no vaccine is produced. As more people get it and recover, more subjects can donate this valuable plasma, particularly to front line healthcare workers, first responders, and eventually to people like me who are at high risk.

Medications have been politicizes such as hydroxychloroquine. Many doctors and experts say it is helping their patients with proper dosage. The problem is, Trump endorsed it's use, and now we have people on the right supporting the treatment, and people on the left, plus the MSM, who are against it for no reason other than Trump saying doctors who believe in the results should be allowed to prescribe it.

Everything in our country today is about politics unfortunately.
hydroxychloroquine is a zinc ionophore, meaning it helps zinc to be absorbed into cells. But it doesnt do any good unless you have zinc available. Zinc is one of the components of a functioning immune system. The other components are avoiding sugar in diet, adequate vitamin D levels, and vitamin C in diet. But perhaps just as effective zinc ionophore is quercetin, which can be supplemented over the counter, or just by eating quercetin containing foods.

So, the reason hydroxychloroquine is "politicized" is because nobody explains such things. And that these components are relevant to any virus, flu or covid or whatever. Trump is too brain dead to be able to tell people about such things.

Laura has experts on her show all the time about how it works, what real studies show, and how they are treating patients successfully with the combo of drugs. After all, she's the one who brought HCQ to light. Trump just happens to watch her show.
 
I can't breath with a mask on. I couldn't stand oxygen masks when i WENT in for an operation, I tolerate the mask less than those. I have problems breathing. I'll stay home until whenever. I don't want to live in a world where everyone wears a mask.
lkkxcgd2rg951.jpg
Since that Uterus holds a life and removing it would cause it's death.
Not wearing a mask will not cause me to die and even so, I'm an adult able to make my own choices but the child isn't.
A growing body of evidence supports the idea that wearing face masks in public, even when you feel well, can help curb the spread of the coronavirus — since people can spread the virus even without showing symptoms. That's the main reason to wear a mask: to protect other people from you.

However that's not written in stone, it's what the left wishes to believe. While you can find studies and such to show they work, I can find studies that say they don't. It's subjective, just like man made global warming, or the effects of hydroxychloroquine.

Because there is no consensus, then it should be the individuals choice whether to wear a mask or not.
I think there is a huge consensus among just everybody in the healthcare field in regard to mask wearing. Of course it probably does not include your local bartender who is out of work, Sam the Surfer, and my granddaughter that thinks wearing a mask makes her look ugly. And there is a lot evidence coming contact tracing that shows that people that are asymptomatic are spreading the virus.

I read the opposite from the CDC just a few weeks ago. This tells you how everything changes. First a mask was no good, now it's mandated in cities and states across the country. Before asymptomatic people were low risk for spreading, now the risk of spreading is the same.

I think there is a difference between going to a restaurant and going to a doctors office. Doctors are exposed to ill people day in day out. For most of us, we will probably never be around a person with Covid unless you are a socialite, or your business relies on personal contact with people all day long. Although our antibody testing is far from perfected, some are suggesting that we are already in the herd process and there's no stopping it.

The problem with this thing is we've never experienced anything like it; at least with the technology we have today. Who knows......next year at this time, they may be telling us what a waste of time and money it was for us to wear a mask. We simply don't know.
Early on CDC said that masks would not protect you which was true then and is basically true today. Actually, there is a very small amount of protection for the wearer but not much. Herd immunity as defined by the scientist is a calculated estimate based on transmission rate and reproductive numbers for the virus. For this virus herd immunity is 70% of the population having been exposed, that is they have antibodies. That can be off by 10 or 15%. If the scientists definition of herd immunity is used, there should not be much difference in the calculation.

We may not have all the details of a virus but we know a lot about epidemics and how to control them. For example any airborne virus or a virus whose most common transmission is through the air, the key to stopping transmission is preventing the virus from reaching a host. Masks, plastic shields, staying away from the source of virus, staying at home, etc prevents the spread, a really easy to understand concept but pretty hard to implement in a large population.

We also know a lot about a virus based on the characteristics of the family. There are 6 types of coronavirus that can infect humans which includes Mers and SARS. They have many of the same characteristic but there are some differences. It's really fortunate that there was work done developing the SARS vaccine because this gave researchers a starting point in developing the vaccine for this member of the family. Making changes to the vaccine can be very simple. However, every time you change the vaccine you start over in testing. This is why it takes so long to develop a vaccine. The fact that we are willing to accept a vaccine which has is not very effective, 40% makes it more likely we will get one sooner rather later.

It's wishful thinking, but there certainly is no guarantee a vaccine can be developed. We still don't have vaccines for HIV, flu, even the common cold.

If a new vaccine came out and was approved by September, many Americans would be hesitant to take it including myself. It reminds me of when I bought my first computer and read up on it. It was a Dummy's book. The author warned his readers to never buy software 2.0. 2.0 software is the original version. When thousands of people use it problem free in trials, it's different than when you start passing it out to millions of people. That's when they discover the hidden flaws and imperfections. It's why you always wait until version 2.2. or 2.3 to come out. Those are the versions where the flaws have been corrected.

It's the same with new medications. Yes, it undergoes intense testing, but we won't know the results or drawbacks until it's been used on tens of millions of people. Even then, it could take years to find out if it has any long-term negative effects.

Before I take it, I would need 100% guarantee from my doctor that it won't have any harmful effects on me, corroborated by my cousin, who is a retired research doctor that supervised the laboratory where she worked. Until I get that, I may wait for a while if and when a vaccine comes out.
I agree with your assessment of a vaccine with a few exceptions.
We do have a vaccine for the flu. I get one every year. A vaccine to prevent the common cold has been difficult to make, primarily because there are more than 200 different varieties of viruses that can cause colds. Also, if there were such a vaccine, you would have to get a new one every year like the flu vaccine, plus it would probably be not very effective due to the rate these viruses mutate.

The HIV is nothing like the coronations family of viruses. The problem developing a vaccine for HIV lies in genetic makeup of the virus. Unlike coronavirus, HIV has an incredibly fast replication cycle, less than 24 hour. However, the real show stopper is that HIV is prone to frequent replication errors, churning out mutated copies of itself which recombine into new strains as the virus is passed from person to person.

This coronavirus is very similar to SARS which we have developed a vaccine. Also most of the organizations developing vaccines have already proved in the lab that their vaccine kills the virus and is so far harmless to humans. The big question market is how effective the vaccine will be. Typically vaccines like these are 40% to 70% effective. The CDC has implied that a 40% effective vaccine would be acceptable. Think about what this really means. If we are able to produce enough of the vaccine to make it available like the flu vaccine at every primary care doctors office, every pharmacy, hospital, and public health clinic, we might be able to get the same inoculation numbers as the flu vaccine which is 45% of the population by the end of next year. So we might just have have 148 million vaccinated with 40% less chance of getting the virus and the remainder no protection since they were not vaccinated. After a year or so we get more effective vaccines and thus more protection. My guess is we will reach herd immunity about the time of 2024 election.

I don't think we're going see an unemployment rate of less than 5% for at least a year or so and people will dying from coronavirus for many years, hopefully at a greatly reduced rate.

BTW You will never get a 100% guarantee that a vaccine will not harm you. Deaths caused by vaccines are less than 2 per million and in almost all of those cases the person had a compromised immune system or had other conditions. You're probably more likely to get killed by a lightening strike than a vaccine.

I happen to be one of those people. I am 60 years old, and one of my two major medical conditions is the number one condition associated with death. It's one of the reasons I'd be so hesitant to take it.

If we (or others) do develop a vaccine for this thing, it should be able to wipe it out. Unlike the flu, it won't mutate so rapidly or differently, if it does at all. Experts have said if it would, then a weaker much less deadly strain would take it's place, unlike the flu. And if it does again, the next strain will be weaker yet.

Plus I think careless people have become more conscious of cleanliness now. You still can't find hand sanitizer or liquid soap in some stores. Fortunately for me, one of my tenants works at a store where they had and abundance of it because of customer limitations. She brought home some sanitizer for me and I was grateful she did. I should have plenty for while, at least until the shelves get fully stocked again. In addition, GoJo, the people who make Purell, are opening up a factory in my suburb. With some luck, they will let the citizens buy direct from them. And thanks to President Trump, there is this:

Every vaccine is different. For the influenza vaccine given to day, you should avoid it if you:
  • Have had an allergic reaction after a previous dose of influenza vaccine, or have any severe, life-threatening allergies.
  • Have ever had Guillain-Barré Syndrome (also called GBS).
In order to wipe out the coronavirus, we would need a participation much more than the 45% we get with the influenza vaccine. The CDC did a big study of why people don't get the flu vaccine. As it turns only about 2% of the population has medical condition to disqualify them. If everyone that was eligible to take the flu shot did, we would nearly wipe it out. That means last year we would have saved the lives of nearly 57,000 people, prevented an illness that sickens nearly 40 million people plus an economic impact in the hundreds of millions.

With over 50 vaccines in test trials, I don't think we will need to worry about a vaccine being available next year.

I only take the flu shot once in a while. I've known many people who came down with illness after they took the shot. Some years, you get vaccinated for one strain, but a new strain comes out that makes the original vaccine worthless.

I have little doubt a vaccine for Covid will be made, it's just a matter of how effective it is, how many people get it, how many are restricted from getting it, and any serious side-effects many of us will be waiting for before we have confidence it's beneficial to us.
The reason you have a flu shot every year is to pickup protection for new strains of the viruses.

Viruses making you ill go back years when live viruses were used in most vaccines. That is no longer necessary. Today, if one person get's a flu shot and get's sick, they are almost certain to spread the news. However, for the tens of thousands of people that get flu shots and have no reaction at all, they remain silent. Ray, how often do people stop you on the street or call you and say, "Ray, guess what I got a flu yesterday and I feel just fine. My wife and I and most of my brothers and sisters have been getting flu shots every year for over 40 years and I can't remember anyone telling me they got sick. Thy myth that flu shots will make you sick has certainly contributed to the number of people that don't get vaccinated which cost us tens of thousands of lives every year.

I'm sure a majority don't get sick, but if you feel well, and then are faced with the possibility of getting sick because of the shot, you just don't take it. The times I've taken it, I've never experienced such a thing, but that doesn't mean it will always be that way in the future. My sister, who spent much of her life working in the hospital, took the shot and got the flu a week later.

If an when a vaccine comes out, I'm sure a lot of people will have reservations about getting one for some time. We can't deal out the media in this game. They will search high and low for stories of people getting ill or dying, because that's what sells newspapers and brings people to their internet
site, even if it is all bullshit. President Trump is absolutely correct when he says how dishonest most of our media is. They don't care about informing people, they care about making money, even if it's a disadvantage to society as a whole.
The vaccine tracker has 40 vaccines in progress.
There will certainly be a choice.

And Trump is last person you want to hear from about the media.
Because his favorite is OAN, a questionable source, at best.

OAN is not really mainstream media, just media with a very small audience.

I (like most people I'm sure) are anxious for a safe and reliable vaccine to come out. Yes, people are working 24/7 around the globe to get it done. Of course, the winner of the race will get very wealthy provided no serious side-effects happen when they start vaccinating tens or hundreds of millions of people.

I've seen great economies and terrible economies. I've seen people predicting the end of the world for one reason or another. I've seen situations that look hopeless for not only myself, but more importantly, the country. But this is a new animal we've never experienced before. This is like a nightmare that won't stop, and you're just praying to wake up and realize it was nothing but a terrible dream.
Yes it is a nightmare. We are now retired with all the money we need to see the world, visit or favorite restaurants go to baseball and football games, attend jazz festivals, plays, concerts, spend much needed time at my local gym, and visit all my grandchildren, yet I sit at this damn computer, watch old movies, and clean out the the storage room for the third time. With probably only a few years left on this earth, I sure as hell hate to spend my time like this but having experience with a ventilator I certainly don't want to spend any time there either. I know a lot of people that have it worse, but it still really sucks.

However, looking at the situation from a more global point of view, this country made it through the depression which lasted about 10 years and it was far worse than this.

Ray, I would really be surprised to see much change for at least a year. I figure by then we will either have a vaccine that is reducing the spread of the virus or we will have better treatments that will take the fear out of the disease.

And both are being worked on every living minute. People who had the virus and survived, developed antibodies that fight Covid off. Blood transfusions have a very encouraging future even if no vaccine is produced. As more people get it and recover, more subjects can donate this valuable plasma, particularly to front line healthcare workers, first responders, and eventually to people like me who are at high risk.

Medications have been politicizes such as hydroxychloroquine. Many doctors and experts say it is helping their patients with proper dosage. The problem is, Trump endorsed it's use, and now we have people on the right supporting the treatment, and people on the left, plus the MSM, who are against it for no reason other than Trump saying doctors who believe in the results should be allowed to prescribe it.

Everything in our country today is about politics unfortunately.
hydroxychloroquine is a zinc ionophore, meaning it helps zinc to be absorbed into cells. But it doesnt do any good unless you have zinc available. Zinc is one of the components of a functioning immune system. The other components are avoiding sugar in diet, adequate vitamin D levels, and vitamin C in diet. But perhaps just as effective zinc ionophore is quercetin, which can be supplemented over the counter, or just by eating quercetin containing foods.

So, the reason hydroxychloroquine is "politicized" is because nobody explains such things. And that these components are relevant to any virus, flu or covid or whatever. Trump is too brain dead to be able to tell people about such things.

Laura has experts on her show all the time about how it works, what real studies show, and how they are treating patients successfully with the combo of drugs. After all, she's the one who brought HCQ to light. Trump just happens to watch her show.

WaPo did an opinion piece a while back, ‘The real reason Trump is obsessed with hydroxychloroquine,’ and it has some insight.

Basically, he’s looking for that silver bullet that ‘cures’ the virus, makes everyone think he’s brilliant, and he wins the election. It’s desperation.

Put in the frame of disinfectant injection, and it makes sense. Trump cures pandemic using only a turkey baster, some pliers and a bottle of dish soap. He wants to be the guy that discovered bleach. He wants to be smart again.

A study came out saying ‘Hydroxychloroquine’ works—and he’s like, ‘See, I told you so!’ He’s vindicated.
 
I can't breath with a mask on. I couldn't stand oxygen masks when i WENT in for an operation, I tolerate the mask less than those. I have problems breathing. I'll stay home until whenever. I don't want to live in a world where everyone wears a mask.
lkkxcgd2rg951.jpg
Since that Uterus holds a life and removing it would cause it's death.
Not wearing a mask will not cause me to die and even so, I'm an adult able to make my own choices but the child isn't.
A growing body of evidence supports the idea that wearing face masks in public, even when you feel well, can help curb the spread of the coronavirus — since people can spread the virus even without showing symptoms. That's the main reason to wear a mask: to protect other people from you.

However that's not written in stone, it's what the left wishes to believe. While you can find studies and such to show they work, I can find studies that say they don't. It's subjective, just like man made global warming, or the effects of hydroxychloroquine.

Because there is no consensus, then it should be the individuals choice whether to wear a mask or not.
I think there is a huge consensus among just everybody in the healthcare field in regard to mask wearing. Of course it probably does not include your local bartender who is out of work, Sam the Surfer, and my granddaughter that thinks wearing a mask makes her look ugly. And there is a lot evidence coming contact tracing that shows that people that are asymptomatic are spreading the virus.

I read the opposite from the CDC just a few weeks ago. This tells you how everything changes. First a mask was no good, now it's mandated in cities and states across the country. Before asymptomatic people were low risk for spreading, now the risk of spreading is the same.

I think there is a difference between going to a restaurant and going to a doctors office. Doctors are exposed to ill people day in day out. For most of us, we will probably never be around a person with Covid unless you are a socialite, or your business relies on personal contact with people all day long. Although our antibody testing is far from perfected, some are suggesting that we are already in the herd process and there's no stopping it.

The problem with this thing is we've never experienced anything like it; at least with the technology we have today. Who knows......next year at this time, they may be telling us what a waste of time and money it was for us to wear a mask. We simply don't know.
Early on CDC said that masks would not protect you which was true then and is basically true today. Actually, there is a very small amount of protection for the wearer but not much. Herd immunity as defined by the scientist is a calculated estimate based on transmission rate and reproductive numbers for the virus. For this virus herd immunity is 70% of the population having been exposed, that is they have antibodies. That can be off by 10 or 15%. If the scientists definition of herd immunity is used, there should not be much difference in the calculation.

We may not have all the details of a virus but we know a lot about epidemics and how to control them. For example any airborne virus or a virus whose most common transmission is through the air, the key to stopping transmission is preventing the virus from reaching a host. Masks, plastic shields, staying away from the source of virus, staying at home, etc prevents the spread, a really easy to understand concept but pretty hard to implement in a large population.

We also know a lot about a virus based on the characteristics of the family. There are 6 types of coronavirus that can infect humans which includes Mers and SARS. They have many of the same characteristic but there are some differences. It's really fortunate that there was work done developing the SARS vaccine because this gave researchers a starting point in developing the vaccine for this member of the family. Making changes to the vaccine can be very simple. However, every time you change the vaccine you start over in testing. This is why it takes so long to develop a vaccine. The fact that we are willing to accept a vaccine which has is not very effective, 40% makes it more likely we will get one sooner rather later.

It's wishful thinking, but there certainly is no guarantee a vaccine can be developed. We still don't have vaccines for HIV, flu, even the common cold.

If a new vaccine came out and was approved by September, many Americans would be hesitant to take it including myself. It reminds me of when I bought my first computer and read up on it. It was a Dummy's book. The author warned his readers to never buy software 2.0. 2.0 software is the original version. When thousands of people use it problem free in trials, it's different than when you start passing it out to millions of people. That's when they discover the hidden flaws and imperfections. It's why you always wait until version 2.2. or 2.3 to come out. Those are the versions where the flaws have been corrected.

It's the same with new medications. Yes, it undergoes intense testing, but we won't know the results or drawbacks until it's been used on tens of millions of people. Even then, it could take years to find out if it has any long-term negative effects.

Before I take it, I would need 100% guarantee from my doctor that it won't have any harmful effects on me, corroborated by my cousin, who is a retired research doctor that supervised the laboratory where she worked. Until I get that, I may wait for a while if and when a vaccine comes out.
I agree with your assessment of a vaccine with a few exceptions.
We do have a vaccine for the flu. I get one every year. A vaccine to prevent the common cold has been difficult to make, primarily because there are more than 200 different varieties of viruses that can cause colds. Also, if there were such a vaccine, you would have to get a new one every year like the flu vaccine, plus it would probably be not very effective due to the rate these viruses mutate.

The HIV is nothing like the coronations family of viruses. The problem developing a vaccine for HIV lies in genetic makeup of the virus. Unlike coronavirus, HIV has an incredibly fast replication cycle, less than 24 hour. However, the real show stopper is that HIV is prone to frequent replication errors, churning out mutated copies of itself which recombine into new strains as the virus is passed from person to person.

This coronavirus is very similar to SARS which we have developed a vaccine. Also most of the organizations developing vaccines have already proved in the lab that their vaccine kills the virus and is so far harmless to humans. The big question market is how effective the vaccine will be. Typically vaccines like these are 40% to 70% effective. The CDC has implied that a 40% effective vaccine would be acceptable. Think about what this really means. If we are able to produce enough of the vaccine to make it available like the flu vaccine at every primary care doctors office, every pharmacy, hospital, and public health clinic, we might be able to get the same inoculation numbers as the flu vaccine which is 45% of the population by the end of next year. So we might just have have 148 million vaccinated with 40% less chance of getting the virus and the remainder no protection since they were not vaccinated. After a year or so we get more effective vaccines and thus more protection. My guess is we will reach herd immunity about the time of 2024 election.

I don't think we're going see an unemployment rate of less than 5% for at least a year or so and people will dying from coronavirus for many years, hopefully at a greatly reduced rate.

BTW You will never get a 100% guarantee that a vaccine will not harm you. Deaths caused by vaccines are less than 2 per million and in almost all of those cases the person had a compromised immune system or had other conditions. You're probably more likely to get killed by a lightening strike than a vaccine.

I happen to be one of those people. I am 60 years old, and one of my two major medical conditions is the number one condition associated with death. It's one of the reasons I'd be so hesitant to take it.

If we (or others) do develop a vaccine for this thing, it should be able to wipe it out. Unlike the flu, it won't mutate so rapidly or differently, if it does at all. Experts have said if it would, then a weaker much less deadly strain would take it's place, unlike the flu. And if it does again, the next strain will be weaker yet.

Plus I think careless people have become more conscious of cleanliness now. You still can't find hand sanitizer or liquid soap in some stores. Fortunately for me, one of my tenants works at a store where they had and abundance of it because of customer limitations. She brought home some sanitizer for me and I was grateful she did. I should have plenty for while, at least until the shelves get fully stocked again. In addition, GoJo, the people who make Purell, are opening up a factory in my suburb. With some luck, they will let the citizens buy direct from them. And thanks to President Trump, there is this:

Every vaccine is different. For the influenza vaccine given to day, you should avoid it if you:
  • Have had an allergic reaction after a previous dose of influenza vaccine, or have any severe, life-threatening allergies.
  • Have ever had Guillain-Barré Syndrome (also called GBS).
In order to wipe out the coronavirus, we would need a participation much more than the 45% we get with the influenza vaccine. The CDC did a big study of why people don't get the flu vaccine. As it turns only about 2% of the population has medical condition to disqualify them. If everyone that was eligible to take the flu shot did, we would nearly wipe it out. That means last year we would have saved the lives of nearly 57,000 people, prevented an illness that sickens nearly 40 million people plus an economic impact in the hundreds of millions.

With over 50 vaccines in test trials, I don't think we will need to worry about a vaccine being available next year.

I only take the flu shot once in a while. I've known many people who came down with illness after they took the shot. Some years, you get vaccinated for one strain, but a new strain comes out that makes the original vaccine worthless.

I have little doubt a vaccine for Covid will be made, it's just a matter of how effective it is, how many people get it, how many are restricted from getting it, and any serious side-effects many of us will be waiting for before we have confidence it's beneficial to us.
The reason you have a flu shot every year is to pickup protection for new strains of the viruses.

Viruses making you ill go back years when live viruses were used in most vaccines. That is no longer necessary. Today, if one person get's a flu shot and get's sick, they are almost certain to spread the news. However, for the tens of thousands of people that get flu shots and have no reaction at all, they remain silent. Ray, how often do people stop you on the street or call you and say, "Ray, guess what I got a flu yesterday and I feel just fine. My wife and I and most of my brothers and sisters have been getting flu shots every year for over 40 years and I can't remember anyone telling me they got sick. Thy myth that flu shots will make you sick has certainly contributed to the number of people that don't get vaccinated which cost us tens of thousands of lives every year.

I'm sure a majority don't get sick, but if you feel well, and then are faced with the possibility of getting sick because of the shot, you just don't take it. The times I've taken it, I've never experienced such a thing, but that doesn't mean it will always be that way in the future. My sister, who spent much of her life working in the hospital, took the shot and got the flu a week later.

If an when a vaccine comes out, I'm sure a lot of people will have reservations about getting one for some time. We can't deal out the media in this game. They will search high and low for stories of people getting ill or dying, because that's what sells newspapers and brings people to their internet
site, even if it is all bullshit. President Trump is absolutely correct when he says how dishonest most of our media is. They don't care about informing people, they care about making money, even if it's a disadvantage to society as a whole.
The vaccine tracker has 40 vaccines in progress.
There will certainly be a choice.

And Trump is last person you want to hear from about the media.
Because his favorite is OAN, a questionable source, at best.

OAN is not really mainstream media, just media with a very small audience.

I (like most people I'm sure) are anxious for a safe and reliable vaccine to come out. Yes, people are working 24/7 around the globe to get it done. Of course, the winner of the race will get very wealthy provided no serious side-effects happen when they start vaccinating tens or hundreds of millions of people.

I've seen great economies and terrible economies. I've seen people predicting the end of the world for one reason or another. I've seen situations that look hopeless for not only myself, but more importantly, the country. But this is a new animal we've never experienced before. This is like a nightmare that won't stop, and you're just praying to wake up and realize it was nothing but a terrible dream.
Yes it is a nightmare. We are now retired with all the money we need to see the world, visit or favorite restaurants go to baseball and football games, attend jazz festivals, plays, concerts, spend much needed time at my local gym, and visit all my grandchildren, yet I sit at this damn computer, watch old movies, and clean out the the storage room for the third time. With probably only a few years left on this earth, I sure as hell hate to spend my time like this but having experience with a ventilator I certainly don't want to spend any time there either. I know a lot of people that have it worse, but it still really sucks.

However, looking at the situation from a more global point of view, this country made it through the depression which lasted about 10 years and it was far worse than this.

Ray, I would really be surprised to see much change for at least a year. I figure by then we will either have a vaccine that is reducing the spread of the virus or we will have better treatments that will take the fear out of the disease.
I can't breath with a mask on. I couldn't stand oxygen masks when i WENT in for an operation, I tolerate the mask less than those. I have problems breathing. I'll stay home until whenever. I don't want to live in a world where everyone wears a mask.
lkkxcgd2rg951.jpg
Since that Uterus holds a life and removing it would cause it's death.
Not wearing a mask will not cause me to die and even so, I'm an adult able to make my own choices but the child isn't.
A growing body of evidence supports the idea that wearing face masks in public, even when you feel well, can help curb the spread of the coronavirus — since people can spread the virus even without showing symptoms. That's the main reason to wear a mask: to protect other people from you.

However that's not written in stone, it's what the left wishes to believe. While you can find studies and such to show they work, I can find studies that say they don't. It's subjective, just like man made global warming, or the effects of hydroxychloroquine.

Because there is no consensus, then it should be the individuals choice whether to wear a mask or not.
I think there is a huge consensus among just everybody in the healthcare field in regard to mask wearing. Of course it probably does not include your local bartender who is out of work, Sam the Surfer, and my granddaughter that thinks wearing a mask makes her look ugly. And there is a lot evidence coming contact tracing that shows that people that are asymptomatic are spreading the virus.

I read the opposite from the CDC just a few weeks ago. This tells you how everything changes. First a mask was no good, now it's mandated in cities and states across the country. Before asymptomatic people were low risk for spreading, now the risk of spreading is the same.

I think there is a difference between going to a restaurant and going to a doctors office. Doctors are exposed to ill people day in day out. For most of us, we will probably never be around a person with Covid unless you are a socialite, or your business relies on personal contact with people all day long. Although our antibody testing is far from perfected, some are suggesting that we are already in the herd process and there's no stopping it.

The problem with this thing is we've never experienced anything like it; at least with the technology we have today. Who knows......next year at this time, they may be telling us what a waste of time and money it was for us to wear a mask. We simply don't know.
Early on CDC said that masks would not protect you which was true then and is basically true today. Actually, there is a very small amount of protection for the wearer but not much. Herd immunity as defined by the scientist is a calculated estimate based on transmission rate and reproductive numbers for the virus. For this virus herd immunity is 70% of the population having been exposed, that is they have antibodies. That can be off by 10 or 15%. If the scientists definition of herd immunity is used, there should not be much difference in the calculation.

We may not have all the details of a virus but we know a lot about epidemics and how to control them. For example any airborne virus or a virus whose most common transmission is through the air, the key to stopping transmission is preventing the virus from reaching a host. Masks, plastic shields, staying away from the source of virus, staying at home, etc prevents the spread, a really easy to understand concept but pretty hard to implement in a large population.

We also know a lot about a virus based on the characteristics of the family. There are 6 types of coronavirus that can infect humans which includes Mers and SARS. They have many of the same characteristic but there are some differences. It's really fortunate that there was work done developing the SARS vaccine because this gave researchers a starting point in developing the vaccine for this member of the family. Making changes to the vaccine can be very simple. However, every time you change the vaccine you start over in testing. This is why it takes so long to develop a vaccine. The fact that we are willing to accept a vaccine which has is not very effective, 40% makes it more likely we will get one sooner rather later.

It's wishful thinking, but there certainly is no guarantee a vaccine can be developed. We still don't have vaccines for HIV, flu, even the common cold.

If a new vaccine came out and was approved by September, many Americans would be hesitant to take it including myself. It reminds me of when I bought my first computer and read up on it. It was a Dummy's book. The author warned his readers to never buy software 2.0. 2.0 software is the original version. When thousands of people use it problem free in trials, it's different than when you start passing it out to millions of people. That's when they discover the hidden flaws and imperfections. It's why you always wait until version 2.2. or 2.3 to come out. Those are the versions where the flaws have been corrected.

It's the same with new medications. Yes, it undergoes intense testing, but we won't know the results or drawbacks until it's been used on tens of millions of people. Even then, it could take years to find out if it has any long-term negative effects.

Before I take it, I would need 100% guarantee from my doctor that it won't have any harmful effects on me, corroborated by my cousin, who is a retired research doctor that supervised the laboratory where she worked. Until I get that, I may wait for a while if and when a vaccine comes out.
I agree with your assessment of a vaccine with a few exceptions.
We do have a vaccine for the flu. I get one every year. A vaccine to prevent the common cold has been difficult to make, primarily because there are more than 200 different varieties of viruses that can cause colds. Also, if there were such a vaccine, you would have to get a new one every year like the flu vaccine, plus it would probably be not very effective due to the rate these viruses mutate.

The HIV is nothing like the coronations family of viruses. The problem developing a vaccine for HIV lies in genetic makeup of the virus. Unlike coronavirus, HIV has an incredibly fast replication cycle, less than 24 hour. However, the real show stopper is that HIV is prone to frequent replication errors, churning out mutated copies of itself which recombine into new strains as the virus is passed from person to person.

This coronavirus is very similar to SARS which we have developed a vaccine. Also most of the organizations developing vaccines have already proved in the lab that their vaccine kills the virus and is so far harmless to humans. The big question market is how effective the vaccine will be. Typically vaccines like these are 40% to 70% effective. The CDC has implied that a 40% effective vaccine would be acceptable. Think about what this really means. If we are able to produce enough of the vaccine to make it available like the flu vaccine at every primary care doctors office, every pharmacy, hospital, and public health clinic, we might be able to get the same inoculation numbers as the flu vaccine which is 45% of the population by the end of next year. So we might just have have 148 million vaccinated with 40% less chance of getting the virus and the remainder no protection since they were not vaccinated. After a year or so we get more effective vaccines and thus more protection. My guess is we will reach herd immunity about the time of 2024 election.

I don't think we're going see an unemployment rate of less than 5% for at least a year or so and people will dying from coronavirus for many years, hopefully at a greatly reduced rate.

BTW You will never get a 100% guarantee that a vaccine will not harm you. Deaths caused by vaccines are less than 2 per million and in almost all of those cases the person had a compromised immune system or had other conditions. You're probably more likely to get killed by a lightening strike than a vaccine.

I happen to be one of those people. I am 60 years old, and one of my two major medical conditions is the number one condition associated with death. It's one of the reasons I'd be so hesitant to take it.

If we (or others) do develop a vaccine for this thing, it should be able to wipe it out. Unlike the flu, it won't mutate so rapidly or differently, if it does at all. Experts have said if it would, then a weaker much less deadly strain would take it's place, unlike the flu. And if it does again, the next strain will be weaker yet.

Plus I think careless people have become more conscious of cleanliness now. You still can't find hand sanitizer or liquid soap in some stores. Fortunately for me, one of my tenants works at a store where they had and abundance of it because of customer limitations. She brought home some sanitizer for me and I was grateful she did. I should have plenty for while, at least until the shelves get fully stocked again. In addition, GoJo, the people who make Purell, are opening up a factory in my suburb. With some luck, they will let the citizens buy direct from them. And thanks to President Trump, there is this:

Every vaccine is different. For the influenza vaccine given to day, you should avoid it if you:
  • Have had an allergic reaction after a previous dose of influenza vaccine, or have any severe, life-threatening allergies.
  • Have ever had Guillain-Barré Syndrome (also called GBS).
In order to wipe out the coronavirus, we would need a participation much more than the 45% we get with the influenza vaccine. The CDC did a big study of why people don't get the flu vaccine. As it turns only about 2% of the population has medical condition to disqualify them. If everyone that was eligible to take the flu shot did, we would nearly wipe it out. That means last year we would have saved the lives of nearly 57,000 people, prevented an illness that sickens nearly 40 million people plus an economic impact in the hundreds of millions.

With over 50 vaccines in test trials, I don't think we will need to worry about a vaccine being available next year.

I only take the flu shot once in a while. I've known many people who came down with illness after they took the shot. Some years, you get vaccinated for one strain, but a new strain comes out that makes the original vaccine worthless.

I have little doubt a vaccine for Covid will be made, it's just a matter of how effective it is, how many people get it, how many are restricted from getting it, and any serious side-effects many of us will be waiting for before we have confidence it's beneficial to us.
The reason you have a flu shot every year is to pickup protection for new strains of the viruses.

Viruses making you ill go back years when live viruses were used in most vaccines. That is no longer necessary. Today, if one person get's a flu shot and get's sick, they are almost certain to spread the news. However, for the tens of thousands of people that get flu shots and have no reaction at all, they remain silent. Ray, how often do people stop you on the street or call you and say, "Ray, guess what I got a flu yesterday and I feel just fine. My wife and I and most of my brothers and sisters have been getting flu shots every year for over 40 years and I can't remember anyone telling me they got sick. Thy myth that flu shots will make you sick has certainly contributed to the number of people that don't get vaccinated which cost us tens of thousands of lives every year.

I'm sure a majority don't get sick, but if you feel well, and then are faced with the possibility of getting sick because of the shot, you just don't take it. The times I've taken it, I've never experienced such a thing, but that doesn't mean it will always be that way in the future. My sister, who spent much of her life working in the hospital, took the shot and got the flu a week later.

If an when a vaccine comes out, I'm sure a lot of people will have reservations about getting one for some time. We can't deal out the media in this game. They will search high and low for stories of people getting ill or dying, because that's what sells newspapers and brings people to their internet
site, even if it is all bullshit. President Trump is absolutely correct when he says how dishonest most of our media is. They don't care about informing people, they care about making money, even if it's a disadvantage to society as a whole.
The vaccine tracker has 40 vaccines in progress.
There will certainly be a choice.

And Trump is last person you want to hear from about the media.
Because his favorite is OAN, a questionable source, at best.

OAN is not really mainstream media, just media with a very small audience.

I (like most people I'm sure) are anxious for a safe and reliable vaccine to come out. Yes, people are working 24/7 around the globe to get it done. Of course, the winner of the race will get very wealthy provided no serious side-effects happen when they start vaccinating tens or hundreds of millions of people.

I've seen great economies and terrible economies. I've seen people predicting the end of the world for one reason or another. I've seen situations that look hopeless for not only myself, but more importantly, the country. But this is a new animal we've never experienced before. This is like a nightmare that won't stop, and you're just praying to wake up and realize it was nothing but a terrible dream.
Yes it is a nightmare. We are now retired with all the money we need to see the world, visit or favorite restaurants go to baseball and football games, attend jazz festivals, plays, concerts, spend much needed time at my local gym, and visit all my grandchildren, yet I sit at this damn computer, watch old movies, and clean out the the storage room for the third time. With probably only a few years left on this earth, I sure as hell hate to spend my time like this but having experience with a ventilator I certainly don't want to spend any time there either. I know a lot of people that have it worse, but it still really sucks.

However, looking at the situation from a more global point of view, this country made it through the depression which lasted about 10 years and it was far worse than this.

Ray, I would really be surprised to see much change for at least a year. I figure by then we will either have a vaccine that is reducing the spread of the virus or we will have better treatments that will take the fear out of the disease.

And both are being worked on every living minute. People who had the virus and survived, developed antibodies that fight Covid off. Blood transfusions have a very encouraging future even if no vaccine is produced. As more people get it and recover, more subjects can donate this valuable plasma, particularly to front line healthcare workers, first responders, and eventually to people like me who are at high risk.

Medications have been politicizes such as hydroxychloroquine. Many doctors and experts say it is helping their patients with proper dosage. The problem is, Trump endorsed it's use, and now we have people on the right supporting the treatment, and people on the left, plus the MSM, who are against it for no reason other than Trump saying doctors who believe in the results should be allowed to prescribe it.

Everything in our country today is about politics unfortunately.
Unfortunately, it's true that everything is politicize particularly in an election year. After the election regardless of who wins, we will have a clearer picture of the epidemic and the path forward. Both the Right and Left have distorted the picture. On one side we have Trump still attempting to downplay the seriousness of the virus and the Left trying to overplay the seriousness. The truth probably lies somewhere in between. The Left is trying to blame Trump for the spread of the virus and Trump is trying to blame the Chinese and the WHO. Although these are certainly campaign issues, they will have no direct effect on how we deal with the epidemic.

I'm a bit concerned with Trump's Operation Warp Speed which is backing AstraZeneca to the tune of about 1.2 billion dollars. Suppose the Chinese or some dark horse comes in first, will Trump stick with AstraZenca or will he follow the scientist's recommendations. He has placed a big bet both in dollars and his political capital on his Operation Warp Speed which will probably figure prominently in his campaign.
 
Last edited:
I can't breath with a mask on. I couldn't stand oxygen masks when i WENT in for an operation, I tolerate the mask less than those. I have problems breathing. I'll stay home until whenever. I don't want to live in a world where everyone wears a mask.
lkkxcgd2rg951.jpg
Since that Uterus holds a life and removing it would cause it's death.
Not wearing a mask will not cause me to die and even so, I'm an adult able to make my own choices but the child isn't.
A growing body of evidence supports the idea that wearing face masks in public, even when you feel well, can help curb the spread of the coronavirus — since people can spread the virus even without showing symptoms. That's the main reason to wear a mask: to protect other people from you.

However that's not written in stone, it's what the left wishes to believe. While you can find studies and such to show they work, I can find studies that say they don't. It's subjective, just like man made global warming, or the effects of hydroxychloroquine.

Because there is no consensus, then it should be the individuals choice whether to wear a mask or not.
I think there is a huge consensus among just everybody in the healthcare field in regard to mask wearing. Of course it probably does not include your local bartender who is out of work, Sam the Surfer, and my granddaughter that thinks wearing a mask makes her look ugly. And there is a lot evidence coming contact tracing that shows that people that are asymptomatic are spreading the virus.

I read the opposite from the CDC just a few weeks ago. This tells you how everything changes. First a mask was no good, now it's mandated in cities and states across the country. Before asymptomatic people were low risk for spreading, now the risk of spreading is the same.

I think there is a difference between going to a restaurant and going to a doctors office. Doctors are exposed to ill people day in day out. For most of us, we will probably never be around a person with Covid unless you are a socialite, or your business relies on personal contact with people all day long. Although our antibody testing is far from perfected, some are suggesting that we are already in the herd process and there's no stopping it.

The problem with this thing is we've never experienced anything like it; at least with the technology we have today. Who knows......next year at this time, they may be telling us what a waste of time and money it was for us to wear a mask. We simply don't know.
Early on CDC said that masks would not protect you which was true then and is basically true today. Actually, there is a very small amount of protection for the wearer but not much. Herd immunity as defined by the scientist is a calculated estimate based on transmission rate and reproductive numbers for the virus. For this virus herd immunity is 70% of the population having been exposed, that is they have antibodies. That can be off by 10 or 15%. If the scientists definition of herd immunity is used, there should not be much difference in the calculation.

We may not have all the details of a virus but we know a lot about epidemics and how to control them. For example any airborne virus or a virus whose most common transmission is through the air, the key to stopping transmission is preventing the virus from reaching a host. Masks, plastic shields, staying away from the source of virus, staying at home, etc prevents the spread, a really easy to understand concept but pretty hard to implement in a large population.

We also know a lot about a virus based on the characteristics of the family. There are 6 types of coronavirus that can infect humans which includes Mers and SARS. They have many of the same characteristic but there are some differences. It's really fortunate that there was work done developing the SARS vaccine because this gave researchers a starting point in developing the vaccine for this member of the family. Making changes to the vaccine can be very simple. However, every time you change the vaccine you start over in testing. This is why it takes so long to develop a vaccine. The fact that we are willing to accept a vaccine which has is not very effective, 40% makes it more likely we will get one sooner rather later.

It's wishful thinking, but there certainly is no guarantee a vaccine can be developed. We still don't have vaccines for HIV, flu, even the common cold.

If a new vaccine came out and was approved by September, many Americans would be hesitant to take it including myself. It reminds me of when I bought my first computer and read up on it. It was a Dummy's book. The author warned his readers to never buy software 2.0. 2.0 software is the original version. When thousands of people use it problem free in trials, it's different than when you start passing it out to millions of people. That's when they discover the hidden flaws and imperfections. It's why you always wait until version 2.2. or 2.3 to come out. Those are the versions where the flaws have been corrected.

It's the same with new medications. Yes, it undergoes intense testing, but we won't know the results or drawbacks until it's been used on tens of millions of people. Even then, it could take years to find out if it has any long-term negative effects.

Before I take it, I would need 100% guarantee from my doctor that it won't have any harmful effects on me, corroborated by my cousin, who is a retired research doctor that supervised the laboratory where she worked. Until I get that, I may wait for a while if and when a vaccine comes out.
I agree with your assessment of a vaccine with a few exceptions.
We do have a vaccine for the flu. I get one every year. A vaccine to prevent the common cold has been difficult to make, primarily because there are more than 200 different varieties of viruses that can cause colds. Also, if there were such a vaccine, you would have to get a new one every year like the flu vaccine, plus it would probably be not very effective due to the rate these viruses mutate.

The HIV is nothing like the coronations family of viruses. The problem developing a vaccine for HIV lies in genetic makeup of the virus. Unlike coronavirus, HIV has an incredibly fast replication cycle, less than 24 hour. However, the real show stopper is that HIV is prone to frequent replication errors, churning out mutated copies of itself which recombine into new strains as the virus is passed from person to person.

This coronavirus is very similar to SARS which we have developed a vaccine. Also most of the organizations developing vaccines have already proved in the lab that their vaccine kills the virus and is so far harmless to humans. The big question market is how effective the vaccine will be. Typically vaccines like these are 40% to 70% effective. The CDC has implied that a 40% effective vaccine would be acceptable. Think about what this really means. If we are able to produce enough of the vaccine to make it available like the flu vaccine at every primary care doctors office, every pharmacy, hospital, and public health clinic, we might be able to get the same inoculation numbers as the flu vaccine which is 45% of the population by the end of next year. So we might just have have 148 million vaccinated with 40% less chance of getting the virus and the remainder no protection since they were not vaccinated. After a year or so we get more effective vaccines and thus more protection. My guess is we will reach herd immunity about the time of 2024 election.

I don't think we're going see an unemployment rate of less than 5% for at least a year or so and people will dying from coronavirus for many years, hopefully at a greatly reduced rate.

BTW You will never get a 100% guarantee that a vaccine will not harm you. Deaths caused by vaccines are less than 2 per million and in almost all of those cases the person had a compromised immune system or had other conditions. You're probably more likely to get killed by a lightening strike than a vaccine.

I happen to be one of those people. I am 60 years old, and one of my two major medical conditions is the number one condition associated with death. It's one of the reasons I'd be so hesitant to take it.

If we (or others) do develop a vaccine for this thing, it should be able to wipe it out. Unlike the flu, it won't mutate so rapidly or differently, if it does at all. Experts have said if it would, then a weaker much less deadly strain would take it's place, unlike the flu. And if it does again, the next strain will be weaker yet.

Plus I think careless people have become more conscious of cleanliness now. You still can't find hand sanitizer or liquid soap in some stores. Fortunately for me, one of my tenants works at a store where they had and abundance of it because of customer limitations. She brought home some sanitizer for me and I was grateful she did. I should have plenty for while, at least until the shelves get fully stocked again. In addition, GoJo, the people who make Purell, are opening up a factory in my suburb. With some luck, they will let the citizens buy direct from them. And thanks to President Trump, there is this:

Every vaccine is different. For the influenza vaccine given to day, you should avoid it if you:
  • Have had an allergic reaction after a previous dose of influenza vaccine, or have any severe, life-threatening allergies.
  • Have ever had Guillain-Barré Syndrome (also called GBS).
In order to wipe out the coronavirus, we would need a participation much more than the 45% we get with the influenza vaccine. The CDC did a big study of why people don't get the flu vaccine. As it turns only about 2% of the population has medical condition to disqualify them. If everyone that was eligible to take the flu shot did, we would nearly wipe it out. That means last year we would have saved the lives of nearly 57,000 people, prevented an illness that sickens nearly 40 million people plus an economic impact in the hundreds of millions.

With over 50 vaccines in test trials, I don't think we will need to worry about a vaccine being available next year.

I only take the flu shot once in a while. I've known many people who came down with illness after they took the shot. Some years, you get vaccinated for one strain, but a new strain comes out that makes the original vaccine worthless.

I have little doubt a vaccine for Covid will be made, it's just a matter of how effective it is, how many people get it, how many are restricted from getting it, and any serious side-effects many of us will be waiting for before we have confidence it's beneficial to us.
The reason you have a flu shot every year is to pickup protection for new strains of the viruses.

Viruses making you ill go back years when live viruses were used in most vaccines. That is no longer necessary. Today, if one person get's a flu shot and get's sick, they are almost certain to spread the news. However, for the tens of thousands of people that get flu shots and have no reaction at all, they remain silent. Ray, how often do people stop you on the street or call you and say, "Ray, guess what I got a flu yesterday and I feel just fine. My wife and I and most of my brothers and sisters have been getting flu shots every year for over 40 years and I can't remember anyone telling me they got sick. Thy myth that flu shots will make you sick has certainly contributed to the number of people that don't get vaccinated which cost us tens of thousands of lives every year.

I'm sure a majority don't get sick, but if you feel well, and then are faced with the possibility of getting sick because of the shot, you just don't take it. The times I've taken it, I've never experienced such a thing, but that doesn't mean it will always be that way in the future. My sister, who spent much of her life working in the hospital, took the shot and got the flu a week later.

If an when a vaccine comes out, I'm sure a lot of people will have reservations about getting one for some time. We can't deal out the media in this game. They will search high and low for stories of people getting ill or dying, because that's what sells newspapers and brings people to their internet
site, even if it is all bullshit. President Trump is absolutely correct when he says how dishonest most of our media is. They don't care about informing people, they care about making money, even if it's a disadvantage to society as a whole.
The vaccine tracker has 40 vaccines in progress.
There will certainly be a choice.

And Trump is last person you want to hear from about the media.
Because his favorite is OAN, a questionable source, at best.

OAN is not really mainstream media, just media with a very small audience.

I (like most people I'm sure) are anxious for a safe and reliable vaccine to come out. Yes, people are working 24/7 around the globe to get it done. Of course, the winner of the race will get very wealthy provided no serious side-effects happen when they start vaccinating tens or hundreds of millions of people.

I've seen great economies and terrible economies. I've seen people predicting the end of the world for one reason or another. I've seen situations that look hopeless for not only myself, but more importantly, the country. But this is a new animal we've never experienced before. This is like a nightmare that won't stop, and you're just praying to wake up and realize it was nothing but a terrible dream.
Yes it is a nightmare. We are now retired with all the money we need to see the world, visit or favorite restaurants go to baseball and football games, attend jazz festivals, plays, concerts, spend much needed time at my local gym, and visit all my grandchildren, yet I sit at this damn computer, watch old movies, and clean out the the storage room for the third time. With probably only a few years left on this earth, I sure as hell hate to spend my time like this but having experience with a ventilator I certainly don't want to spend any time there either. I know a lot of people that have it worse, but it still really sucks.

However, looking at the situation from a more global point of view, this country made it through the depression which lasted about 10 years and it was far worse than this.

Ray, I would really be surprised to see much change for at least a year. I figure by then we will either have a vaccine that is reducing the spread of the virus or we will have better treatments that will take the fear out of the disease.
I can't breath with a mask on. I couldn't stand oxygen masks when i WENT in for an operation, I tolerate the mask less than those. I have problems breathing. I'll stay home until whenever. I don't want to live in a world where everyone wears a mask.
lkkxcgd2rg951.jpg
Since that Uterus holds a life and removing it would cause it's death.
Not wearing a mask will not cause me to die and even so, I'm an adult able to make my own choices but the child isn't.
A growing body of evidence supports the idea that wearing face masks in public, even when you feel well, can help curb the spread of the coronavirus — since people can spread the virus even without showing symptoms. That's the main reason to wear a mask: to protect other people from you.

However that's not written in stone, it's what the left wishes to believe. While you can find studies and such to show they work, I can find studies that say they don't. It's subjective, just like man made global warming, or the effects of hydroxychloroquine.

Because there is no consensus, then it should be the individuals choice whether to wear a mask or not.
I think there is a huge consensus among just everybody in the healthcare field in regard to mask wearing. Of course it probably does not include your local bartender who is out of work, Sam the Surfer, and my granddaughter that thinks wearing a mask makes her look ugly. And there is a lot evidence coming contact tracing that shows that people that are asymptomatic are spreading the virus.

I read the opposite from the CDC just a few weeks ago. This tells you how everything changes. First a mask was no good, now it's mandated in cities and states across the country. Before asymptomatic people were low risk for spreading, now the risk of spreading is the same.

I think there is a difference between going to a restaurant and going to a doctors office. Doctors are exposed to ill people day in day out. For most of us, we will probably never be around a person with Covid unless you are a socialite, or your business relies on personal contact with people all day long. Although our antibody testing is far from perfected, some are suggesting that we are already in the herd process and there's no stopping it.

The problem with this thing is we've never experienced anything like it; at least with the technology we have today. Who knows......next year at this time, they may be telling us what a waste of time and money it was for us to wear a mask. We simply don't know.
Early on CDC said that masks would not protect you which was true then and is basically true today. Actually, there is a very small amount of protection for the wearer but not much. Herd immunity as defined by the scientist is a calculated estimate based on transmission rate and reproductive numbers for the virus. For this virus herd immunity is 70% of the population having been exposed, that is they have antibodies. That can be off by 10 or 15%. If the scientists definition of herd immunity is used, there should not be much difference in the calculation.

We may not have all the details of a virus but we know a lot about epidemics and how to control them. For example any airborne virus or a virus whose most common transmission is through the air, the key to stopping transmission is preventing the virus from reaching a host. Masks, plastic shields, staying away from the source of virus, staying at home, etc prevents the spread, a really easy to understand concept but pretty hard to implement in a large population.

We also know a lot about a virus based on the characteristics of the family. There are 6 types of coronavirus that can infect humans which includes Mers and SARS. They have many of the same characteristic but there are some differences. It's really fortunate that there was work done developing the SARS vaccine because this gave researchers a starting point in developing the vaccine for this member of the family. Making changes to the vaccine can be very simple. However, every time you change the vaccine you start over in testing. This is why it takes so long to develop a vaccine. The fact that we are willing to accept a vaccine which has is not very effective, 40% makes it more likely we will get one sooner rather later.

It's wishful thinking, but there certainly is no guarantee a vaccine can be developed. We still don't have vaccines for HIV, flu, even the common cold.

If a new vaccine came out and was approved by September, many Americans would be hesitant to take it including myself. It reminds me of when I bought my first computer and read up on it. It was a Dummy's book. The author warned his readers to never buy software 2.0. 2.0 software is the original version. When thousands of people use it problem free in trials, it's different than when you start passing it out to millions of people. That's when they discover the hidden flaws and imperfections. It's why you always wait until version 2.2. or 2.3 to come out. Those are the versions where the flaws have been corrected.

It's the same with new medications. Yes, it undergoes intense testing, but we won't know the results or drawbacks until it's been used on tens of millions of people. Even then, it could take years to find out if it has any long-term negative effects.

Before I take it, I would need 100% guarantee from my doctor that it won't have any harmful effects on me, corroborated by my cousin, who is a retired research doctor that supervised the laboratory where she worked. Until I get that, I may wait for a while if and when a vaccine comes out.
I agree with your assessment of a vaccine with a few exceptions.
We do have a vaccine for the flu. I get one every year. A vaccine to prevent the common cold has been difficult to make, primarily because there are more than 200 different varieties of viruses that can cause colds. Also, if there were such a vaccine, you would have to get a new one every year like the flu vaccine, plus it would probably be not very effective due to the rate these viruses mutate.

The HIV is nothing like the coronations family of viruses. The problem developing a vaccine for HIV lies in genetic makeup of the virus. Unlike coronavirus, HIV has an incredibly fast replication cycle, less than 24 hour. However, the real show stopper is that HIV is prone to frequent replication errors, churning out mutated copies of itself which recombine into new strains as the virus is passed from person to person.

This coronavirus is very similar to SARS which we have developed a vaccine. Also most of the organizations developing vaccines have already proved in the lab that their vaccine kills the virus and is so far harmless to humans. The big question market is how effective the vaccine will be. Typically vaccines like these are 40% to 70% effective. The CDC has implied that a 40% effective vaccine would be acceptable. Think about what this really means. If we are able to produce enough of the vaccine to make it available like the flu vaccine at every primary care doctors office, every pharmacy, hospital, and public health clinic, we might be able to get the same inoculation numbers as the flu vaccine which is 45% of the population by the end of next year. So we might just have have 148 million vaccinated with 40% less chance of getting the virus and the remainder no protection since they were not vaccinated. After a year or so we get more effective vaccines and thus more protection. My guess is we will reach herd immunity about the time of 2024 election.

I don't think we're going see an unemployment rate of less than 5% for at least a year or so and people will dying from coronavirus for many years, hopefully at a greatly reduced rate.

BTW You will never get a 100% guarantee that a vaccine will not harm you. Deaths caused by vaccines are less than 2 per million and in almost all of those cases the person had a compromised immune system or had other conditions. You're probably more likely to get killed by a lightening strike than a vaccine.

I happen to be one of those people. I am 60 years old, and one of my two major medical conditions is the number one condition associated with death. It's one of the reasons I'd be so hesitant to take it.

If we (or others) do develop a vaccine for this thing, it should be able to wipe it out. Unlike the flu, it won't mutate so rapidly or differently, if it does at all. Experts have said if it would, then a weaker much less deadly strain would take it's place, unlike the flu. And if it does again, the next strain will be weaker yet.

Plus I think careless people have become more conscious of cleanliness now. You still can't find hand sanitizer or liquid soap in some stores. Fortunately for me, one of my tenants works at a store where they had and abundance of it because of customer limitations. She brought home some sanitizer for me and I was grateful she did. I should have plenty for while, at least until the shelves get fully stocked again. In addition, GoJo, the people who make Purell, are opening up a factory in my suburb. With some luck, they will let the citizens buy direct from them. And thanks to President Trump, there is this:

Every vaccine is different. For the influenza vaccine given to day, you should avoid it if you:
  • Have had an allergic reaction after a previous dose of influenza vaccine, or have any severe, life-threatening allergies.
  • Have ever had Guillain-Barré Syndrome (also called GBS).
In order to wipe out the coronavirus, we would need a participation much more than the 45% we get with the influenza vaccine. The CDC did a big study of why people don't get the flu vaccine. As it turns only about 2% of the population has medical condition to disqualify them. If everyone that was eligible to take the flu shot did, we would nearly wipe it out. That means last year we would have saved the lives of nearly 57,000 people, prevented an illness that sickens nearly 40 million people plus an economic impact in the hundreds of millions.

With over 50 vaccines in test trials, I don't think we will need to worry about a vaccine being available next year.

I only take the flu shot once in a while. I've known many people who came down with illness after they took the shot. Some years, you get vaccinated for one strain, but a new strain comes out that makes the original vaccine worthless.

I have little doubt a vaccine for Covid will be made, it's just a matter of how effective it is, how many people get it, how many are restricted from getting it, and any serious side-effects many of us will be waiting for before we have confidence it's beneficial to us.
The reason you have a flu shot every year is to pickup protection for new strains of the viruses.

Viruses making you ill go back years when live viruses were used in most vaccines. That is no longer necessary. Today, if one person get's a flu shot and get's sick, they are almost certain to spread the news. However, for the tens of thousands of people that get flu shots and have no reaction at all, they remain silent. Ray, how often do people stop you on the street or call you and say, "Ray, guess what I got a flu yesterday and I feel just fine. My wife and I and most of my brothers and sisters have been getting flu shots every year for over 40 years and I can't remember anyone telling me they got sick. Thy myth that flu shots will make you sick has certainly contributed to the number of people that don't get vaccinated which cost us tens of thousands of lives every year.

I'm sure a majority don't get sick, but if you feel well, and then are faced with the possibility of getting sick because of the shot, you just don't take it. The times I've taken it, I've never experienced such a thing, but that doesn't mean it will always be that way in the future. My sister, who spent much of her life working in the hospital, took the shot and got the flu a week later.

If an when a vaccine comes out, I'm sure a lot of people will have reservations about getting one for some time. We can't deal out the media in this game. They will search high and low for stories of people getting ill or dying, because that's what sells newspapers and brings people to their internet
site, even if it is all bullshit. President Trump is absolutely correct when he says how dishonest most of our media is. They don't care about informing people, they care about making money, even if it's a disadvantage to society as a whole.
The vaccine tracker has 40 vaccines in progress.
There will certainly be a choice.

And Trump is last person you want to hear from about the media.
Because his favorite is OAN, a questionable source, at best.

OAN is not really mainstream media, just media with a very small audience.

I (like most people I'm sure) are anxious for a safe and reliable vaccine to come out. Yes, people are working 24/7 around the globe to get it done. Of course, the winner of the race will get very wealthy provided no serious side-effects happen when they start vaccinating tens or hundreds of millions of people.

I've seen great economies and terrible economies. I've seen people predicting the end of the world for one reason or another. I've seen situations that look hopeless for not only myself, but more importantly, the country. But this is a new animal we've never experienced before. This is like a nightmare that won't stop, and you're just praying to wake up and realize it was nothing but a terrible dream.
Yes it is a nightmare. We are now retired with all the money we need to see the world, visit or favorite restaurants go to baseball and football games, attend jazz festivals, plays, concerts, spend much needed time at my local gym, and visit all my grandchildren, yet I sit at this damn computer, watch old movies, and clean out the the storage room for the third time. With probably only a few years left on this earth, I sure as hell hate to spend my time like this but having experience with a ventilator I certainly don't want to spend any time there either. I know a lot of people that have it worse, but it still really sucks.

However, looking at the situation from a more global point of view, this country made it through the depression which lasted about 10 years and it was far worse than this.

Ray, I would really be surprised to see much change for at least a year. I figure by then we will either have a vaccine that is reducing the spread of the virus or we will have better treatments that will take the fear out of the disease.

And both are being worked on every living minute. People who had the virus and survived, developed antibodies that fight Covid off. Blood transfusions have a very encouraging future even if no vaccine is produced. As more people get it and recover, more subjects can donate this valuable plasma, particularly to front line healthcare workers, first responders, and eventually to people like me who are at high risk.

Medications have been politicizes such as hydroxychloroquine. Many doctors and experts say it is helping their patients with proper dosage. The problem is, Trump endorsed it's use, and now we have people on the right supporting the treatment, and people on the left, plus the MSM, who are against it for no reason other than Trump saying doctors who believe in the results should be allowed to prescribe it.

Everything in our country today is about politics unfortunately.
Unfortunately, it's true that everything is politicize particularly in an election year. After the election regardless of who wins, we will have a clearer picture of the epidemic and the path forward. Both the Right and Left have distorted the picture. On one side we have Trump still attempting to downplay the seriousness of the virus and the Left trying to overplay the seriousness. The truth probably lies somewhere in between. The Left is trying to blame Trump for the spread of the virus and Trump is trying to blame the Chinese and the WHO. Although these are certainly campaign issues, they will have no direct effect on how we deal with the epidemic.

I'm a bit concerned with Trump's Operation Warp Speed which is backing AstraZeneca to the tune of about 1.2 billion dollars. Suppose the Chinese or some dark horse comes in first, will Trump stick with AstraZenca or will he follow the scientist's recommendations. He has placed a big bet both in dollars and his political capital on his Operation Warp Speed which will probably figure prominently in his campaign.

Given the fact that the Presidents main concern is saving the economy, I think he'll do whatever he can to get this country back on a normal path ASAP. The virus is holding things up, and in spite of that, people are going back to work and buying things. it's simply not enough though to guarantee a re-election win. He'll take whatever help is offered, or whatever help he can get, and it doesn't matter if it came from North Korea or China.

If that did happen, and China was smart, they would hold Trump hostage by demanding he back off of his trade agreement deals. They would have him over a barrel. However like any country, if a vaccine was developed there, the government obligation would be to take care of their own people first. just as we would do over here. There's over a billion people in that country.
 
I can't breath with a mask on. I couldn't stand oxygen masks when i WENT in for an operation, I tolerate the mask less than those. I have problems breathing. I'll stay home until whenever. I don't want to live in a world where everyone wears a mask.
lkkxcgd2rg951.jpg
Since that Uterus holds a life and removing it would cause it's death.
Not wearing a mask will not cause me to die and even so, I'm an adult able to make my own choices but the child isn't.
A growing body of evidence supports the idea that wearing face masks in public, even when you feel well, can help curb the spread of the coronavirus — since people can spread the virus even without showing symptoms. That's the main reason to wear a mask: to protect other people from you.

However that's not written in stone, it's what the left wishes to believe. While you can find studies and such to show they work, I can find studies that say they don't. It's subjective, just like man made global warming, or the effects of hydroxychloroquine.

Because there is no consensus, then it should be the individuals choice whether to wear a mask or not.
I think there is a huge consensus among just everybody in the healthcare field in regard to mask wearing. Of course it probably does not include your local bartender who is out of work, Sam the Surfer, and my granddaughter that thinks wearing a mask makes her look ugly. And there is a lot evidence coming contact tracing that shows that people that are asymptomatic are spreading the virus.

I read the opposite from the CDC just a few weeks ago. This tells you how everything changes. First a mask was no good, now it's mandated in cities and states across the country. Before asymptomatic people were low risk for spreading, now the risk of spreading is the same.

I think there is a difference between going to a restaurant and going to a doctors office. Doctors are exposed to ill people day in day out. For most of us, we will probably never be around a person with Covid unless you are a socialite, or your business relies on personal contact with people all day long. Although our antibody testing is far from perfected, some are suggesting that we are already in the herd process and there's no stopping it.

The problem with this thing is we've never experienced anything like it; at least with the technology we have today. Who knows......next year at this time, they may be telling us what a waste of time and money it was for us to wear a mask. We simply don't know.
Early on CDC said that masks would not protect you which was true then and is basically true today. Actually, there is a very small amount of protection for the wearer but not much. Herd immunity as defined by the scientist is a calculated estimate based on transmission rate and reproductive numbers for the virus. For this virus herd immunity is 70% of the population having been exposed, that is they have antibodies. That can be off by 10 or 15%. If the scientists definition of herd immunity is used, there should not be much difference in the calculation.

We may not have all the details of a virus but we know a lot about epidemics and how to control them. For example any airborne virus or a virus whose most common transmission is through the air, the key to stopping transmission is preventing the virus from reaching a host. Masks, plastic shields, staying away from the source of virus, staying at home, etc prevents the spread, a really easy to understand concept but pretty hard to implement in a large population.

We also know a lot about a virus based on the characteristics of the family. There are 6 types of coronavirus that can infect humans which includes Mers and SARS. They have many of the same characteristic but there are some differences. It's really fortunate that there was work done developing the SARS vaccine because this gave researchers a starting point in developing the vaccine for this member of the family. Making changes to the vaccine can be very simple. However, every time you change the vaccine you start over in testing. This is why it takes so long to develop a vaccine. The fact that we are willing to accept a vaccine which has is not very effective, 40% makes it more likely we will get one sooner rather later.

It's wishful thinking, but there certainly is no guarantee a vaccine can be developed. We still don't have vaccines for HIV, flu, even the common cold.

If a new vaccine came out and was approved by September, many Americans would be hesitant to take it including myself. It reminds me of when I bought my first computer and read up on it. It was a Dummy's book. The author warned his readers to never buy software 2.0. 2.0 software is the original version. When thousands of people use it problem free in trials, it's different than when you start passing it out to millions of people. That's when they discover the hidden flaws and imperfections. It's why you always wait until version 2.2. or 2.3 to come out. Those are the versions where the flaws have been corrected.

It's the same with new medications. Yes, it undergoes intense testing, but we won't know the results or drawbacks until it's been used on tens of millions of people. Even then, it could take years to find out if it has any long-term negative effects.

Before I take it, I would need 100% guarantee from my doctor that it won't have any harmful effects on me, corroborated by my cousin, who is a retired research doctor that supervised the laboratory where she worked. Until I get that, I may wait for a while if and when a vaccine comes out.
I agree with your assessment of a vaccine with a few exceptions.
We do have a vaccine for the flu. I get one every year. A vaccine to prevent the common cold has been difficult to make, primarily because there are more than 200 different varieties of viruses that can cause colds. Also, if there were such a vaccine, you would have to get a new one every year like the flu vaccine, plus it would probably be not very effective due to the rate these viruses mutate.

The HIV is nothing like the coronations family of viruses. The problem developing a vaccine for HIV lies in genetic makeup of the virus. Unlike coronavirus, HIV has an incredibly fast replication cycle, less than 24 hour. However, the real show stopper is that HIV is prone to frequent replication errors, churning out mutated copies of itself which recombine into new strains as the virus is passed from person to person.

This coronavirus is very similar to SARS which we have developed a vaccine. Also most of the organizations developing vaccines have already proved in the lab that their vaccine kills the virus and is so far harmless to humans. The big question market is how effective the vaccine will be. Typically vaccines like these are 40% to 70% effective. The CDC has implied that a 40% effective vaccine would be acceptable. Think about what this really means. If we are able to produce enough of the vaccine to make it available like the flu vaccine at every primary care doctors office, every pharmacy, hospital, and public health clinic, we might be able to get the same inoculation numbers as the flu vaccine which is 45% of the population by the end of next year. So we might just have have 148 million vaccinated with 40% less chance of getting the virus and the remainder no protection since they were not vaccinated. After a year or so we get more effective vaccines and thus more protection. My guess is we will reach herd immunity about the time of 2024 election.

I don't think we're going see an unemployment rate of less than 5% for at least a year or so and people will dying from coronavirus for many years, hopefully at a greatly reduced rate.

BTW You will never get a 100% guarantee that a vaccine will not harm you. Deaths caused by vaccines are less than 2 per million and in almost all of those cases the person had a compromised immune system or had other conditions. You're probably more likely to get killed by a lightening strike than a vaccine.

I happen to be one of those people. I am 60 years old, and one of my two major medical conditions is the number one condition associated with death. It's one of the reasons I'd be so hesitant to take it.

If we (or others) do develop a vaccine for this thing, it should be able to wipe it out. Unlike the flu, it won't mutate so rapidly or differently, if it does at all. Experts have said if it would, then a weaker much less deadly strain would take it's place, unlike the flu. And if it does again, the next strain will be weaker yet.

Plus I think careless people have become more conscious of cleanliness now. You still can't find hand sanitizer or liquid soap in some stores. Fortunately for me, one of my tenants works at a store where they had and abundance of it because of customer limitations. She brought home some sanitizer for me and I was grateful she did. I should have plenty for while, at least until the shelves get fully stocked again. In addition, GoJo, the people who make Purell, are opening up a factory in my suburb. With some luck, they will let the citizens buy direct from them. And thanks to President Trump, there is this:

Every vaccine is different. For the influenza vaccine given to day, you should avoid it if you:
  • Have had an allergic reaction after a previous dose of influenza vaccine, or have any severe, life-threatening allergies.
  • Have ever had Guillain-Barré Syndrome (also called GBS).
In order to wipe out the coronavirus, we would need a participation much more than the 45% we get with the influenza vaccine. The CDC did a big study of why people don't get the flu vaccine. As it turns only about 2% of the population has medical condition to disqualify them. If everyone that was eligible to take the flu shot did, we would nearly wipe it out. That means last year we would have saved the lives of nearly 57,000 people, prevented an illness that sickens nearly 40 million people plus an economic impact in the hundreds of millions.

With over 50 vaccines in test trials, I don't think we will need to worry about a vaccine being available next year.

I only take the flu shot once in a while. I've known many people who came down with illness after they took the shot. Some years, you get vaccinated for one strain, but a new strain comes out that makes the original vaccine worthless.

I have little doubt a vaccine for Covid will be made, it's just a matter of how effective it is, how many people get it, how many are restricted from getting it, and any serious side-effects many of us will be waiting for before we have confidence it's beneficial to us.
The reason you have a flu shot every year is to pickup protection for new strains of the viruses.

Viruses making you ill go back years when live viruses were used in most vaccines. That is no longer necessary. Today, if one person get's a flu shot and get's sick, they are almost certain to spread the news. However, for the tens of thousands of people that get flu shots and have no reaction at all, they remain silent. Ray, how often do people stop you on the street or call you and say, "Ray, guess what I got a flu yesterday and I feel just fine. My wife and I and most of my brothers and sisters have been getting flu shots every year for over 40 years and I can't remember anyone telling me they got sick. Thy myth that flu shots will make you sick has certainly contributed to the number of people that don't get vaccinated which cost us tens of thousands of lives every year.

I'm sure a majority don't get sick, but if you feel well, and then are faced with the possibility of getting sick because of the shot, you just don't take it. The times I've taken it, I've never experienced such a thing, but that doesn't mean it will always be that way in the future. My sister, who spent much of her life working in the hospital, took the shot and got the flu a week later.

If an when a vaccine comes out, I'm sure a lot of people will have reservations about getting one for some time. We can't deal out the media in this game. They will search high and low for stories of people getting ill or dying, because that's what sells newspapers and brings people to their internet
site, even if it is all bullshit. President Trump is absolutely correct when he says how dishonest most of our media is. They don't care about informing people, they care about making money, even if it's a disadvantage to society as a whole.
The vaccine tracker has 40 vaccines in progress.
There will certainly be a choice.

And Trump is last person you want to hear from about the media.
Because his favorite is OAN, a questionable source, at best.

OAN is not really mainstream media, just media with a very small audience.

I (like most people I'm sure) are anxious for a safe and reliable vaccine to come out. Yes, people are working 24/7 around the globe to get it done. Of course, the winner of the race will get very wealthy provided no serious side-effects happen when they start vaccinating tens or hundreds of millions of people.

I've seen great economies and terrible economies. I've seen people predicting the end of the world for one reason or another. I've seen situations that look hopeless for not only myself, but more importantly, the country. But this is a new animal we've never experienced before. This is like a nightmare that won't stop, and you're just praying to wake up and realize it was nothing but a terrible dream.
Yes it is a nightmare. We are now retired with all the money we need to see the world, visit or favorite restaurants go to baseball and football games, attend jazz festivals, plays, concerts, spend much needed time at my local gym, and visit all my grandchildren, yet I sit at this damn computer, watch old movies, and clean out the the storage room for the third time. With probably only a few years left on this earth, I sure as hell hate to spend my time like this but having experience with a ventilator I certainly don't want to spend any time there either. I know a lot of people that have it worse, but it still really sucks.

However, looking at the situation from a more global point of view, this country made it through the depression which lasted about 10 years and it was far worse than this.

Ray, I would really be surprised to see much change for at least a year. I figure by then we will either have a vaccine that is reducing the spread of the virus or we will have better treatments that will take the fear out of the disease.

And both are being worked on every living minute. People who had the virus and survived, developed antibodies that fight Covid off. Blood transfusions have a very encouraging future even if no vaccine is produced. As more people get it and recover, more subjects can donate this valuable plasma, particularly to front line healthcare workers, first responders, and eventually to people like me who are at high risk.

Medications have been politicizes such as hydroxychloroquine. Many doctors and experts say it is helping their patients with proper dosage. The problem is, Trump endorsed it's use, and now we have people on the right supporting the treatment, and people on the left, plus the MSM, who are against it for no reason other than Trump saying doctors who believe in the results should be allowed to prescribe it.

Everything in our country today is about politics unfortunately.
hydroxychloroquine is a zinc ionophore, meaning it helps zinc to be absorbed into cells. But it doesnt do any good unless you have zinc available. Zinc is one of the components of a functioning immune system. The other components are avoiding sugar in diet, adequate vitamin D levels, and vitamin C in diet. But perhaps just as effective zinc ionophore is quercetin, which can be supplemented over the counter, or just by eating quercetin containing foods.

So, the reason hydroxychloroquine is "politicized" is because nobody explains such things. And that these components are relevant to any virus, flu or covid or whatever. Trump is too brain dead to be able to tell people about such things.

Laura has experts on her show all the time about how it works, what real studies show, and how they are treating patients successfully with the combo of drugs. After all, she's the one who brought HCQ to light. Trump just happens to watch her show.

WaPo did an opinion piece a while back, ‘The real reason Trump is obsessed with hydroxychloroquine,’ and it has some insight.

Basically, he’s looking for that silver bullet that ‘cures’ the virus, makes everyone think he’s brilliant, and he wins the election. It’s desperation.

Put in the frame of disinfectant injection, and it makes sense. Trump cures pandemic using only a turkey baster, some pliers and a bottle of dish soap. He wants to be the guy that discovered bleach. He wants to be smart again.

A study came out saying ‘Hydroxychloroquine’ works—and he’s like, ‘See, I told you so!’ He’s vindicated.

Well.....it actually has worked. Trump promoted it because he believes it has worked here and abroad. Trump will do anything to get this behind us, and I support anybody that has the same goal.

It's the left that politicized it, not Trump. If Trump originally came out and said he's against the use of HCQ, the left would have been shouting from the rooftops how Trump is not for saving Americans. How Trump is hoping we turn to a solution from a company he has investments in. Every news outlet on cable television would be promoting the use of HCQ, and demanding that it be made as an over the counter drug for anybody to get their hands on.

Unfortunately Trump is new at politics, and didn't think this out clearly before supporting the use of HCQ.

 
I can't breath with a mask on. I couldn't stand oxygen masks when i WENT in for an operation, I tolerate the mask less than those. I have problems breathing. I'll stay home until whenever. I don't want to live in a world where everyone wears a mask.
lkkxcgd2rg951.jpg
Since that Uterus holds a life and removing it would cause it's death.
Not wearing a mask will not cause me to die and even so, I'm an adult able to make my own choices but the child isn't.
A growing body of evidence supports the idea that wearing face masks in public, even when you feel well, can help curb the spread of the coronavirus — since people can spread the virus even without showing symptoms. That's the main reason to wear a mask: to protect other people from you.

However that's not written in stone, it's what the left wishes to believe. While you can find studies and such to show they work, I can find studies that say they don't. It's subjective, just like man made global warming, or the effects of hydroxychloroquine.

Because there is no consensus, then it should be the individuals choice whether to wear a mask or not.
I think there is a huge consensus among just everybody in the healthcare field in regard to mask wearing. Of course it probably does not include your local bartender who is out of work, Sam the Surfer, and my granddaughter that thinks wearing a mask makes her look ugly. And there is a lot evidence coming contact tracing that shows that people that are asymptomatic are spreading the virus.

I read the opposite from the CDC just a few weeks ago. This tells you how everything changes. First a mask was no good, now it's mandated in cities and states across the country. Before asymptomatic people were low risk for spreading, now the risk of spreading is the same.

I think there is a difference between going to a restaurant and going to a doctors office. Doctors are exposed to ill people day in day out. For most of us, we will probably never be around a person with Covid unless you are a socialite, or your business relies on personal contact with people all day long. Although our antibody testing is far from perfected, some are suggesting that we are already in the herd process and there's no stopping it.

The problem with this thing is we've never experienced anything like it; at least with the technology we have today. Who knows......next year at this time, they may be telling us what a waste of time and money it was for us to wear a mask. We simply don't know.
Early on CDC said that masks would not protect you which was true then and is basically true today. Actually, there is a very small amount of protection for the wearer but not much. Herd immunity as defined by the scientist is a calculated estimate based on transmission rate and reproductive numbers for the virus. For this virus herd immunity is 70% of the population having been exposed, that is they have antibodies. That can be off by 10 or 15%. If the scientists definition of herd immunity is used, there should not be much difference in the calculation.

We may not have all the details of a virus but we know a lot about epidemics and how to control them. For example any airborne virus or a virus whose most common transmission is through the air, the key to stopping transmission is preventing the virus from reaching a host. Masks, plastic shields, staying away from the source of virus, staying at home, etc prevents the spread, a really easy to understand concept but pretty hard to implement in a large population.

We also know a lot about a virus based on the characteristics of the family. There are 6 types of coronavirus that can infect humans which includes Mers and SARS. They have many of the same characteristic but there are some differences. It's really fortunate that there was work done developing the SARS vaccine because this gave researchers a starting point in developing the vaccine for this member of the family. Making changes to the vaccine can be very simple. However, every time you change the vaccine you start over in testing. This is why it takes so long to develop a vaccine. The fact that we are willing to accept a vaccine which has is not very effective, 40% makes it more likely we will get one sooner rather later.

It's wishful thinking, but there certainly is no guarantee a vaccine can be developed. We still don't have vaccines for HIV, flu, even the common cold.

If a new vaccine came out and was approved by September, many Americans would be hesitant to take it including myself. It reminds me of when I bought my first computer and read up on it. It was a Dummy's book. The author warned his readers to never buy software 2.0. 2.0 software is the original version. When thousands of people use it problem free in trials, it's different than when you start passing it out to millions of people. That's when they discover the hidden flaws and imperfections. It's why you always wait until version 2.2. or 2.3 to come out. Those are the versions where the flaws have been corrected.

It's the same with new medications. Yes, it undergoes intense testing, but we won't know the results or drawbacks until it's been used on tens of millions of people. Even then, it could take years to find out if it has any long-term negative effects.

Before I take it, I would need 100% guarantee from my doctor that it won't have any harmful effects on me, corroborated by my cousin, who is a retired research doctor that supervised the laboratory where she worked. Until I get that, I may wait for a while if and when a vaccine comes out.
I agree with your assessment of a vaccine with a few exceptions.
We do have a vaccine for the flu. I get one every year. A vaccine to prevent the common cold has been difficult to make, primarily because there are more than 200 different varieties of viruses that can cause colds. Also, if there were such a vaccine, you would have to get a new one every year like the flu vaccine, plus it would probably be not very effective due to the rate these viruses mutate.

The HIV is nothing like the coronations family of viruses. The problem developing a vaccine for HIV lies in genetic makeup of the virus. Unlike coronavirus, HIV has an incredibly fast replication cycle, less than 24 hour. However, the real show stopper is that HIV is prone to frequent replication errors, churning out mutated copies of itself which recombine into new strains as the virus is passed from person to person.

This coronavirus is very similar to SARS which we have developed a vaccine. Also most of the organizations developing vaccines have already proved in the lab that their vaccine kills the virus and is so far harmless to humans. The big question market is how effective the vaccine will be. Typically vaccines like these are 40% to 70% effective. The CDC has implied that a 40% effective vaccine would be acceptable. Think about what this really means. If we are able to produce enough of the vaccine to make it available like the flu vaccine at every primary care doctors office, every pharmacy, hospital, and public health clinic, we might be able to get the same inoculation numbers as the flu vaccine which is 45% of the population by the end of next year. So we might just have have 148 million vaccinated with 40% less chance of getting the virus and the remainder no protection since they were not vaccinated. After a year or so we get more effective vaccines and thus more protection. My guess is we will reach herd immunity about the time of 2024 election.

I don't think we're going see an unemployment rate of less than 5% for at least a year or so and people will dying from coronavirus for many years, hopefully at a greatly reduced rate.

BTW You will never get a 100% guarantee that a vaccine will not harm you. Deaths caused by vaccines are less than 2 per million and in almost all of those cases the person had a compromised immune system or had other conditions. You're probably more likely to get killed by a lightening strike than a vaccine.

I happen to be one of those people. I am 60 years old, and one of my two major medical conditions is the number one condition associated with death. It's one of the reasons I'd be so hesitant to take it.

If we (or others) do develop a vaccine for this thing, it should be able to wipe it out. Unlike the flu, it won't mutate so rapidly or differently, if it does at all. Experts have said if it would, then a weaker much less deadly strain would take it's place, unlike the flu. And if it does again, the next strain will be weaker yet.

Plus I think careless people have become more conscious of cleanliness now. You still can't find hand sanitizer or liquid soap in some stores. Fortunately for me, one of my tenants works at a store where they had and abundance of it because of customer limitations. She brought home some sanitizer for me and I was grateful she did. I should have plenty for while, at least until the shelves get fully stocked again. In addition, GoJo, the people who make Purell, are opening up a factory in my suburb. With some luck, they will let the citizens buy direct from them. And thanks to President Trump, there is this:

Every vaccine is different. For the influenza vaccine given to day, you should avoid it if you:
  • Have had an allergic reaction after a previous dose of influenza vaccine, or have any severe, life-threatening allergies.
  • Have ever had Guillain-Barré Syndrome (also called GBS).
In order to wipe out the coronavirus, we would need a participation much more than the 45% we get with the influenza vaccine. The CDC did a big study of why people don't get the flu vaccine. As it turns only about 2% of the population has medical condition to disqualify them. If everyone that was eligible to take the flu shot did, we would nearly wipe it out. That means last year we would have saved the lives of nearly 57,000 people, prevented an illness that sickens nearly 40 million people plus an economic impact in the hundreds of millions.

With over 50 vaccines in test trials, I don't think we will need to worry about a vaccine being available next year.

I only take the flu shot once in a while. I've known many people who came down with illness after they took the shot. Some years, you get vaccinated for one strain, but a new strain comes out that makes the original vaccine worthless.

I have little doubt a vaccine for Covid will be made, it's just a matter of how effective it is, how many people get it, how many are restricted from getting it, and any serious side-effects many of us will be waiting for before we have confidence it's beneficial to us.
The reason you have a flu shot every year is to pickup protection for new strains of the viruses.

Viruses making you ill go back years when live viruses were used in most vaccines. That is no longer necessary. Today, if one person get's a flu shot and get's sick, they are almost certain to spread the news. However, for the tens of thousands of people that get flu shots and have no reaction at all, they remain silent. Ray, how often do people stop you on the street or call you and say, "Ray, guess what I got a flu yesterday and I feel just fine. My wife and I and most of my brothers and sisters have been getting flu shots every year for over 40 years and I can't remember anyone telling me they got sick. Thy myth that flu shots will make you sick has certainly contributed to the number of people that don't get vaccinated which cost us tens of thousands of lives every year.

I'm sure a majority don't get sick, but if you feel well, and then are faced with the possibility of getting sick because of the shot, you just don't take it. The times I've taken it, I've never experienced such a thing, but that doesn't mean it will always be that way in the future. My sister, who spent much of her life working in the hospital, took the shot and got the flu a week later.

If an when a vaccine comes out, I'm sure a lot of people will have reservations about getting one for some time. We can't deal out the media in this game. They will search high and low for stories of people getting ill or dying, because that's what sells newspapers and brings people to their internet
site, even if it is all bullshit. President Trump is absolutely correct when he says how dishonest most of our media is. They don't care about informing people, they care about making money, even if it's a disadvantage to society as a whole.
The vaccine tracker has 40 vaccines in progress.
There will certainly be a choice.

And Trump is last person you want to hear from about the media.
Because his favorite is OAN, a questionable source, at best.

OAN is not really mainstream media, just media with a very small audience.

I (like most people I'm sure) are anxious for a safe and reliable vaccine to come out. Yes, people are working 24/7 around the globe to get it done. Of course, the winner of the race will get very wealthy provided no serious side-effects happen when they start vaccinating tens or hundreds of millions of people.

I've seen great economies and terrible economies. I've seen people predicting the end of the world for one reason or another. I've seen situations that look hopeless for not only myself, but more importantly, the country. But this is a new animal we've never experienced before. This is like a nightmare that won't stop, and you're just praying to wake up and realize it was nothing but a terrible dream.
Yes it is a nightmare. We are now retired with all the money we need to see the world, visit or favorite restaurants go to baseball and football games, attend jazz festivals, plays, concerts, spend much needed time at my local gym, and visit all my grandchildren, yet I sit at this damn computer, watch old movies, and clean out the the storage room for the third time. With probably only a few years left on this earth, I sure as hell hate to spend my time like this but having experience with a ventilator I certainly don't want to spend any time there either. I know a lot of people that have it worse, but it still really sucks.

However, looking at the situation from a more global point of view, this country made it through the depression which lasted about 10 years and it was far worse than this.

Ray, I would really be surprised to see much change for at least a year. I figure by then we will either have a vaccine that is reducing the spread of the virus or we will have better treatments that will take the fear out of the disease.

And both are being worked on every living minute. People who had the virus and survived, developed antibodies that fight Covid off. Blood transfusions have a very encouraging future even if no vaccine is produced. As more people get it and recover, more subjects can donate this valuable plasma, particularly to front line healthcare workers, first responders, and eventually to people like me who are at high risk.

Medications have been politicizes such as hydroxychloroquine. Many doctors and experts say it is helping their patients with proper dosage. The problem is, Trump endorsed it's use, and now we have people on the right supporting the treatment, and people on the left, plus the MSM, who are against it for no reason other than Trump saying doctors who believe in the results should be allowed to prescribe it.

Everything in our country today is about politics unfortunately.
hydrochloride is a zinc ionophore, meaning it helps zinc to be absorbed into cells. But it doesnt do any good unless you have zinc available. Zinc is one of the components of a functioning immune system. The other components are avoiding sugar in diet, adequate vitamin D levels, and vitamin C in diet. But perhaps just as effective zinc ionophore is quercetin, which can be supplemented over the counter, or just by eating quercetin containing foods.

So, the reason hydroxychloroquine is "politicized" is because nobody explains such things. And that these components are relevant to any virus, flu or covid or whatever. Trump is too brain dead to be able to tell people about such things.

Laura has experts on her show all the time about how it works, what real studies show, and how they are treating patients successfully with the combo of drugs. After all, she's the one who brought HCQ to light. Trump just happens to watch her show.

WaPo did an opinion piece a while back, ‘The real reason Trump is obsessed with hydrochloride,’ and it has some insight.

Basically, he’s looking for that silver bullet that ‘cures’ the virus, makes everyone think he’s brilliant, and he wins the election. It’s desperation.

Put in the frame of disinfectant injection, and it makes sense. Trump cures pandemic using only a turkey baster, some pliers and a bottle of dish soap. He wants to be the guy that discovered bleach. He wants to be smart again.

A study came out saying ‘Hydroxychloroquine’ works—and he’s like, ‘See, I told you so!’ He’s vindicated.
Seems like a very reasonable explanation.
The FDA gave approval for hospitals to use hydroxychloroquine to treat Covid 19 however, a short time later after two studies concluded it was unlikely to have any benefit, the FDA rescinded the authorization. In June, the results of 3 drug studies dimmed any hope of a potential miracle cure. One was stopped because all preliminary data showed no positive results. A Canadian double blind study concluded that hydroxychloroquine had no effect on the prevention of the disease.

There was a man in Georgia who claimed his brain cancer was cured by drinking 3 cokes a day. A hospital in Italy found that large doses of Vitamin D had a very beneficial effect on breast cancer. These and dozens of other anecdotal studies when subject to valid scientific investigation have proven them false. Anyone with a background in science understands that there are logical reasons as to why treatments work. So far no has come up with a valid explanation of why hydroxychloroquine might work which might explain why it doesn't.

Correlation does imply causation

 
I can't breath with a mask on. I couldn't stand oxygen masks when i WENT in for an operation, I tolerate the mask less than those. I have problems breathing. I'll stay home until whenever. I don't want to live in a world where everyone wears a mask.
lkkxcgd2rg951.jpg
Since that Uterus holds a life and removing it would cause it's death.
Not wearing a mask will not cause me to die and even so, I'm an adult able to make my own choices but the child isn't.
A growing body of evidence supports the idea that wearing face masks in public, even when you feel well, can help curb the spread of the coronavirus — since people can spread the virus even without showing symptoms. That's the main reason to wear a mask: to protect other people from you.

However that's not written in stone, it's what the left wishes to believe. While you can find studies and such to show they work, I can find studies that say they don't. It's subjective, just like man made global warming, or the effects of hydroxychloroquine.

Because there is no consensus, then it should be the individuals choice whether to wear a mask or not.
I think there is a huge consensus among just everybody in the healthcare field in regard to mask wearing. Of course it probably does not include your local bartender who is out of work, Sam the Surfer, and my granddaughter that thinks wearing a mask makes her look ugly. And there is a lot evidence coming contact tracing that shows that people that are asymptomatic are spreading the virus.

I read the opposite from the CDC just a few weeks ago. This tells you how everything changes. First a mask was no good, now it's mandated in cities and states across the country. Before asymptomatic people were low risk for spreading, now the risk of spreading is the same.

I think there is a difference between going to a restaurant and going to a doctors office. Doctors are exposed to ill people day in day out. For most of us, we will probably never be around a person with Covid unless you are a socialite, or your business relies on personal contact with people all day long. Although our antibody testing is far from perfected, some are suggesting that we are already in the herd process and there's no stopping it.

The problem with this thing is we've never experienced anything like it; at least with the technology we have today. Who knows......next year at this time, they may be telling us what a waste of time and money it was for us to wear a mask. We simply don't know.
Early on CDC said that masks would not protect you which was true then and is basically true today. Actually, there is a very small amount of protection for the wearer but not much. Herd immunity as defined by the scientist is a calculated estimate based on transmission rate and reproductive numbers for the virus. For this virus herd immunity is 70% of the population having been exposed, that is they have antibodies. That can be off by 10 or 15%. If the scientists definition of herd immunity is used, there should not be much difference in the calculation.

We may not have all the details of a virus but we know a lot about epidemics and how to control them. For example any airborne virus or a virus whose most common transmission is through the air, the key to stopping transmission is preventing the virus from reaching a host. Masks, plastic shields, staying away from the source of virus, staying at home, etc prevents the spread, a really easy to understand concept but pretty hard to implement in a large population.

We also know a lot about a virus based on the characteristics of the family. There are 6 types of coronavirus that can infect humans which includes Mers and SARS. They have many of the same characteristic but there are some differences. It's really fortunate that there was work done developing the SARS vaccine because this gave researchers a starting point in developing the vaccine for this member of the family. Making changes to the vaccine can be very simple. However, every time you change the vaccine you start over in testing. This is why it takes so long to develop a vaccine. The fact that we are willing to accept a vaccine which has is not very effective, 40% makes it more likely we will get one sooner rather later.

It's wishful thinking, but there certainly is no guarantee a vaccine can be developed. We still don't have vaccines for HIV, flu, even the common cold.

If a new vaccine came out and was approved by September, many Americans would be hesitant to take it including myself. It reminds me of when I bought my first computer and read up on it. It was a Dummy's book. The author warned his readers to never buy software 2.0. 2.0 software is the original version. When thousands of people use it problem free in trials, it's different than when you start passing it out to millions of people. That's when they discover the hidden flaws and imperfections. It's why you always wait until version 2.2. or 2.3 to come out. Those are the versions where the flaws have been corrected.

It's the same with new medications. Yes, it undergoes intense testing, but we won't know the results or drawbacks until it's been used on tens of millions of people. Even then, it could take years to find out if it has any long-term negative effects.

Before I take it, I would need 100% guarantee from my doctor that it won't have any harmful effects on me, corroborated by my cousin, who is a retired research doctor that supervised the laboratory where she worked. Until I get that, I may wait for a while if and when a vaccine comes out.
I agree with your assessment of a vaccine with a few exceptions.
We do have a vaccine for the flu. I get one every year. A vaccine to prevent the common cold has been difficult to make, primarily because there are more than 200 different varieties of viruses that can cause colds. Also, if there were such a vaccine, you would have to get a new one every year like the flu vaccine, plus it would probably be not very effective due to the rate these viruses mutate.

The HIV is nothing like the coronations family of viruses. The problem developing a vaccine for HIV lies in genetic makeup of the virus. Unlike coronavirus, HIV has an incredibly fast replication cycle, less than 24 hour. However, the real show stopper is that HIV is prone to frequent replication errors, churning out mutated copies of itself which recombine into new strains as the virus is passed from person to person.

This coronavirus is very similar to SARS which we have developed a vaccine. Also most of the organizations developing vaccines have already proved in the lab that their vaccine kills the virus and is so far harmless to humans. The big question market is how effective the vaccine will be. Typically vaccines like these are 40% to 70% effective. The CDC has implied that a 40% effective vaccine would be acceptable. Think about what this really means. If we are able to produce enough of the vaccine to make it available like the flu vaccine at every primary care doctors office, every pharmacy, hospital, and public health clinic, we might be able to get the same inoculation numbers as the flu vaccine which is 45% of the population by the end of next year. So we might just have have 148 million vaccinated with 40% less chance of getting the virus and the remainder no protection since they were not vaccinated. After a year or so we get more effective vaccines and thus more protection. My guess is we will reach herd immunity about the time of 2024 election.

I don't think we're going see an unemployment rate of less than 5% for at least a year or so and people will dying from coronavirus for many years, hopefully at a greatly reduced rate.

BTW You will never get a 100% guarantee that a vaccine will not harm you. Deaths caused by vaccines are less than 2 per million and in almost all of those cases the person had a compromised immune system or had other conditions. You're probably more likely to get killed by a lightening strike than a vaccine.

I happen to be one of those people. I am 60 years old, and one of my two major medical conditions is the number one condition associated with death. It's one of the reasons I'd be so hesitant to take it.

If we (or others) do develop a vaccine for this thing, it should be able to wipe it out. Unlike the flu, it won't mutate so rapidly or differently, if it does at all. Experts have said if it would, then a weaker much less deadly strain would take it's place, unlike the flu. And if it does again, the next strain will be weaker yet.

Plus I think careless people have become more conscious of cleanliness now. You still can't find hand sanitizer or liquid soap in some stores. Fortunately for me, one of my tenants works at a store where they had and abundance of it because of customer limitations. She brought home some sanitizer for me and I was grateful she did. I should have plenty for while, at least until the shelves get fully stocked again. In addition, GoJo, the people who make Purell, are opening up a factory in my suburb. With some luck, they will let the citizens buy direct from them. And thanks to President Trump, there is this:

Every vaccine is different. For the influenza vaccine given to day, you should avoid it if you:
  • Have had an allergic reaction after a previous dose of influenza vaccine, or have any severe, life-threatening allergies.
  • Have ever had Guillain-Barré Syndrome (also called GBS).
In order to wipe out the coronavirus, we would need a participation much more than the 45% we get with the influenza vaccine. The CDC did a big study of why people don't get the flu vaccine. As it turns only about 2% of the population has medical condition to disqualify them. If everyone that was eligible to take the flu shot did, we would nearly wipe it out. That means last year we would have saved the lives of nearly 57,000 people, prevented an illness that sickens nearly 40 million people plus an economic impact in the hundreds of millions.

With over 50 vaccines in test trials, I don't think we will need to worry about a vaccine being available next year.

I only take the flu shot once in a while. I've known many people who came down with illness after they took the shot. Some years, you get vaccinated for one strain, but a new strain comes out that makes the original vaccine worthless.

I have little doubt a vaccine for Covid will be made, it's just a matter of how effective it is, how many people get it, how many are restricted from getting it, and any serious side-effects many of us will be waiting for before we have confidence it's beneficial to us.
The reason you have a flu shot every year is to pickup protection for new strains of the viruses.

Viruses making you ill go back years when live viruses were used in most vaccines. That is no longer necessary. Today, if one person get's a flu shot and get's sick, they are almost certain to spread the news. However, for the tens of thousands of people that get flu shots and have no reaction at all, they remain silent. Ray, how often do people stop you on the street or call you and say, "Ray, guess what I got a flu yesterday and I feel just fine. My wife and I and most of my brothers and sisters have been getting flu shots every year for over 40 years and I can't remember anyone telling me they got sick. Thy myth that flu shots will make you sick has certainly contributed to the number of people that don't get vaccinated which cost us tens of thousands of lives every year.

I'm sure a majority don't get sick, but if you feel well, and then are faced with the possibility of getting sick because of the shot, you just don't take it. The times I've taken it, I've never experienced such a thing, but that doesn't mean it will always be that way in the future. My sister, who spent much of her life working in the hospital, took the shot and got the flu a week later.

If an when a vaccine comes out, I'm sure a lot of people will have reservations about getting one for some time. We can't deal out the media in this game. They will search high and low for stories of people getting ill or dying, because that's what sells newspapers and brings people to their internet
site, even if it is all bullshit. President Trump is absolutely correct when he says how dishonest most of our media is. They don't care about informing people, they care about making money, even if it's a disadvantage to society as a whole.
The vaccine tracker has 40 vaccines in progress.
There will certainly be a choice.

And Trump is last person you want to hear from about the media.
Because his favorite is OAN, a questionable source, at best.

OAN is not really mainstream media, just media with a very small audience.

I (like most people I'm sure) are anxious for a safe and reliable vaccine to come out. Yes, people are working 24/7 around the globe to get it done. Of course, the winner of the race will get very wealthy provided no serious side-effects happen when they start vaccinating tens or hundreds of millions of people.

I've seen great economies and terrible economies. I've seen people predicting the end of the world for one reason or another. I've seen situations that look hopeless for not only myself, but more importantly, the country. But this is a new animal we've never experienced before. This is like a nightmare that won't stop, and you're just praying to wake up and realize it was nothing but a terrible dream.
Yes it is a nightmare. We are now retired with all the money we need to see the world, visit or favorite restaurants go to baseball and football games, attend jazz festivals, plays, concerts, spend much needed time at my local gym, and visit all my grandchildren, yet I sit at this damn computer, watch old movies, and clean out the the storage room for the third time. With probably only a few years left on this earth, I sure as hell hate to spend my time like this but having experience with a ventilator I certainly don't want to spend any time there either. I know a lot of people that have it worse, but it still really sucks.

However, looking at the situation from a more global point of view, this country made it through the depression which lasted about 10 years and it was far worse than this.

Ray, I would really be surprised to see much change for at least a year. I figure by then we will either have a vaccine that is reducing the spread of the virus or we will have better treatments that will take the fear out of the disease.

And both are being worked on every living minute. People who had the virus and survived, developed antibodies that fight Covid off. Blood transfusions have a very encouraging future even if no vaccine is produced. As more people get it and recover, more subjects can donate this valuable plasma, particularly to front line healthcare workers, first responders, and eventually to people like me who are at high risk.

Medications have been politicizes such as hydroxychloroquine. Many doctors and experts say it is helping their patients with proper dosage. The problem is, Trump endorsed it's use, and now we have people on the right supporting the treatment, and people on the left, plus the MSM, who are against it for no reason other than Trump saying doctors who believe in the results should be allowed to prescribe it.

Everything in our country today is about politics unfortunately.
hydroxychloroquine is a zinc ionophore, meaning it helps zinc to be absorbed into cells. But it doesnt do any good unless you have zinc available. Zinc is one of the components of a functioning immune system. The other components are avoiding sugar in diet, adequate vitamin D levels, and vitamin C in diet. But perhaps just as effective zinc ionophore is quercetin, which can be supplemented over the counter, or just by eating quercetin containing foods.

So, the reason hydroxychloroquine is "politicized" is because nobody explains such things. And that these components are relevant to any virus, flu or covid or whatever. Trump is too brain dead to be able to tell people about such things.

Laura has experts on her show all the time about how it works, what real studies show, and how they are treating patients successfully with the combo of drugs. After all, she's the one who brought HCQ to light. Trump just happens to watch her show.

WaPo did an opinion piece a while back, ‘The real reason Trump is obsessed with hydroxychloroquine,’ and it has some insight.

Basically, he’s looking for that silver bullet that ‘cures’ the virus, makes everyone think he’s brilliant, and he wins the election. It’s desperation.

Put in the frame of disinfectant injection, and it makes sense. Trump cures pandemic using only a turkey baster, some pliers and a bottle of dish soap. He wants to be the guy that discovered bleach. He wants to be smart again.

A study came out saying ‘Hydroxychloroquine’ works—and he’s like, ‘See, I told you so!’ He’s vindicated.

Well.....it actually has worked. Trump promoted it because he believes it has worked here and abroad. Trump will do anything to get this behind us, and I support anybody that has the same goal.

It's the left that politicized it, not Trump. If Trump originally came out and said he's against the use of HCQ, the left would have been shouting from the rooftops how Trump is not for saving Americans. How Trump is hoping we turn to a solution from a company he has investments in. Every news outlet on cable television would be promoting the use of HCQ, and demanding that it be made as an over the counter drug for anybody to get their hands on.

Unfortunately Trump is new at politics, and didn't think this out clearly before supporting the use of HCQ.


I'm ok with a president giving advice on basketball or the stock market. The worst that can happen is some money is lost or the team loses. In the field of medicine bad advice can result in people dying. Trump is not a doctor and as far as I can tell, he has absolutely no background in science. Recommendations on medical treatment should come from people who know what they talking about.
 
I can't breath with a mask on. I couldn't stand oxygen masks when i WENT in for an operation, I tolerate the mask less than those. I have problems breathing. I'll stay home until whenever. I don't want to live in a world where everyone wears a mask.
lkkxcgd2rg951.jpg
Since that Uterus holds a life and removing it would cause it's death.
Not wearing a mask will not cause me to die and even so, I'm an adult able to make my own choices but the child isn't.
A growing body of evidence supports the idea that wearing face masks in public, even when you feel well, can help curb the spread of the coronavirus — since people can spread the virus even without showing symptoms. That's the main reason to wear a mask: to protect other people from you.

However that's not written in stone, it's what the left wishes to believe. While you can find studies and such to show they work, I can find studies that say they don't. It's subjective, just like man made global warming, or the effects of hydroxychloroquine.

Because there is no consensus, then it should be the individuals choice whether to wear a mask or not.
I think there is a huge consensus among just everybody in the healthcare field in regard to mask wearing. Of course it probably does not include your local bartender who is out of work, Sam the Surfer, and my granddaughter that thinks wearing a mask makes her look ugly. And there is a lot evidence coming contact tracing that shows that people that are asymptomatic are spreading the virus.

I read the opposite from the CDC just a few weeks ago. This tells you how everything changes. First a mask was no good, now it's mandated in cities and states across the country. Before asymptomatic people were low risk for spreading, now the risk of spreading is the same.

I think there is a difference between going to a restaurant and going to a doctors office. Doctors are exposed to ill people day in day out. For most of us, we will probably never be around a person with Covid unless you are a socialite, or your business relies on personal contact with people all day long. Although our antibody testing is far from perfected, some are suggesting that we are already in the herd process and there's no stopping it.

The problem with this thing is we've never experienced anything like it; at least with the technology we have today. Who knows......next year at this time, they may be telling us what a waste of time and money it was for us to wear a mask. We simply don't know.
Early on CDC said that masks would not protect you which was true then and is basically true today. Actually, there is a very small amount of protection for the wearer but not much. Herd immunity as defined by the scientist is a calculated estimate based on transmission rate and reproductive numbers for the virus. For this virus herd immunity is 70% of the population having been exposed, that is they have antibodies. That can be off by 10 or 15%. If the scientists definition of herd immunity is used, there should not be much difference in the calculation.

We may not have all the details of a virus but we know a lot about epidemics and how to control them. For example any airborne virus or a virus whose most common transmission is through the air, the key to stopping transmission is preventing the virus from reaching a host. Masks, plastic shields, staying away from the source of virus, staying at home, etc prevents the spread, a really easy to understand concept but pretty hard to implement in a large population.

We also know a lot about a virus based on the characteristics of the family. There are 6 types of coronavirus that can infect humans which includes Mers and SARS. They have many of the same characteristic but there are some differences. It's really fortunate that there was work done developing the SARS vaccine because this gave researchers a starting point in developing the vaccine for this member of the family. Making changes to the vaccine can be very simple. However, every time you change the vaccine you start over in testing. This is why it takes so long to develop a vaccine. The fact that we are willing to accept a vaccine which has is not very effective, 40% makes it more likely we will get one sooner rather later.

It's wishful thinking, but there certainly is no guarantee a vaccine can be developed. We still don't have vaccines for HIV, flu, even the common cold.

If a new vaccine came out and was approved by September, many Americans would be hesitant to take it including myself. It reminds me of when I bought my first computer and read up on it. It was a Dummy's book. The author warned his readers to never buy software 2.0. 2.0 software is the original version. When thousands of people use it problem free in trials, it's different than when you start passing it out to millions of people. That's when they discover the hidden flaws and imperfections. It's why you always wait until version 2.2. or 2.3 to come out. Those are the versions where the flaws have been corrected.

It's the same with new medications. Yes, it undergoes intense testing, but we won't know the results or drawbacks until it's been used on tens of millions of people. Even then, it could take years to find out if it has any long-term negative effects.

Before I take it, I would need 100% guarantee from my doctor that it won't have any harmful effects on me, corroborated by my cousin, who is a retired research doctor that supervised the laboratory where she worked. Until I get that, I may wait for a while if and when a vaccine comes out.
I agree with your assessment of a vaccine with a few exceptions.
We do have a vaccine for the flu. I get one every year. A vaccine to prevent the common cold has been difficult to make, primarily because there are more than 200 different varieties of viruses that can cause colds. Also, if there were such a vaccine, you would have to get a new one every year like the flu vaccine, plus it would probably be not very effective due to the rate these viruses mutate.

The HIV is nothing like the coronations family of viruses. The problem developing a vaccine for HIV lies in genetic makeup of the virus. Unlike coronavirus, HIV has an incredibly fast replication cycle, less than 24 hour. However, the real show stopper is that HIV is prone to frequent replication errors, churning out mutated copies of itself which recombine into new strains as the virus is passed from person to person.

This coronavirus is very similar to SARS which we have developed a vaccine. Also most of the organizations developing vaccines have already proved in the lab that their vaccine kills the virus and is so far harmless to humans. The big question market is how effective the vaccine will be. Typically vaccines like these are 40% to 70% effective. The CDC has implied that a 40% effective vaccine would be acceptable. Think about what this really means. If we are able to produce enough of the vaccine to make it available like the flu vaccine at every primary care doctors office, every pharmacy, hospital, and public health clinic, we might be able to get the same inoculation numbers as the flu vaccine which is 45% of the population by the end of next year. So we might just have have 148 million vaccinated with 40% less chance of getting the virus and the remainder no protection since they were not vaccinated. After a year or so we get more effective vaccines and thus more protection. My guess is we will reach herd immunity about the time of 2024 election.

I don't think we're going see an unemployment rate of less than 5% for at least a year or so and people will dying from coronavirus for many years, hopefully at a greatly reduced rate.

BTW You will never get a 100% guarantee that a vaccine will not harm you. Deaths caused by vaccines are less than 2 per million and in almost all of those cases the person had a compromised immune system or had other conditions. You're probably more likely to get killed by a lightening strike than a vaccine.

I happen to be one of those people. I am 60 years old, and one of my two major medical conditions is the number one condition associated with death. It's one of the reasons I'd be so hesitant to take it.

If we (or others) do develop a vaccine for this thing, it should be able to wipe it out. Unlike the flu, it won't mutate so rapidly or differently, if it does at all. Experts have said if it would, then a weaker much less deadly strain would take it's place, unlike the flu. And if it does again, the next strain will be weaker yet.

Plus I think careless people have become more conscious of cleanliness now. You still can't find hand sanitizer or liquid soap in some stores. Fortunately for me, one of my tenants works at a store where they had and abundance of it because of customer limitations. She brought home some sanitizer for me and I was grateful she did. I should have plenty for while, at least until the shelves get fully stocked again. In addition, GoJo, the people who make Purell, are opening up a factory in my suburb. With some luck, they will let the citizens buy direct from them. And thanks to President Trump, there is this:

Every vaccine is different. For the influenza vaccine given to day, you should avoid it if you:
  • Have had an allergic reaction after a previous dose of influenza vaccine, or have any severe, life-threatening allergies.
  • Have ever had Guillain-Barré Syndrome (also called GBS).
In order to wipe out the coronavirus, we would need a participation much more than the 45% we get with the influenza vaccine. The CDC did a big study of why people don't get the flu vaccine. As it turns only about 2% of the population has medical condition to disqualify them. If everyone that was eligible to take the flu shot did, we would nearly wipe it out. That means last year we would have saved the lives of nearly 57,000 people, prevented an illness that sickens nearly 40 million people plus an economic impact in the hundreds of millions.

With over 50 vaccines in test trials, I don't think we will need to worry about a vaccine being available next year.

I only take the flu shot once in a while. I've known many people who came down with illness after they took the shot. Some years, you get vaccinated for one strain, but a new strain comes out that makes the original vaccine worthless.

I have little doubt a vaccine for Covid will be made, it's just a matter of how effective it is, how many people get it, how many are restricted from getting it, and any serious side-effects many of us will be waiting for before we have confidence it's beneficial to us.
The reason you have a flu shot every year is to pickup protection for new strains of the viruses.

Viruses making you ill go back years when live viruses were used in most vaccines. That is no longer necessary. Today, if one person get's a flu shot and get's sick, they are almost certain to spread the news. However, for the tens of thousands of people that get flu shots and have no reaction at all, they remain silent. Ray, how often do people stop you on the street or call you and say, "Ray, guess what I got a flu yesterday and I feel just fine. My wife and I and most of my brothers and sisters have been getting flu shots every year for over 40 years and I can't remember anyone telling me they got sick. Thy myth that flu shots will make you sick has certainly contributed to the number of people that don't get vaccinated which cost us tens of thousands of lives every year.

I'm sure a majority don't get sick, but if you feel well, and then are faced with the possibility of getting sick because of the shot, you just don't take it. The times I've taken it, I've never experienced such a thing, but that doesn't mean it will always be that way in the future. My sister, who spent much of her life working in the hospital, took the shot and got the flu a week later.

If an when a vaccine comes out, I'm sure a lot of people will have reservations about getting one for some time. We can't deal out the media in this game. They will search high and low for stories of people getting ill or dying, because that's what sells newspapers and brings people to their internet
site, even if it is all bullshit. President Trump is absolutely correct when he says how dishonest most of our media is. They don't care about informing people, they care about making money, even if it's a disadvantage to society as a whole.
The vaccine tracker has 40 vaccines in progress.
There will certainly be a choice.

And Trump is last person you want to hear from about the media.
Because his favorite is OAN, a questionable source, at best.

OAN is not really mainstream media, just media with a very small audience.

I (like most people I'm sure) are anxious for a safe and reliable vaccine to come out. Yes, people are working 24/7 around the globe to get it done. Of course, the winner of the race will get very wealthy provided no serious side-effects happen when they start vaccinating tens or hundreds of millions of people.

I've seen great economies and terrible economies. I've seen people predicting the end of the world for one reason or another. I've seen situations that look hopeless for not only myself, but more importantly, the country. But this is a new animal we've never experienced before. This is like a nightmare that won't stop, and you're just praying to wake up and realize it was nothing but a terrible dream.
Yes it is a nightmare. We are now retired with all the money we need to see the world, visit or favorite restaurants go to baseball and football games, attend jazz festivals, plays, concerts, spend much needed time at my local gym, and visit all my grandchildren, yet I sit at this damn computer, watch old movies, and clean out the the storage room for the third time. With probably only a few years left on this earth, I sure as hell hate to spend my time like this but having experience with a ventilator I certainly don't want to spend any time there either. I know a lot of people that have it worse, but it still really sucks.

However, looking at the situation from a more global point of view, this country made it through the depression which lasted about 10 years and it was far worse than this.

Ray, I would really be surprised to see much change for at least a year. I figure by then we will either have a vaccine that is reducing the spread of the virus or we will have better treatments that will take the fear out of the disease.

And both are being worked on every living minute. People who had the virus and survived, developed antibodies that fight Covid off. Blood transfusions have a very encouraging future even if no vaccine is produced. As more people get it and recover, more subjects can donate this valuable plasma, particularly to front line healthcare workers, first responders, and eventually to people like me who are at high risk.

Medications have been politicizes such as hydroxychloroquine. Many doctors and experts say it is helping their patients with proper dosage. The problem is, Trump endorsed it's use, and now we have people on the right supporting the treatment, and people on the left, plus the MSM, who are against it for no reason other than Trump saying doctors who believe in the results should be allowed to prescribe it.

Everything in our country today is about politics unfortunately.
hydroxychloroquine is a zinc ionophore, meaning it helps zinc to be absorbed into cells. But it doesnt do any good unless you have zinc available. Zinc is one of the components of a functioning immune system. The other components are avoiding sugar in diet, adequate vitamin D levels, and vitamin C in diet. But perhaps just as effective zinc ionophore is quercetin, which can be supplemented over the counter, or just by eating quercetin containing foods.

So, the reason hydroxychloroquine is "politicized" is because nobody explains such things. And that these components are relevant to any virus, flu or covid or whatever. Trump is too brain dead to be able to tell people about such things.

Laura has experts on her show all the time about how it works, what real studies show, and how they are treating patients successfully with the combo of drugs. After all, she's the one who brought HCQ to light. Trump just happens to watch her show.

WaPo did an opinion piece a while back, ‘The real reason Trump is obsessed with hydroxychloroquine,’ and it has some insight.

Basically, he’s looking for that silver bullet that ‘cures’ the virus, makes everyone think he’s brilliant, and he wins the election. It’s desperation.

Put in the frame of disinfectant injection, and it makes sense. Trump cures pandemic using only a turkey baster, some pliers and a bottle of dish soap. He wants to be the guy that discovered bleach. He wants to be smart again.

A study came out saying ‘Hydroxychloroquine’ works—and he’s like, ‘See, I told you so!’ He’s vindicated.

Well.....it actually has worked. Trump promoted it because he believes it has worked here and abroad. Trump will do anything to get this behind us, and I support anybody that has the same goal.

It's the left that politicized it, not Trump. If Trump originally came out and said he's against the use of HCQ, the left would have been shouting from the rooftops how Trump is not for saving Americans. How Trump is hoping we turn to a solution from a company he has investments in. Every news outlet on cable television would be promoting the use of HCQ, and demanding that it be made as an over the counter drug for anybody to get their hands on.

Unfortunately Trump is new at politics, and didn't think this out clearly before supporting the use of HCQ.


I'm ok with a president giving advice on basketball or the stock market. The worst that can happen is some money is lost or the team loses. In the field of medicine bad advice can result in people dying. Trump is not a doctor and as far as I can tell, he has absolutely no background in science. Recommendations on medical treatment should come from people who know what they talking about.


When the President ever addressed this product, he has always stated for people to discuss the use of it with their doctor first. They really have no choice though, because it needs to be prescribed.
 

Forum List

Back
Top