reality, USGS

Old Rocks

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http://downloads.climatescience.gov/sap/sap3-4/sap3-4-final-report-ch2.pdf

• Since the mid-19th century, small glaciers (sometimes called “glaciers and ice caps;” see Box 2.1 for
definitions) have been losing mass at an average rate equivalent to 0.3 to 0.4 millimeters per year of sea
level rise.
• The best estimate of the current (2007) mass balance of small glaciers is about –400 gigatons per year
(Gt a–1), or nearly 1.1 millimeters sea level equivalent per year.
• The mass balance loss of the Greenland Ice Sheet during the period with good observations increased
from 100 Gt a–1 in the mid-1990s to more than 200 Gt a–1 for the most recent observations in 2006.
Much of the loss is by increased summer melting as temperatures rise, but an increasing proportion is
by enhanced ice discharge down accelerating glaciers.
• The mass balance for Antarctica is a net loss of about 80 Gt a–1 in the mid-1990s, increasing to almost
130 Gt a–1 in the mid-2000s. There is little surface melting in Antarctica, and the substantial ice losses
from West Antarctica and the Antarctic Peninsula are very likely caused by increasing ice discharge as
glacier velocities increase.
• During the last interglacial period (~120 thousand years ago) with similar carbon dioxide levels to preindustrial
values and arctic summer temperatures up to 4 °C warmer than today, sea level was 4–6 meters
above present. The temperature increase during the Eamian was the result of orbital changes of the sun.
During the last two deglaciations, sea level rise averaged 10–20 millimeters per year with large “meltwater
fluxes” exceeding sea level rise of 50 millimeters per year lasting several centuries.
• The potentially sensitive regions for rapid changes in ice volume are those with ice masses grounded
below sea level such as the West Antarctic Ice Sheet, with 5 to 6 meters sea level equivalent, or large
glaciers in Greenland like the Jakobshavn Isbræ, also known as Jakobshavn Glacier and Sermeq Kujalleq
(in Greenlandic), with an over-deepened channel (channel below sea level, see Figure 2.10) reaching far
inland; total breakup of Jakobshavn Isbræ ice tongue in Greenland, as well as other tidewater glaciers
and ice cap outlets, was preceded by its very rapid thinning.
 
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