Northwest Passage opens for the third time in recorded history

So this is the fourth time its opened in recorded history? If that is true then how come it is CO2 that is causing the warming when clearly there wasn't enough CO2 in the atmosphere the last three times to open it?

What was the mechanism of warming for the passage to be opened before?
Solar activity and natural variation from year to year (that doesn't form a long-term trend) could certainly open it up for short periods of time. The problem today is that solar activity is at a minimum yet these things are occurring, and starting to occur consistently.




Ahh but didn't we just learn (well most of us have known it for a long time) that events today were set in motion hundreds of years ago? We know from loads of empirical data that CO2 rises hundreds of years after the warming trend has begun. We, right now at this moment, are at almost the exact 800 year mark from the MWP which all evidence shows is the leading cause of the CO2 increase.
 
Can't show what? That CO2 is a greenhouse gas that absorbs heat and warms the Earth? There's plenty of proof for that.

That's like saying "paper burns so if we stuff enough of it into a rocket we can reach the Moon"

It's really low-brow and unscientific.

No one is disputing that CO2 is a GHG, we're just asking you to show us ONE time in a lab setting how a 200PPM increase does any of the things you say it does.

Democrats controlled Congress during most of this recent warming period so maybe a Dem Congress is responsible for the Arctic Ice melting.

This study shows how a doubling of CO2 from 280ppm to 560ppm increases temperature between 1.5 and 6.5 degrees C, with 3 to 3.5 being the most likely. This study has it between 2.5 to 3.5 degrees. This one has it between 2.3 and 4.1 degrees.





And yet not one of their computer models can accurately recreate what occured 10 days ago, much less ten years ago. So why do you believe their computer models for that which hasn't occured yet. What makes their predictions accurate for that when they can't reproduce what we know occured?
 
So this is the fourth time its opened in recorded history? If that is true then how come it is CO2 that is causing the warming when clearly there wasn't enough CO2 in the atmosphere the last three times to open it?

What was the mechanism of warming for the passage to be opened before?

The Northeast Passage opened for the first time in recorded history in 2005 and the Northwest Passage in 2007.





Really!:lol::lol::lol::lol: You might want to take that up with old Roald Amundson:lol::lol::lol: He did it back in 1903-1906! :lol::lol::lol: and it has been accomplished many times since then in ice hardened vessels.:lol::lol::lol:


Man you need to read more!
 
Sigh...what's the use?

Maybe one day we can both get the schooling necessary. Until then, I'll let your pure partisan ideology discount the work of very smart individuals.

Speaking of which, why do you discredit the actual science involved here. Is it because you associate it with socialism/Obama/Al Gore/Liberal Democrats? Or is it because you have actually disproven the evidence I've shown (of which none is of the "OMG it's so hot today" variety).

There is no real science involved in anything you've posted!

Warmers claim they've isolated all variables except for a de minimus change in CO2 as the proximate cause of the "Global Warming" all I'm asking is for any of you to show me how that works in a Laboratory setting

And you never do.

Not even once.




Frank,

If this person is truly new to the discussion he may not know what the climatologists actually do. Cut him a little slack, at least for the moment.
 





Chris (but more importantly anyone else looking at this drivel) these "experiments" fail in many respects. None of them are devoid of outside influence. That is one of the primary requirements of an experiment. It must be independant of any outside influence. These all fail for a whole host of reasons. Though I must say the one with the two high intensity lights is a hoot! Gave me a huge laugh. It is sad though to see just how scientifically illiterate people are.
 
The Northwest Passage is now open for business. And, as this satellite image composited by the The University of Illinois Cryosphere Today shows, the Northeast Passage is too. Jeff Masters at WunderBlog reports:

"It is now possible to completely circumnavigate the Arctic Ocean in ice-free waters, and this will probably be the case for at least a month. This year marks the third consecutive year—and the third time in recorded history—that both the Northwest Passage and Northeast Passage have melted free. The Northeast Passage opened for the first time in recorded history in 2005 and the Northwest Passage in 2007.

Northwest and Northeast Passages Now Open | Mother Jones

:lol:

I had to read the opening paragraph a few times before I got it. :lol:

Northeast/Northwest becoming one: Northwest. Some times the brain fills things in. :eek:

This is an interesting thing.

thank you.

:cool:
dD
 
The Northwest Passage is now open for business. And, as this satellite image composited by the The University of Illinois Cryosphere Today shows, the Northeast Passage is too. Jeff Masters at WunderBlog reports:

"It is now possible to completely circumnavigate the Arctic Ocean in ice-free waters, and this will probably be the case for at least a month. This year marks the third consecutive year—and the third time in recorded history—that both the Northwest Passage and Northeast Passage have melted free. The Northeast Passage opened for the first time in recorded history in 2005 and the Northwest Passage in 2007.

Northwest and Northeast Passages Now Open | Mother Jones

For the first time in Recorded history eh?

Recorded history goes back about 6000 years yet our knowledge of the conditions in the NW passage only go back a few hundred years.

Do try and be more honest with your sensational Headlines would you.

Before just a few hundred years ago we have NO IDEA if and when the passage was open and when it was not.

besides why do you keep trying to prove things are warming up. Virtually nobody denies that the earth is warming up. The Debate is over the cause and how much CO2 is to blame, and how much other factors like the SUN are in play.

The Sun is at its lowest level of activity in 80 years.
 
The most comprehensive modeling yet carried out on the likelihood of how much hotter the Earth's climate will get in this century shows that without rapid and massive action, the problem will be about twice as severe as previously estimated six years ago - and could be even worse than that.

The study uses the MIT Integrated Global Systems Model, a detailed computer simulation of global economic activity and climate processes that has been developed and refined by the Joint Program on the Science and Policy of Global Change since the early 1990s. The new research involved 400 runs of the model with each run using slight variations in input parameters, selected so that each run has about an equal probability of being correct based on present observations and knowledge. Other research groups have estimated the probabilities of various outcomes, based on variations in the physical response of the climate system itself. But the MIT model is the only one that interactively includes detailed treatment of possible changes in human activities as well - such as the degree of economic growth, with its associated energy use, in different countries.

Study co-author Ronald Prinn, the co-director of the Joint Program and director of MIT's Center for Global Change Science, says that, regarding global warming, it is important "to base our opinions and policies on the peer-reviewed science," he says. And in the peer-reviewed literature, the MIT model, unlike any other, looks in great detail at the effects of economic activity coupled with the effects of atmospheric, oceanic and biological systems. "In that sense, our work is unique," he says.

The new projections, published this month in the American Meteorological Society's Journal of Climate, indicate a median probability of surface warming of 5.2 degrees Celsius by 2100, with a 90% probability range of 3.5 to 7.4 degrees.

http://web.mit.edu/newsoffice/2009/roulette-0519.html
 
The most comprehensive modeling yet carried out on the likelihood of how much hotter the Earth's climate will get in this century shows that without rapid and massive action, the problem will be about twice as severe as previously estimated six years ago - and could be even worse than that.

The study uses the MIT Integrated Global Systems Model, a detailed computer simulation of global economic activity and climate processes that has been developed and refined by the Joint Program on the Science and Policy of Global Change since the early 1990s. The new research involved 400 runs of the model with each run using slight variations in input parameters, selected so that each run has about an equal probability of being correct based on present observations and knowledge. Other research groups have estimated the probabilities of various outcomes, based on variations in the physical response of the climate system itself. But the MIT model is the only one that interactively includes detailed treatment of possible changes in human activities as well - such as the degree of economic growth, with its associated energy use, in different countries.

Study co-author Ronald Prinn, the co-director of the Joint Program and director of MIT's Center for Global Change Science, says that, regarding global warming, it is important "to base our opinions and policies on the peer-reviewed science," he says. And in the peer-reviewed literature, the MIT model, unlike any other, looks in great detail at the effects of economic activity coupled with the effects of atmospheric, oceanic and biological systems. "In that sense, our work is unique," he says.

The new projections, published this month in the American Meteorological Society's Journal of Climate, indicate a median probability of surface warming of 5.2 degrees Celsius by 2100, with a 90% probability range of 3.5 to 7.4 degrees.

Climate change odds much worse than thought

It's time to play Everyone Favorite Fake Science Game

Wheel

Of

Climate

Change!


prinn-roulette-4.jpg
 

Do you realize there's a difference between 200PPM and 500,000PPM?

How much CO2 did she pump into the bottle? Was it 200PPM? NO!

Do you know why the best thing you can come up is this stupid thing?

Because you don't get a temperature increase at 200PPM CO2 increase!

Any increase in CO2 results in a temperature increase.

That was proven experimentally in 1859.




No, it wasn't. All that occured in 1859 was to prove that CO2 is a GHG that's all.
 
The most comprehensive modeling yet carried out on the likelihood of how much hotter the Earth's climate will get in this century shows that without rapid and massive action, the problem will be about twice as severe as previously estimated six years ago - and could be even worse than that.

The study uses the MIT Integrated Global Systems Model, a detailed computer simulation of global economic activity and climate processes that has been developed and refined by the Joint Program on the Science and Policy of Global Change since the early 1990s. The new research involved 400 runs of the model with each run using slight variations in input parameters, selected so that each run has about an equal probability of being correct based on present observations and knowledge. Other research groups have estimated the probabilities of various outcomes, based on variations in the physical response of the climate system itself. But the MIT model is the only one that interactively includes detailed treatment of possible changes in human activities as well - such as the degree of economic growth, with its associated energy use, in different countries.

Study co-author Ronald Prinn, the co-director of the Joint Program and director of MIT's Center for Global Change Science, says that, regarding global warming, it is important "to base our opinions and policies on the peer-reviewed science," he says. And in the peer-reviewed literature, the MIT model, unlike any other, looks in great detail at the effects of economic activity coupled with the effects of atmospheric, oceanic and biological systems. "In that sense, our work is unique," he says.

The new projections, published this month in the American Meteorological Society's Journal of Climate, indicate a median probability of surface warming of 5.2 degrees Celsius by 2100, with a 90% probability range of 3.5 to 7.4 degrees.

Climate change odds much worse than thought





These computer models can't recreate what occured ten days ago. I am REEEEEEEAALLLY
not concerned witht what they have to say about our future. If you can't recreate, what we KNOW occured, your model is worthless for anything but toilet paper.
 
Do you realize there's a difference between 200PPM and 500,000PPM?

How much CO2 did she pump into the bottle? Was it 200PPM? NO!

Do you know why the best thing you can come up is this stupid thing?

Because you don't get a temperature increase at 200PPM CO2 increase!

Any increase in CO2 results in a temperature increase.

That was proven experimentally in 1859.




No, it wasn't. All that occured in 1859 was to prove that CO2 is a GHG that's all.

Which means that if you increase atmospheric CO2 by 40% in 200 years, you are warming the earth.

Thanks for proving my point.
 
Any increase in CO2 results in a temperature increase.

That was proven experimentally in 1859.




No, it wasn't. All that occured in 1859 was to prove that CO2 is a GHG that's all.

Which means that if you increase atmospheric CO2 by 40% in 200 years, you are warming the earth.

Thanks for proving my point.




Prove it if it's so easy then. Here's a prediction for you. It is going to be cold next year. It will be cold the year after that. there will be local hot spots but the overall trend will be cooler. This will go on for the next 10-20 years.
 
No, it wasn't. All that occured in 1859 was to prove that CO2 is a GHG that's all.

Which means that if you increase atmospheric CO2 by 40% in 200 years, you are warming the earth.

Thanks for proving my point.




Prove it if it's so easy then. Here's a prediction for you. It is going to be cold next year. It will be cold the year after that. there will be local hot spots but the overall trend will be cooler. This will go on for the next 10-20 years.

Well, finally. Someone willing to put up a flat prediction.

OK, I will counter. Next year will be colder than this year, but still within the top twenty warm years. That is because of the developing La Nina. However, the decade of 2010 to 2019 will be the warmest on record, barring a major, Tambora or Krakatoa size, volcanic eruption.The warmest on record until the decade of 2020 to 2029. And after that, it will get really warm.

I base this on the fact that I see no real attempt to slow the rise of the GHGs, and the fact that the feedbacks will be kicking in from the Arctic permafrost and Arctic Ocean clathrates by that time. Going to be interesting times for our grandchildren.
 
Actually since no one was trying to circumnavigate the globe before the 1500's we have no way of knowing if the passage was open during the heat wave that freed Greenland or earlier. But nice try at a lie.
 
Any increase in CO2 results in a temperature increase.

That was proven experimentally in 1859.


No, it wasn't. All that occured in 1859 was to prove that CO2 is a GHG that's all.

Which means that if you increase atmospheric CO2 by 40% in 200 years, you are warming the earth.

Thanks for proving my point.

I'll give you an instant 100% increase in a laboratory setting, you show me how that raises the temperature
 
Here's my prediction, Warmers will NEVER themselves test their theory in a laboratory.

Other scientist need to do these experiments where the control is an additional wisp of CO2, sensitive though it may be
 

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