Let's go to the Electoral College Map

[rightwinger]

Trump continues to make inroads in the electoral college map

Clinton 225
Trump 154

Hillary has dropped 47 EVs in the last two weeks but Trump has not moved up from his 154. NH and Virginia move to tossup

Map has changed as the number of toss up states has increased

RealClearPolitics - 2016 Election Maps - Battle for White House

 

[rightwinger]

Bigger movement by Trump in the No Tossup Map

It has moved from

Clinton 357
Trump 181

to

Clinton 311
Trump 227

as Trump picks up FL, GA and Iowa

RealClearPolitics - 2016 Election Maps - Battle for White House

 

[rightwinger]

More movement in Trumps direction as Michigan moves from the Clinton column to toss-up

RealClearPolitics - 2016 Election Maps - Battle for White House

Clinton 209
Trump 154

Which is about where we were on Aug 1, wiping out Hillary's gains for the month

While Clinton has moved up to 273 and then back to 209, Trump has not budged from 154

 

[rightwinger]

Major movement by Trump as he pulls almost even with Hillary
Hillary is in major freefall, dropping 73 EVs in the last ten days

Clinton 200
Trump 164

RealClearPolitics - 2016 Election Maps - Battle for White House

 

[rightwinger]

After the debate, the map is starting to turn more to Clintons favor

Clinton 205
Trump 165

Trump needs 105 out of 168 (62.5%) tossups to win

NH and VA have moved from tossup to Clinton

 

[NotfooledbyW]

After the debate, the map is starting to turn more to Clintons favor

Clinton 205
Trump 165

Trump needs 105 out of 168 (62.5%) tossups to win

NH and VA have moved from tossup to Clinton

.

http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast

Nate Silver at fivethirtyeight has Clinton's chance at winning at 75%. Ohio and Fla are in Clinton's column in Silver's forecast model.

Trump is expected to get much less of the overall white vote than Romney.

We can start wondering if Trump withdraws from the campaign and what that would mean?

 

[rightwinger]

After the debate, the map is starting to turn more to Clintons favor

Clinton 205
Trump 165

Trump needs 105 out of 168 (62.5%) tossups to win

NH and VA have moved from tossup to Clinton

.

http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast

Nate Silver at fivethirtyeight has Clinton's chance at winning at 75%. Ohio and Fla are in Clinton's column in Silver's forecast model.

Trump is expected to get much less of the overall white vote than Romney.

We can start wondering if Trump withdraws from the campaign and what that would mean?

The tide is turning back towards Hillary
RCP averages will catch up in the next ten days

One thing the polls don't show is turnout. Hillary's organization and ground game is much stronger than Trumps. Expect a much larger swing to the left on Election Day

 

[brummelben]

After the debate, the map is starting to turn more to Clintons favor

Clinton 205
Trump 165

Trump needs 105 out of 168 (62.5%) tossups to win

NH and VA have moved from tossup to Clinton

.

http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast

Nate Silver at fivethirtyeight has Clinton's chance at winning at 75%. Ohio and Fla are in Clinton's column in Silver's forecast model.

Trump is expected to get much less of the overall white vote than Romney.

We can start wondering if Trump withdraws from the campaign and what that would mean?

The tide is turning back towards Hillary
RCP averages will catch up in the next ten days

One thing the polls don't show is turnout. Hillary's organization and ground game is much stronger than Trumps. Expect a much larger swing to the left on Election Day

Earlier today, I read an article on the effect of Facebook on the election. They are doing a bang up job of getting the youth both interested in the election and voting. They alone can brill several million more voters to the polls, the majority will be Democrats

 

[saveliberty]

Earlier today, I read an article on the effect of Facebook on the election. They are doing a bang up job of getting the youth both interested in the election and voting. They alone can brill several million more voters to the polls, the majority will be Democrats

The Democrats killed the youth vote when Bernie lost.

 

[brummelben]

Earlier today, I read an article on the effect of Facebook on the election. They are doing a bang up job of getting the youth both interested in the election and voting. They alone can brill several million more voters to the polls, the majority will be Democrats

The Democrats killed the youth vote when Bernie lost.

You wish it was so, you hope it is so, you pray it is so. But its not true. The youth vote will go to Clinton

 

[AceRothstein]

Looks like Trump is about to get schlonged.

 

[brummelben]

Looks like Trump is about to get schlonged.

Correctamundo- the polls aint going his way at all.

 

[guno]

NC up 6 for clinton

 

[brummelben]

NC up 6 for clinton

With the exception of Iowa, every state that Obama won is in the Clinton corner. There still is a chance that GA and AZ can join the party

 

[C_Clayton_Jones]

Earlier today, I read an article on the effect of Facebook on the election. They are doing a bang up job of getting the youth both interested in the election and voting. They alone can brill several million more voters to the polls, the majority will be Democrats

The Democrats killed the youth vote when Bernie lost.

You wish it was so, you hope it is so, you pray it is so. But its not true. The youth vote will go to Clinton

The sane vote will to go Clinton as well.

 

[C_Clayton_Jones]

NC up 6 for clinton

With the exception of Iowa, every state that Obama won is in the Clinton corner. There still is a chance that GA and AZ can join the party

Iowa, Ohio, and Maine’s Second Congressional District.

“If the election were held today” state polls give Clinton 322 EC votes.

 

[brummelben]

NC up 6 for clinton

With the exception of Iowa, every state that Obama won is in the Clinton corner. There still is a chance that GA and AZ can join the party

Iowa, Ohio, and Maine’s Second Congressional District.

“If the election were held today” state polls give Clinton 322 EC votes.

538.com has Clinton leading by 2 points in Ohio

 

[rightwinger]

Next debate is Sunday

Unless Trump can recover more states will go blue

 

[presonorek]

When did GA become a toss up state?

I think the stats governing this is not too clear. I have to look at there methodology.

There are just too many ardent social conservatives in GA to make it a toss up!!

Hillary is campaigning pretty hard in Georgia. If she takes Georgia then the election is over. It is part of Hillary's strategy.

 

[presonorek]

the electoral map is daunting for Trump; but I see several paths to 269 (or more)

Trump is still leading in the "enthusiasm gap" with his hardcore supporters

he has established a new floor of 40% or higher, it looks like

this election will be close

Trump winning looks more realistic than it did 4 or 5 weeks ago. I think Trump will take Ohio, Iowa and Florida. That's not enough. He has to win a few weird ones. If he does happen to lose Georgia then the election is over. If Trump wins, he will barely get 270.