Evidence Continues to Build for a Coming Little Ice Age

[JimBowie1958]

The suns cycles are being ignored by main stream scientists because of all the Global Warming bullshit, but some persist anyway, and now it appears that the evidence is strong enough for these scientists to get published, showing a coming cooling, that is using UNADJUSTED temperatures.

http://iopscience.iop.org/article/1...584A1741F.c1.iopscience.cld.iop.org#citations

For the past four centuries, cyclic variations in solar activity have been characterized by smoothed sunspot numbers, which were introduced and classified by Waldmeier (1961) and were selected as the first proxy for solar activity. These numbers show quasi-regular maxima and minima of solar activity changing approximately every 11 years and reflecting the changing magnetic activity of the Sun (Hathaway et al. 2002; Hathaway & Rightmire 2011). Nowadays these sunspot numbers are measured by most solar observatories then averaged and smoothed over all the measurements for each month to produce the smoothed average sunspot numbers published by the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA; see, as an example, the sunspot activity in Figure 1 in Solanki & Krivova 2011).

The Sun has surprised researchers with its much lower activity in the current cycle 24 compared with that in the previous three cycles 21–23, particularly with regard to its very long minimum period between cycles 23 and 24 (more than two years in 2008–2010) in which there was a lack of any activity at all. This minimum solar activity was evident not only in the lack of sunspots but also in solar magnetic field variations (de Toma et al. 2010a, 2010b), modulation of cosmic rays (McDonald et al. 2010), and in interplanetary coronal mass ejections (Barnard et al. 2011). This prolonged minimum in cycle 24 was all the more surprising because the previous five cycles had been extremely active and so sunspot-productive that they were designated as a Grand Maximum (Solanki et al.2004; Usoskin 2008; Usoskin et al. 2008; Solanki & Krivova 2011). In cycle 24, the Grand Maximum was followed by much lower solar activity, allowing some authors to suggest that the Sun is on its way toward a Maunder Minimum of activity (Lockwood et al. 2011). This reduced appearance of sunspots in the current cycle 24 was not anticipated by many researchers before the cycle began (see for example Pesnell 2008, and references therein) although after 2003, some researchers predicted a weaker cycle 24 (see for example Svalgaard et al. 2005; Choudhuri et al. 2007)....

In the current study, to predict the solar activity, we explore the PCs derived from the SBMF measured with the WSO in cycles 21–23 by using the most advanced Eureqa approach developed on Hamiltonian principles (Schmidt & Lipson 2009). We show that the classic proxy for solar activity, averaged sunspot numbers, is strongly modulated by variations in the SBMF PCs, allowing us to use the SBMF PCs as new proxies for the overall solar activity.

Furthermore, by using the Eureqa technique based on a symbolic regression, we managed to uncover the underlying mathematical laws governing the fundamental processes of magnetic wave generation in the Sun's background magnetic field. These invariants are used to extract the key parameters of the PCs of SBMF waves, which, in turn, are used to predict the overall level of solar activity for solar cycles 24–26.

We can conclude with a sufficient degree of confidence that the solar activity in cycles 24–26 will be systematically decreasing because of the increasing phase shift between the two magnetic waves of the poloidal field leading to their full separation into opposite hemispheres in cycles 25 and 26. This separation is expected to result in the lack of their subsequent interaction in any of the hemispheres, possibly leading to a lack of noticeable sunspot activity on the solar surface lasting for a decade or two, similar to those recorded in the medieval period....

 

[JimBowie1958]

Solar influences explain recent global warming. Global cooling ahead.

Global temperatures will come off the current plateau into a sustained and significant cooling, beginning 2017 or maybe as late as 2021. The cooling will be about 0.3 °C in the 2020s, taking the planet back to the global temperature that prevailed in the 1980s. This was signaled (though not caused) by a fall in underlying solar radiation starting in 2004, one of the three largest falls since 1610 when records started. There is a delay of one sunspot cycle, currently 13 years (2004+13 = 2017).

(Please note that even if this solar hypothesis and prediction prove to be wrong, the identification of the errors in the conventional climate models and the finding that carbon dioxide is not the main cause of recent global warming are still correct.)

 

[JimBowie1958]

Cool Futures: World first hedge fund aims to pop the climate-bubble « JoNova

There is a $1.5 Trillion industry selling us better weather. If this climate money bubble were to collapse, someone is going to make a motza-lot of money. (And it might as well be the skeptics who saw it coming, eh?) Would you like to help develop a hedge fund that can play that game, and take those bets, both to invest and divest, to hedge, donate, and fund research? Another task is to also grow a philanthropic hedge fund management company.*

One day soon, you may like the idea of short-selling overvalued renewables stocks, and doing other things that profit from cooler weather or collapsing subsidies — but which fund could you invest in to manage that? It’s a niche crying out to be filled. David and I liked this idea so much when we were approached by Chris Dawson two years ago, we got involved in developing Cool Futures (and obviously stand to benefit if this comes together, see the Disclosure at the end).

Cool Futures could change the game in so many ways. The vision here is much more than just profit making. It’s about being a player, doing due diligence, putting our money where our mouth is, and having the conviction to face the risks. Instead of standing on the sidelines and telling the world what’s wrong with the current system, it’s about taking steps to make it happen — to reallocate funds to better uses. What free market thinker wouldn’t be tempted?

I’m not a financial planner (read the disclaimer at the end). I’ll leave it to Chris Dawson to explain what the fund needs and why you might want to join the team in the same way James Delingpole has. Cool Futures already has a website, the legal structure, and a Cayman Islands hedge fund in place. There is and has been a lot going on behind the scenes.

When before in history was so much misallocated money pumped into schemes to slow storms and hold back the tide? When before was low cost energy and prosperity for ordinary people despised and attacked by the politically correct, by the self-anointed elites of the West — because they ‘know’ best?

Big science is often done best outside big government. For example, Craig Ventner stepped in to beat the government-run Human Genome Project at its own game. It is long past time private industry arrived to rescue climate science from the dismal rut that monopolistic funding created.

 

[JimBowie1958]

Part of the problem with Global Warming fanatics monopolizing all the research money and federali planning, is that we have no fall back plan if they are in fact wrong, as they appear to be.

'Winter Is Coming' Warns The Solar Physicist The Alarmists Tried To Silence

Make the most of this summer because it could be your last decent one: winter is coming as the planet enters the most devastating cooling period since the 65-year Maunder Minimum of the 17th and early 18th centuries.
This is the dire forecast of Professor Valentina Zharkova, a solar physicist at Northumbria University, who has based her prediction on sun spot activity – known to be a significant driver of global climate – which is currently very low and likely to get even lower during the next three solar cycles.

She has spoken about her research and her battle to get it taken seriously by the climate establishment in an interview with the Global Warming Policy Forum. You can see it inthis short film.

According to Professor Zharkova:

We will see it from 2020 to 2053, when the three next cycles will be very reduced magnetic field of the sun. Basically what happens is these two waves, they separate into the opposite hemispheres and they will not be interacting with each other, which means that resulting magnetic field will drop dramatically nearly to zero. And this will be a similar conditions like in Maunder Minimum.

What will happen to the Earth remains to be seen and predicted because nobody has developed any program or any models of terrestrial response – they are based on this period when the sun has maximum activity — when the sun has these nice fluctuations, and its magnetic field [is] very strong. But we’re approaching to the stage when the magnetic field of the sun is going to be very, very small.

The Maunder Minimum occurred during the depths of the Little Ice Age, a period of feeble summers and bitingly cold winters, war, pestilence and famine. It wasn’t all bad: rivers like the Thames in London froze so thickly they could accommodate Ice Fairs; and it’s said that the slow tree growth induced by the cold gave the wood in Stradivarius violins their special timbre. On the whole, though, a descent into a new mini Ice Age would be massively debilitating both to the global economy and people’s living standards. Since the Little Ice Age ended in the middle of the Nineteenth century, we have all got used to the comforts and agricultural advantages (such as being able to grow wheat in more northerly latitudes) of living through a period of global warming. A second Little Ice Age will come as a very nasty shock.

 

[Dekster]

Fracking will save us.

 

[leftwinger]

ain't nobody got time for that - Google Search

 

[pwjohn]

Well, I guess I'm gonna go take a shit now.

 

[The Irish Ram]

This is how corrupt our educational system has become. Indoctrination, in the place of education.

UN Secretary General Ban Ki-moon (right) greets Jim Yong Kim, President of the World Bank Group, as Al Gore, former vice president of the United States, looks on during welcome reception for the Climate Action 2016 summit on May 5, 2016. (Credit: UN Photo/Eskinder Debebe)

The Portland Public Schools board voted last week to ban any materials that cast doubt on climate change, the Portland Tribune reported.

 

[defcon4]

The Portland Public Schools board voted last week to ban any materials that cast doubt on climate change, the Portland Tribune reported.

..and therein lies the problem. Nobody pays attention to local elections, especially school board elections. Global Elitist stooges took control over our school boards nationwide.

 

[The Irish Ram]

And Obama gave us common core which was compiled by Saudi Arabia!! We no longer teach our children how to write. But we are teaching them how to read and write in Aramaic. And that Allah is the only God. < Where the hell is the ACLU now?? Parents, where the hell are you???????????????????????????????

 

[JimBowie1958]

The Portland Public Schools board voted last week to ban any materials that cast doubt on climate change, the Portland Tribune reported.

..and therein lies the problem. Nobody pays attention to local elections, especially school board elections. Global Elitist stooges took control over our school boards nationwide.

Well, we need to start paying attention.