Electoral Tracker

[Czernobog]

Gee, this certainly reminds me of projections last Summer when the "experts" predicted that Trump had a zero chance of being the GOP nominee.

I am slowly startTexas has been trending red pretty steadily.

 

[Czernobog]

North Carolina moves back to red. No surprise there.

Clinton: 273
Trump: 218
Tied: 47

Essentially it's going to come down to Ohio and Florida, whoever wins Ohio AND Florida wins the election.

Hillary will win Virginia and possibly North Carolina and also Nevada.

The Donald will win Arizona, I don't know why Mississippi and Georgia are leaning, I think he'll win both Mississippi and Georgia.

I'm not so sure about your Arizona call. It doesn't surprise me that Arizona is trending the other way. John McCain is still a very popular Senator here in Arizons, and Trump has pissed off a lot the right in Arisona - first, with his POW comments about him back in February, and now a second time by making a point of insisting that he isn't going to endorse his re-election. That's gonna hurt Trump in Arizona.

 

[Czernobog]

By way of explanation, every elections cycle, there ends up being discussion ad nasueum about polls, and raw popular votes. I realized some time ago that the popular vote is, in many ways, irrelevant. Let us say, for instance, that Trump wins the popular vote in, say the entire North East corridor, but loses California, Texas, Florida, Virginia, Pennsylvania, and Ohio. Theoretically, while he may have won the popular vote in a plurality of states, if they are the wrong states, he will still lose the election, because of the electoral college. So, while everyone else debates the daily, and weekly polls, and who is ahead, I spend my time looking at the states, and watching who has what electoral votes. I track it daily, and will post any changes to the electoral map, as they come.

July 26th - Looks like Trump picked up Nevada, and Ohio coming off the convention:

We'll have to see if he can hold on to those. Current count:>

Clinton: 288
Trump: 221
Tied: 29

Florida remains a consistent dead heat.

Change Georgia to Blue. Michigan blue and PA blue.

I'd love to move Georgia to the "Blue" column, but this isn't about what I'd like to see, but rather where we are. And Georgia just isn't there, yet.

 

[Czernobog]

By way of explanation, every elections cycle, there ends up being discussion ad nasueum about polls, and raw popular votes. I realized some time ago that the popular vote is, in many ways, irrelevant. Let us say, for instance, that Trump wins the popular vote in, say the entire North East corridor, but loses California, Texas, Florida, Virginia, Pennsylvania, and Ohio. Theoretically, while he may have won the popular vote in a plurality of states, if they are the wrong states, he will still lose the election, because of the electoral college. So, while everyone else debates the daily, and weekly polls, and who is ahead, I spend my time looking at the states, and watching who has what electoral votes. I track it daily, and will post any changes to the electoral map, as they come.

July 26th - Looks like Trump picked up Nevada, and Ohio coming off the convention:

We'll have to see if he can hold on to those. Current count:>

Clinton: 288
Trump: 221
Tied: 29

Florida remains a consistent dead heat.

Change Georgia to Blue. Michigan blue and PA blue.

I've been reading about all American elections since 1980, and I can't understand how you think Hillary win's Georgia, the last Democrat to win Georgia was Bill, but Georgia has become more Conservative since.

I know!

New poll has Georgia leaning Clinton

In Georgia, Clinton leads, although within the margin of error. The poll has Clinton at 42.8%, Trump at 41.8% and 15.5% undecided, with a margin of error of 1.7%. Morning Consult’s previous poll, conducted last winter, had Trump at 45.3% and Clinton at 39.0%. 15.7% were undecided. That poll had a margin of error of 2%. The changing poll results moved the Peach State from the “Solid Trump” column to the “Leaning Clinton” column.

Georgia is a red state, but that is now in jeopardy. That fact that this is even up in the air is amazing. Great job, Trumpers.

I put little stock in opinion polls, especially ones that are taken three months away from an actual election.

The situation is, IMHO, the election result isn't going to be a landslide for either candidate.

Hillary is a very flawed candidate and she has a lot of baggage and she's a very polarising figure. The Donald is a very flawed candidate and he has a lot of baggage and he's a very polarising figure.

My reading of all of this is, that all established Blue states will be in Hillary's column and that all established Red states will be in The Donald's column and that essentially it'll come down to Ohio and Florida and whoever wins both of these, wins the election, if I've read correctly nobody has ever been elected President without winning Ohio.

I'm not so sure about that. I think the Southwest states, while typically red, because of the latino vote that Trump has so pissed off, may tip those states against him. And, as I pointed out earlier, I think his pissing on McCain is really gonna hurt him in Arizona.

 

[longknife]

I am going to voice my hunch that there will be an October surprise that will give Trump the White House in a landslide. It will either be something about Hillary that will not allow justice to turn her head - or, more likely, she will have a very severe medical problem. Bill's on his last legs too.

 

[Lucy Hamilton]

North Carolina moves back to red. No surprise there.

Clinton: 273
Trump: 218
Tied: 47

Essentially it's going to come down to Ohio and Florida, whoever wins Ohio AND Florida wins the election.

Hillary will win Virginia and possibly North Carolina and also Nevada.

The Donald will win Arizona, I don't know why Mississippi and Georgia are leaning, I think he'll win both Mississippi and Georgia.

I'm not so sure about your Arizona call. It doesn't surprise me that Arizona is trending the other way. John McCain is still a very popular Senator here in Arizons, and Trump has pissed off a lot the right in Arisona - first, with his POW comments about him back in February, and now a second time by making a point of insisting that he isn't going to endorse his re-election. That's gonna hurt Trump in Arizona.

Okay, so we'll have to watch the polling in Arizona. This would be an unusual happening should Arizona vote Democratic, they've only voted Democratic once since 1948, that being in 1996 for Bill Clinton.

Arizona Presidential Election Voting History

 

[Lucy Hamilton]

I am going to voice my hunch that there will be an October surprise that will give Trump the White House in a landslide. It will either be something about Hillary that will not allow justice to turn her head - or, more likely, she will have a very severe medical problem. Bill's on his last legs too.

Yes Bill looks terrible, he doesn't look well at all. Hillary has those strange coughing fits.

 

[sealybobo]

By way of explanation, every elections cycle, there ends up being discussion ad nasueum about polls, and raw popular votes. I realized some time ago that the popular vote is, in many ways, irrelevant. Let us say, for instance, that Trump wins the popular vote in, say the entire North East corridor, but loses California, Texas, Florida, Virginia, Pennsylvania, and Ohio. Theoretically, while he may have won the popular vote in a plurality of states, if they are the wrong states, he will still lose the election, because of the electoral college. So, while everyone else debates the daily, and weekly polls, and who is ahead, I spend my time looking at the states, and watching who has what electoral votes. I track it daily, and will post any changes to the electoral map, as they come.

July 26th - Looks like Trump picked up Nevada, and Ohio coming off the convention:

We'll have to see if he can hold on to those. Current count:>

Clinton: 288
Trump: 221
Tied: 29

Florida remains a consistent dead heat.

Change Georgia to Blue. Michigan blue and PA blue.

I've been reading about all American elections since 1980, and I can't understand how you think Hillary win's Georgia, the last Democrat to win Georgia was Bill, but Georgia has become more Conservative since.

I know!

New poll has Georgia leaning Clinton

In Georgia, Clinton leads, although within the margin of error. The poll has Clinton at 42.8%, Trump at 41.8% and 15.5% undecided, with a margin of error of 1.7%. Morning Consult’s previous poll, conducted last winter, had Trump at 45.3% and Clinton at 39.0%. 15.7% were undecided. That poll had a margin of error of 2%. The changing poll results moved the Peach State from the “Solid Trump” column to the “Leaning Clinton” column.

Georgia is a red state, but that is now in jeopardy. That fact that this is even up in the air is amazing. Great job, Trumpers.

I put little stock in opinion polls, especially ones that are taken three months away from an actual election.

The situation is, IMHO, the election result isn't going to be a landslide for either candidate.

Hillary is a very flawed candidate and she has a lot of baggage and she's a very polarising figure. The Donald is a very flawed candidate and he has a lot of baggage and he's a very polarising figure.

My reading of all of this is, that all established Blue states will be in Hillary's column and that all established Red states will be in The Donald's column and that essentially it'll come down to Ohio and Florida and whoever wins both of these, wins the election, if I've read correctly nobody has ever been elected President without winning Ohio.

You're thinking is so 2000. Georgia is going to turn blue. Texas might go blue. PA, FL, hell probably even Ohio is going to go blue this year. Michigan will go blue.

 

[Lucy Hamilton]

By way of explanation, every elections cycle, there ends up being discussion ad nasueum about polls, and raw popular votes. I realized some time ago that the popular vote is, in many ways, irrelevant. Let us say, for instance, that Trump wins the popular vote in, say the entire North East corridor, but loses California, Texas, Florida, Virginia, Pennsylvania, and Ohio. Theoretically, while he may have won the popular vote in a plurality of states, if they are the wrong states, he will still lose the election, because of the electoral college. So, while everyone else debates the daily, and weekly polls, and who is ahead, I spend my time looking at the states, and watching who has what electoral votes. I track it daily, and will post any changes to the electoral map, as they come.

July 26th - Looks like Trump picked up Nevada, and Ohio coming off the convention:

We'll have to see if he can hold on to those. Current count:>

Clinton: 288
Trump: 221
Tied: 29

Florida remains a consistent dead heat.

Change Georgia to Blue. Michigan blue and PA blue.

I've been reading about all American elections since 1980, and I can't understand how you think Hillary win's Georgia, the last Democrat to win Georgia was Bill, but Georgia has become more Conservative since.

I know!

New poll has Georgia leaning Clinton

In Georgia, Clinton leads, although within the margin of error. The poll has Clinton at 42.8%, Trump at 41.8% and 15.5% undecided, with a margin of error of 1.7%. Morning Consult’s previous poll, conducted last winter, had Trump at 45.3% and Clinton at 39.0%. 15.7% were undecided. That poll had a margin of error of 2%. The changing poll results moved the Peach State from the “Solid Trump” column to the “Leaning Clinton” column.

Georgia is a red state, but that is now in jeopardy. That fact that this is even up in the air is amazing. Great job, Trumpers.

I put little stock in opinion polls, especially ones that are taken three months away from an actual election.

The situation is, IMHO, the election result isn't going to be a landslide for either candidate.

Hillary is a very flawed candidate and she has a lot of baggage and she's a very polarising figure. The Donald is a very flawed candidate and he has a lot of baggage and he's a very polarising figure.

My reading of all of this is, that all established Blue states will be in Hillary's column and that all established Red states will be in The Donald's column and that essentially it'll come down to Ohio and Florida and whoever wins both of these, wins the election, if I've read correctly nobody has ever been elected President without winning Ohio.

You're thinking is so 2000. Georgia is going to turn blue. Texas might go blue. PA, FL, hell probably even Ohio is going to go blue this year. Michigan will go blue.

On my reading of this situation, Pennsylvania and Michigan, being traditional Democratic states in Presidential elections are in the Hillary column.

There's no way I think Georgia or especially Texas are voting for Hillary.

Florida and Ohio are Swing States, so as I commented yesterday, IMHO it's coming down to them, and as I also commented yesterday, nobody has won the White House if they haven't won Ohio.

 

[sealybobo]

I am going to voice my hunch that there will be an October surprise that will give Trump the White House in a landslide. It will either be something about Hillary that will not allow justice to turn her head - or, more likely, she will have a very severe medical problem. Bill's on his last legs too.

They've been going after the Clinton's for 40 years. What you know now is what you know. No email will doom her. But you are the typical Republican who's hoping for a surprise. Because you know the reality now doesn't look good for you at all. Should have run Kasich.

 

[Czernobog]

North Carolina moves back to red. No surprise there.

Clinton: 273
Trump: 218
Tied: 47

Essentially it's going to come down to Ohio and Florida, whoever wins Ohio AND Florida wins the election.

Hillary will win Virginia and possibly North Carolina and also Nevada.

The Donald will win Arizona, I don't know why Mississippi and Georgia are leaning, I think he'll win both Mississippi and Georgia.

I'm not so sure about your Arizona call. It doesn't surprise me that Arizona is trending the other way. John McCain is still a very popular Senator here in Arizons, and Trump has pissed off a lot the right in Arisona - first, with his POW comments about him back in February, and now a second time by making a point of insisting that he isn't going to endorse his re-election. That's gonna hurt Trump in Arizona.

Okay, so we'll have to watch the polling in Arizona. This would be an unusual happening should Arizona vote Democratic, they've only voted Democratic once since 1948, that being in 1996 for Bill Clinton.

View attachment 84446

Arizona Presidential Election Voting History

I agree, but Trump isn't your typical Republican. I'll be curious to see if that tepid, script-read endorsement of McCain will be enough to assuage Arizona voters, after his treatment of McCain.

 

[Czernobog]

I am going to voice my hunch that there will be an October surprise that will give Trump the White House in a landslide. It will either be something about Hillary that will not allow justice to turn her head - or, more likely, she will have a very severe medical problem. Bill's on his last legs too.

Well...you can always hope...

 

[Czernobog]

Newest polls have Georgia slipping into tied, and Michigan sliding more solidly Clinton:

Clinton: 306
Trump: 198
Tied: 34

I agree with the pundits that Georgia will most likely end up breaking for Trump. However, it bodes badly for the Trump campaign that Georgia would even be in question.

 

[Lucy Hamilton]

By way of explanation, every elections cycle, there ends up being discussion ad nasueum about polls, and raw popular votes. I realized some time ago that the popular vote is, in many ways, irrelevant. Let us say, for instance, that Trump wins the popular vote in, say the entire North East corridor, but loses California, Texas, Florida, Virginia, Pennsylvania, and Ohio. Theoretically, while he may have won the popular vote in a plurality of states, if they are the wrong states, he will still lose the election, because of the electoral college. So, while everyone else debates the daily, and weekly polls, and who is ahead, I spend my time looking at the states, and watching who has what electoral votes. I track it daily, and will post any changes to the electoral map, as they come.

July 26th - Looks like Trump picked up Nevada, and Ohio coming off the convention:

We'll have to see if he can hold on to those. Current count:>

Clinton: 288
Trump: 221
Tied: 29

Florida remains a consistent dead heat.

Change Georgia to Blue. Michigan blue and PA blue.

I've been reading about all American elections since 1980, and I can't understand how you think Hillary win's Georgia, the last Democrat to win Georgia was Bill, but Georgia has become more Conservative since.

I know!

New poll has Georgia leaning Clinton

In Georgia, Clinton leads, although within the margin of error. The poll has Clinton at 42.8%, Trump at 41.8% and 15.5% undecided, with a margin of error of 1.7%. Morning Consult’s previous poll, conducted last winter, had Trump at 45.3% and Clinton at 39.0%. 15.7% were undecided. That poll had a margin of error of 2%. The changing poll results moved the Peach State from the “Solid Trump” column to the “Leaning Clinton” column.

Georgia is a red state, but that is now in jeopardy. That fact that this is even up in the air is amazing. Great job, Trumpers.

I put little stock in opinion polls, especially ones that are taken three months away from an actual election.

The situation is, IMHO, the election result isn't going to be a landslide for either candidate.

Hillary is a very flawed candidate and she has a lot of baggage and she's a very polarising figure. The Donald is a very flawed candidate and he has a lot of baggage and he's a very polarising figure.

My reading of all of this is, that all established Blue states will be in Hillary's column and that all established Red states will be in The Donald's column and that essentially it'll come down to Ohio and Florida and whoever wins both of these, wins the election, if I've read correctly nobody has ever been elected President without winning Ohio.

You're thinking is so 2000. Georgia is going to turn blue. Texas might go blue. PA, FL, hell probably even Ohio is going to go blue this year. Michigan will go blue.

There's also the possibility that Hillary could win the EC vote and that The Donald win's the Popular Vote, people should remember, that despite what the incredibly biased MSM are commenting regarding The Donald and the Republican Party, that in sheer raw vote totals from the Primaries and Caucuses, The Donald received more votes than any other Republican candidate in history.

The Republican Party apparatus aren't a fan of his, and it's not too surprising that they're not, because not only isn't The Donald an ass-kissing career politician, he also has refused to tow the Republican Party line, which is essentially being a part of the Uni-Party ie. the Republicrats of Paul Ryan, John McCain, John Boehner, Mitt Romney etc. As such The Donald has them terrified and it's good that he does, because what's the point of having more than one political party when they've almost merged into the Republicrats?

So whilst The Republican Party aren't fans of The Donald, he's very popular with a substantial section of the American public.

I put no stock in most opinion polls, for instance, someone in another thread posted a recent opinion poll that had Hillary with I think a 4 point lead, when one read into the circumstances of that poll, the pollsters had over-polled Democrats by 12%, so that poll cannot be considered a valid poll, it was a deliberately weighted poll.

 

[Lucy Hamilton]

North Carolina moves back to red. No surprise there.

Clinton: 273
Trump: 218
Tied: 47

Essentially it's going to come down to Ohio and Florida, whoever wins Ohio AND Florida wins the election.

Hillary will win Virginia and possibly North Carolina and also Nevada.

The Donald will win Arizona, I don't know why Mississippi and Georgia are leaning, I think he'll win both Mississippi and Georgia.

I'm not so sure about your Arizona call. It doesn't surprise me that Arizona is trending the other way. John McCain is still a very popular Senator here in Arizons, and Trump has pissed off a lot the right in Arisona - first, with his POW comments about him back in February, and now a second time by making a point of insisting that he isn't going to endorse his re-election. That's gonna hurt Trump in Arizona.

Okay, so we'll have to watch the polling in Arizona. This would be an unusual happening should Arizona vote Democratic, they've only voted Democratic once since 1948, that being in 1996 for Bill Clinton.

View attachment 84446

Arizona Presidential Election Voting History

I agree, but Trump isn't your typical Republican. I'll be curious to see if that tepid, script-read endorsement of McCain will be enough to assuage Arizona voters, after his treatment of McCain.

It's incredible that such a weasel as John McCain is still popular.

 

[Czernobog]

North Carolina moves back to red. No surprise there.

Clinton: 273
Trump: 218
Tied: 47

Essentially it's going to come down to Ohio and Florida, whoever wins Ohio AND Florida wins the election.

Hillary will win Virginia and possibly North Carolina and also Nevada.

The Donald will win Arizona, I don't know why Mississippi and Georgia are leaning, I think he'll win both Mississippi and Georgia.

I'm not so sure about your Arizona call. It doesn't surprise me that Arizona is trending the other way. John McCain is still a very popular Senator here in Arizons, and Trump has pissed off a lot the right in Arisona - first, with his POW comments about him back in February, and now a second time by making a point of insisting that he isn't going to endorse his re-election. That's gonna hurt Trump in Arizona.

Okay, so we'll have to watch the polling in Arizona. This would be an unusual happening should Arizona vote Democratic, they've only voted Democratic once since 1948, that being in 1996 for Bill Clinton.

View attachment 84446

Arizona Presidential Election Voting History

I agree, but Trump isn't your typical Republican. I'll be curious to see if that tepid, script-read endorsement of McCain will be enough to assuage Arizona voters, after his treatment of McCain.

It's incredible that such a weasel as John McCain is still popular.

Uh... I don't agree with his politics, but I think "weasel" might be a bit unfair...

Sent from my 5054N using Tapatalk

 

[Lucy Hamilton]

Essentially it's going to come down to Ohio and Florida, whoever wins Ohio AND Florida wins the election.

Hillary will win Virginia and possibly North Carolina and also Nevada.

The Donald will win Arizona, I don't know why Mississippi and Georgia are leaning, I think he'll win both Mississippi and Georgia.

I'm not so sure about your Arizona call. It doesn't surprise me that Arizona is trending the other way. John McCain is still a very popular Senator here in Arizons, and Trump has pissed off a lot the right in Arisona - first, with his POW comments about him back in February, and now a second time by making a point of insisting that he isn't going to endorse his re-election. That's gonna hurt Trump in Arizona.

Okay, so we'll have to watch the polling in Arizona. This would be an unusual happening should Arizona vote Democratic, they've only voted Democratic once since 1948, that being in 1996 for Bill Clinton.

View attachment 84446

Arizona Presidential Election Voting History

I agree, but Trump isn't your typical Republican. I'll be curious to see if that tepid, script-read endorsement of McCain will be enough to assuage Arizona voters, after his treatment of McCain.

It's incredible that such a weasel as John McCain is still popular.

Uh... I don't agree with his politics, but I think "weasel" might be a bit unfair...

Sent from my 5054N using Tapatalk

John McCain is a Neo-Conservative Psychopath, calling him a weasel that was being mild.

McCain's love-in's with future ISIS and Al-Nusra leaders and his behaviour in the Ukraine licking the asses of Svoboda and others, plus being punch drunk wanting to start WWIII by demanding that Obama send lethal weapons to the Ukraine coupled with his "Bomb bomb bomb Iran" to the tune of The Beach Boys "Barbara-Ann", all suggest that McCain is a complete lunatic, with severe mental health issues.

It's incredible that the people of Arizona LIKE the nutball, it's even more incredible that McCain hasn't been carted off to a an asylum before now.

WHY would anyone want the endorsement of this waste of human skin?

He's not fit to lick The Donald's shoes.

 

[Czernobog]

Change Georgia to Blue. Michigan blue and PA blue.

I've been reading about all American elections since 1980, and I can't understand how you think Hillary win's Georgia, the last Democrat to win Georgia was Bill, but Georgia has become more Conservative since.

I know!

New poll has Georgia leaning Clinton

In Georgia, Clinton leads, although within the margin of error. The poll has Clinton at 42.8%, Trump at 41.8% and 15.5% undecided, with a margin of error of 1.7%. Morning Consult’s previous poll, conducted last winter, had Trump at 45.3% and Clinton at 39.0%. 15.7% were undecided. That poll had a margin of error of 2%. The changing poll results moved the Peach State from the “Solid Trump” column to the “Leaning Clinton” column.

Georgia is a red state, but that is now in jeopardy. That fact that this is even up in the air is amazing. Great job, Trumpers.

I put little stock in opinion polls, especially ones that are taken three months away from an actual election.

The situation is, IMHO, the election result isn't going to be a landslide for either candidate.

Hillary is a very flawed candidate and she has a lot of baggage and she's a very polarising figure. The Donald is a very flawed candidate and he has a lot of baggage and he's a very polarising figure.

My reading of all of this is, that all established Blue states will be in Hillary's column and that all established Red states will be in The Donald's column and that essentially it'll come down to Ohio and Florida and whoever wins both of these, wins the election, if I've read correctly nobody has ever been elected President without winning Ohio.

You're thinking is so 2000. Georgia is going to turn blue. Texas might go blue. PA, FL, hell probably even Ohio is going to go blue this year. Michigan will go blue.

There's also the possibility that Hillary could win the EC vote and that The Donald win's the Popular Vote, people should remember, that despite what the incredibly biased MSM are commenting regarding The Donald and the Republican Party, that in sheer raw vote totals from the Primaries and Caucuses, The Donald received more votes than any other Republican candidate in history.

The Republican Party apparatus aren't a fan of his, and it's not too surprising that they're not, because not only isn't The Donald an ass-kissing career politician, he also has refused to tow the Republican Party line, which is essentially being a part of the Uni-Party ie. the Republicrats of Paul Ryan, John McCain, John Boehner, Mitt Romney etc. As such The Donald has them terrified and it's good that he does, because what's the point of having more than one political party when they've almost merged into the Republicrats?

So whilst The Republican Party aren't fans of The Donald, he's very popular with a substantial section of the American public.

I put no stock in most opinion polls, for instance, someone in another thread posted a recent opinion poll that had Hillary with I think a 4 point lead, when one read into the circumstances of that poll, the pollsters had over-polled Democrats by 12%, so that poll cannot be considered a valid poll, it was a deliberately weighted poll.

This is why I choose to track the electoral rather than the popular polls. You're right. It's all about the electoral college. This is a "national", but it is a national race divided into 50 electoral races. What really matters in a presidential race is which states a candidate wins.

 

[jon_berzerk]

I am going to voice my hunch that there will be an October surprise that will give Trump the White House in a landslide. It will either be something about Hillary that will not allow justice to turn her head - or, more likely, she will have a very severe medical problem. Bill's on his last legs too.

Yes Bill looks terrible, he doesn't look well at all. Hillary has those strange coughing fits.

She has been having more then that lately


These strange seizures

 

[Lucy Hamilton]

I've been reading about all American elections since 1980, and I can't understand how you think Hillary win's Georgia, the last Democrat to win Georgia was Bill, but Georgia has become more Conservative since.

I know!

New poll has Georgia leaning Clinton

In Georgia, Clinton leads, although within the margin of error. The poll has Clinton at 42.8%, Trump at 41.8% and 15.5% undecided, with a margin of error of 1.7%. Morning Consult’s previous poll, conducted last winter, had Trump at 45.3% and Clinton at 39.0%. 15.7% were undecided. That poll had a margin of error of 2%. The changing poll results moved the Peach State from the “Solid Trump” column to the “Leaning Clinton” column.

Georgia is a red state, but that is now in jeopardy. That fact that this is even up in the air is amazing. Great job, Trumpers.

I put little stock in opinion polls, especially ones that are taken three months away from an actual election.

The situation is, IMHO, the election result isn't going to be a landslide for either candidate.

Hillary is a very flawed candidate and she has a lot of baggage and she's a very polarising figure. The Donald is a very flawed candidate and he has a lot of baggage and he's a very polarising figure.

My reading of all of this is, that all established Blue states will be in Hillary's column and that all established Red states will be in The Donald's column and that essentially it'll come down to Ohio and Florida and whoever wins both of these, wins the election, if I've read correctly nobody has ever been elected President without winning Ohio.

You're thinking is so 2000. Georgia is going to turn blue. Texas might go blue. PA, FL, hell probably even Ohio is going to go blue this year. Michigan will go blue.

There's also the possibility that Hillary could win the EC vote and that The Donald win's the Popular Vote, people should remember, that despite what the incredibly biased MSM are commenting regarding The Donald and the Republican Party, that in sheer raw vote totals from the Primaries and Caucuses, The Donald received more votes than any other Republican candidate in history.

The Republican Party apparatus aren't a fan of his, and it's not too surprising that they're not, because not only isn't The Donald an ass-kissing career politician, he also has refused to tow the Republican Party line, which is essentially being a part of the Uni-Party ie. the Republicrats of Paul Ryan, John McCain, John Boehner, Mitt Romney etc. As such The Donald has them terrified and it's good that he does, because what's the point of having more than one political party when they've almost merged into the Republicrats?

So whilst The Republican Party aren't fans of The Donald, he's very popular with a substantial section of the American public.

I put no stock in most opinion polls, for instance, someone in another thread posted a recent opinion poll that had Hillary with I think a 4 point lead, when one read into the circumstances of that poll, the pollsters had over-polled Democrats by 12%, so that poll cannot be considered a valid poll, it was a deliberately weighted poll.

This is why I choose to track the electoral rather than the popular polls. You're right. It's all about the electoral college. This is a "national", but it is a national race divided into 50 electoral races. What really matters in a presidential race is which states a candidate wins.

Your electoral system is incomprehensible to non-Americans. Why do you have the Electoral College vote and the Popular Vote, when ONLY the Electoral College vote matters?

A candidate could win the Popular Vote 60% to 40%, but the candidate with the minimum votes of 40% would become President if they won the Electoral College vote.

So that candidate who became President, has been rejected by 60% of the population.