Updates on 2024 Electoral College Projections and Pollster Ratings Not Good For One Party Not at All

[Procrustes Stretched]

The poll, published Thursday from Morning Consult and Bloomberg News, found Biden is trailing the former president by an average of 5.28 percentage points in the seven swing states surveyed — North Carolina, Georgia, Wisconsin, Nevada, Michigan, Arizona and Pennsylvania.

Trump held his strongest lead over Biden in North Carolina — 11 points — followed by Georgia — 7 points.

The former president is leading in Wisconsin by 6 points and Nevada by 5 points, pollsters found. His smallest leads are in Michigan and Arizona, leading by 4 and 3 points, respectively.

Trump leads Biden in 7 swing states: Survey

Former President Trump is leading President Biden in seven swing states, dealing the latest blow to Biden’s reelection campaign just weeks ahead of the start of primary voting season, accordi…

thehill.com

Morning Consult and Bloomberg News?

Can you help find them on this list?

Are those news orgs even polling forms?

 

[Procrustes Stretched]

The poll, published Thursday from Morning Consult and Bloomberg News, found Biden is trailing the former president by an average of 5.28 percentage points in the seven swing states surveyed — North Carolina, Georgia, Wisconsin, Nevada, Michigan, Arizona and Pennsylvania.

Trump held his strongest lead over Biden in North Carolina — 11 points — followed by Georgia — 7 points.

The former president is leading in Wisconsin by 6 points and Nevada by 5 points, pollsters found. His smallest leads are in Michigan and Arizona, leading by 4 and 3 points, respectively.

Trump leads Biden in 7 swing states: Survey

Former President Trump is leading President Biden in seven swing states, dealing the latest blow to Biden’s reelection campaign just weeks ahead of the start of primary voting season, accordi…

thehill.com

Oh!

A survey - a hypothetical ballot

 

[Godboy]

Morning Consult and Bloomberg News?

Can you help find them on this list?

Are those news orgs even polling forms?

View attachment 893991

This ^ isnt going to help Biden. You are ignoring reality. Biden is WAAAAY behind in the polls, deservedly so.

 

[Toddsterpatriot]

We can all agree that counting on Trump to run into the proverbial china shop like a raging bull, only seriously wounded this time...

And Biden stumbling like the brain damaged child sniffer he is......

 

[Procrustes Stretched]

View attachment 893985

View attachment 893987

View attachment 893988


That's a flip of 52 EV.

Go bet the house on that one.

Pull a Liability/BackAgain and state you will leave the boards forever if that projection in any of those few states change in favor of Biden.

 

[Toddsterpatriot]

Looking at it all, the forecasts and the ultimate votes:

2020 Presidential Election Polls: Biden vs. Trump - 270toWin

View the results of 2020 election polls. See how President Trump is polling against challenger Joe Biden as each vies to win the 2020 presidential election

www.270towin.com

Presidential Election of 2020 - 270toWin

Results of the presidential election of 2020, won by Joseph R. Biden with 306 electoral votes

www.270towin.com

add in: Are Swing States Ready for 2024?

The 2024 projections map will change. We can all agree that counting on Trump to run into the proverbial china shop like a raging bull, only seriously wounded this time...

Trump momentum, is being overrated. It sells, but is it reality based.

 

[Procrustes Stretched]

And Biden stumbling like the brain damaged child sniffer he is......

You do know people have been talking about Mr. Trump declining rapidly?

Joe's been out campaigning in a few states. Wisconsin for one. He has yet confused Haley for Speaker Pelosi or Trump for Obama.

 

[Procrustes Stretched]

View attachment 893993

again,
Go bet the house on that one.

Pull a Liability/BackAgain and state you will leave the boards forever if that projection in any of those few states change in favor of Biden.

keeper electoral college posts

 

[Procrustes Stretched]

And Biden stumbling like the brain damaged child sniffer he is......

as long as you're stuck in the juvenile arena of name calling and nuttiness you will never see clearly. Your mind is clouded by that nonsense.

 

[Procrustes Stretched]

If anyone wants to bet on Biden not picking up a few of those toss up states, to reach 270 ...

I have a Liability/BackAgain deal for you.

 

[Toddsterpatriot]

You do know people have been talking about Mr. Trump declining rapidly?

Joe's been out campaigning in a few states. Wisconsin for one. He has yet confused Haley for Speaker Pelosi or Trump for Obama.

You do know people have been talking about Mr. Trump declining rapidly?

And watching Biden decay rapidly.

 

[Fort Fun Indiana]

The polls will of course narrow as we get closer. And joe biden will get more votes than donald trump.

 

[Toddsterpatriot]

again,
Go bet the house on that one.

Pull a Liability/BackAgain and state you will leave the boards forever if that projection in any of those few states change in favor of Biden.

keeper electoral college posts

Bet the house on Biden not getting 306 EVs like you initially claimed? LOL!

 

[Procrustes Stretched]

You do know people have been talking about Mr. Trump declining rapidly?

And watching Biden decay rapidly.

No one dealing with Biden on important issues has ever come forward with those bs claims.

But people close to Trump have been worrying.

Donald Trump biographer says former president is in cognitive decline

Former President Donald Trump said in New Hampshire that he feels better cognitively than he did 20 years ago.

www.newsweek.com

Nikki Haley questions Trump's mental fitness after he appears to confuse her for Nancy Pelosi

Nikki Haley has questioned whether Donald Trump is mentally capable of serving as president again, after he repeatedly seemed to confuse her with former House Speaker Nancy Pelosi.

apnews.com

 

[Procrustes Stretched]

Bet the house on Biden not getting 306 EVs like you initially claimed? LOL!

Biden will get the 270

Claimed? A projection from the link? You need to step up your game. Staying here too long causes a loss of brain function.

 

[John Edgar Slow Horses]

Depending on Trump's failing campaign, Biden will have 295 to 320 EVs when it is over.

Where does your favorite poll stand:

The best pollsters in America​

538′s star rating, POLLSCORE and Transparency Score for the top 15 organizations in our new pollster ratings

POLLSTER	STAR RATING	POLLSCORE	TRANSPARENCY SCORE
The New York Times/Siena College	3.0	-1.5	8.7
ABC News/The Washington Post	3.0	-1.2	9.3
Marquette University Law School	2.9	-1.0	10.0
YouGov	2.9	-1.1	8.8
Monmouth University Polling Institute	2.9	-0.9	9.9
Suffolk University	2.9	-1.0	8.6
Marist College	2.9	-0.8	9.1
Emerson College	2.9	-1.0	8.2
University of Massachusetts Lowell Center for Public Opinion	2.9	-0.9	8.6
Data Orbital	2.9	-0.9	9.0
Muhlenberg College Institute of Public Opinion	2.8	-1.0	8.2
University of North Florida Public Opinion Research Lab	2.8	-0.6	9.8
Selzer & Co.	2.8	-1.1	7.4
SurveyUSA	2.8	-1.2	5.6
Quinnipiac University	2.8	-0.5	9.6

 

[Toddsterpatriot]

Biden will get the 270

Claimed? A projection from the link? You need to step up your game. Staying here too long causes a loss of brain function.

Not based on your link.
Your confusion was pretty funny.

 

[BackAgain]

The Dainty is very good at posting uninformative and downright misleading nonsense.

 

[candycorn]

View attachment 893985

View attachment 893987

View attachment 893988


That's a flip of 52 EV.

The blob has been campaigning for 3 years and he's only ahead by 2, 4, 6, and 8%?

Wow.

 

[candycorn]

The polls will of course narrow as we get closer. And joe biden will get more votes than donald trump.

Sure hope so.

Every presidential election is essentially a coin flip. It all comes down to if the democrats show up at the polls and mail in their ballots. Nobody who voted for Joe in 2020 will vote for the blob in 2024. Nobody who voted for the blob in 2020 will vote for Joe in 2024. What they may do is vote for someone other than the other major party nominee or not vote at all--which is more likely. Getting your voters to show up is the only thing that matters. So I think we're in for a pander-fest because the only way you find those voters is to go further to the extremes.

That being said; as a pragmatic thing, those who are actual independents are far more "turned off" by the blob than Biden so Joe has that going for him.