Do You See A Problem With This Analysis?

Discussion in 'Politics' started by Annie, Dec 15, 2003.

  1. Annie
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    Annie Diamond Member

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    You'll have to go to the article to see the graphics

    http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/articles/A540-2003Dec15.html

    Despite Capture, Poll Indicates Wariness on Iraq
    President's Ratings Rise, but 9 of 10 Respondents Anticipate Major Challenges Ahead
    By Claudia Deane
    Washington Post Staff Writer
    Monday, December 15, 2003; Page A07


    Americans greeted the news of Saddam Hussein's capture with measured optimism while acknowledging the breadth of the challenges still facing the United States in Iraq, according to a Washington Post-ABC News poll conducted yesterday.

    At least initially, the capture did not do much to change the overall shape of opinion on the war in Iraq.

    Roughly 2 in 3 respondents said Hussein's capture would be at least somewhat helpful in ending attacks on U.S. troops and contributing to Americans' long-term security, although only 15 to 23 percent thought the arrest would "help a great deal." Larger percentages were hopeful the news would help restore stability to Iraq.

    Nine in 10 Americans said big challenges still face the United States in Iraq, with fewer than 1 in 10 saying Hussein's capture would resolve the hurdles facing U.S. troops. Eight in 10 rejected the notion that with the former Iraqi president in custody, the United States should withdraw its forces from the country.

    President Bush received immediate credit for his handling of the situation in Iraq, with his approval rating in that area jumping to 58 percent, from 48 percent in mid-November. In a separate survey conducted yesterday by CNN/USA Today/Gallup, 8 in 10 Americans said finding Hussein was a "major achievement."

    Bush's overall job approval rating in the Post-ABC News survey was 57 percent, 4 percentage points up from a survey conducted last week and the same as this time last month.

    The public remains deeply divided as to whether "the war with Iraq was worth fighting," with 53 percent agreeing it was, and 42 percent saying it was not -- unchanged from last month.

    Evaluations of the war against terrorism remained steady in the Post-ABC survey. About two-thirds of Americans said the war on terror is going at least fairly well, three percentage points higher than when they were last asked in late October.

    Meanwhile, more Americans say the war in Iraq is going worse than expected (27 percent) than say it is going better than expected (14 percent). The majority said it is turning out much the way they had anticipated.

    By evening yesterday, more than 9 in 10 poll respondents had heard the news of Hussein's capture, which was widely broadcast throughout the day.

    The poll suggests the public is somewhat split on the complicated question of Hussein's future. A narrow majority (52 percent) said he should be put on trial in a United Nations-sponsored forum, compared with 39 percent who think he should stand trial in Iraq. By a 2 to 1 margin, Americans said if Hussein, 66, were convicted of war crimes he should face the death penalty rather than life in prison.

    The Post-ABC poll was conducted yesterday afternoon and evening among a randomly selected sample of 506 adults nationwide. The margin of sampling error for results is plus or minus five percentage points.
     
  2. MtnBiker
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    MtnBiker Senior Member

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    I'm not sure what problem you see Kathianne? I did notice that they did not show a graph of their poll numbers of Bush's general approval rating. Which went up 4 points according to their poll.
     
  3. Annie
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    Annie Diamond Member

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    Actually I think they slant their headline,
    In reality I think the public understands that no one man, is going to change the war on terror. Catching Usama won't either and I think the public acknowledges that awareness.

    It isn't 'wariness' as much as 'acceptance.
     
  4. MtnBiker
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    MtnBiker Senior Member

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    Unfortunately there are alot of people who do not believe the war in Iraq is connected with the overall war on terror.
     
  5. Annie
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    Annie Diamond Member

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    You may be correct in that analysis or the writers may be trying to imply that the public is 'uncomforatable', 'wary', whatever. Truth is, IMHO is that the people understand this is something we will be living under for the rest of our lives, in all likelihood.
     
  6. MtnBiker
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    MtnBiker Senior Member

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    Agreed, at least for a very long time.
     
  7. jon_forward
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    jon_forward Active Member

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    very sad but very true...:(
     
  8. Annie
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    Annie Diamond Member

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    It's going to be ongoing for a long, long time. I don't think we'll be going to war after war, but it will involve sustained military use and threat. Some countries, Syria comes to mind, are still engaging in a very dangerous game of appearing to want to avoid conflict, while continuing their support of terrorists. If it doesn't stop, something will be done, beyond sanctions.

    Think the UN is going to work on that with US? Doubt it. Thus we'll continue to have problems on the 'international front.'
     
  9. jon_forward
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    jon_forward Active Member

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    I really do hate to say this but I think the UN needs Mr,Al Gore... if there ever was an org that needs to be re-invented its the UN. because they wont go along with us? no. they are so wishy-washy its funny.
     
  10. Annie
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    Annie Diamond Member

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    For over 20 years now, the UN has not been an effective forum to actually get anything accomplished. It's too bad, the original form was very good, but I guess it needed the tension of 2 superpowers.
     

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