You don't agree with...Let's stop right there. Because you do not agree, you declare an Obama win?
Nope. I think their analysis if flawed. Wisconsin hasn't gone Democratic in a presidential election since 1984. It won't this time. PA hasn't since 1988.
You insist Jeb Bush cheated. HUH? Tests were done on those dimpled chad voting card machines and the only way the result could be duplicated was to have at least three cards shoved into the machine. Also, the DNC went to court to block all absentee ballots from overseas military. Anyway the Gore Lieberman campaign wanted the issue to go to court. They lost. Lastly, the voting precincts involved in the controversy were ALL DEMOCRAT CONTROLLED.
Blah, blah, blah. Jeb Cheated. Deal with it. if there was a 100% recanvas of all the votes, if Jeb hadn't purged the voting roles, Gore would have won Florida. The fact a court stacked with Republicans found in Bush's favor just means the court was stacked.
Now, nothing against Bush, I thought he was a much better president than most people give him credit for. I think he's a better president than Obama. But he was the result of a flawed process.
But that bubble burst on Bush's watch, not Obama's. Also, the GOP Governor is massively unpopular. Final note- GOP turnout in Florida's primary was WAAAAAAAY down from 2008. No thrill for these candidates.
Virginia Indiana Ohio Wisconsin....All replaced democrat governors with republicans. Also, Wisconsin, Indiana and North Carolina ( went with Obama in 2008) have majority GOP legislatures.
All sort of meaningless. Kasich got slapped down by the voters on the union issue, Walker is probably going to get recalled. NC and IN might go back into the GOP Column, but Obama can probalby win without them. But if you have Romney as the nominee, all the Evangelicals in those states will probalby not be so keen to show up. I might also put Missouri in play if Romney is the nominee.
I give NV to The dems. Harry Reid is still there.
History shows that in periods with poor economies, the incumbent president does not pick up states. There are losses. This economy still sucks. Home sales are the drag. Until the federal government gets out of the housing business and allow the market to bottom out, that will not change. All these programs and offers from the government to help people with troubled mortgages are going to place a further drag on the economy. They will only prolong the inevitable. That is foreclosure or a short sale.
Oh, let us not forget the biggest elephant of all in the room. Four Dollar gasoline.
If you really think the Republicans are going to win on "We need for the your house to "bottom out" and you to lose even more money so the assholes can get richer", then you are kind of on the wrong side of history.
History shows that presidents do get re-elected when economies are on the mend, and this one is. The Dow is close to 13,000, unemployment is at the lowest level of Obama's term. But most important reason why Obama will win.
All the Republicans suck.