Why is the goal 2°C by 2100 copilot

[Sunsettommy]

The 2°C climate goal (aiming for 1.5°C) is a threshold set by the IPCC and the Paris Agreement to avoid severe, irreversible damages. Exceeding this limit by 2100 risks triggering tipping points like rapid ice sheet collapse and massive biodiversity loss, leading to extreme sea-level rise, severe heatwaves, and food shortages. [1, 2, 3, 4]
Key Reasons for the 2°C Limit:

• Preventing Irreversible Tipping Points: Scientists warn that a 2°C rise could trigger climate tipping points, such as the total collapse of the Greenland and West Antarctic ice sheets. Once triggered, these processes may become unstoppable, causing significant sea-level rise over centuries.
• Limiting Catastrophic Weather: Beyond 2°C, the intensity and frequency of droughts, extreme heatwaves, and severe weather events increase dramatically, according to the IPCC report highlighted by Active Sustainability.
• Protecting Ecosystems: A 2°C increase would cause significant damage to ecosystems, including the potential death of almost all tropical coral reefs by mid-century, says research cited in this Active Sustainability article.
• Ensuring Human Security: A 2°C increase is projected to cause major disruptions to food and water security, economic stability (e.g., loss of 11% of global GDP), and human health, according to data analyzed in this article and this report from unclimatesummit.org.
• Scientific consensus & Feasibility: While 1.5°C is considered safer, 2°C was historically set as the maximum "guardrail" to avoid the most dangerous impacts. The Paris Agreement aim is to keep warming "well below" 2°C, say Climate Action Tracker and BBC Science. [1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7]

Current Outlook:
While the target is 2°C, current global policies and emissions put the world on track for a likely increase between 2.1°C and 2.9°C, which would exceed the goal as discussed in this Wikipedia article. [1]

LOLOLOLOLOL, more climate propaganda to feed the ignorant and the gullible, we already passed the 1.5C yet nothing horrible showed up.

 

[Sunsettommy]

Studies show AI is very persuasive

For science illiterates like you who swallow the climate cult propaganda so easily.

 

[Sunsettommy]

Sorry but that is fact

Which you never post, you wearing black glasses?

 

[Sunsettommy]

And we have had a very mild winter and spring here in the Willamette Valley. The Cascades have about a 45% of normal snow pack, and are warmer than normal for this time of year. Looks like it could be a very severe fire season. And we have a dolt of a President doing his best to cripple the Forest Service's ability to respond to fires.

There is no water problem in the Northwest either. The Reservoirs are full the Fall/Winter was one of the wettest on record.

There Is No Drought Emergency in Washington State​

LINK

 

[Sunsettommy]

How many "tipping points" must we pass before you admit that your entire screed is a lie?

I think we have now passed at least 7 of them.

They always forget their past failures as the planet doesn't think like democrats.......

 

[catatomic]

The science is real. The AI isn't biased or wed know

 

[catatomic]

The goal is 1.5 to 2 after a point

 

[Sunsettommy]

The science is real. The AI isn't biased or wed know

Your Pseudoscience is sure real it is why you are so deficient in your hilarious presentations.

 

[Sunsettommy]

The goal is 1.5 to 2 after a point

Which was already met, as shown in post #61.

You really should stop destroying yourself here as you clearly on climate cult propaganda diet.

 

[catatomic]

LOLOLOLOLOL, more climate propaganda to feed the ignorant and the gullible, we already passed the 1.5C yet nothing horrible showed up.

Liar!

, 2024 was the first full calendar year to exceed 1.5°C of warming above pre-industrial levels, hitting approximately 1.55°C. While this is a critical warning sign and represents a temporary breach, the long-term, 20-year average defined by the Paris Agreement has not officially passed 1.5°C yet, though it is rapidly approaching that limit. [1, 2, 3]

Key Details on the 1.5°C Threshold:

• The 2024 Record: The Copernicus Climate Change Service reported 2024 as the warmest year on record, with 11 months exceeding 1.5°C.
• Temporary vs. Long-Term: The Paris Agreement target refers to a sustained, multi-decadal average (usually 20 years), not single-year spikes, which are often influenced by natural factors like El Niño.
• Approaching the Edge: While 2024 was a 1.55°C year, the current 20-year average (2015–2034) is projected to be around 1.44°C, putting the world on the brink of a permanent breach.
• Impending Breach: Studies suggest that even with strong action, we are likely to cross the 1.5°C threshold on a long-term basis in the next few years. [1, 2, 3, 4, 5]

In summary, we have passed 1.5°C on a temporary, yearly basis, but not yet as a long-term climate average, though experts say we are nearing the "point of no return". [1, 2]

 

[Sunsettommy]

Liar!

, 2024 was the first full calendar year to exceed 1.5°C of warming above pre-industrial levels, hitting approximately 1.55°C. While this is a critical warning sign and represents a temporary breach, the long-term, 20-year average defined by the Paris Agreement has not officially passed 1.5°C yet, though it is rapidly approaching that limit. [1, 2, 3]

Key Details on the 1.5°C Threshold:

• The 2024 Record: The Copernicus Climate Change Service reported 2024 as the warmest year on record, with 11 months exceeding 1.5°C.
• Temporary vs. Long-Term: The Paris Agreement target refers to a sustained, multi-decadal average (usually 20 years), not single-year spikes, which are often influenced by natural factors like El Niño.
• Approaching the Edge: While 2024 was a 1.55°C year, the current 20-year average (2015–2034) is projected to be around 1.44°C, putting the world on the brink of a permanent breach.
• Impending Breach: Studies suggest that even with strong action, we are likely to cross the 1.5°C threshold on a long-term basis in the next few years. [1, 2, 3, 4, 5]

In summary, we have passed 1.5°C on a temporary, yearly basis, but not yet as a long-term climate average, though experts say we are nearing the "point of no return". [1, 2]

OMG are you that stupid, first you say it would be reached by year 2100 now you just admitted that it was reached in year 2024 only 76 years too early.

From post #1,

The 2°C climate goal (aiming for 1.5°C) is a threshold set by the IPCC and the Paris Agreement to avoid severe, irreversible damages. Exceeding this limit by 2100......

The charts I posted are from Berkely Earth data.