He can't even get the traditional post convention bounce.
Trump wasted his chance for a convention bounce: Column
Trump wasted his chance for a convention bounce: Column
The Hill does not think HRC will get much of one, either. That will depend on the type of convention the DNC turns out. Don't expect much of a post-convention bounce for Trump or Clinton
I keep telling you moron that old style polling and expectations do not fit what's going on.
Why?
The polls from five months prior right up to voting day predicted Trump would win the nomination. Why would the general be any different?
i think they confuse polls with what the pundits were saying. the pundits were all wrong. even nate silver (who is generally dead on) thinks he messed up the trump nomination because on a personal level he discounted him and didn't think the polls were reflective of the reality. they kept waiting for the normal GOP vote to coalesce around a single candidate which, as you know, it never did. so trump's zealots out shrieked every other voice in the GOP.
i also think trump and his happy band of wingers don't understand the difference between getting 40% of the GOP base (which trump did) and getting a majority or plurality of the vote nationally and the difference in the voter pool at this juncture.
Right.
In fairness, many Trump supporters said Trump was going to win as he surged in the polls but pundits (and me) didn't believe it. But that's because the pundits refused to believe the data.
If you look at the data now, it appears that Clinton is going to win, but it is the Trump supporters who don't believe it.
Of course, it's still early and things can change, but things are going to have to change a whole lot. The convention was one opportunity, and Trump probably blew it.