What will summer bring?
- Thread starter Old Rocks
- Start date
Jarlaxle
Gold Member
Sunsettommy
Diamond Member
- Mar 19, 2018
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Residence time has been well established over many published papers over many years thus you are incorrect as usual.
Frankeneinstein
Gold Member
they certainly do exist, in fact these "events" are so common throughout history they go largely unnoticed except by those foolish enough to invest their life savings on/in windmills...its over rock...let it go
Sunsettommy
Diamond Member
- Mar 19, 2018
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He has been shown DECLINING extreme events replies many times here based on Official data, here is a fine article with a barrage of evidence that there is no climate emergency at all.
Where Is The “Climate Emergency”?
LINK
Old Rocks
Diamond Member
- Thread starter
- #127
LOL Love these assholes that use totally unrelated data to back up their shit denial. Comparing events to GDP? What a hoot.
Now why do you suppose I trust NASA scientists far more than whackadoodle deniers.
"The data is not yet peer-reviewed, and researchers said they would need another 10 or more years to confirm to conclusively call it a trend. The data has been co-produced by Dr Bailing Li, from the Hydrological Sciences Laboratory of Nasa’s Goddard Space Flight Center – affiliated with the University of Maryland’s Earth System Science Interdisciplinary Center, who told the Guardian: “We can’t prove causation yet – we would need a much longer dataset. It’s difficult to pinpoint exactly what’s happening here, but other events suggest that (global) warming is the driving factor. We are seeing more and more extreme events round the world, so this is certainly alarming.”
Her colleague Dr Matthew Rodell, chief of hydrologic sciences at Goddard, also counselled caution over the latest data, but admitted that he too was worried about the apparent acceleration of a trend in destructive events. “It’s certainly scary,” he said."
Nasa data reveals dramatic rise in intensity of weather events
Extreme events such as floods and droughts are becoming more frequent, longer-lasting and more severe, study says
www.theguardian.com
Old Rocks
Diamond Member
- Thread starter
- #128
From the PNAS;
Abstract
Trends in extreme 100-y events of temperature and rainfall amounts in the continental United States are estimated, to see effects of climate change. This is a nontrivial statistical problem because climate change effects have to be extracted from “noisy” weather data within a limited time range. We use nonparametric Bayesian methods to estimate the trends of extreme events that have occurred between 1979 and 2019, based on data for temperature and rainfall. We focus on 100-y events for each month in geographical areas looking at hourly temperature and 5-d cumulative rainfall. Distribution tail models are constructed using extreme value theory (EVT) and data on 33-y events. This work shows it is possible to aggregate data from spatial points in diverse climate zones for a given month and fit an EVT model with the same parameters. This surprising result means there are enough extreme event data to see the trends in the 41-y record for each calendar month. The yearly trends of the risk of a 100-y high-temperature event show an average 2.1-fold increase over the last 41 y of data across all months, with a 2.6-fold increase for the months of July through October. The risk of high rainfall extremes increases in December and January 1.4-fold, but declines by 22% for the spring and summer months.And for you yokels that don't know what PNAS stands for, that is the Publications of the National Academy of Science.
Old Rocks
Diamond Member
- Thread starter
- #129
Definitely you posted a screed full of lies. Here are the facts;
"The number of natural weather disasters with damages of more than a billion dollars has increased over the last forty years. From 1980 to 2024, the US averaged 9 events per year, while the annual average for the most recent 5 years is 23.
The National Centers for Environmental Information has kept track of billion-dollar natural disasters since 1980 and cites increased exposure, vulnerability, and climate change as reasons for the increase."
Are major natural disasters increasing? | USAFacts
Of the 10 years with the most natural disasters, nine were in the last decade.
usafacts.org
EMH
Diamond Member
- Apr 5, 2021
- 32,410
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Definitely you posted a screed full of lies. Here are the facts;
"The number of natural weather disasters with damages of more than a billion dollars has increased over the last forty years. From 1980 to 2024, the US averaged 9 events per year, while the annual average for the most recent 5 years is 23.
The National Centers for Environmental Information has kept track of billion-dollar natural disasters since 1980 and cites increased exposure, vulnerability, and climate change as reasons for the increase."
Are major natural disasters increasing? | USAFacts
Of the 10 years with the most natural disasters, nine were in the last decade.
Easily refuted. There are also "CO2 FRAUD SPONSORED" "natural" disasters like Palisades fire, as your side bitterly fought against increasing desalination, and other things, to increase the water supply. So CO2 FRAUD misdiagnoses, blocks solutions, and cheers the big fires as a "validation" of Global WARMING never mind a warmer Earth is actually a WETTER EARTH....
Toddsterpatriot
Diamond Member
LOL Love these assholes that use totally unrelated data to back up their shit denial. Comparing events to GDP? What a hoot.
Now why do you suppose I trust NASA scientists far more than whackadoodle deniers.
"The data is not yet peer-reviewed, and researchers said they would need another 10 or more years to confirm to conclusively call it a trend. The data has been co-produced by Dr Bailing Li, from the Hydrological Sciences Laboratory of Nasa’s Goddard Space Flight Center – affiliated with the University of Maryland’s Earth System Science Interdisciplinary Center, who told the Guardian: “We can’t prove causation yet – we would need a much longer dataset. It’s difficult to pinpoint exactly what’s happening here, but other events suggest that (global) warming is the driving factor. We are seeing more and more extreme events round the world, so this is certainly alarming.”
Her colleague Dr Matthew Rodell, chief of hydrologic sciences at Goddard, also counselled caution over the latest data, but admitted that he too was worried about the apparent acceleration of a trend in destructive events. “It’s certainly scary,” he said."
Nasa data reveals dramatic rise in intensity of weather events
Extreme events such as floods and droughts are becoming more frequent, longer-lasting and more severe, study says
New data from Nasa has revealed a dramatic rise in the intensity of weather events such as droughts and floods over the past five years.
Over the past five years? DURR
Old Rocks
Diamond Member
- Thread starter
- #132
The residence time of CO2 in the atmosphere varies based on different studies and sources:
- According to a study by Solomon, the residence time is about 10 years.
1 - Estimates can range from hundreds to thousands of years, depending on various factors.
1 - For CO2 from fossil fuel burning, the residence time can be as long as hundreds of thousands of years.
1 - Natural CO2 has a turnover time of about 4 years, while the average time a CO2 molecule spends in the atmosphere before being absorbed by land plants is roughly 12 years.
2
These variations highlight the complexity of carbon dioxide dynamics in the atmosphere. -
5 Sources
National Institutes of Health (NIH)
Residence Time vs. Adjustment Time of Carbon Dioxide in the Atmosphere ...
MIT - Massachusetts Institute of Technology
How do we know how long carbon dioxide remains in the atmosphere?
Duke University
Carbon Dioxide Residence Time in the Atmosphere - Duke University
Oh look, an opinion paper.Definitely you posted a screed full of lies. Here are the facts;
"The number of natural weather disasters with damages of more than a billion dollars has increased over the last forty years. From 1980 to 2024, the US averaged 9 events per year, while the annual average for the most recent 5 years is 23.
The National Centers for Environmental Information has kept track of billion-dollar natural disasters since 1980 and cites increased exposure, vulnerability, and climate change as reasons for the increase."
Are major natural disasters increasing? | USAFacts
Of the 10 years with the most natural disasters, nine were in the last decade.
Look up the Great Flood of 1862, then get back to us with your fantasy tales.
Old Rocks
Diamond Member
frigidweirdo
Diamond Member
- Mar 7, 2014
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This winter has been super warm where I am. Mosquitoes are going to be a pain this summer, that's for sure. Temperatures have been rising the last decades here and this summer will no doubt be super hot.
Got a flight books for two weeks somewhere much, much cooler. Last summer it was sweaters in August for 10 days.
Concerned American
Diamond Member
OMG, Old Rocks in his Head is predicting 212 degree Fahrenheit for Anchorage in April! Put your tin hats on, the sky is falling!
Old Rocks
Diamond Member
- Thread starter
- #139
Weather in the Willamette Valley this winter, maybe slightly wetter than normal, very mild, lowest temperature was 23 degrees for a few hours one morning. March was a bit warmer than normal, and it looks like April will be the same. Everything has bloomed a bit early.
Concerned American
Diamond Member
Yeah, that's called WEATHER. If you weren't such a self-absorbed, arrogant moron you'd realize that WEATHER has been cycling for as long as the earth's been here--even before humans. SMFH.
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