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U.K., U.S. Top Aaa Ratings Tested by Debt Burdens, Moody?s Says - Bloomberg.com
U.K., U.S. Top Aaa Ratings Tested by Debt Burdens, Moodys Says
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By Matthew Brown
Dec. 8 (Bloomberg) -- Moodys Investors Service said the top debt ratings on the U.S. and the U.K. may test the Aaa boundaries because public finances are worsening in the wake of the global financial crisis.
The deterioration has been pretty severe, said Pierre Cailleteau, managing director of sovereign risk at Moodys, in a Bloomberg Television interview in London. We expect a pretty strong policy response in the next couple of years in order to keep the debt in the Aaa range. We expect them to bend but not to break.
The U.S. and U.K. have resilient Aaa ratings, as opposed to the resistant top ratings of Canada, Germany and France, Moodys analysts led by Cailleteau said in a report today. None of the top-rated countries is vulnerable, or have public finances that are stretched beyond the point of no return to the Aaa category, New York-based Moodys said.
The U.S.s debt burden will climb to 97.5 percent of gross domestic product next year from 87.4 percent, the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development forecast in June. National debt in the U.S. climbed to $7.17 trillion in November. The U.K.s public debt will swell to 89.3 percent of the economy in 2010 from 75.3 percent this year, according to the OECD.
There has been a huge increase in debt-to-gross-domestic- product ratios as a result of the crisis, said David Keeble, head of fixed-income strategy in London at Calyon, the investment-banking unit of Credit Agricole SA. Its right that there should be a lot of attention and pressure on these numbers....