The pattern was revealed in a plan by Oded Yinon over forty years ago:
"The plan operates on two essential premises.
"To survive, Israel must 1) become an imperial regional power, and 2) must effect the division of the whole area into small states by the dissolution of all existing Arab states.
"Small here will depend on the ethnic or sectarian composition of each state.
"Consequently, the Zionist hope is that sectarian based states become Israel's satellites and, ironically, its source of moral legitimation."
https://dn720006.ca.archive.org/0/items/yinon-plan/Yinon_Plan.pdf (P. 5/29)