Trump Recession?

[berg80]

The prize winning economists were wrong in 2016 and 2017 and 2018....

President Donald Trump’s extensive raft of import tariffs are putting the U.S. economy at risk of recession, Allianz’s Chief Economic Advisor Mohamed El-Erian warned on Friday.

He added that Trump’s swathe of so-called reciprocal tariffs could have a significant effect on the global economy.

“You’ve had a major repricing of growth prospects, with a recession in the U.S. going up to 50% probability, you’ve seen an increase in inflation expectations, up to 3.5%,” he told CNBC’s Silvia Amaro on the sidelines of the Ambrosetti Forum in Cernobbio, Italy.

“I don’t think [a U.S. recession] is inevitable because the structure of the economy is so strong, but the risk has become uncomfortably high.”
https://www.cnbc.com/2025/04/04/lib...ian-says-trump-tariffs-risk-us-recession.html

The strong structure of the economy being the one left to Dotard by Biden, with GDP growing at 2.4%.

 

[Luckyone]

Unfortunately, I do not believe you. Never will. Congenital lying will do that. Republicans are not the ones who are constantly louder on the offensive. You eat down people who are Republicans' give great speeches from a good percentage of your party members. We are taxed enough, and you have no concern about people who have suffered through your inflation. None at all. There are too many people not earning a high wage working in the service industry that was promoted toe so much better than the manufacturing industry we gave away.

If you do not believe me. it means you do not believe data, statistics, and facts.

Here are some of the facts involved.

Being blind and believing the brainwashing garbage that Trump delivers is your problem. You don't want to see the facts? Reality always wins in the end.

As far as congenital lying is concerned. You are aware that it has been proven that Trump is a pathological liar that has lied in excess of 30,000 times (proven). But you believe him?

 

[Mac1958]

Economists (normal economists, not left or right wingers) had the chances at 30% to 40% before Tariff Day. Now most are saying 50% to 60%.

This morning's jobs report was pretty strong, although it will scare people about inflation. But still pretty good.

There is still some strength, so if this tariff disaster somehow calms down we could still escape a recession and stagflation.

 

[Independent thinker]

Nobel Prize-Winning Economist Warns of Trump Recession

A Nobel Prize-winning economist has told Newsweek that President Trump's trade policies and the ambiguity surrounding their implementation are pushing America toward an economic downturn.

The warning came from James Heckman, a professor of economics at the University of Chicago, who said: "The fear of tariffs and the uncertainty about their magnitude and duration is causing the recession."

Trump's trade math baffles economists It is "idiotic and flawed"​

Trade economists were scratching their heads on Thursday at the formula used by the White House to measure trade imbalances and inflict punishment on all its global trading partners.

Handed a chart in the White House Rose Garden, US President Donald Trump presented the rationale for how his administration would impose reciprocal tariffs on partners ranging from major powers like China and Europe to the smallest nations.

The figures presented bear little resemblance to actual tariff levels, however. "This is to economics what creationism is to biology, astrology is to astronomy," former Treasury Secretary Larry Summers posted on X.

and on and on and more.........

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What this all clearly shows

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Do you accept facts?

Jobs report shows hiring surge in March as tariffs fuel recession fears

Hiring surged in March, blowing past economists' expectations and accelerating job growth from the previous month, a fresh jobs report on Friday showed. The unemployment rate ticked up slightly to 4.2%, but it remains historically low. The uptick in hiring last month came despite staff cuts...

www.yahoo.com

 

[Lesh]

Do you accept facts?

Jobs report shows hiring surge in March as tariffs fuel recession fears

Hiring surged in March, blowing past economists' expectations and accelerating job growth from the previous month, a fresh jobs report on Friday showed. The unemployment rate ticked up slightly to 4.2%, but it remains historically low. The uptick in hiring last month came despite staff cuts...

www.yahoo.com

These tires did not happen in March

 

[Luckyone]

Do you accept facts?

Jobs report shows hiring surge in March as tariffs fuel recession fears

Hiring surged in March, blowing past economists' expectations and accelerating job growth from the previous month, a fresh jobs report on Friday showed. The unemployment rate ticked up slightly to 4.2%, but it remains historically low. The uptick in hiring last month came despite staff cuts...

www.yahoo.com

was this before the tariffs and before the 3600 point drop in the DOW? Yes it was.

You truly are a dumb person. Debating the market and the economy with me (who has been doing this for 48 years officially). It is like a butcher trying to show a neurosurgeon how to operate on a spine. Dumb, dumb and dumb again.

You are facing a catastrophe happening and trying to find an excuse that gets Trump off the hook.

Go back to Trump's ass and continue licking his shit. That is what you deserve

 

[Independent thinker]

was this before the tariffs and before the 3600 point drop in the DOW? Yes it was.

You truly are a dumb person. Debating the market and the economy with me (who has been doing this for 48 years officially). It is like a butcher trying to show a neurosurgeon how to operate on a spine. Dumb, dumb and dumb again.

You are facing a catastrophe happening and trying to find an excuse that gets Trump off the hook.

Go back to Trump's ass and continue licking his shit. That is what you deserve

I predicted that, didn't I? You don't accept facts. I also just read that gas prices are expected to plummet. I bet that doesn't make the 6:30 news.

 

[Luckyone]

I predicted that, didn't I? You don't accept facts. I also just read that gas prices are expected to plummet. I bet that doesn't make the 6:30 news.

Everything across the board is dropping, even Gold.

I bet you do not know what this means, do you?

It means RECESSION or even Depression, which is where everyone hurts, with the public hurting the most. Unemployment going through the roof, income dropping, no one buying anything, and inflation going up so that the companies try (but fail) to turn a profit. Companies going out of business, etc,.

You really need to do research, You know nothing

 

[Rambunctious]

President Donald Trump’s extensive raft of import tariffs are putting the U.S. economy at risk of recession, Allianz’s Chief Economic Advisor Mohamed El-Erian warned on Friday.

He added that Trump’s swathe of so-called reciprocal tariffs could have a significant effect on the global economy.

“You’ve had a major repricing of growth prospects, with a recession in the U.S. going up to 50% probability, you’ve seen an increase in inflation expectations, up to 3.5%,” he told CNBC’s Silvia Amaro on the sidelines of the Ambrosetti Forum in Cernobbio, Italy.

“I don’t think [a U.S. recession] is inevitable because the structure of the economy is so strong, but the risk has become uncomfortably high.”
https://www.cnbc.com/2025/04/04/lib...ian-says-trump-tariffs-risk-us-recession.html

The strong structure of the economy being the one left to Dotard by Biden, with GDP growing at 2.4%.

They said this in 2017... and they were wrong... it took Biden to bring about recession.... just like under Obama...

 

[0311]

Dow 1600 As U.S. Stocks Lead Worldwide Sell-Off After Trump's Tariffs Cause A COVID-Like Shock.

Dow drops 1,600 as US stocks lead worldwide sell-off after Trump’s tariffs cause a COVID-like shock

Financial markets around the world reeled following President Donald Trump’s latest and most severe set of tariffs, and the U.S. stock market took the worst of it.

apnews.com

NEW YORK (AP) — Wall Street shuddered, and a level of shock unseen since COVID’s outbreak tore through financial markets worldwide Thursday on worries about the damage President Donald Trump’s newest set of tariffs could do to economies across continents, including his own.

The S&P 500 sank 4.8%, more than in major markets across Asia and Europe, for its worst day since the pandemic crashed the economy in 2020. The Dow Jones Industrial Average dropped 1,679 points, or 4%, and the Nasdaq composite tumbled 6%.

Little was spared in financial markets as fear flared about the potentially toxic mix of weakening economic growth and higher inflation that tariffs can create.

Everything from crude oil to Big Tech stocks to the value of the U.S. dollar against other currencies fell. Even gold, which hit records recently as investors sought something safer to own, pulled lower. Some of the worst hits walloped smaller U.S. companies, and the Russell 2000 index of smaller stocks dropped 6.6% to pull more than 20% below its record.

47 is destroying the world economy for no other reason than he can.

 

[Luckyone]

They said this in 2017... and they were wrong... it took Biden to bring about recession.... just like under Obama...

No recession has occurred since 2007 under Bush Jr.

 

[Thinker101]

Nobel Prize-Winning Economist Warns of Trump Recession

A Nobel Prize-winning economist has told Newsweek that President Trump's trade policies and the ambiguity surrounding their implementation are pushing America toward an economic downturn.

The warning came from James Heckman, a professor of economics at the University of Chicago, who said: "The fear of tariffs and the uncertainty about their magnitude and duration is causing the recession."

Trump's trade math baffles economists It is "idiotic and flawed"​

Trade economists were scratching their heads on Thursday at the formula used by the White House to measure trade imbalances and inflict punishment on all its global trading partners.

Handed a chart in the White House Rose Garden, US President Donald Trump presented the rationale for how his administration would impose reciprocal tariffs on partners ranging from major powers like China and Europe to the smallest nations.

The figures presented bear little resemblance to actual tariff levels, however. "This is to economics what creationism is to biology, astrology is to astronomy," former Treasury Secretary Larry Summers posted on X.

and on and on and more.........

View attachment 1096491

What this all clearly shows

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Hey, this is great. You fricken clowns redefined "recession" under Biden, now you want to roll out "experts". Who knows, tomorrow you may find an expert to explain what a woman is.

 

[Luckyone]

Hey, this is great. You fricken clowns redefined "recession" under Biden, now you want to roll out "experts". Who knows, tomorrow you may find an expert to explain what a woman is.

You are the "fricken clown) that refuses to accept clear incompetent actions by Trump.

Show me where ANYTHING like what has happened over the past 2 1/2 months happened under Biden. To begin with, over 400,000 people have lost their jobs by order of the president, most of the departments of the government have been disbanded or cut down to where they cannot do their jobs, Trump and Musk, have had to rehire people in critical positions to the welfare of the country, which should not have been fired in the first place, over 137 federal lawsuits have filed against the Trump administration for abuse of power and now blanket tariffs on every nation in the world have been levied by Trump, in a TOTAL incompetent way, that has brought about a total collapse of the stock market with 3200+ points lost in two days.

NOTHING like this ever happened under Biden, but here you are criticizing Biden and not putting ANY criticism on Trump

You are a total brainwashed Trump puppet that is also a total asshole

 

[C_Clayton_Jones]

We are trying to recover from the Biden Depression. It has begun with egg and gas prices beginning to drop.

Trump is determined to destroy President Biden's strong economy and historic low unemployment just as he destroyed President Obama's strong economy.

 

[Frankenstein]

Bye-dumb spent the last months of his presiduncy sabotaging Trump.
They've been laying all of these landmines to **** him over.

Dummcraps spend all of their time ******* everything up, and when the Republican tries to fix it, they spend all of their time bitching about how it wasn't fixed the second he was sworn in.

We've been dealing with a horrible economy for the last 4 years, and only now the libroids start noticing it.

Absolutely

 

[Frankenstein]

Trump is determined to destroy President Biden's strong economy and historic low unemployment just as he destroyed President Obama's strong economy.

What did I tell you about going full retard IM2

 

[ThisIsMe]

Happy Liberation Day

Perfect..thanks!

 

[Independent thinker]

Everything across the board is dropping, even Gold.

I bet you do not know what this means, do you?

It means RECESSION or even Depression, which is where everyone hurts, with the public hurting the most. Unemployment going through the roof, income dropping, no one buying anything, and inflation going up so that the companies try (but fail) to turn a profit. Companies going out of business, etc,.

You really need to do research, You know nothing

Employment is rising, despite all of those federal lay offs and prices are falling. And, Powell says the economy is strong and not anywhere close to a recession. Your concern for the rich brings tears to my eyes.

 

[Rambunctious]

No recession has occurred since 2007 under Bush Jr.

Your media kept it from you... we had a Biden recession...

 

[Thinker101]

You are the "fricken clown) that refuses to accept clear incompetent actions by Trump.

Show me where ANYTHING like what has happened over the past 2 1/2 months happened under Biden. To begin with, over 400,000 people have lost their jobs by order of the president, most of the departments of the government have been disbanded or cut down to where they cannot do their jobs, Trump and Musk, have had to rehire people in critical positions to the welfare of the country, which should not have been fired in the first place, over 137 federal lawsuits have filed against the Trump administration for abuse of power and now blanket tariffs on every nation in the world have been levied by Trump, in a TOTAL incompetent way, that has brought about a total collapse of the stock market with 3200+ points lost in two days.

NOTHING like this ever happened under Biden, but here you are criticizing Biden and not putting ANY criticism on Trump

You are a total brainwashed Trump puppet that is also a total asshole

Sure hope Trump doesn't do ANYTHING like Brandon, we're trying to GET OUT of Brandon's clusters...dumbass.