We have seen this movie before... Gawd I hate reruns...
You Trumpees like to imagine that if Trump won in 2016 he can't possibly lose in 2020, but thats not a rational idea, that's just magical thinking.
It’s like drawing two cards trying to fill an inside straight in poker. It can be done but is not a strategy to expect to win very often
Trump has done NOTHING to expand his base.
Going all in with only Conservatives is not a winning strategy
Again, It's not Conservative. It's the Party of the Rump. Please do not drag us conservatives down to that level.
...all three of you.
Yup...and they're working like a charm!
Yup, just like in 2016.
In 2016 the propaganda just made Trump supporters that more determined to come out to vote. Hell, more Trump supporters show up to Biden rallies to heckle ths shit out of him than Biden supporters.
Wrong:
“Trump appears to have a ceiling of 46%: More concerning for the Trump campaign than a slippage in the polls is the very real possibility that he hasn't gotten higher against Biden than the 46% of the popular vote he got in 2016.
Trump's 45.6% average of the polls at the end of February was his peak against Biden over the last 10 months. What's more, in hundreds of surveys, Trump has only reached even 47% in a few.
The third-party vote share is likely to be lower: Roughly 6% of voters in 2016 voted third-party, the highest percentage since 1996. That helped Trump win the Electoral College. But the percentage of people voting third-party in 2020 this fall is likely to be lower for multiple reasons, including:
Biden is working closely with primary rival Vermont Sen. Bernie Sanders and has a better relationship with Sanders than Clinton did; The third-party candidates this time are less prominent and getting less attention than in 2016; and Perhaps most importantly, no one is underestimating Trump's chances as some did in 2016. Democrats see him far more as a clear, present and urgent threat who very well could win reelection.
People don't dislike Biden as much as they did Clinton.”
With Joe Biden leading in the polls, Democrats are haunted by the ghosts of 2016 when Hillary Clinton led, too. But there are a few key factors that make this year's election different.
www.wbur.org
And this is from back in August – things have only gone downhill for Trump since then.