Trump improving nationally, Hillary still strong in battlefield states

[JakeStarkey]

Election 2016 Clinton Trump RCP Average
RCP Poll Average 44.7 45.6 Trump +0.9

4-Way RCP Average 40.4 40.2 Clinton +0.2

RCP Electoral Map 202 164
Battlegrounds Clinton Trump RCP Average
Pennsylvania 45.5 42.3 Clinton +3.2
Florida 43.5 43.8 Trump +0.3
Ohio 42.6 41.8 Clinton +0.8
Wisconsin 44.3 38.7 Clinton +5.6
Iowa 41.3 40.8 Clinton +0.5
Virginia 42.3 37.0 Clinton +5.3
North Carolina 44.0 42.0 Clinton +2.0
Georgia 41.5 46.0 Trump +4.5
New Hampshire 43.0 39.3 Clinton +3.7

 

[JakeStarkey]

They could be called the Far Right In Denial states.

Just noticed that you lead the leader board. That's a lot of activity.

A little less than 50 a day.

 

[HUGGY]

Trump improving nationally, Hillary still strong in battlefield states


Let's see how the numbers look after both parties have concluded their conventions.

 

[Mac1958]

They'll come out of this roughly even, I'd think.

I just wish Johnson & Stein could get into the debates to poke some holes in the duopoly.
.

 

[dcbl]

Pennsylvania, Florida, Ohio

it will come down to those 3

and Trump is well positioned to rake all 3

 

[JakeStarkey]

Pennsylvania, Florida, Ohio it will come down to those 3 and Trump is well positioned to rake all 3

He will need all three, but they will not guarantee victory for him.

 

[JakeStarkey]

The key to victory will be PA, OH, FL, VA, NC, and CO.

 

[dcbl]

Korrupt Kaine will probably bring Virginia home for Hildebeast

North Carolina will go for Trump

If he wins Florida, Ohio & Pennsylvania, he will win

He'll take one of Iowa or Nevada, maybe both

I will laugh my ass off if Johnson prevents Crooked Hillary from taking New Mexico, won't happen, fun to think about.

 

[CowboyTed]

Such an exciting, strange election season: Trump is improving nationally, Hillary holds the edge in the battlefield state.

Election 2016 Clinton Trump RCP Average
RCP Poll Average 44.7 45.6 Trump +0.9

4-Way RCP Average 40.4 40.2 Clinton +0.2

RCP Electoral Map 202 164
Battlegrounds Clinton Trump RCP Average
Pennsylvania 45.5 42.3 Clinton +3.2
Florida 43.5 43.8 Trump +0.3
Ohio 42.6 41.8 Clinton +0.8
Wisconsin 44.3 38.7 Clinton +5.6
Iowa 41.3 40.8 Clinton +0.5
Virginia 42.3 37.0 Clinton +5.3
North Carolina 44.0 42.0 Clinton +2.0
Georgia 41.5 46.0 Trump +4.5
New Hampshire 43.0 39.3 Clinton +3.7

JAke you have a point but just at the underlying trend... Hillary didn't lose ground Trump got a bump of 5%...

At the moment the DNC conference is making the RNC look amateurish, Michelle and Bill have delivered big time and we expect another big night...

The DNC is high class and professional at the moment... The Hard Right will always criticize but at the moment it is like comparing Hamilton to your childrens nativity play...

The DNCLeaks is going to have blow back, there is hardly anything in it.. Yeah Debbie favoured Hillary but this was private email, did she favour Hillary in her official duty?
But the leaks are being attributed to Russians and not we are being pointed to Trump's financial dealings in Russia which looks like there were Oligarchs under Putin's control..
This is far more evidence based. American Banks don't lend(major amounts) to Trump, they consider too much risk. Now it has been reported that he actually borrows from Deutsche Bank (German). This has to be confirmed.

So Trump won't sell out to Wall Street, if we are lucky Frankfurt, unlucky Moscow.. Putin(who owns the Oligarchs) could personally hold half billion of Trump's personal debt...

 

[JakeStarkey]

Korrupt Kaine will probably bring Virginia home for Hildebeast

North Carolina will go for Trump

If he wins Florida, Ohio & Pennsylvania, he will win

He'll take one of Iowa or Nevada, maybe both

I will laugh my ass off if Johnson prevents Crooked Hillary from taking New Mexico, won't happen, fun to think about.

He will have to take both IA and NV in your scenario. Let's see if he does.

 

[JakeStarkey]

Such an exciting, strange election season: Trump is improving nationally, Hillary holds the edge in the battlefield state.

Election 2016 Clinton Trump RCP Average
RCP Poll Average 44.7 45.6 Trump +0.9

4-Way RCP Average 40.4 40.2 Clinton +0.2

RCP Electoral Map 202 164
Battlegrounds Clinton Trump RCP Average
Pennsylvania 45.5 42.3 Clinton +3.2
Florida 43.5 43.8 Trump +0.3
Ohio 42.6 41.8 Clinton +0.8
Wisconsin 44.3 38.7 Clinton +5.6
Iowa 41.3 40.8 Clinton +0.5
Virginia 42.3 37.0 Clinton +5.3
North Carolina 44.0 42.0 Clinton +2.0
Georgia 41.5 46.0 Trump +4.5
New Hampshire 43.0 39.3 Clinton +3.7

JAke you have a point but just at the underlying trend... Hillary didn't lose ground Trump got a bump of 5%...

At the moment the DNC conference is making the RNC look amateurish, Michelle and Bill have delivered big time and we expect another big night...

The DNC is high class and professional at the moment... The Hard Right will always criticize but at the moment it is like comparing Hamilton to your childrens nativity play...

The DNCLeaks is going to have blow back, there is hardly anything in it.. Yeah Debbie favoured Hillary but this was private email, did she favour Hillary in her official duty?
But the leaks are being attributed to Russians and not we are being pointed to Trump's financial dealings in Russia which looks like there were Oligarchs under Putin's control..
This is far more evidence based. American Banks don't lend(major amounts) to Trump, they consider too much risk. Now it has been reported that he actually borrows from Deutsche Bank (German). This has to be confirmed.

So Trump won't sell out to Wall Street, if we are lucky Frankfurt, unlucky Moscow.. Putin(who owns the Oligarchs) could personally hold half billion of Trump's personal debt...

HRC is losing ground, yes, nationally. FL, NC, and OH are slipping away from her at the moment. Let's see where we are this time next week and how large a bounce, if any, she gets.

 

[CrusaderFrank]

Such an exciting, strange election season: Trump is improving nationally, Hillary holds the edge in the battlefield state.

Election 2016 Clinton Trump RCP Average
RCP Poll Average 44.7 45.6 Trump +0.9

4-Way RCP Average 40.4 40.2 Clinton +0.2

RCP Electoral Map 202 164
Battlegrounds Clinton Trump RCP Average
Pennsylvania 45.5 42.3 Clinton +3.2
Florida 43.5 43.8 Trump +0.3
Ohio 42.6 41.8 Clinton +0.8
Wisconsin 44.3 38.7 Clinton +5.6
Iowa 41.3 40.8 Clinton +0.5
Virginia 42.3 37.0 Clinton +5.3
North Carolina 44.0 42.0 Clinton +2.0
Georgia 41.5 46.0 Trump +4.5
New Hampshire 43.0 39.3 Clinton +3.7

Wow Jake really worried about his girl getting Schlonged in November

 

[ptbw forever]

They could be called the Far Right In Denial states.

The far right fringe is in stunned denial in their own red states.

The purple states are still listening and trying to decide what color they like -- red or blue or purple.

I suspect the swing states will be close.

But most GOP experts fear a landslide victory by Hillary. That includes the Senate and House for her as well. Her husband did it once before too. They did not like GHW much.

If millions upon millions of new women voters turn out for Hillary, then the millions of uneducated high school only voters for Trump will be dwarfed.

History is being made after all.

Don't worry, your coveted high school dropout vote is always going to be overwhelmingly Democrat.

 

[CowboyTed]

Such an exciting, strange election season: Trump is improving nationally, Hillary holds the edge in the battlefield state.

Election 2016 Clinton Trump RCP Average
RCP Poll Average 44.7 45.6 Trump +0.9

4-Way RCP Average 40.4 40.2 Clinton +0.2

RCP Electoral Map 202 164
Battlegrounds Clinton Trump RCP Average
Pennsylvania 45.5 42.3 Clinton +3.2
Florida 43.5 43.8 Trump +0.3
Ohio 42.6 41.8 Clinton +0.8
Wisconsin 44.3 38.7 Clinton +5.6
Iowa 41.3 40.8 Clinton +0.5
Virginia 42.3 37.0 Clinton +5.3
North Carolina 44.0 42.0 Clinton +2.0
Georgia 41.5 46.0 Trump +4.5
New Hampshire 43.0 39.3 Clinton +3.7

JAke you have a point but just at the underlying trend... Hillary didn't lose ground Trump got a bump of 5%...

At the moment the DNC conference is making the RNC look amateurish, Michelle and Bill have delivered big time and we expect another big night...

The DNC is high class and professional at the moment... The Hard Right will always criticize but at the moment it is like comparing Hamilton to your childrens nativity play...

The DNCLeaks is going to have blow back, there is hardly anything in it.. Yeah Debbie favoured Hillary but this was private email, did she favour Hillary in her official duty?
But the leaks are being attributed to Russians and not we are being pointed to Trump's financial dealings in Russia which looks like there were Oligarchs under Putin's control..
This is far more evidence based. American Banks don't lend(major amounts) to Trump, they consider too much risk. Now it has been reported that he actually borrows from Deutsche Bank (German). This has to be confirmed.

So Trump won't sell out to Wall Street, if we are lucky Frankfurt, unlucky Moscow.. Putin(who owns the Oligarchs) could personally hold half billion of Trump's personal debt...

HRC is losing ground, yes, nationally. FL, NC, and OH are slipping away from her at the moment. Let's see where we are this time next week and how large a bounce, if any, she gets.

No point arguing as time will tell next week...

Guessing at the moment I say Hillary will get the same 5% bump as Trump got and things will go back to normal until the debates...

 

[JakeStarkey]

That or Donald makes his next major fuck up.

 

[SuperDemocrat]

She failed to maintain huge lead over Trump. It is only going to get worse from here.

 

[JakeStarkey]

That or Donald makes his next major fuck up.

But he is finally in a place where he can win it on his own instead of having to wait for a major fuck up by Hillary.

But this Donald we are talking about, so. . .

 

[RodISHI]

Hey Jake, they're called "battleground states", not "battlefield states", you idiot.

You'll see those kind of snaffu's if you read back through the first day of the DNC comments in the online youtubes that were live. Many of them were coming out of Korea and China. The DNC has a heck of a base overseas.

 

[jillian]

Such an exciting, strange election season: Trump is improving nationally, Hillary holds the edge in the battlefield state.

Election 2016 Clinton Trump RCP Average
RCP Poll Average 44.7 45.6 Trump +0.9

4-Way RCP Average 40.4 40.2 Clinton +0.2

RCP Electoral Map 202 164
Battlegrounds Clinton Trump RCP Average
Pennsylvania 45.5 42.3 Clinton +3.2
Florida 43.5 43.8 Trump +0.3
Ohio 42.6 41.8 Clinton +0.8
Wisconsin 44.3 38.7 Clinton +5.6
Iowa 41.3 40.8 Clinton +0.5
Virginia 42.3 37.0 Clinton +5.3
North Carolina 44.0 42.0 Clinton +2.0
Georgia 41.5 46.0 Trump +4.5
New Hampshire 43.0 39.3 Clinton +3.7

the national polls don't really matter right now. she hasn't gotten her convention bump yet but he got his teeny weeny one.

 

[jillian]

Hey Jake, they're called "battleground states", not "battlefield states", you idiot.

that's all you've got, huh?