This ain't 2016... That's a Fact.

IM2

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You trump supporters better start getting used to.

2020 isn't 2016. Because Joe Biden isn't Hillary Clinton.
Charlie Cook
June 23, 2020

In a presidential election year that is so unlike any previous one, it’s not hard to compile a list of oddities. But one peculiarity is an almost mystical feeling in each party that is hardly analytical but quite widespread. Many of the most fervent Donald Trump supporters seem convinced that because he pulled a rabbit out of a hat in the last election, winning a race that seemed unwinnable even as late as the first poll closings, he can and will do it again. The polls and pundits were all wrong, they maintain; Trump has some magical ability to defy political gravity and all the experts put together. The mirror-image conviction among many Democrats and passionate Trump detractors comes from the psychological trauma of losing a race they thought they had in the bag in 2016. They fear, even believe, that he will somehow do it again.

This political phenomenon keeps coming to mind when I look through the results of new polls, most recently the Thursday afternoon release of the latest Quinnipiac University poll, conducted June 11-15 among 1,332 registered voters nationwide, followed by a Thursday evening release of a new Fox News poll, taken June 13-16 among 1,343 registered voters. In Quinnipiac, Joe Biden led Trump by 8 percentage points, 49 to 41 percent. That’s a bit narrower than the 11-point margin in the previous (May 14-18) survey, when Biden had 50 percent to the incumbent’s 39 percent. Fox has Biden’s lead at 12 points, 50 to 38 percent, up from the 48-40-percent spread in its May 17-20 poll.

The new Quinnipiac Poll showed 42 percent approving of Trump’s overall performance against 55 percent disapproving. The Fox poll had 44 percent approving to 55 percent disapproving. Both of those sets of numbers are nearly identical to the respective polls’ May numbers.

Looking across the span of all of the polling over the last six months, Trump’s approval ratings started a downward turn in early April, while the gap between Biden and Trump seemed to widen starting in very late May or early June.

Presidential elections when an incumbent is not running are pretty much choice elections, but when an incumbent is seeking reelection, they amount to little more than a referendum on the incumbent. That’s why so much focus is paid to job-approval ratings, the best yardstick of whether an incumbent will be reelected or not. Quinnipiac’s 42 percent approval rating splits the difference between the RealClearPolitics average of 43 percent and the 41 percent in FiveThirtyEight’s averages—not where an incumbent wants to be.

This mythology that because Trump did it once he can do it again ignores the fact that Hillary Clinton is not going to be the Democratic nominee this year, and that is quite consequential.

 
You trump supporters better start getting used to.

2020 isn't 2016. Because Joe Biden isn't Hillary Clinton.
Charlie Cook
June 23, 2020

In a presidential election year that is so unlike any previous one, it’s not hard to compile a list of oddities. But one peculiarity is an almost mystical feeling in each party that is hardly analytical but quite widespread. Many of the most fervent Donald Trump supporters seem convinced that because he pulled a rabbit out of a hat in the last election, winning a race that seemed unwinnable even as late as the first poll closings, he can and will do it again. The polls and pundits were all wrong, they maintain; Trump has some magical ability to defy political gravity and all the experts put together. The mirror-image conviction among many Democrats and passionate Trump detractors comes from the psychological trauma of losing a race they thought they had in the bag in 2016. They fear, even believe, that he will somehow do it again.

This political phenomenon keeps coming to mind when I look through the results of new polls, most recently the Thursday afternoon release of the latest Quinnipiac University poll, conducted June 11-15 among 1,332 registered voters nationwide, followed by a Thursday evening release of a new Fox News poll, taken June 13-16 among 1,343 registered voters. In Quinnipiac, Joe Biden led Trump by 8 percentage points, 49 to 41 percent. That’s a bit narrower than the 11-point margin in the previous (May 14-18) survey, when Biden had 50 percent to the incumbent’s 39 percent. Fox has Biden’s lead at 12 points, 50 to 38 percent, up from the 48-40-percent spread in its May 17-20 poll.

The new Quinnipiac Poll showed 42 percent approving of Trump’s overall performance against 55 percent disapproving. The Fox poll had 44 percent approving to 55 percent disapproving. Both of those sets of numbers are nearly identical to the respective polls’ May numbers.

Looking across the span of all of the polling over the last six months, Trump’s approval ratings started a downward turn in early April, while the gap between Biden and Trump seemed to widen starting in very late May or early June.

Presidential elections when an incumbent is not running are pretty much choice elections, but when an incumbent is seeking reelection, they amount to little more than a referendum on the incumbent. That’s why so much focus is paid to job-approval ratings, the best yardstick of whether an incumbent will be reelected or not. Quinnipiac’s 42 percent approval rating splits the difference between the RealClearPolitics average of 43 percent and the 41 percent in FiveThirtyEight’s averages—not where an incumbent wants to be.

This mythology that because Trump did it once he can do it again ignores the fact that Hillary Clinton is not going to be the Democratic nominee this year, and that is quite consequential.

You'd rather support a racist Biden than Trump who has done more for blacks than Obama?
 
You trump supporters better start getting used to.

2020 isn't 2016. Because Joe Biden isn't Hillary Clinton.
Charlie Cook
June 23, 2020

In a presidential election year that is so unlike any previous one, it’s not hard to compile a list of oddities. But one peculiarity is an almost mystical feeling in each party that is hardly analytical but quite widespread. Many of the most fervent Donald Trump supporters seem convinced that because he pulled a rabbit out of a hat in the last election, winning a race that seemed unwinnable even as late as the first poll closings, he can and will do it again. The polls and pundits were all wrong, they maintain; Trump has some magical ability to defy political gravity and all the experts put together. The mirror-image conviction among many Democrats and passionate Trump detractors comes from the psychological trauma of losing a race they thought they had in the bag in 2016. They fear, even believe, that he will somehow do it again.

This political phenomenon keeps coming to mind when I look through the results of new polls, most recently the Thursday afternoon release of the latest Quinnipiac University poll, conducted June 11-15 among 1,332 registered voters nationwide, followed by a Thursday evening release of a new Fox News poll, taken June 13-16 among 1,343 registered voters. In Quinnipiac, Joe Biden led Trump by 8 percentage points, 49 to 41 percent. That’s a bit narrower than the 11-point margin in the previous (May 14-18) survey, when Biden had 50 percent to the incumbent’s 39 percent. Fox has Biden’s lead at 12 points, 50 to 38 percent, up from the 48-40-percent spread in its May 17-20 poll.

The new Quinnipiac Poll showed 42 percent approving of Trump’s overall performance against 55 percent disapproving. The Fox poll had 44 percent approving to 55 percent disapproving. Both of those sets of numbers are nearly identical to the respective polls’ May numbers.

Looking across the span of all of the polling over the last six months, Trump’s approval ratings started a downward turn in early April, while the gap between Biden and Trump seemed to widen starting in very late May or early June.

Presidential elections when an incumbent is not running are pretty much choice elections, but when an incumbent is seeking reelection, they amount to little more than a referendum on the incumbent. That’s why so much focus is paid to job-approval ratings, the best yardstick of whether an incumbent will be reelected or not. Quinnipiac’s 42 percent approval rating splits the difference between the RealClearPolitics average of 43 percent and the 41 percent in FiveThirtyEight’s averages—not where an incumbent wants to be.

This mythology that because Trump did it once he can do it again ignores the fact that Hillary Clinton is not going to be the Democratic nominee this year, and that is quite consequential.

How can 40% of voters approve of Trumps performance ? America has real problems if that is the case.
 
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Because Joe Biden isn't Hillary Clinton.

He's less popular.

He'll take the same demographic as Hillary, except for women.

Considering the entire population is made up of 51% Women your phrase "except for women" screams loud and clear.

Hillary inspired a lot of women to vote for her. Biden doesn't inspire anyone but old, fat, white guys.

And suburban Moms. This area was thought to be a Republican Stronghold but for the first time in decades, more Democrats voted in the primaries than the Republicans. Even with all your Hate and Rhetoric, the Democratic Party is expanding because of the Indy voters going against the Republicans, primarily any Republican supporting or supported by Rump.
 
Because Joe Biden isn't Hillary Clinton.

He's less popular.

He'll take the same demographic as Hillary, except for women.

Considering the entire population is made up of 51% Women your phrase "except for women" screams loud and clear.

Hillary inspired a lot of women to vote for her. Biden doesn't inspire anyone but old, fat, white guys.

And suburban Moms. This area was thought to be a Republican Stronghold but for the first time in decades, more Democrats voted in the primaries than the Republicans. Even with all your Hate and Rhetoric, the Democratic Party is expanding because of the Indy voters going against the Republicans, primarily any Republican supporting or supported by Rump.

We'll see, won't we?
 
Let's tell it as it is: People who vote for the Honorable Joseph R. Biden, Jr., are not voting for him.

They are voting for his African American Vice President.

Not only will a huge number of people from a certain ethnicity turn out (as in 2008 and 2012) but also huge numbers of people (inexplicably) infected with "White guilt" will also vote Dem this year.
 
Let's tell it as it is: People who vote for the Honorable Joseph R. Biden, Jr., are not voting for him.

They are voting for his African American Vice President.

Not only will a huge number of people from a certain ethnicity turn out (as in 2008 and 2012) but also huge numbers of people (inexplicably) infected with "White guilt" will also vote Dem this year.

It's more like, they aren't voting for Biden as much as they are voting against Rump and the Party of Rump. Get rid of one and the other goes away. Oh, for a few months, the death knolls are going to rumble but it will go away when the Orange Koolaide is no longer available.
 
You trump supporters better start getting used to.

2020 isn't 2016. Because Joe Biden isn't Hillary Clinton.
Charlie Cook
June 23, 2020

In a presidential election year that is so unlike any previous one, it’s not hard to compile a list of oddities. But one peculiarity is an almost mystical feeling in each party that is hardly analytical but quite widespread. Many of the most fervent Donald Trump supporters seem convinced that because he pulled a rabbit out of a hat in the last election, winning a race that seemed unwinnable even as late as the first poll closings, he can and will do it again. The polls and pundits were all wrong, they maintain; Trump has some magical ability to defy political gravity and all the experts put together. The mirror-image conviction among many Democrats and passionate Trump detractors comes from the psychological trauma of losing a race they thought they had in the bag in 2016. They fear, even believe, that he will somehow do it again.

This political phenomenon keeps coming to mind when I look through the results of new polls, most recently the Thursday afternoon release of the latest Quinnipiac University poll, conducted June 11-15 among 1,332 registered voters nationwide, followed by a Thursday evening release of a new Fox News poll, taken June 13-16 among 1,343 registered voters. In Quinnipiac, Joe Biden led Trump by 8 percentage points, 49 to 41 percent. That’s a bit narrower than the 11-point margin in the previous (May 14-18) survey, when Biden had 50 percent to the incumbent’s 39 percent. Fox has Biden’s lead at 12 points, 50 to 38 percent, up from the 48-40-percent spread in its May 17-20 poll.

The new Quinnipiac Poll showed 42 percent approving of Trump’s overall performance against 55 percent disapproving. The Fox poll had 44 percent approving to 55 percent disapproving. Both of those sets of numbers are nearly identical to the respective polls’ May numbers.

Looking across the span of all of the polling over the last six months, Trump’s approval ratings started a downward turn in early April, while the gap between Biden and Trump seemed to widen starting in very late May or early June.

Presidential elections when an incumbent is not running are pretty much choice elections, but when an incumbent is seeking reelection, they amount to little more than a referendum on the incumbent. That’s why so much focus is paid to job-approval ratings, the best yardstick of whether an incumbent will be reelected or not. Quinnipiac’s 42 percent approval rating splits the difference between the RealClearPolitics average of 43 percent and the 41 percent in FiveThirtyEight’s averages—not where an incumbent wants to be.

This mythology that because Trump did it once he can do it again ignores the fact that Hillary Clinton is not going to be the Democratic nominee this year, and that is quite consequential.

Seems that the Demoncrooks can only find rich, old, white folks to be their Candidate. Why is that?
 
Let's tell it as it is: People who vote for the Honorable Joseph R. Biden, Jr., are not voting for him.

They are voting for his African American Vice President.

Not only will a huge number of people from a certain ethnicity turn out (as in 2008 and 2012) but also huge numbers of people (inexplicably) infected with "White guilt" will also vote Dem this year.

It's more like, they aren't voting for Biden as much as they are voting against Rump and the Party of Rump. Get rid of one and the other goes away. Oh, for a few months, the death knolls are going to rumble but it will go away when the Orange Koolaide is no longer available.
Oh, for a few months, the death knolls are going to rumble
Sounds like you know something coming down the pipeline if creepy Joe wins?
 
Joe Biden is a puppet to the same anti worker, anti taxpayer people who pulled Hillary's strings. Basically, they're the same with Hillary being the more accomplished liar and Joe getting the edge in mauling little girls and mental incompetency. Joe's normal mental state is something like Hillary's when she's drunk, which she is quite a bit. They're both lazy and unmotivated. So actually, they both make Trumpy look like a star.
 
You trump supporters better start getting used to.

2020 isn't 2016. Because Joe Biden isn't Hillary Clinton.
Charlie Cook
June 23, 2020

In a presidential election year that is so unlike any previous one, it’s not hard to compile a list of oddities. But one peculiarity is an almost mystical feeling in each party that is hardly analytical but quite widespread. Many of the most fervent Donald Trump supporters seem convinced that because he pulled a rabbit out of a hat in the last election, winning a race that seemed unwinnable even as late as the first poll closings, he can and will do it again. The polls and pundits were all wrong, they maintain; Trump has some magical ability to defy political gravity and all the experts put together. The mirror-image conviction among many Democrats and passionate Trump detractors comes from the psychological trauma of losing a race they thought they had in the bag in 2016. They fear, even believe, that he will somehow do it again.

This political phenomenon keeps coming to mind when I look through the results of new polls, most recently the Thursday afternoon release of the latest Quinnipiac University poll, conducted June 11-15 among 1,332 registered voters nationwide, followed by a Thursday evening release of a new Fox News poll, taken June 13-16 among 1,343 registered voters. In Quinnipiac, Joe Biden led Trump by 8 percentage points, 49 to 41 percent. That’s a bit narrower than the 11-point margin in the previous (May 14-18) survey, when Biden had 50 percent to the incumbent’s 39 percent. Fox has Biden’s lead at 12 points, 50 to 38 percent, up from the 48-40-percent spread in its May 17-20 poll.

The new Quinnipiac Poll showed 42 percent approving of Trump’s overall performance against 55 percent disapproving. The Fox poll had 44 percent approving to 55 percent disapproving. Both of those sets of numbers are nearly identical to the respective polls’ May numbers.

Looking across the span of all of the polling over the last six months, Trump’s approval ratings started a downward turn in early April, while the gap between Biden and Trump seemed to widen starting in very late May or early June.

Presidential elections when an incumbent is not running are pretty much choice elections, but when an incumbent is seeking reelection, they amount to little more than a referendum on the incumbent. That’s why so much focus is paid to job-approval ratings, the best yardstick of whether an incumbent will be reelected or not. Quinnipiac’s 42 percent approval rating splits the difference between the RealClearPolitics average of 43 percent and the 41 percent in FiveThirtyEight’s averages—not where an incumbent wants to be.

This mythology that because Trump did it once he can do it again ignores the fact that Hillary Clinton is not going to be the Democratic nominee this year, and that is quite consequential.

Joe may not be Hillary, but he’s very much like W. Two peas and in a pod. Expect war.
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You trump supporters better start getting used to.

2020 isn't 2016. Because Joe Biden isn't Hillary Clinton.
Charlie Cook
June 23, 2020

In a presidential election year that is so unlike any previous one, it’s not hard to compile a list of oddities. But one peculiarity is an almost mystical feeling in each party that is hardly analytical but quite widespread. Many of the most fervent Donald Trump supporters seem convinced that because he pulled a rabbit out of a hat in the last election, winning a race that seemed unwinnable even as late as the first poll closings, he can and will do it again. The polls and pundits were all wrong, they maintain; Trump has some magical ability to defy political gravity and all the experts put together. The mirror-image conviction among many Democrats and passionate Trump detractors comes from the psychological trauma of losing a race they thought they had in the bag in 2016. They fear, even believe, that he will somehow do it again.

This political phenomenon keeps coming to mind when I look through the results of new polls, most recently the Thursday afternoon release of the latest Quinnipiac University poll, conducted June 11-15 among 1,332 registered voters nationwide, followed by a Thursday evening release of a new Fox News poll, taken June 13-16 among 1,343 registered voters. In Quinnipiac, Joe Biden led Trump by 8 percentage points, 49 to 41 percent. That’s a bit narrower than the 11-point margin in the previous (May 14-18) survey, when Biden had 50 percent to the incumbent’s 39 percent. Fox has Biden’s lead at 12 points, 50 to 38 percent, up from the 48-40-percent spread in its May 17-20 poll.

The new Quinnipiac Poll showed 42 percent approving of Trump’s overall performance against 55 percent disapproving. The Fox poll had 44 percent approving to 55 percent disapproving. Both of those sets of numbers are nearly identical to the respective polls’ May numbers.

Looking across the span of all of the polling over the last six months, Trump’s approval ratings started a downward turn in early April, while the gap between Biden and Trump seemed to widen starting in very late May or early June.

Presidential elections when an incumbent is not running are pretty much choice elections, but when an incumbent is seeking reelection, they amount to little more than a referendum on the incumbent. That’s why so much focus is paid to job-approval ratings, the best yardstick of whether an incumbent will be reelected or not. Quinnipiac’s 42 percent approval rating splits the difference between the RealClearPolitics average of 43 percent and the 41 percent in FiveThirtyEight’s averages—not where an incumbent wants to be.

This mythology that because Trump did it once he can do it again ignores the fact that Hillary Clinton is not going to be the Democratic nominee this year, and that is quite consequential.

Seems that the Demoncrooks can only find rich, old, white folks to be their Candidate. Why is that?
You trump supporters better start getting used to.

2020 isn't 2016. Because Joe Biden isn't Hillary Clinton.
Charlie Cook
June 23, 2020

In a presidential election year that is so unlike any previous one, it’s not hard to compile a list of oddities. But one peculiarity is an almost mystical feeling in each party that is hardly analytical but quite widespread. Many of the most fervent Donald Trump supporters seem convinced that because he pulled a rabbit out of a hat in the last election, winning a race that seemed unwinnable even as late as the first poll closings, he can and will do it again. The polls and pundits were all wrong, they maintain; Trump has some magical ability to defy political gravity and all the experts put together. The mirror-image conviction among many Democrats and passionate Trump detractors comes from the psychological trauma of losing a race they thought they had in the bag in 2016. They fear, even believe, that he will somehow do it again.

This political phenomenon keeps coming to mind when I look through the results of new polls, most recently the Thursday afternoon release of the latest Quinnipiac University poll, conducted June 11-15 among 1,332 registered voters nationwide, followed by a Thursday evening release of a new Fox News poll, taken June 13-16 among 1,343 registered voters. In Quinnipiac, Joe Biden led Trump by 8 percentage points, 49 to 41 percent. That’s a bit narrower than the 11-point margin in the previous (May 14-18) survey, when Biden had 50 percent to the incumbent’s 39 percent. Fox has Biden’s lead at 12 points, 50 to 38 percent, up from the 48-40-percent spread in its May 17-20 poll.

The new Quinnipiac Poll showed 42 percent approving of Trump’s overall performance against 55 percent disapproving. The Fox poll had 44 percent approving to 55 percent disapproving. Both of those sets of numbers are nearly identical to the respective polls’ May numbers.

Looking across the span of all of the polling over the last six months, Trump’s approval ratings started a downward turn in early April, while the gap between Biden and Trump seemed to widen starting in very late May or early June.

Presidential elections when an incumbent is not running are pretty much choice elections, but when an incumbent is seeking reelection, they amount to little more than a referendum on the incumbent. That’s why so much focus is paid to job-approval ratings, the best yardstick of whether an incumbent will be reelected or not. Quinnipiac’s 42 percent approval rating splits the difference between the RealClearPolitics average of 43 percent and the 41 percent in FiveThirtyEight’s averages—not where an incumbent wants to be.

This mythology that because Trump did it once he can do it again ignores the fact that Hillary Clinton is not going to be the Democratic nominee this year, and that is quite consequential.

Seems that the Demoncrooks can only find rich, old, white folks to be their Candidate. Why is that?

The son of a black woman has yet to be US President.
 
You trump supporters better start getting used to.

2020 isn't 2016. Because Joe Biden isn't Hillary Clinton.
Charlie Cook
June 23, 2020

In a presidential election year that is so unlike any previous one, it’s not hard to compile a list of oddities. But one peculiarity is an almost mystical feeling in each party that is hardly analytical but quite widespread. Many of the most fervent Donald Trump supporters seem convinced that because he pulled a rabbit out of a hat in the last election, winning a race that seemed unwinnable even as late as the first poll closings, he can and will do it again. The polls and pundits were all wrong, they maintain; Trump has some magical ability to defy political gravity and all the experts put together. The mirror-image conviction among many Democrats and passionate Trump detractors comes from the psychological trauma of losing a race they thought they had in the bag in 2016. They fear, even believe, that he will somehow do it again.

This political phenomenon keeps coming to mind when I look through the results of new polls, most recently the Thursday afternoon release of the latest Quinnipiac University poll, conducted June 11-15 among 1,332 registered voters nationwide, followed by a Thursday evening release of a new Fox News poll, taken June 13-16 among 1,343 registered voters. In Quinnipiac, Joe Biden led Trump by 8 percentage points, 49 to 41 percent. That’s a bit narrower than the 11-point margin in the previous (May 14-18) survey, when Biden had 50 percent to the incumbent’s 39 percent. Fox has Biden’s lead at 12 points, 50 to 38 percent, up from the 48-40-percent spread in its May 17-20 poll.

The new Quinnipiac Poll showed 42 percent approving of Trump’s overall performance against 55 percent disapproving. The Fox poll had 44 percent approving to 55 percent disapproving. Both of those sets of numbers are nearly identical to the respective polls’ May numbers.

Looking across the span of all of the polling over the last six months, Trump’s approval ratings started a downward turn in early April, while the gap between Biden and Trump seemed to widen starting in very late May or early June.

Presidential elections when an incumbent is not running are pretty much choice elections, but when an incumbent is seeking reelection, they amount to little more than a referendum on the incumbent. That’s why so much focus is paid to job-approval ratings, the best yardstick of whether an incumbent will be reelected or not. Quinnipiac’s 42 percent approval rating splits the difference between the RealClearPolitics average of 43 percent and the 41 percent in FiveThirtyEight’s averages—not where an incumbent wants to be.

This mythology that because Trump did it once he can do it again ignores the fact that Hillary Clinton is not going to be the Democratic nominee this year, and that is quite consequential.

You'd rather support a racist Biden than Trump who has done more for blacks than Obama?
Biden is no racist and trump has done nothing for blacks.
 

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