This ain't 2016... That's a Fact.

You trump supporters better start getting used to.

2020 isn't 2016. Because Joe Biden isn't Hillary Clinton.
Charlie Cook
June 23, 2020

In a presidential election year that is so unlike any previous one, it’s not hard to compile a list of oddities. But one peculiarity is an almost mystical feeling in each party that is hardly analytical but quite widespread. Many of the most fervent Donald Trump supporters seem convinced that because he pulled a rabbit out of a hat in the last election, winning a race that seemed unwinnable even as late as the first poll closings, he can and will do it again. The polls and pundits were all wrong, they maintain; Trump has some magical ability to defy political gravity and all the experts put together. The mirror-image conviction among many Democrats and passionate Trump detractors comes from the psychological trauma of losing a race they thought they had in the bag in 2016. They fear, even believe, that he will somehow do it again.

This political phenomenon keeps coming to mind when I look through the results of new polls, most recently the Thursday afternoon release of the latest Quinnipiac University poll, conducted June 11-15 among 1,332 registered voters nationwide, followed by a Thursday evening release of a new Fox News poll, taken June 13-16 among 1,343 registered voters. In Quinnipiac, Joe Biden led Trump by 8 percentage points, 49 to 41 percent. That’s a bit narrower than the 11-point margin in the previous (May 14-18) survey, when Biden had 50 percent to the incumbent’s 39 percent. Fox has Biden’s lead at 12 points, 50 to 38 percent, up from the 48-40-percent spread in its May 17-20 poll.

The new Quinnipiac Poll showed 42 percent approving of Trump’s overall performance against 55 percent disapproving. The Fox poll had 44 percent approving to 55 percent disapproving. Both of those sets of numbers are nearly identical to the respective polls’ May numbers.

Looking across the span of all of the polling over the last six months, Trump’s approval ratings started a downward turn in early April, while the gap between Biden and Trump seemed to widen starting in very late May or early June.

Presidential elections when an incumbent is not running are pretty much choice elections, but when an incumbent is seeking reelection, they amount to little more than a referendum on the incumbent. That’s why so much focus is paid to job-approval ratings, the best yardstick of whether an incumbent will be reelected or not. Quinnipiac’s 42 percent approval rating splits the difference between the RealClearPolitics average of 43 percent and the 41 percent in FiveThirtyEight’s averages—not where an incumbent wants to be.

This mythology that because Trump did it once he can do it again ignores the fact that Hillary Clinton is not going to be the Democratic nominee this year, and that is quite consequential.

Seems that the Demoncrooks can only find rich, old, white folks to be their Candidate. Why is that?
You trump supporters better start getting used to.

2020 isn't 2016. Because Joe Biden isn't Hillary Clinton.
Charlie Cook
June 23, 2020

In a presidential election year that is so unlike any previous one, it’s not hard to compile a list of oddities. But one peculiarity is an almost mystical feeling in each party that is hardly analytical but quite widespread. Many of the most fervent Donald Trump supporters seem convinced that because he pulled a rabbit out of a hat in the last election, winning a race that seemed unwinnable even as late as the first poll closings, he can and will do it again. The polls and pundits were all wrong, they maintain; Trump has some magical ability to defy political gravity and all the experts put together. The mirror-image conviction among many Democrats and passionate Trump detractors comes from the psychological trauma of losing a race they thought they had in the bag in 2016. They fear, even believe, that he will somehow do it again.

This political phenomenon keeps coming to mind when I look through the results of new polls, most recently the Thursday afternoon release of the latest Quinnipiac University poll, conducted June 11-15 among 1,332 registered voters nationwide, followed by a Thursday evening release of a new Fox News poll, taken June 13-16 among 1,343 registered voters. In Quinnipiac, Joe Biden led Trump by 8 percentage points, 49 to 41 percent. That’s a bit narrower than the 11-point margin in the previous (May 14-18) survey, when Biden had 50 percent to the incumbent’s 39 percent. Fox has Biden’s lead at 12 points, 50 to 38 percent, up from the 48-40-percent spread in its May 17-20 poll.

The new Quinnipiac Poll showed 42 percent approving of Trump’s overall performance against 55 percent disapproving. The Fox poll had 44 percent approving to 55 percent disapproving. Both of those sets of numbers are nearly identical to the respective polls’ May numbers.

Looking across the span of all of the polling over the last six months, Trump’s approval ratings started a downward turn in early April, while the gap between Biden and Trump seemed to widen starting in very late May or early June.

Presidential elections when an incumbent is not running are pretty much choice elections, but when an incumbent is seeking reelection, they amount to little more than a referendum on the incumbent. That’s why so much focus is paid to job-approval ratings, the best yardstick of whether an incumbent will be reelected or not. Quinnipiac’s 42 percent approval rating splits the difference between the RealClearPolitics average of 43 percent and the 41 percent in FiveThirtyEight’s averages—not where an incumbent wants to be.

This mythology that because Trump did it once he can do it again ignores the fact that Hillary Clinton is not going to be the Democratic nominee this year, and that is quite consequential.

Seems that the Demoncrooks can only find rich, old, white folks to be their Candidate. Why is that?

The son of a black woman has yet to be US President.
The son of a black man has.

Yep. He is every bit Black as he is White.
Nope. He is black. If he was a criminal, he would be black. He was the president and he was black. You whites made it like that, so that's the bed you will sleep in.

He grew up with more of the White Privilege you rant about all of the time.
No he didn't. I'm the same age he is and mixed raced children caught hell. You grew and and still live with white privilege. Obama didn't even get presidential privilege.
 
You trump supporters better start getting used to.

2020 isn't 2016. Because Joe Biden isn't Hillary Clinton.
Charlie Cook
June 23, 2020

In a presidential election year that is so unlike any previous one, it’s not hard to compile a list of oddities. But one peculiarity is an almost mystical feeling in each party that is hardly analytical but quite widespread. Many of the most fervent Donald Trump supporters seem convinced that because he pulled a rabbit out of a hat in the last election, winning a race that seemed unwinnable even as late as the first poll closings, he can and will do it again. The polls and pundits were all wrong, they maintain; Trump has some magical ability to defy political gravity and all the experts put together. The mirror-image conviction among many Democrats and passionate Trump detractors comes from the psychological trauma of losing a race they thought they had in the bag in 2016. They fear, even believe, that he will somehow do it again.

This political phenomenon keeps coming to mind when I look through the results of new polls, most recently the Thursday afternoon release of the latest Quinnipiac University poll, conducted June 11-15 among 1,332 registered voters nationwide, followed by a Thursday evening release of a new Fox News poll, taken June 13-16 among 1,343 registered voters. In Quinnipiac, Joe Biden led Trump by 8 percentage points, 49 to 41 percent. That’s a bit narrower than the 11-point margin in the previous (May 14-18) survey, when Biden had 50 percent to the incumbent’s 39 percent. Fox has Biden’s lead at 12 points, 50 to 38 percent, up from the 48-40-percent spread in its May 17-20 poll.

The new Quinnipiac Poll showed 42 percent approving of Trump’s overall performance against 55 percent disapproving. The Fox poll had 44 percent approving to 55 percent disapproving. Both of those sets of numbers are nearly identical to the respective polls’ May numbers.

Looking across the span of all of the polling over the last six months, Trump’s approval ratings started a downward turn in early April, while the gap between Biden and Trump seemed to widen starting in very late May or early June.

Presidential elections when an incumbent is not running are pretty much choice elections, but when an incumbent is seeking reelection, they amount to little more than a referendum on the incumbent. That’s why so much focus is paid to job-approval ratings, the best yardstick of whether an incumbent will be reelected or not. Quinnipiac’s 42 percent approval rating splits the difference between the RealClearPolitics average of 43 percent and the 41 percent in FiveThirtyEight’s averages—not where an incumbent wants to be.

This mythology that because Trump did it once he can do it again ignores the fact that Hillary Clinton is not going to be the Democratic nominee this year, and that is quite consequential.

Seems that the Demoncrooks can only find rich, old, white folks to be their Candidate. Why is that?
Considering every republican candidate in history has been an old white man, what the fuck is your point?

The leftists had plenty of minorities and women to choose from and they selected old white dementia riddled Fingers. Hahahahaha.
 
Because Joe Biden isn't Hillary Clinton.

He's less popular.

He'll take the same demographic as Hillary, except for women.

Considering the entire population is made up of 51% Women your phrase "except for women" screams loud and clear.

Hillary inspired a lot of women to vote for her. Biden doesn't inspire anyone but old, fat, white guys.

And suburban Moms. This area was thought to be a Republican Stronghold but for the first time in decades, more Democrats voted in the primaries than the Republicans. Even with all your Hate and Rhetoric, the Democratic Party is expanding because of the Indy voters going against the Republicans, primarily any Republican supporting or supported by Rump.

Suburban women vote to protect their children. Riots, violence, murder and defunding the police aren't in your favor. Sorry, that's the facts.
Suburban women vote against overt racism. trump is done.
 
You trump supporters better start getting used to.

2020 isn't 2016. Because Joe Biden isn't Hillary Clinton.
Charlie Cook
June 23, 2020

In a presidential election year that is so unlike any previous one, it’s not hard to compile a list of oddities. But one peculiarity is an almost mystical feeling in each party that is hardly analytical but quite widespread. Many of the most fervent Donald Trump supporters seem convinced that because he pulled a rabbit out of a hat in the last election, winning a race that seemed unwinnable even as late as the first poll closings, he can and will do it again. The polls and pundits were all wrong, they maintain; Trump has some magical ability to defy political gravity and all the experts put together. The mirror-image conviction among many Democrats and passionate Trump detractors comes from the psychological trauma of losing a race they thought they had in the bag in 2016. They fear, even believe, that he will somehow do it again.

This political phenomenon keeps coming to mind when I look through the results of new polls, most recently the Thursday afternoon release of the latest Quinnipiac University poll, conducted June 11-15 among 1,332 registered voters nationwide, followed by a Thursday evening release of a new Fox News poll, taken June 13-16 among 1,343 registered voters. In Quinnipiac, Joe Biden led Trump by 8 percentage points, 49 to 41 percent. That’s a bit narrower than the 11-point margin in the previous (May 14-18) survey, when Biden had 50 percent to the incumbent’s 39 percent. Fox has Biden’s lead at 12 points, 50 to 38 percent, up from the 48-40-percent spread in its May 17-20 poll.

The new Quinnipiac Poll showed 42 percent approving of Trump’s overall performance against 55 percent disapproving. The Fox poll had 44 percent approving to 55 percent disapproving. Both of those sets of numbers are nearly identical to the respective polls’ May numbers.

Looking across the span of all of the polling over the last six months, Trump’s approval ratings started a downward turn in early April, while the gap between Biden and Trump seemed to widen starting in very late May or early June.

Presidential elections when an incumbent is not running are pretty much choice elections, but when an incumbent is seeking reelection, they amount to little more than a referendum on the incumbent. That’s why so much focus is paid to job-approval ratings, the best yardstick of whether an incumbent will be reelected or not. Quinnipiac’s 42 percent approval rating splits the difference between the RealClearPolitics average of 43 percent and the 41 percent in FiveThirtyEight’s averages—not where an incumbent wants to be.

This mythology that because Trump did it once he can do it again ignores the fact that Hillary Clinton is not going to be the Democratic nominee this year, and that is quite consequential.

Seems that the Demoncrooks can only find rich, old, white folks to be their Candidate. Why is that?
Considering every republican candidate in history has been an old white man, what the fuck is your point?

The leftists had plenty of minorities and women to choose from and they selected old white dementia riddled Fingers. Hahahahaha.
Democrats did not select trump.. The old white dementia riddled racist, pervert and rapist. He can't hold a glass of water, so I guess he has to grab the pussy with 2 hands now. You gotta wonder if he would be able to see the naked teenage girls he used to walk in on now. And he has to win, because if he doesn't, he'll be the presidential bitch is a new york prison.
 
You trump supporters better start getting used to.

2020 isn't 2016. Because Joe Biden isn't Hillary Clinton.
Charlie Cook
June 23, 2020

In a presidential election year that is so unlike any previous one, it’s not hard to compile a list of oddities. But one peculiarity is an almost mystical feeling in each party that is hardly analytical but quite widespread. Many of the most fervent Donald Trump supporters seem convinced that because he pulled a rabbit out of a hat in the last election, winning a race that seemed unwinnable even as late as the first poll closings, he can and will do it again. The polls and pundits were all wrong, they maintain; Trump has some magical ability to defy political gravity and all the experts put together. The mirror-image conviction among many Democrats and passionate Trump detractors comes from the psychological trauma of losing a race they thought they had in the bag in 2016. They fear, even believe, that he will somehow do it again.

This political phenomenon keeps coming to mind when I look through the results of new polls, most recently the Thursday afternoon release of the latest Quinnipiac University poll, conducted June 11-15 among 1,332 registered voters nationwide, followed by a Thursday evening release of a new Fox News poll, taken June 13-16 among 1,343 registered voters. In Quinnipiac, Joe Biden led Trump by 8 percentage points, 49 to 41 percent. That’s a bit narrower than the 11-point margin in the previous (May 14-18) survey, when Biden had 50 percent to the incumbent’s 39 percent. Fox has Biden’s lead at 12 points, 50 to 38 percent, up from the 48-40-percent spread in its May 17-20 poll.

The new Quinnipiac Poll showed 42 percent approving of Trump’s overall performance against 55 percent disapproving. The Fox poll had 44 percent approving to 55 percent disapproving. Both of those sets of numbers are nearly identical to the respective polls’ May numbers.

Looking across the span of all of the polling over the last six months, Trump’s approval ratings started a downward turn in early April, while the gap between Biden and Trump seemed to widen starting in very late May or early June.

Presidential elections when an incumbent is not running are pretty much choice elections, but when an incumbent is seeking reelection, they amount to little more than a referendum on the incumbent. That’s why so much focus is paid to job-approval ratings, the best yardstick of whether an incumbent will be reelected or not. Quinnipiac’s 42 percent approval rating splits the difference between the RealClearPolitics average of 43 percent and the 41 percent in FiveThirtyEight’s averages—not where an incumbent wants to be.

This mythology that because Trump did it once he can do it again ignores the fact that Hillary Clinton is not going to be the Democratic nominee this year, and that is quite consequential.




Hillary Clinton at least knows what state she is in. Even when she is loaded.
 
You trump supporters better start getting used to.

2020 isn't 2016. Because Joe Biden isn't Hillary Clinton.
Charlie Cook
June 23, 2020

In a presidential election year that is so unlike any previous one, it’s not hard to compile a list of oddities. But one peculiarity is an almost mystical feeling in each party that is hardly analytical but quite widespread. Many of the most fervent Donald Trump supporters seem convinced that because he pulled a rabbit out of a hat in the last election, winning a race that seemed unwinnable even as late as the first poll closings, he can and will do it again. The polls and pundits were all wrong, they maintain; Trump has some magical ability to defy political gravity and all the experts put together. The mirror-image conviction among many Democrats and passionate Trump detractors comes from the psychological trauma of losing a race they thought they had in the bag in 2016. They fear, even believe, that he will somehow do it again.

This political phenomenon keeps coming to mind when I look through the results of new polls, most recently the Thursday afternoon release of the latest Quinnipiac University poll, conducted June 11-15 among 1,332 registered voters nationwide, followed by a Thursday evening release of a new Fox News poll, taken June 13-16 among 1,343 registered voters. In Quinnipiac, Joe Biden led Trump by 8 percentage points, 49 to 41 percent. That’s a bit narrower than the 11-point margin in the previous (May 14-18) survey, when Biden had 50 percent to the incumbent’s 39 percent. Fox has Biden’s lead at 12 points, 50 to 38 percent, up from the 48-40-percent spread in its May 17-20 poll.

The new Quinnipiac Poll showed 42 percent approving of Trump’s overall performance against 55 percent disapproving. The Fox poll had 44 percent approving to 55 percent disapproving. Both of those sets of numbers are nearly identical to the respective polls’ May numbers.

Looking across the span of all of the polling over the last six months, Trump’s approval ratings started a downward turn in early April, while the gap between Biden and Trump seemed to widen starting in very late May or early June.

Presidential elections when an incumbent is not running are pretty much choice elections, but when an incumbent is seeking reelection, they amount to little more than a referendum on the incumbent. That’s why so much focus is paid to job-approval ratings, the best yardstick of whether an incumbent will be reelected or not. Quinnipiac’s 42 percent approval rating splits the difference between the RealClearPolitics average of 43 percent and the 41 percent in FiveThirtyEight’s averages—not where an incumbent wants to be.

This mythology that because Trump did it once he can do it again ignores the fact that Hillary Clinton is not going to be the Democratic nominee this year, and that is quite consequential.

Seems that the Demoncrooks can only find rich, old, white folks to be their Candidate. Why is that?
Considering every republican candidate in history has been an old white man, what the fuck is your point?

The leftists had plenty of minorities and women to choose from and they selected old white dementia riddled Fingers. Hahahahaha.
Democrats did not select trump.. The old white dementia riddled racist, pervert and rapist. He can't hold a glass of water, so I guess he has to grab the pussy with 2 hands now. You gotta wonder if he would be able to see the naked teenage girls he used to walk in on now. And he has to win, because if he doesn't, he'll be the presidential bitch is a new york prison.
Oh but many Democrats did select Donald J Trump over the sick, loud mouth, rapist enabler, bitch Hitlery Clinton, because when she started playing identity politics with men and whites, she lost plenty of Union workers that would of supported a Democrat. But you are too stupid to understand this, and why Joe the creeper, basement dwelling Joe Biden wont win that vote either....He is moving farther left, you know a rich old white guy pandering to the young stupid black voter like you...
 
You trump supporters better start getting used to.

2020 isn't 2016. Because Joe Biden isn't Hillary Clinton.
Charlie Cook
June 23, 2020

In a presidential election year that is so unlike any previous one, it’s not hard to compile a list of oddities. But one peculiarity is an almost mystical feeling in each party that is hardly analytical but quite widespread. Many of the most fervent Donald Trump supporters seem convinced that because he pulled a rabbit out of a hat in the last election, winning a race that seemed unwinnable even as late as the first poll closings, he can and will do it again. The polls and pundits were all wrong, they maintain; Trump has some magical ability to defy political gravity and all the experts put together. The mirror-image conviction among many Democrats and passionate Trump detractors comes from the psychological trauma of losing a race they thought they had in the bag in 2016. They fear, even believe, that he will somehow do it again.

This political phenomenon keeps coming to mind when I look through the results of new polls, most recently the Thursday afternoon release of the latest Quinnipiac University poll, conducted June 11-15 among 1,332 registered voters nationwide, followed by a Thursday evening release of a new Fox News poll, taken June 13-16 among 1,343 registered voters. In Quinnipiac, Joe Biden led Trump by 8 percentage points, 49 to 41 percent. That’s a bit narrower than the 11-point margin in the previous (May 14-18) survey, when Biden had 50 percent to the incumbent’s 39 percent. Fox has Biden’s lead at 12 points, 50 to 38 percent, up from the 48-40-percent spread in its May 17-20 poll.

The new Quinnipiac Poll showed 42 percent approving of Trump’s overall performance against 55 percent disapproving. The Fox poll had 44 percent approving to 55 percent disapproving. Both of those sets of numbers are nearly identical to the respective polls’ May numbers.

Looking across the span of all of the polling over the last six months, Trump’s approval ratings started a downward turn in early April, while the gap between Biden and Trump seemed to widen starting in very late May or early June.

Presidential elections when an incumbent is not running are pretty much choice elections, but when an incumbent is seeking reelection, they amount to little more than a referendum on the incumbent. That’s why so much focus is paid to job-approval ratings, the best yardstick of whether an incumbent will be reelected or not. Quinnipiac’s 42 percent approval rating splits the difference between the RealClearPolitics average of 43 percent and the 41 percent in FiveThirtyEight’s averages—not where an incumbent wants to be.

This mythology that because Trump did it once he can do it again ignores the fact that Hillary Clinton is not going to be the Democratic nominee this year, and that is quite consequential.

Joe may not be Hillary, but he’s very much like W. Two peas and in a pod. Expect war.
1*ntWwUrzDZE7SmWeUr_dCqA.png
Wrong.
Right
You aren't right. I doubt if Biden is going to start a war for no reason.
Wrong.

Blood brothers and you love them.
1*ntWwUrzDZE7SmWeUr_dCqA.png
Not really. I just know that we can't have 4 more years of this.
You’re dreaming if you think four years of Biden will be any better. The Empire is dying and the elites are killing it. Biden will do as he’s told by the criminal Oligarchy.
 
Democrats did not select trump.. The old white dementia riddled racist, pervert and rapist. He can't hold a glass of water, so I guess he has to grab the pussy with 2 hands now. You gotta wonder if he would be able to see the naked teenage girls he used to walk in on now. And he has to win, because if he doesn't, he'll be the presidential bitch is a new york prison.
Who's votes do you think it was that flipped all those Blue States Red?

Here's a hint .....

It wasn't Republicans.
 
Because Joe Biden isn't Hillary Clinton.

He's less popular.

He'll take the same demographic as Hillary, except for women.

Considering the entire population is made up of 51% Women your phrase "except for women" screams loud and clear.

Hillary inspired a lot of women to vote for her. Biden doesn't inspire anyone but old, fat, white guys.

And suburban Moms. This area was thought to be a Republican Stronghold but for the first time in decades, more Democrats voted in the primaries than the Republicans. Even with all your Hate and Rhetoric, the Democratic Party is expanding because of the Indy voters going against the Republicans, primarily any Republican supporting or supported by Rump.

Suburban women vote to protect their children. Riots, violence, murder and defunding the police aren't in your favor. Sorry, that's the facts.
Suburban women vote against overt racism. trump is done.
Suburban women vote for security and safety for their children, this is pointed out in the new President Trump commercial that Democrats couldnt care less for children, even you, as we pointed out before, with those innocent children butchered by your savage black thugs...
 
Because Joe Biden isn't Hillary Clinton.

He's less popular.

He'll take the same demographic as Hillary, except for women.

Considering the entire population is made up of 51% Women your phrase "except for women" screams loud and clear.

Hillary inspired a lot of women to vote for her. Biden doesn't inspire anyone but old, fat, white guys.

And suburban Moms. This area was thought to be a Republican Stronghold but for the first time in decades, more Democrats voted in the primaries than the Republicans. Even with all your Hate and Rhetoric, the Democratic Party is expanding because of the Indy voters going against the Republicans, primarily any Republican supporting or supported by Rump.

Suburban women vote to protect their children. Riots, violence, murder and defunding the police aren't in your favor. Sorry, that's the facts.
Suburban women vote against overt racism. trump is done.
Suburban women vote for security and safety for their children, this is pointed out in the new President Trump commercial that Democrats couldnt care less for children, even you, as we pointed out before, with those innocent children butchered by your savage black thugs...
Suburban women don't like liars and racists. That's whit that white racist thug trump is going to be booted.
 
You trump supporters better start getting used to.

2020 isn't 2016. Because Joe Biden isn't Hillary Clinton.
Charlie Cook
June 23, 2020

In a presidential election year that is so unlike any previous one, it’s not hard to compile a list of oddities. But one peculiarity is an almost mystical feeling in each party that is hardly analytical but quite widespread. Many of the most fervent Donald Trump supporters seem convinced that because he pulled a rabbit out of a hat in the last election, winning a race that seemed unwinnable even as late as the first poll closings, he can and will do it again. The polls and pundits were all wrong, they maintain; Trump has some magical ability to defy political gravity and all the experts put together. The mirror-image conviction among many Democrats and passionate Trump detractors comes from the psychological trauma of losing a race they thought they had in the bag in 2016. They fear, even believe, that he will somehow do it again.

This political phenomenon keeps coming to mind when I look through the results of new polls, most recently the Thursday afternoon release of the latest Quinnipiac University poll, conducted June 11-15 among 1,332 registered voters nationwide, followed by a Thursday evening release of a new Fox News poll, taken June 13-16 among 1,343 registered voters. In Quinnipiac, Joe Biden led Trump by 8 percentage points, 49 to 41 percent. That’s a bit narrower than the 11-point margin in the previous (May 14-18) survey, when Biden had 50 percent to the incumbent’s 39 percent. Fox has Biden’s lead at 12 points, 50 to 38 percent, up from the 48-40-percent spread in its May 17-20 poll.

The new Quinnipiac Poll showed 42 percent approving of Trump’s overall performance against 55 percent disapproving. The Fox poll had 44 percent approving to 55 percent disapproving. Both of those sets of numbers are nearly identical to the respective polls’ May numbers.

Looking across the span of all of the polling over the last six months, Trump’s approval ratings started a downward turn in early April, while the gap between Biden and Trump seemed to widen starting in very late May or early June.

Presidential elections when an incumbent is not running are pretty much choice elections, but when an incumbent is seeking reelection, they amount to little more than a referendum on the incumbent. That’s why so much focus is paid to job-approval ratings, the best yardstick of whether an incumbent will be reelected or not. Quinnipiac’s 42 percent approval rating splits the difference between the RealClearPolitics average of 43 percent and the 41 percent in FiveThirtyEight’s averages—not where an incumbent wants to be.

This mythology that because Trump did it once he can do it again ignores the fact that Hillary Clinton is not going to be the Democratic nominee this year, and that is quite consequential.

Seems that the Demoncrooks can only find rich, old, white folks to be their Candidate. Why is that?
You trump supporters better start getting used to.

2020 isn't 2016. Because Joe Biden isn't Hillary Clinton.
Charlie Cook
June 23, 2020

In a presidential election year that is so unlike any previous one, it’s not hard to compile a list of oddities. But one peculiarity is an almost mystical feeling in each party that is hardly analytical but quite widespread. Many of the most fervent Donald Trump supporters seem convinced that because he pulled a rabbit out of a hat in the last election, winning a race that seemed unwinnable even as late as the first poll closings, he can and will do it again. The polls and pundits were all wrong, they maintain; Trump has some magical ability to defy political gravity and all the experts put together. The mirror-image conviction among many Democrats and passionate Trump detractors comes from the psychological trauma of losing a race they thought they had in the bag in 2016. They fear, even believe, that he will somehow do it again.

This political phenomenon keeps coming to mind when I look through the results of new polls, most recently the Thursday afternoon release of the latest Quinnipiac University poll, conducted June 11-15 among 1,332 registered voters nationwide, followed by a Thursday evening release of a new Fox News poll, taken June 13-16 among 1,343 registered voters. In Quinnipiac, Joe Biden led Trump by 8 percentage points, 49 to 41 percent. That’s a bit narrower than the 11-point margin in the previous (May 14-18) survey, when Biden had 50 percent to the incumbent’s 39 percent. Fox has Biden’s lead at 12 points, 50 to 38 percent, up from the 48-40-percent spread in its May 17-20 poll.

The new Quinnipiac Poll showed 42 percent approving of Trump’s overall performance against 55 percent disapproving. The Fox poll had 44 percent approving to 55 percent disapproving. Both of those sets of numbers are nearly identical to the respective polls’ May numbers.

Looking across the span of all of the polling over the last six months, Trump’s approval ratings started a downward turn in early April, while the gap between Biden and Trump seemed to widen starting in very late May or early June.

Presidential elections when an incumbent is not running are pretty much choice elections, but when an incumbent is seeking reelection, they amount to little more than a referendum on the incumbent. That’s why so much focus is paid to job-approval ratings, the best yardstick of whether an incumbent will be reelected or not. Quinnipiac’s 42 percent approval rating splits the difference between the RealClearPolitics average of 43 percent and the 41 percent in FiveThirtyEight’s averages—not where an incumbent wants to be.

This mythology that because Trump did it once he can do it again ignores the fact that Hillary Clinton is not going to be the Democratic nominee this year, and that is quite consequential.

Seems that the Demoncrooks can only find rich, old, white folks to be their Candidate. Why is that?

The son of a black woman has yet to be US President.
The son of a black man has.

Yep. He is every bit Black as he is White.
Nope. He is black. If he was a criminal, he would be black. He was the president and he was black. You whites made it like that, so that's the bed you will sleep in.

He grew up with more of the White Privilege you rant about all of the time.
No he didn't. I'm the same age he is and mixed raced children caught hell. You grew and and still live with white privilege. Obama didn't even get presidential privilege.

Yea those hardened streets of Hawaii and exclusive private schools were really rough. What kind of “hell” did he catch compared to Ben Carson? Who had more privilege?
 
2020:

Soros, China, Russia, and Iran (through Venezuela) are all attempting to interfere in the election by funding domestic terrorists and paying for the spread of racial division, hatred, and violence....again.

Democrats are once again attempting to rig an election through fanning the flames of, facilitating, and affecting racial division / violence, COVID-19 fear-mongering, and oppressive virus edicts / lockdowns.

Joe Biden is NOT Hillary Clinton...but in many ways he is worse

Biden is an old, white, corrupt, criminal, elitist, millionaire, racist

He is an admitted extortionist

He is a perjurer who engaged in the Constitution/Rule of Law Obamagate scandal

He is suffering dementia and can barely put 3 coherent sentences together

His handlers keep him locked in a basement
- The man can't handle addressing friendly crowds or friendly media where interviews / questions have been rigged. How the hell is he going to be able to stand up to and engage in dialogue with Xi, Lil' Kim, or Putin? He WON'T be able to.

Biden has declared that, despite the US economy being devastated by COVID-190 lockdowns in which Millions of Americans did not go to work / businesses went under, and some 20 MILLION Americans face potential eviction / having no place to live by the end of the summer, he intends to sky-rocket taxes on the suffering nation.

Under Democratic 'rule' across the nation, we have seen the Constitution, Rule of Law, Constitutional Rights, & Civil Rights trampled under the boots of oppressive Democrat leaders imposing their will on the American people.
- As one Democratic party Governor declare, "I did not even think about the Constitution before I acted." WTF?!

We have had looting, rioting, destruction of personal / private property, complete disrespect for authority / Rule of law, assaults, rape, murder, domestic terrorists funded / influenced by foreign enemies.
- In 2016 Soros and Russia paid Antifa, BLM, & the Black Fist to spread racial division, violence, and the undermining of our government and destruction of our history & culture, etc...

Our enemies - from outside the US and within - have been far more successful so far than in 2020 that 2016.

From seized US property, businesses, and citizens held hostage - facilitated by domestic-terrorist empathizing liberals - to supporting demands to get rid of police , despite shootings and murders...of children...escalating at disastrous numbers - to Democrat Mayors / Governors murdering elderly Americans by the THOUSANDS by placing virus-infected patients in nursing homes....we have seen the destruction, or at least 'fundamental change' Barry promised, and Biden is not even in power yet.

I don't even want to think about how quickly this nation will collapse and cease to be the United States as the Founding Fathers created it, intended it to be, and as we have known it for 244 years should the guaranteed Democratic Party attempt to steal the election in Nov works and Biden goes in.
 
You trump supporters better start getting used to.

2020 isn't 2016. Because Joe Biden isn't Hillary Clinton.
Charlie Cook
June 23, 2020

In a presidential election year that is so unlike any previous one, it’s not hard to compile a list of oddities. But one peculiarity is an almost mystical feeling in each party that is hardly analytical but quite widespread. Many of the most fervent Donald Trump supporters seem convinced that because he pulled a rabbit out of a hat in the last election, winning a race that seemed unwinnable even as late as the first poll closings, he can and will do it again. The polls and pundits were all wrong, they maintain; Trump has some magical ability to defy political gravity and all the experts put together. The mirror-image conviction among many Democrats and passionate Trump detractors comes from the psychological trauma of losing a race they thought they had in the bag in 2016. They fear, even believe, that he will somehow do it again.

This political phenomenon keeps coming to mind when I look through the results of new polls, most recently the Thursday afternoon release of the latest Quinnipiac University poll, conducted June 11-15 among 1,332 registered voters nationwide, followed by a Thursday evening release of a new Fox News poll, taken June 13-16 among 1,343 registered voters. In Quinnipiac, Joe Biden led Trump by 8 percentage points, 49 to 41 percent. That’s a bit narrower than the 11-point margin in the previous (May 14-18) survey, when Biden had 50 percent to the incumbent’s 39 percent. Fox has Biden’s lead at 12 points, 50 to 38 percent, up from the 48-40-percent spread in its May 17-20 poll.

The new Quinnipiac Poll showed 42 percent approving of Trump’s overall performance against 55 percent disapproving. The Fox poll had 44 percent approving to 55 percent disapproving. Both of those sets of numbers are nearly identical to the respective polls’ May numbers.

Looking across the span of all of the polling over the last six months, Trump’s approval ratings started a downward turn in early April, while the gap between Biden and Trump seemed to widen starting in very late May or early June.

Presidential elections when an incumbent is not running are pretty much choice elections, but when an incumbent is seeking reelection, they amount to little more than a referendum on the incumbent. That’s why so much focus is paid to job-approval ratings, the best yardstick of whether an incumbent will be reelected or not. Quinnipiac’s 42 percent approval rating splits the difference between the RealClearPolitics average of 43 percent and the 41 percent in FiveThirtyEight’s averages—not where an incumbent wants to be.

This mythology that because Trump did it once he can do it again ignores the fact that Hillary Clinton is not going to be the Democratic nominee this year, and that is quite consequential.

Trump’s culture wars worked in 2016. His aides worry the world has changed.

 
Because Joe Biden isn't Hillary Clinton.

He's less popular.

He'll take the same demographic as Hillary, except for women.

Considering the entire population is made up of 51% Women your phrase "except for women" screams loud and clear.

Hillary inspired a lot of women to vote for her. Biden doesn't inspire anyone but old, fat, white guys.

And suburban Moms. This area was thought to be a Republican Stronghold but for the first time in decades, more Democrats voted in the primaries than the Republicans. Even with all your Hate and Rhetoric, the Democratic Party is expanding because of the Indy voters going against the Republicans, primarily any Republican supporting or supported by Rump.

Suburban women vote to protect their children. Riots, violence, murder and defunding the police aren't in your favor. Sorry, that's the facts.
Suburban women vote against overt racism. trump is done.
Suburban women vote for security and safety for their children, this is pointed out in the new President Trump commercial that Democrats couldnt care less for children, even you, as we pointed out before, with those innocent children butchered by your savage black thugs...
Suburban women don't like liars and racists. That's whit that white racist thug trump is going to be booted.
Boot racist Don and replace him with racist Joe.

Makes sense to the senseless.

Are you a paid DNC poster?
 
2020:

Soros, China, Russia, and Iran (through Venezuela) are all attempting to interfere in the election by funding domestic terrorists and paying for the spread of racial division, hatred, and violence....again.

Democrats are once again attempting to rig an election through fanning the flames of, facilitating, and affecting racial division / violence, COVID-19 fear-mongering, and oppressive virus edicts / lockdowns.

Joe Biden is NOT Hillary Clinton...but in many ways he is worse

Biden is an old, white, corrupt, criminal, elitist, millionaire, racist

He is an admitted extortionist

He is a perjurer who engaged in the Constitution/Rule of Law Obamagate scandal

He is suffering dementia and can barely put 3 coherent sentences together

His handlers keep him locked in a basement
- The man can't handle addressing friendly crowds or friendly media where interviews / questions have been rigged. How the hell is he going to be able to stand up to and engage in dialogue with Xi, Lil' Kim, or Putin? He WON'T be able to.

Biden has declared that, despite the US economy being devastated by COVID-190 lockdowns in which Millions of Americans did not go to work / businesses went under, and some 20 MILLION Americans face potential eviction / having no place to live by the end of the summer, he intends to sky-rocket taxes on the suffering nation.

Under Democratic 'rule' across the nation, we have seen the Constitution, Rule of Law, Constitutional Rights, & Civil Rights trampled under the boots of oppressive Democrat leaders imposing their will on the American people.
- As one Democratic party Governor declare, "I did not even think about the Constitution before I acted." WTF?!

We have had looting, rioting, destruction of personal / private property, complete disrespect for authority / Rule of law, assaults, rape, murder, domestic terrorists funded / influenced by foreign enemies.
- In 2016 Soros and Russia paid Antifa, BLM, & the Black Fist to spread racial division, violence, and the undermining of our government and destruction of our history & culture, etc...

Our enemies - from outside the US and within - have been far more successful so far than in 2020 that 2016.

From seized US property, businesses, and citizens held hostage - facilitated by domestic-terrorist empathizing liberals - to supporting demands to get rid of police , despite shootings and murders...of children...escalating at disastrous numbers - to Democrat Mayors / Governors murdering elderly Americans by the THOUSANDS by placing virus-infected patients in nursing homes....we have seen the destruction, or at least 'fundamental change' Barry promised, and Biden is not even in power yet.

I don't even want to think about how quickly this nation will collapse and cease to be the United States as the Founding Fathers created it, intended it to be, and as we have known it for 244 years should the guaranteed Democratic Party attempt to steal the election in Nov works and Biden goes in.
Vlad, is that you?
 
Because Joe Biden isn't Hillary Clinton.

He's less popular.

He'll take the same demographic as Hillary, except for women.

Considering the entire population is made up of 51% Women your phrase "except for women" screams loud and clear.

Hillary inspired a lot of women to vote for her. Biden doesn't inspire anyone but old, fat, white guys.

And suburban Moms. This area was thought to be a Republican Stronghold but for the first time in decades, more Democrats voted in the primaries than the Republicans. Even with all your Hate and Rhetoric, the Democratic Party is expanding because of the Indy voters going against the Republicans, primarily any Republican supporting or supported by Rump.

Suburban women vote to protect their children. Riots, violence, murder and defunding the police aren't in your favor. Sorry, that's the facts.
Suburban women vote against overt racism. trump is done.
Suburban women vote for security and safety for their children, this is pointed out in the new President Trump commercial that Democrats couldnt care less for children, even you, as we pointed out before, with those innocent children butchered by your savage black thugs...
Suburban women don't like liars and racists. That's whit that white racist thug trump is going to be booted.
Then why did the soccer moms vote for Bill the rapist Clinton who lied to them all the time? Oh yeah, they thought that Bill the rapist Clinton was for them...#MeToo

#MeToo Activist Rose McGowan Calls for Arrest of Bill Clinton and Prince Andrew
cGowan, who spearheaded the #MeToo movement, said Prince Andrew and Clinton should be arrested for their close relationship with the late Epstein who was trafficking underage girls to powerful businessmen and political figures around the globe.

“Now get Bill Clinton and Prince Andrew,” McGowan tweeted. She posted a photo of Epstein, Maxwell, and convicted rapist Harvey Weinstein.
 
You trump supporters better start getting used to.

2020 isn't 2016. Because Joe Biden isn't Hillary Clinton.
Charlie Cook
June 23, 2020

In a presidential election year that is so unlike any previous one, it’s not hard to compile a list of oddities. But one peculiarity is an almost mystical feeling in each party that is hardly analytical but quite widespread. Many of the most fervent Donald Trump supporters seem convinced that because he pulled a rabbit out of a hat in the last election, winning a race that seemed unwinnable even as late as the first poll closings, he can and will do it again. The polls and pundits were all wrong, they maintain; Trump has some magical ability to defy political gravity and all the experts put together. The mirror-image conviction among many Democrats and passionate Trump detractors comes from the psychological trauma of losing a race they thought they had in the bag in 2016. They fear, even believe, that he will somehow do it again.

This political phenomenon keeps coming to mind when I look through the results of new polls, most recently the Thursday afternoon release of the latest Quinnipiac University poll, conducted June 11-15 among 1,332 registered voters nationwide, followed by a Thursday evening release of a new Fox News poll, taken June 13-16 among 1,343 registered voters. In Quinnipiac, Joe Biden led Trump by 8 percentage points, 49 to 41 percent. That’s a bit narrower than the 11-point margin in the previous (May 14-18) survey, when Biden had 50 percent to the incumbent’s 39 percent. Fox has Biden’s lead at 12 points, 50 to 38 percent, up from the 48-40-percent spread in its May 17-20 poll.

The new Quinnipiac Poll showed 42 percent approving of Trump’s overall performance against 55 percent disapproving. The Fox poll had 44 percent approving to 55 percent disapproving. Both of those sets of numbers are nearly identical to the respective polls’ May numbers.

Looking across the span of all of the polling over the last six months, Trump’s approval ratings started a downward turn in early April, while the gap between Biden and Trump seemed to widen starting in very late May or early June.

Presidential elections when an incumbent is not running are pretty much choice elections, but when an incumbent is seeking reelection, they amount to little more than a referendum on the incumbent. That’s why so much focus is paid to job-approval ratings, the best yardstick of whether an incumbent will be reelected or not. Quinnipiac’s 42 percent approval rating splits the difference between the RealClearPolitics average of 43 percent and the 41 percent in FiveThirtyEight’s averages—not where an incumbent wants to be.

This mythology that because Trump did it once he can do it again ignores the fact that Hillary Clinton is not going to be the Democratic nominee this year, and that is quite consequential.

You'd rather support a racist Biden than Trump who has done more for blacks than Obama?
Biden is no racist and trump has done nothing for blacks.
Now you are just proving that you are an idiot....
 
You trump supporters better start getting used to.

2020 isn't 2016. Because Joe Biden isn't Hillary Clinton.
Charlie Cook
June 23, 2020

In a presidential election year that is so unlike any previous one, it’s not hard to compile a list of oddities. But one peculiarity is an almost mystical feeling in each party that is hardly analytical but quite widespread. Many of the most fervent Donald Trump supporters seem convinced that because he pulled a rabbit out of a hat in the last election, winning a race that seemed unwinnable even as late as the first poll closings, he can and will do it again. The polls and pundits were all wrong, they maintain; Trump has some magical ability to defy political gravity and all the experts put together. The mirror-image conviction among many Democrats and passionate Trump detractors comes from the psychological trauma of losing a race they thought they had in the bag in 2016. They fear, even believe, that he will somehow do it again.

This political phenomenon keeps coming to mind when I look through the results of new polls, most recently the Thursday afternoon release of the latest Quinnipiac University poll, conducted June 11-15 among 1,332 registered voters nationwide, followed by a Thursday evening release of a new Fox News poll, taken June 13-16 among 1,343 registered voters. In Quinnipiac, Joe Biden led Trump by 8 percentage points, 49 to 41 percent. That’s a bit narrower than the 11-point margin in the previous (May 14-18) survey, when Biden had 50 percent to the incumbent’s 39 percent. Fox has Biden’s lead at 12 points, 50 to 38 percent, up from the 48-40-percent spread in its May 17-20 poll.

The new Quinnipiac Poll showed 42 percent approving of Trump’s overall performance against 55 percent disapproving. The Fox poll had 44 percent approving to 55 percent disapproving. Both of those sets of numbers are nearly identical to the respective polls’ May numbers.

Looking across the span of all of the polling over the last six months, Trump’s approval ratings started a downward turn in early April, while the gap between Biden and Trump seemed to widen starting in very late May or early June.

Presidential elections when an incumbent is not running are pretty much choice elections, but when an incumbent is seeking reelection, they amount to little more than a referendum on the incumbent. That’s why so much focus is paid to job-approval ratings, the best yardstick of whether an incumbent will be reelected or not. Quinnipiac’s 42 percent approval rating splits the difference between the RealClearPolitics average of 43 percent and the 41 percent in FiveThirtyEight’s averages—not where an incumbent wants to be.

This mythology that because Trump did it once he can do it again ignores the fact that Hillary Clinton is not going to be the Democratic nominee this year, and that is quite consequential.

107696384_2657935277795590_6644920787339387648_n.jpg

He is worst and a major part of our problems.
 

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