I just want to give everyone a sense of how bad the RCP Senate polls were this election.
Here are the final RCP averages vs the final results in each of the high profile Senate races.
TN - Final RCP Average Blackburn +5.2 Actual Blackburn +10.8 (5.6 Point bias in favor of Democrats.)
OH - Final RCP Average +13.25 Brown Actual Brown +6.4 (6.85 point bias in favor of Democrats.)
MI - Final RCP Average +8.3 Stabenow Actual +6.6 Stabenow (1.7 Point bias for Democrats.)
WV - Final RCP Average +5 Manchin Actual +3.2 Manchin (1.8 point bias in favor of democrats.)
ND - Final RCP Average +9 Cramer Actual +10.8 Cramer (1.8 point bias towards democrats.)
MT - Final RCP Average +3.3 Tester Actual +3.1 Tester (.2 point bias toward Democrats.)
TX - Final RCP Average +6.8 Cruz Actual +2.6 Cruz (4.2 point bias toward GOP.)
MO - Final RCP Average +0.6 Hawley Actual +6.0 Hawley (5.4 point bias toward Democrats.)
AZ - Final RCP Average +1.0 McSally Actual ????
FL - Final RCP Average +2.4 Nelson Actual Scott +0.2 (2.6 Point bias toward Democrats.)
IN - Final RCP Average +0.7 Donnelly Actual Braun +5.9 (6.6 point bias toward Democrats.)
RCP was biased toward the Democrats in almost all of the contested races, except for Arizona and Texas.
Read more at realclearpolitics.com .
Not only that, the polls throughout the course are much, much more biased and they set the talking points for the election. They are used to set a narrative. How many house GOP retired because the polls had the having absolutely no chance. If they didn’t retire the GOP would have kept the house rather easily, I do believe!
Here are the final RCP averages vs the final results in each of the high profile Senate races.
TN - Final RCP Average Blackburn +5.2 Actual Blackburn +10.8 (5.6 Point bias in favor of Democrats.)
OH - Final RCP Average +13.25 Brown Actual Brown +6.4 (6.85 point bias in favor of Democrats.)
MI - Final RCP Average +8.3 Stabenow Actual +6.6 Stabenow (1.7 Point bias for Democrats.)
WV - Final RCP Average +5 Manchin Actual +3.2 Manchin (1.8 point bias in favor of democrats.)
ND - Final RCP Average +9 Cramer Actual +10.8 Cramer (1.8 point bias towards democrats.)
MT - Final RCP Average +3.3 Tester Actual +3.1 Tester (.2 point bias toward Democrats.)
TX - Final RCP Average +6.8 Cruz Actual +2.6 Cruz (4.2 point bias toward GOP.)
MO - Final RCP Average +0.6 Hawley Actual +6.0 Hawley (5.4 point bias toward Democrats.)
AZ - Final RCP Average +1.0 McSally Actual ????
FL - Final RCP Average +2.4 Nelson Actual Scott +0.2 (2.6 Point bias toward Democrats.)
IN - Final RCP Average +0.7 Donnelly Actual Braun +5.9 (6.6 point bias toward Democrats.)
RCP was biased toward the Democrats in almost all of the contested races, except for Arizona and Texas.
Read more at realclearpolitics.com .
Not only that, the polls throughout the course are much, much more biased and they set the talking points for the election. They are used to set a narrative. How many house GOP retired because the polls had the having absolutely no chance. If they didn’t retire the GOP would have kept the house rather easily, I do believe!