Professor Norpoth just as confidently predicts that Trump will trounce Joe Biden in November. Specifically, he gives the president a 91 percent chance of winning the election with an unambiguous 362-176 Electoral College margin.
If this seems implausible, considering the avalanche of polls that portend Trump’s imminent political demise, it will seem less so when Norpoth’s track record is taken into account.
The 2016 election was by no means his first foray into political projections. His model has correctly predicted five of the last six presidential elections, and projected the correct result in all but two of the last 27 contests when pre-election data were fed into his “Primary model.”
primarymodel.com
And this was written before the Hunter - Joe Corruption News! He has been right 25 of the last 27 elections...including last year.
Just look at the rallies of Joe (how few there are) and the turnout for Trump..... signs of a win for Trump!
If this seems implausible, considering the avalanche of polls that portend Trump’s imminent political demise, it will seem less so when Norpoth’s track record is taken into account.
The 2016 election was by no means his first foray into political projections. His model has correctly predicted five of the last six presidential elections, and projected the correct result in all but two of the last 27 contests when pre-election data were fed into his “Primary model.”
The Primary Model
primary model is a scientific model of forecasting election results. The Primary Model forecasts presidential elections with great accuracy. Author of The Primary Model, Helmut Norpoth. Political Scientist and Professor at Stony Brook University.
primarymodel.com
And this was written before the Hunter - Joe Corruption News! He has been right 25 of the last 27 elections...including last year.
Just look at the rallies of Joe (how few there are) and the turnout for Trump..... signs of a win for Trump!
