clevergirl
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- Oct 22, 2009
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Living in Michigan, I can tell you there is a very strong Grass roots movement against Obama here. Michigan was actually a player in the Birth of the Tea Party.
It all comes down to Detroit, and turn out there. Unemployment among Blacks in Detroit is sky High. So you can bet they will be less motivated to come out to vote. We Just swept the Republicans in at the State level in 2010. Basically it comes down to a battle between the Union base in Detroit, and the Rest of Michigan. Areas like Muskegon and Holland that went to Obama last time. Are really hurting, and have not seen nearly as much of the hand outs as Detroit.
Hell even the 125 Million dollar road project we got up here in the North, 250 miles from Detroit. Was done with 95% Out of town union Labor from Detroit.
If he takes Michigan this time around I am Moving to Texas! LOL
I Really think Michigan should be in the Tossup column this time around.
Obama loses MI,OH,FL he's toast
Republicans are a lock or lead in 24 states for 206 electoral votes, and Democrats have or lead in 19 states for 247 electoral votes. Seven super-swing states with 85 electors will determine which party gets to the 270 Electoral College majority: Colorado (9), Florida (29), Iowa (6), Nevada (6), New Hampshire (4), Ohio (18) and Virginia (13). Prior to Obama’s 2008 victories in each state, several of these toss-ups had generally or firmly leaned Republican for most elections since 1980.
Here's the takeaway from the article in my opinion:
Republicans are a lock or lead in 24 states for 206 electoral votes, and Democrats have or lead in 19 states for 247 electoral votes. Seven super-swing states with 85 electors will determine which party gets to the 270 Electoral College majority: Colorado (9), Florida (29), Iowa (6), Nevada (6), New Hampshire (4), Ohio (18) and Virginia (13). Prior to Obamas 2008 victories in each state, several of these toss-ups had generally or firmly leaned Republican for most elections since 1980.
Obama looks very vulnerable.
Unemployment among Blacks in Detroit is sky High.
Unemployment among Blacks in Detroit is sky High.You "conservatives" ALWAYS make that sound like some kind o' heavy-duty "accomplishment" (on your part).
Obama loses MI,OH,FL he's toast
It won't be good for President Obama of course but according to 2012 Presidential Election Interactive Map and History of the Electoral College, he could lose all three of those states and still get to 270.
It would be 296-242 assuming they went red and a third party challenger isn't in play.
I encourage all who are interested to use the interactive calculator at the site: Very helpful