Real Clear Politics now has Harris winning the Electoral College

[HikerGuy83]

2024 Electoral College Map | RealClearPolling

2024 Electoral College Map | RealClearPolling

www.realclearpolling.com

For all those who have been clinging to the RCP model.

View attachment 1003740

Hey, Weatherman2020

Already highlited that in my tracking thread.

Too bad you feel the need to waste bandwidth.

 

[rightwinger]

I think that the third time around, that stealth vote gets smaller.

I think in 2016 there was a significant number of “stealth voters” unwilling to publicly show support of Trump

I don’t see that anymore

 

[CosmicRocker]

NBC reporter calls out Kamala Harris for saying her 'values haven't changed': 'Her positions have changed'

NBC News' Yamiche Alcindor took a swipe at Vice President Kamala Harris for not explaining her policy flip-flops during her first interview as the Democratic nominee.

www.foxnews.com

 

[eagle7-31]

2024 Electoral College Map | RealClearPolling

2024 Electoral College Map | RealClearPolling

www.realclearpolling.com

For all those who have been clinging to the RCP model.

View attachment 1003740

Hey, Weatherman2020

Its August 30th. Not November.

 

[Greenbeard]

Its August 30th. Not November.

Early voting starts next week.

 

[eagle7-31]

Early voting starts next week.

That another can of worms.

 

[John Edgar Slow Horses]

No need to, I've seen the analysis objectively.

If she loses Pennsylvania its over. That's all.

President Xi will do his best to get the outcome China wants.

Not if she picks up AZ, NV, GA, and NC. She has many paths while Trump is very restricted.

 

[JoeB131]

Not if she picks up AZ, NV, GA, and NC. She has many paths while Trump is very restricted.

And RCP has them tied in GA, but are still calling it for Trump.

He is up be less than a single digit on those other three states.

But I expect Trump to completely collapse in November, when people who are tuning out the election see this many acting like a 12 year old.

 

[John Edgar Slow Horses]

Trump does not have the balanced maturity to handle the stress of the final month of the election.

 

[JoeB131]

Trump does not have the balanced maturity to handle the stress of the final month of the election.

And he seems to be getting worse every day.

 

[kyzr]

Trump has to almost run the table to win
Harris has many paths to victory while Trump can not afford to lose many battlegrounds

Trump just needs to win ONE of the "rust belts" PA, MI, WI. Preferably PA.

 

[Zincwarrior]

Actually, RCP is garbage... but the fact that the Wingnuts there are admitting the momentum of Harris is telling.

Still, we need to all get out there and work. Don't get complacent.

Note this still shows Arizona and Nevada for Trump. The are also currently leaning Harris.

 

[JoeB131]

Trump just needs to win ONE of the "rust belts" PA, MI, WI. Preferably PA.

Only if he wins three out of the four of the following GA, NC, NV and AZ.

RCP, right wing hacks that they are, have him tied in GA, and up by less than a point in the other three.

I don't think it will be that complicated, though. At the rate Trump is unravelling, most of the fence-sitters will break for Kamala.

Trump Fatigue has definitely settled in, and no one wants four more years of listening to this guy. They are happy to see him spend the rest of his life under house arrest in Mar-a-Lago.

 

[rightwinger]

Trump just needs to win ONE of the "rust belts" PA, MI, WI. Preferably PA.

Not if Harris takes Arizona, Georgia, N Carolina

 

[kyzr]

I think that the third time around, that stealth vote gets smaller.
A lot of Republicans just want to be done with Trump so they can go back to their country club republican status and not deal with the great unwashed.

Which is the problem Kamala voters have.
If Kamala wins, and the GOP has either the House or the Senate, we will have another 4-years like Biden.
Groceries will be even more expensive since there will be more illegals entering instead of being deported.
Criminals and drugs will be worse.

Republicans will be fine in their enclaves. Hunkering down for 2028.

 

[JohnDB]

This is through Aug 28

 

[kyzr]

Only if he wins three out of the four of the following GA, NC, NV and AZ.
RCP, right wing hacks that they are, have him tied in GA, and up by less than a point in the other three.
I don't think it will be that complicated, though. At the rate Trump is unravelling, most of the fence-sitters will break for Kamala.
Trump Fatigue has definitely settled in, and no one wants four more years of listening to this guy. They are happy to see him spend the rest of his life under house arrest in Mar-a-Lago.

You are miscalculating how many trips to the grocery store are happening between now and NOV 5th, and how angry voters are.

 

[kyzr]

Not if Harris takes Arizona, Georgia, N Carolina

Exactly. Either the Trump "stealth vote" shows up and he wins or it doesn't and he loses.

 

[JoeB131]

Which is the problem Kamala voters have.
If Kamala wins, and the GOP has either the House or the Senate, we will have another 4-years like Biden.
Groceries will be even more expensive since there will be more illegals entering instead of being deported.
Criminals and drugs will be worse.

Again, these are issues most people know Trump can't fix, which is why he's spending more time these days talking about how everyone has done him dirty.

You are miscalculating how many trips to the grocery store are happening between now and NOV 5th, and how angry voters are.

Most grownups realize that inflation is beyond the government's control.

 

[JohnDB]

Exactly. Either the Trump "stealth vote" shows up and he wins or it doesn't and he loses.

Stealth vote is code for biased polls before the election.