Real Clear Politics now has Harris winning the Electoral College

[rightwinger]

Exactly. Either the Trump "stealth vote" shows up and he wins or it doesn't and he loses.

I am not sure that “stealth vote” is still a factor

In 2016, some voters would not publicly admit they supported Trump
Today, it is clear who is voting for Trump

 

[C_Clayton_Jones]

Tied in PA.....But who really knows?

Although Harris is leading in the polling averages, recent polls in Pennsylvania have also shown Trump and Harris tied, including the latest Emerson College poll, conducted between August 25 and 28.

Trump's chances of beating Kamala Harris in Pennsylvania: recent polls

Pennsylvania, one of the most important swing states with its 19 electoral votes, voted Democrat in seven of the past eight presidential elections.

www.newsweek.com

Given the polling methods I'll take anything close as a Trump win.....Others can take it as they please.

Wanting Trump back in the WH is madness.

 

[bendog]

Splain

NO, please don't encourage her. Trust me. I've worked with maladjusted dogs before. Consistency and lack of options.

 

[bendog]

I am not sure that “stealth vote” is still a factor

In 2016, some voters would not publicly admit they supported Trump
Today, it is clear who is voting for Trump

I've pondered that as well. It wasn't some sooper dooper mage trick to keep Trumpers from "being sampled." But polls missed some Trump voters because they were not frequent voters and didn't have land lines (me either) and have bogus land line numbers (me too).

But there are something like 7 swing states that will make the decision.

 

[rightwinger]

You really don’t understand the Electoral College do you?

Harris can lose Pennsylvania but can offset it with wins in Arizona, Georgia and North Carolina (2 of 3)

Understand the concept of multiple paths to victory?

I am still looking at Florida as a possible flip.
Trump won by 2 1/2 percent in 2020
Everything else looks like Florida stays Red….Except

Florida has an Abortion Rights initiative 4 on the ballot that is getting a lot of publicity.

Women supporting Abortion Rights and opposing Floridas extreme six week limit will show their displeasure.
They will also vote their displeasure of Trumps role in overturning Roe v Wade

 

[rightwinger]

69 percent support Florida Ballot Initiative 4 on Abortion Rights

How many of those would support Trump after his role in overturning Roe v Wade?

https://thehill.com/policy/healthcare/4801375-florida-abortion-ballot-initiative/

 

[kyzr]

Stealth vote is code for biased polls before the election.

No dumbass.

In 2016 Trump polled 9 points behind Hillary, and won.

In 2020 Trump polled 5-points behind Biden and barely lost.

Here, watch this thru to the end, it will show you what biased polls actually look like

 

[kyzr]

I am not sure that “stealth vote” is still a factor
In 2016, some voters would not publicly admit they supported Trump
Today, it is clear who is voting for Trump

So you really think that all UAW members that are voting Trump will admit it?

Same with government workers in unions, and other unions supposedly a lock for democrats, teachers, etc.

 

[1srelluc]

Wanting Trump back in the WH is madness.

Then you are a rank fool of the highest order and worth nobody's time.

FOAD

 

[Zincwarrior]

In 2020 Trump polled 5-points behind Biden and barely lost.

He lost by 7,000,000 votes. Thats two million more than Romney lost by.

 

[rightwinger]

So you really think that all UAW members that are voting Trump will admit it?

Same with government workers in unions, and other unions supposedly a lock for democrats, teachers, etc.

Why not?
I see Trump voters proudly declaring their loyalty

 

[kyzr]

He lost by 7,000,000 votes. Thats two million more than Romney lost by.

The popular vote doesn't matter. Trump lost in the Electoral college, by 81,000 total votes in AZ, WI, and GA.

https://www.washingtonpost.com/graphics/2020/elections/vote-margin-of-victory/

 

[Zincwarrior]

The popular vote doesn't matter. Trump lost in the Electoral college, by 81,000 total votes in AZ, WI, and GA.

https://www.washingtonpost.com/graphics/2020/elections/vote-margin-of-victory/

It matters in showing the number of people supporting your party are increasingly few. More are dying off every year.

 

[Invisibleflash]

2024 Electoral College Map | RealClearPolling

2024 Electoral College Map | RealClearPolling

www.realclearpolling.com

For all those who have been clinging to the RCP model.

View attachment 1003740

Hey, Weatherman2020

Yes, possible.

 

[Marener]

The popular vote doesn't matter. Trump lost in the Electoral college, by 81,000 total votes in AZ, WI, and GA.

https://www.washingtonpost.com/graphics/2020/elections/vote-margin-of-victory/

Then you’re not really talking about “secret vote” you’re talking about electoral college advantages.

Gotta love the arbitrary nature of the electoral college!

 

[jbander]

2024 Electoral College Map | RealClearPolling

2024 Electoral College Map | RealClearPolling

www.realclearpolling.com

For all those who have been clinging to the RCP model.

View attachment 1003740

Hey, Weatherman2020

actually it is simpler then that, Trumps candidacy ended the moment they put a black women in front of a women hating bigoted party. they literally hate so much that they can't even control their mouths or actions. To prove that just follow the insanity and charges laid against Harris and waltz by this hate group. That's not the end though, TO save this great country and it's democracy, we have to bury MAGA next to Trump. These people will have to be watched for the rest of their lives because if they get the chance they will try to destroy our country and its democracy to force in a pile of shit for a dictator as they did attempt on Jan 6th attempted overthrow.

 

[rightwinger]

The popular vote doesn't matter. Trump lost in the Electoral college, by 81,000 total votes in AZ, WI, and GA.

https://www.washingtonpost.com/graphics/2020/elections/vote-margin-of-victory/

Gore lost the Electoral College by 500 votes