Its called voting with your feet and the feets are leaving democrat cities and states
Several reliably Democratic-leaning (or "blue") states have experienced population losses in recent years, a trend largely driven by domestic migration outpaced by other states' growth. The states with the most significant population losses since 2020 include
California, New York, and Illinois.
States with Population Loss and General Political Affiliation
The following states, which typically vote Democratic in presidential elections, were among those that lost population in recent years, especially in the 2023-2024 timeframe:
- New York: Experienced the largest annual numeric and percentage decline in population in 2023.
- California: Also faced significant numeric population loss.
- Illinois: Has consistently seen population decline, a trend that began under the old census prior to 2020.
- Pennsylvania: Experienced a slight population decrease in 2023.
- Oregon: Saw a slight decline in population as well.
- Hawaii: Has seen population decreases due to net migration.
- Massachusetts: Experienced a decline between 2021 and 2022.
- Rhode Island: Also saw a population drop between 2021 and 2022.
Driving Factors
Population shifts are influenced by various factors, with political alignment being a minor, though growing, reason for some. The primary drivers include:
- High Cost of Living: High housing costs and general cost of living are major reasons people leave states like California, New York, and New Jersey.
- Domestic Migration: People are moving to states with lower costs and warmer climates, particularly in the Sun Belt (e.g., Florida, Texas, North Carolina).
- Economic Opportunities: Job relocation is a factor, with many people moving to states with more robust job markets.
- Natural Decrease: In some states, population decline is also due to more deaths than births (a "natural decrease"), such as in Pennsylvania and West Virginia.
The trend of population shifting from reliably Democratic states to reliably Republican or swing states could have long-term implications for political power, including the allocation of U.S. House seats and Electoral College votes.