Maybe I can't get through to you because you're either not reading my posts or aren't understanding basic concepts.
So I highlighted for you what you said I did not write.
We are talking about any fund that invests in government bonds. In this example, it is a fund that invests solely in government bonds.
Right. That's the same thing as this.
Government bond fund cash flow
Tax money ---> Buys bonds ---> Your account is credited ---> Government spends all your tax money ---> Government taxes others ---> Government redeems your bonds from the taxes of others and gives you back your money plus interest
Juxtaposing the two
Client >> money into fund = Tax money
bonds = Buys bonds ---> Your account is credited
time passes = Government spends all your tax money
bonds mature >> client gets paid from his investment and the mature bonds = Government redeems your bonds from the taxes of others and gives you back your money plus interest
That's the same. Let's look at SS.
Since the SS trusts do not buy bonds, I've removed the inserts which don't relate to cash flows. Particularly
>> since current payouts exceed income no money goes to bonds
and
>> no bonds to mature
SS never buys bonds, no matter if the payout does or does not exceed income.
So now your cash flow schematic looks like this
Putting it side by side with this
SS cash flow
Tax money ---> Your account is credited ---> Government spends all your tax money ---> Government taxes others ---> Government gives you back your money plus interest from the taxes of others
Taxpayer = Tax money ---> Your account is credited
money goes to retirees = Government spends all your tax money
time passes >> taxpayer gets paid from new taxpayers = Government gives you back your money plus interest from the taxes of others
So removing those two inserts of yours
>> since current payouts exceed income no money goes to bonds
and
>> no bonds to mature
We see that yours and my descriptions of cash flows are the same.
And what did I remove? Your comment that there are no bonds. In the schematics of the cash flows of a government bonds fund and SS, the only thing that has changed is the presence of bonds. A bond is merely a claim on a cash flow. It does not affect the actual cash flow. Whether a bond is there or not does not change the cash flow. If you lend me money and I pay you back, it does not matter if we had a legal contract or I just gave you my word.
That's my point.
The cash flows of the SS trusts and a government bond pension fund are the same. A bond is merely a claim on a cash flow.
It does not affect the actual cash flow.
You've just made my argument. You just don't know it.
If you set up a mutual fund that invested solely in government bonds, the cash flows through the bond fund look just like the cash flows through the social security trusts. It is irrelevant that a bond fund is "investing" because all "investing" is is buying and selling securities. And a security is a claim on a cash flow. It does not effect cash flows.
A pay as you go system can continue forever as long as the contributions exceed the payouts. And the contributions can always exceed payouts if economic growth and/or population growth exceeds the interest rate promised to recipients.