PoliticalChic
Diamond Member
.....and the eternal question of wheter art imitates life, or life imitates art......
The following is from Frederick Forsyth's novel "The Fox," and is spot on as far as politics, prosperity, and fossil fuels.
"The future of our part of this planet, Western Europe, and of our country depends not on security. That comes later because, first, we need to be able to afford it. Prosperity is the initial concern. People will fight if they are destined to perpetual poverty.
It was Germany’s pending bankruptcy in the thirties that drove Hitler to invade her neighbours. He needed their assets to head off the national bankruptcy caused by his spending spree. The people would have stopped worshipping him if they had gone back to the conditions of the starving twenties.
Nothing much has changed. Today, the key to prosperity is energy – cheap, constant energy and masses of it. We have tried to harness wind, water, sunshine – ingenious and fashionable, but a mere scratch on the surface of our needs. Coal, black and brown, is over. Wooden pellets pollute. Ditto crude oil. The future is natural gas. There is enough under our planet’s crust for a century of heat, light and motive power. These create wealth, comfort and food. The people will be content. They will not fight.
We know where vast unmined deposits are to be found, and fresh ones are being discovered all the time. But Nature, being a perverse lady, has not placed them right below the great concentrations of people who need them. There has recently been a huge natural gas discovery off the shore of Israel. (It extends into three other national sub-sea territories, but its principal ‘find’ belongs to Israel.) There is a problem. Over short distances, natural gas can be piped under its own pressure from source to consumer. Israel’s new field is fifty miles offshore. With a few booster stations, close enough. For longer transits, the gas must be liquefied and frozen into LPG – liquid petroleum gas. Then it can be shipped in this form, like any other tanker cargo. On arrival, it is revaporized to many thousand times the volume of the tanker. Then it can be piped and used as cheap, clean power throughout the country.
It would make a lot of sense for the UK to conclude with Israel a longterm, exclusive deal. They have the gas but no liquification plant. We have the funds and the technology to build one on a sea-platform offshore. It would be a win-win partnership, liberating us from decades-long dependence on possibly hostile states.
But this paper is not about Israel. There are even bigger deposits deep inside Russia, but these are many miles away from the potential treasure-house of Western Europe. To bring this gas ocean to market, Russia – in the form of its oil/gas monopoly Gazprom – must build one or two gigantic pipelines from her gas fields across Eastern Europe to convenient seaports whence the tankers can supply the western half of the continent. Smaller pipelines have been mooted to cross Belarus and Poland, and also Ukraine, with tanker ports on the coasts of Romania and Bulgaria.
But Russia has virtually invaded Ukraine, and relations are strained with Poland, Romania and Bulgaria, all of whom are in the European Union and worry about the Kremlin’s new aggressiveness. The new and final choice is Turkey – hence the ferocious wooing of that barely NATO country and her highly authoritarian President. Russia has now pinned all her hopes of swamping Western Europe with her natural gas and thus becoming, through our energy dependency, our effective masters. They plan to do this via pipelines to Turkey. There are two under construction. They are called South Stream and Blue Stream. The main problem is technical. Both, in order to reach Turkish territory from Russia, have to pass under hundreds of miles of the Black Sea. They are being excavated even as you read these lines. The excavators are machines of bewildering complexity and, like all such machines nowadays, they are computer-controlled. Computers, as we know, can solve many problems, but they can also malfunction."
The book was published in 2018, before the Democrats stole the election.
The following is from Frederick Forsyth's novel "The Fox," and is spot on as far as politics, prosperity, and fossil fuels.
"The future of our part of this planet, Western Europe, and of our country depends not on security. That comes later because, first, we need to be able to afford it. Prosperity is the initial concern. People will fight if they are destined to perpetual poverty.
It was Germany’s pending bankruptcy in the thirties that drove Hitler to invade her neighbours. He needed their assets to head off the national bankruptcy caused by his spending spree. The people would have stopped worshipping him if they had gone back to the conditions of the starving twenties.
Nothing much has changed. Today, the key to prosperity is energy – cheap, constant energy and masses of it. We have tried to harness wind, water, sunshine – ingenious and fashionable, but a mere scratch on the surface of our needs. Coal, black and brown, is over. Wooden pellets pollute. Ditto crude oil. The future is natural gas. There is enough under our planet’s crust for a century of heat, light and motive power. These create wealth, comfort and food. The people will be content. They will not fight.
We know where vast unmined deposits are to be found, and fresh ones are being discovered all the time. But Nature, being a perverse lady, has not placed them right below the great concentrations of people who need them. There has recently been a huge natural gas discovery off the shore of Israel. (It extends into three other national sub-sea territories, but its principal ‘find’ belongs to Israel.) There is a problem. Over short distances, natural gas can be piped under its own pressure from source to consumer. Israel’s new field is fifty miles offshore. With a few booster stations, close enough. For longer transits, the gas must be liquefied and frozen into LPG – liquid petroleum gas. Then it can be shipped in this form, like any other tanker cargo. On arrival, it is revaporized to many thousand times the volume of the tanker. Then it can be piped and used as cheap, clean power throughout the country.
It would make a lot of sense for the UK to conclude with Israel a longterm, exclusive deal. They have the gas but no liquification plant. We have the funds and the technology to build one on a sea-platform offshore. It would be a win-win partnership, liberating us from decades-long dependence on possibly hostile states.
But this paper is not about Israel. There are even bigger deposits deep inside Russia, but these are many miles away from the potential treasure-house of Western Europe. To bring this gas ocean to market, Russia – in the form of its oil/gas monopoly Gazprom – must build one or two gigantic pipelines from her gas fields across Eastern Europe to convenient seaports whence the tankers can supply the western half of the continent. Smaller pipelines have been mooted to cross Belarus and Poland, and also Ukraine, with tanker ports on the coasts of Romania and Bulgaria.
But Russia has virtually invaded Ukraine, and relations are strained with Poland, Romania and Bulgaria, all of whom are in the European Union and worry about the Kremlin’s new aggressiveness. The new and final choice is Turkey – hence the ferocious wooing of that barely NATO country and her highly authoritarian President. Russia has now pinned all her hopes of swamping Western Europe with her natural gas and thus becoming, through our energy dependency, our effective masters. They plan to do this via pipelines to Turkey. There are two under construction. They are called South Stream and Blue Stream. The main problem is technical. Both, in order to reach Turkish territory from Russia, have to pass under hundreds of miles of the Black Sea. They are being excavated even as you read these lines. The excavators are machines of bewildering complexity and, like all such machines nowadays, they are computer-controlled. Computers, as we know, can solve many problems, but they can also malfunction."
The book was published in 2018, before the Democrats stole the election.