Obama can't break 50% he's a loser
Um, I would suggest you look at polls from 2008. Obama didn't break the 50% wall in the RCP average until October.
RealClearPolitics - Obama vs. Romney Compared to Obama vs. McCain
Right now should be the Weird Mormon Robot's best moment. Going into his convention, he ought to be leading right now. Even Walter Mondale had a 2% lead going into the convention in 1984.
But... not so much.
Obama is an incombant that makes all the differance. if he can't break 50% he's toast. Obama's going no where but down his approval numbers suck. Romney hasn't really even started on Obama yet while Obama is spending tons of money, more than he's bringing in Mondale didn't lead shit