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Obama grabs wide lead among those who have already voted

Rinata

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(Reuters) - President Barack Obama and Republican challenger Mitt Romney are neck and neck in opinion polls, but there is one area in which the incumbent appears to have a big advantage: those who have already cast their ballots.

Obama leads Romney by 59 percent to 31 percent among early voters, according to Reuters/Ipsos polling data compiled in recent weeks.

The sample size of early voters is relatively small, but the Democrat's margin is still well above the poll's credibility interval - a measurement of polls' accuracy - of 10 percentage points.

The online poll is another sign that early voting is likely to play a bigger role this year than in 2008, when roughly one in three voters cast a ballot before Election Day. Voting is already under way in some form in at least 40 states.

Early voting was a big part of Obama's victory over Republican John McCain in 2008, and his campaign aims to repeat its success this year.

The Obama campaign says it is leading among early voters in Iowa and Ohio, and trailing by a smaller margin than 2008 in several other swing states.

The Romney campaign says it is leading or even with Obama among early voters in several closely fought battleground states, including Florida, North Carolina, Colorado, Nevada and New Hampshire.

Obama grabs wide lead among those who have already voted: Reuters/Ipsos poll | Reuters
 

Wolfsister77

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It may all come down to OH and the fact that Obama is leading there among early voters is important if he wants to win.
 
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Obama grabs wide lead among those who have already voted: Reuters/Ipsos

Obama leads Romney by 59 percent to 31 percent among early voters, according to Reuters/Ipsos polling data compiled in recent weeks.

The sample size of early voters is relatively small, but the Democrat's margin is still well above the poll's credibility interval - a measurement of polls' accuracy - of 10 percentage points. (full graphic: Reuters 2012 Elections American Mosaic Polling Explorer)

With the November 6 election just more than three weeks away, 7 percent of those surveyed said they had already voted either in person or by mail (full graphic). The online poll is another sign that early voting is likely to play a bigger role this year than in 2008, when roughly one in three voters cast a ballot before Election Day. Voting is already under way in some form in at least 40 states.
 

decker

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Obama grabs wide lead among those who have already voted: Reuters/Ipsos

Obama leads Romney by 59 percent to 31 percent among early voters, according to Reuters/Ipsos polling data compiled in recent weeks.

The sample size of early voters is relatively small, but the Democrat's margin is still well above the poll's credibility interval - a measurement of polls' accuracy - of 10 percentage points. (full graphic: Reuters 2012 Elections American Mosaic Polling Explorer)

With the November 6 election just more than three weeks away, 7 percent of those surveyed said they had already voted either in person or by mail (full graphic). The online poll is another sign that early voting is likely to play a bigger role this year than in 2008, when roughly one in three voters cast a ballot before Election Day. Voting is already under way in some form in at least 40 states.
Well that good start for obama in ohio. But does not mean he win the state. In the end though even if president wins ohio is might not matter if most of other swing states go to romney
 

CrusaderFrank

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Dems have made a science of voter fraud. Amazing that he's only up by that much
 

decker

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Dems have made a science of voter fraud. Amazing that he's only up by that much
well not sure that true to all dems. In the end if obama wins ohio that give him a chance but will not matter if he fails to a lot of other key swing states.
 

LadyGunSlinger

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From your own link:

The sample size of early voters is relatively small

The online poll is another sign that early voting is likely to play a bigger role -- Yea ok.. Online polls are like throwing silver dollars down a drain- absolutely worthless.

Did a network call the race early for a democrat one year without all the polls closing and they ended up being wrong????
 

BreezeWood

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encouraging but expected ... the undecided will wait till election day.
 

decker

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encouraging but expected ... the undecided will wait till election day.
true. what worries me is though that usa today poll. it biggest lead i seen romney have yet nationally.
 

JimH52

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If Obama comes out and holds his own or even takes it to Romney tomorrow night, the polls will switch back to the O. If he doesn't, then it will be close. Romney is still behind, but presently seems to have the momentum. This is a make or break debate for the Pres...
 

Listening

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If Obama comes out and holds his own or even takes it to Romney tomorrow night, the polls will switch back to the O. If he doesn't, then it will be close. Romney is still behind, but presently seems to have the momentum. This is a make or break debate for the Pres...

Still waiting for those lies asswipe.

Or are you a Whore Cutter sock ?
 

copsnrobbers

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Romney will not fail.

Obama is a corrupt community organizer soon to be looking for a job. He's proved it over and over again.
Obama is also very intimidated by Romney.. He's not in the same league and he knows it.

My concern is.. Obama already knows what questions will be asked. Dems are Snakes ya know.
 

JimH52

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If Obama comes out and holds his own or even takes it to Romney tomorrow night, the polls will switch back to the O. If he doesn't, then it will be close. Romney is still behind, but presently seems to have the momentum. This is a make or break debate for the Pres...

Still waiting for those lies asswipe.

Or are you a Whore Cutter sock ?

Try actually reading this time!


Romney's lies - Yahoo! Search Results

1. "I don't have a $5 trillion tax cut." Romney flatly lied about the cost of his proposal to cut income-tax rates across the board by another 20 percent (undercutting even the low rates of the Bush tax cuts). Independent economists at the Tax Policy Center have shown that the price tag for those cuts is $360 billion in the first year, a cost that extrapolates to $5 trillion over a decade.

2. "I will not reduce the taxes paid by high-income Americans." Romney has claimed that he will pay for his tax cuts by closing a variety of loopholes and deductions. The factual problem? Romney hasn't named a single loophole he's willing to close; worse, there's no way to offset $5 trillion in tax cuts even if you get rid of the entire universe of deductions for the wealthy that Romney has not put off the table (like the carried interest loophole or the 15 percent capital gains rate.) The Tax Policy Center report concludes that Romney's proposal would create a "net tax cut for high-income tax payers and a net tax increase for lower- and or middle-income taxpayers." Moreover, some of Romney's tax cuts are micro-targeted at American dynasties, particularly his proposal to eliminate the estate tax, which would reduce his own sons' tax burden by tens of millions of dollars.

3. "We've got 23 million people out of work or [who have] stopped looking for work in this country." Romney is lying for effect. The nation's crisis of joblessness is bad, but not 23 million bad. The official figure is 12.5 million unemployed. An additional 2.6 million Americans have stopped looking for jobs. How does Romney gin up his eye-popping 23 million figure? He counts more than 8 million wage earners who hold part-time jobs as also being "out of work."

4. Obamacare "puts in place an unelected board that's going to tell people ultimately what kind of treatments they can have." Romney is reviving Sarah Palin's old death panels lie here. Obamacare does establish an Independent Payment Advisory Board to help constrain the growth of Medicare spending. The body has no authority to dictate the practices of the private insurance marketplace. And the law also makes explicit that this body is banned from rationing care or limiting medical benefits to seniors.

5. "Pre-existing conditions are covered under my plan." In the biggest whopper of the night, Romney suggested that his health care proposal would guarantee coverage to Americans with pre-existing conditions. This is just not true. Under Romney, if you have a pre-existing condition and have been unable to obtain insurance coverage or if you have had to drop coverage for more than 90 days because you lost your job or couldn't afford the premiums, you would be shit out of luck. Insurance companies could continue to discriminate and deny you coverage, as even Romney's top adviser conceded after the debate was over.
 

Trajan

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anyone, right left who votes early, unless they will be out of the country etc. knows how they were voting from the minute the nominations ended and zip would change their minds...its turnout that matters come election day.
 

JustSomeGuy

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Not news; Democrats tend to do better in early voters while Republicans do better on election day. The story should be Obama's early voting lead this year at this point versus last. I'd bet good money he's doing a lot worse than 2008.
 

Grampa Murked U

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Gov Walker says exit polls are as stupid as they are useless
 

copsnrobbers

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Romney 48 and climbing.
Obama 47 and free falling.

Tomorrow night is the end of Obama's Hope and Dream and a new and beginning for all of us.

Forward.. Vote that Son of a Bitch out!
 

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