My Final Election Prediction

[ThisIsMe]

At the end, i too think Harris will win, I’ve always thought that and have said so here on the forums.

it’s just a hunch I have.

 

[Blaster]

I honestly believe Trump will win.

 

[para bellum]

This election is a replay of 2016. Trump wins.

If his 2020 voters are still with him he wins the popular vote easily.

 

[Winco]

The steal is baked in.

Policies don't matter, it is TDS all the way.

The Indoctrination is overwhelming.

From 'The Steal" to "TDS".

You can barely make a post without showing how much indoctrination you have received.

 

[progressive hunter]

Three of those justices whom he appointed. Do you really think people don't know that?

I guess you forgot even ruth bater ginsberg was against roe,,

 

[HikerGuy83]

A very good analysis.

No it wasn't.

1. The links he provided show that Trump is stomping her in all three states.
2. There is no rational to the claim he should be winning by double digits (which he is in Alaska).
3. 538 has the GOP at +4 in the senate.
4. 538 has the the GOP at 52% in winning the house.
5. Nevada is very much an outlier. Glad to see it's democratic corruption was hightlited.

 

[Dont Taz Me Bro]

I guess you forgot even ruth bater ginsberg was against roe,,

Bader, and I'm aware of that. Do you actually think she would have voted to overturn? Don't kid yourself.

I agree from a Constitutional perspective that Roe should have been overturned. Politically, it was an incredibly stupid thing to do and the Republicans should have left it alone.

 

[progressive hunter]

Bader, and I'm aware of that. Do you actually think she would have voted to overturn? Don't kid yourself.

I agree from a Constitutional perspective that Roe should have been overturned. Politically, it was an incredibly stupid thing to do and the Republicans should have left it alone.

so now youre speaking for the dead,,

so you side with politics and not the constitution,,

I expected nothing different from you,,

 

[Dogmaphobe]

I do not wish to see Harris as president (I voted for Chase Oliver), but unfortunately, there is no other realistic scenario at this point. If Trump is not removed from politics the division in this country will continue to get worse and the Republican Party will only find it harder to appeal to a broader constituency that they need to be successful and we will see this country move further to the left.

Ah, so you are pushing Kamala as the candidate if we DON'T want the country going even farther left.

Yeah, that make sense

 

[buckeye]

Other than the three links I provided....

There are no links under your name on this page and certainly not in your opening. Weird thing for you to post.

My bad....I see Ohio, Kansas and Alaska now. I got a good laugh at all three.

 

[toobfreak]

I am going to preface this with a warning that I'm not going to tolerate trolling or off topic insults in this thread.

That might carry more credibility Taz if you yourself weren't often seen trolling members here with insults calling them retards and such.

I believe Harris will win the election.

You believe? The other day you said you had it on good authority from an insider that the fix was in and Harris was SURE to win.
Me, by every indicator out there, it appears that Trump SHOULD win, but I've learned never to underestimate election cheating. Just last night, Harris BROKE THE LAW violating FCC election laws having a scripted SNL appearance without Trump even getting an invitation for 'equal time' as the law dictates. Not a good look for a person running for president to start off breaking the law trying to win. So I have no opinion on who will win--- it is impossible to call with so many variables and the race so close.

Trump is losing Republican women to Harris over Roe.

If that is true, it is only for taking credit for it when it was a legal decision by the SCOTUS, further, not much has really changed with abortion, just that now it is in the state hands as the constitution requires, and in fact, abortion should not even be on the table as now not only are abortions up (I've yet to meet or hear of anyone who COULD NOT GET AN ABORTION), but now there are more choices because you have 50 possible decisions instead of one. Further, I don't know ANYONE who puts abortion as high on their list of things they need. If I fault Trump and the GOP for anything, it is for not making that more clear.

Trumpism needs to die or the Republican Party will continue to suffer losses throughout the country.

So it is your contention that the problem with the GOP is to dump the most popular, America-centric person they ever had to go back to the good 'ol days and winning ways of the McCain, Romney and Dole era?

With a Republican majority in the Senate, we can stave off extremism from the Harris administration

Unless she just does things like Joe did with 50 executive orders on her first day in office! How will the Senate stave off that?

If Trump is not removed from politics the division in this country will continue to get worse and the Republican Party will only find it harder to appeal to a broader constituency that they need to be successful and we will see this country move further to the left.

I don't see the problem as Trump's--- the division in this country is 100% fueled by the far left and democrat party through lies and rhetoric. If they are successful in driving Trump out, why do you think they will stop with Trump? You yourself say above you see the GOP as having to need to acquiesce by compromising to a "broader base"--- that base being extending into the increasing volume of stupid, abnormal people. That can only lead to more stupid abnormal people and a further digression of this country into further violence and crime and debauchery as has come EVERY STEP OF THE WAY that tolerance for it has allowed.

You don't wrest control of your nutty, pyromaniac son burning the living room sofa on fire by giving him an unattached garage out back full of matches and furniture to play in.

 

[White 6]

This is a fallacy. Trump did nothing regarding Roe. The decision came from the SCOTUS. The ball is in the hands of the states--not a federal issue as much as the DNC would like to frame it as such. As for your prediction? Like any other poll at this point, just speculation. The only poll that matters is in two days.

Trump claims it. It is his. Too bad for Trump, and too bad for House of Representatives and various state races. It has not worked out well, certainly not for Trump or Republicans.

 

[buckeye]

I see no discussion of Harris policies in the OP. Apparently for the first time in history the economy doesn't matter? Gas and grocery prices don't matter? Crime doesn't matter? The border disaster and 15 million illegals who are committing violent crimes doesn't matter? That's one weird election prediction.

When TDS infects your brain, there is nothing bigger or more important than TDS.

 

[Lesh]

Its never been as bad as it is now

But maybe you want a new country

Many people do

What are you TALKING about?

Never as bad as it is now?

In what way?

 

[Lastamender]

She'll win that too, even though it has no importance in our elections.

How? She is not that popular it is an illusion created by the MSM and globalist scum ( many in our Congress) so they can TRY and steal the election. Trump is on track for well over 81 million votes.

 

[Lesh]

This election is a replay of 2016. Trump wins.

If his 2020 voters are still with him he wins the popular vote easily.

In 2020 thee was really high Trump enthusiasm

I don’t see that this time

It wasn’t enough them and certainly won’t be this time

 

[toobfreak]

Three of those justices whom he appointed. Do you really think people don't know that?

And many times, those justices ruled on things that went FOR democrat interests.
Are you saying that every conservative on the SC broke the law and ruled AGAINST the constitution?
Trump had no choice but appoint those justices as three seats became available in his term, and like all president's he exercised his right to pick the best people he liked and he picked three good ones.

The Supreme Court did not ban abortion, they merely found that the federal government does not have the authority to mandate abortion law from DC, so returned it to the states.
I wish Trump and the GOP made that more clear. Last I checked, abortion was still legal nearly everywhere and women still had their right to sleep around like pigs and get knocked up three times a year.

 

[Lesh]

How? She is not that popular it is an illusion created by the MSM and globalist scum ( many in our Congress) so they can TRY and steal the election. Trump is on track for well over 81 million votes.

He won’t even get the 76 he got last time

 

[eagle7-31]

I am going to preface this with a warning that I'm not going to tolerate trolling or off topic insults in this thread. If you disagree then explain why and adding some facts or data to support your reasoning would be a plus. If you're just going to come here and sling insults because you're aren't mature enough to hear a difference of opinion you'll be removed from the thread.

I believe Harris will win the election. I think she is going to carry the Big Three Rust Belt states (PA, MI, WI), but not necessarily all of the Sun Belt swing states. While I believe the Iowa poll will turn out to be an outlier, it is a bad signal for the Republican Party. It also coincides with some other recent polls showing Trump only slightly up in Ohio, Kansas, and Alaska, states he should be winning by double digits. While I believe he will win those states by more those margins, it underscores a similar theme and what I've stated before. Trump is losing Republican women to Harris over Roe. Abortion is one of those third rails of politics that Republicans have been warned not to mess with, but they didn't listen.

I think the Democrats will also win control of the House by approximately 15 seats. There were several Republican pickups in the 2022 midterms that were in districts Biden won fairly handily and with Harris surging at the end I think many of those reps will lose their seats as a result.

I think the Senate will flip to the Republicans with a 51-seat majority. Sheehy seems almost certain to defeat Tester in Montana, but I don't think Moreno will prevail in Ohio. I think the same Republican women crossing over for Harris will also stick with Sherrod Brown. The only monkeywrench in this scenario would be if Osborne defeats Fischer in Nebraska and ends up caucusing with the Democrats. That would leave a 50/50 split with Walz as the tiebreaker, hence, a Democratic majority. I think Fischer will end up winning, though, despite how close that race has been.

I'm fine with this scenario. Trumpism needs to die or the Republican Party will continue to suffer losses throughout the country. With a Republican majority in the Senate, we can stave off extremism from the Harris administration and the left and if history is any indicator, the 2026 midterms will favor the Republicans to add to their majority, absent something strange taking place.

More locally, I do think Trump will end up winning Nevada and I'm hoping that carries down to the state legislature. After the 2020 Census, the Democrats gerrymandered themselves into a near supermajority in the State Assembly and State Senate, despite the state beginning to trend to the right. They are one seat shy of achieving this, which would allow them to override the governor's vetoes. This would be bad for the state. If Trump does prevail, I'm hoping his coattails will carry down ballot and thwart their attempt at stealing the reigns. I also wouldn't be surprised if we see one of the three Congressional seats they hold flip to the GOP. NV-03 would be the most likely, but NV-01 or NV-04 are possible.

I do not wish to see Harris as president (I voted for Chase Oliver), but unfortunately, there is no other realistic scenario at this point. If Trump is not removed from politics the division in this country will continue to get worse and the Republican Party will only find it harder to appeal to a broader constituency that they need to be successful and we will see this country move further to the left.

I would not venture to guess who wins at this point. Cynic that I am nothing much surprises me anymore.

 

[MarcATL]

Other than the three links I provided....

There was no need for links, you laid out a cogent thought-process as to why.

It's not like you're making things up.

The link thing is a cop out most of the time.

We don't need it, when we're talking about facts we can all see.

That said, I agree that Harris will win, as I made my prediction last night on here.

She'll win due to the silent vote, women.

That's why MAGATS like Charlie Kirk lost their crap over that ad featuring women voting not according to their husband's wishes. Angry because it resonates. Resonates because it's true.

As you stated, Republicans have EFFED around and found out w/the ROE thing. Trump's on camera bragging about it. Even if he didn't, he'd still be responsible as he's the one who brought in those rabid MAGA SCOTUS judges who's sole bidding was to get rid of it. All of them lied about it when asked as well.

As I've stated before, ROEVEMBER IS COMING!

And it's here now, so prepare yourself for Tuesday.