Mcconnell Falls Behind In Kentucky

[rightwinger]

Bluegrass Poll Grimes leads McConnell in Ky. Senate race

GOP Senate is not so sure

 

[NLT]

The odds of Republicans winning the Senate are growing - The Washington Post

 

[Katzndogz]

Grimes is done.

Grimes Staff Caught on Hidden Camera She 8217 s Lying About Support for Coal Industry Washington Free Beacon
She never had much of a chance to begin with.

 

[Disir]

McConnell is really worthless. Thirty years too long.

 

[rightwinger]

Grimes is done.

Grimes Staff Caught on Hidden Camera She 8217 s Lying About Support for Coal Industry Washington Free Beacon
She never had much of a chance to begin with.

Are you serious?

An O'Keefe video?

 

[CrusaderFrank]

Grimes is done.

Grimes Staff Caught on Hidden Camera She 8217 s Lying About Support for Coal Industry Washington Free Beacon
She never had much of a chance to begin with.

...A Democrat...lie???

"If you like your plan, you can keep it. Period"

 

[Disir]

Grimes is done.

Grimes Staff Caught on Hidden Camera She 8217 s Lying About Support for Coal Industry Washington Free Beacon
She never had much of a chance to begin with.

Are you serious?

An O'Keefe video?

They are going to support O'Keefe until he gets nailed for another million. At some point he will become a liability rather than a short term propaganda tool.

 

[rightwinger]

Grimes is done.

Grimes Staff Caught on Hidden Camera She 8217 s Lying About Support for Coal Industry Washington Free Beacon
She never had much of a chance to begin with.

Are you serious?

An O'Keefe video?

They are going to support O'Keefe until he gets nailed for another million. At some point he will become a liability rather than a short term propaganda tool.

Can't believe they keep posting these pimp videos

 

[Statistikhengst]

Both KY and GA are competitive right now. In GA, Perdue's aggregate is +2.2, well within the MoE. In KY, polling froze for a while, so this new poll is indeed interesting.

I will research the history of the Bluegrass polling firm and then come back to this thread.

 

[Statistikhengst]

Grimes is done.

Grimes Staff Caught on Hidden Camera She 8217 s Lying About Support for Coal Industry Washington Free Beacon
She never had much of a chance to begin with.

Are you serious?

An O'Keefe video?

They are going to support O'Keefe until he gets nailed for another million. At some point he will become a liability rather than a short term propaganda tool.

Can't believe they keep posting these pimp videos

Especially since it is illegal to film private citizens without their consent.

 

[rightwinger]

Both KY and GA are competitive right now. In GA, Perdue's aggregate is +2.2, well within the MoE. In KY, polling froze for a while, so this new poll is indeed interesting.

I will research the history of the Bluegrass polling firm and then come back to this thread.

For a while it looked like McConnell was pulling away

The latest poll is a wakeup call

 

[Luddly Neddite]

McConnell is really worthless. Thirty years too long.

He is so corrupt, so vile - 30 minutes was WAY too long.

 

[Kosh]

McConnell is really worthless. Thirty years too long.

He is so corrupt, so vile - 30 minutes was WAY too long.

Your speaking of Obama right?

 

[NLT]

McConnell is really worthless. Thirty years too long.

He is so corrupt, so vile - 30 minutes was WAY too long.

True Harry Reid is vile

 

[mascale]

Holy ShutDown! Bring On the Plague! How can McConnell be down in a Louisville, Courier-Journal poll? Senator Harry Reid is also apparently hated, in the polls, but usually that is around election day(?)! Senator McConnell seems to be generally hated,. in the polls, most of the time.

Now, after GOP trying to shut down the entire federal government, McConnell can take credit for helping bring The Plague to America, having shut down Center For Disease Control! There is likely a serious talking point, on-going, in the newer brand message.

In California, we don't get the big national, political ads. This morning LA Times claims that California can survive a drought, seven decades long. Santa Barbara is mad at the rich Indians, Santa Ynez, in the area. Anyone should note that Santa Barbara, however, is not entirely famous for having a ghetto, of any impoverished at all--including minorities. City Government may be excepted. McConnell would even be hated, there, however. Oil and Coal are not favorite area topics, in Santa Barabara. Water, most recently, seems to resonate, favorably, however(?). . . .

"Crow, James Crow: Shaken, Not Stirred."
(Hey! How Are Ya! Are Ya! Are Ya!. . . .Boy, that makes 'em mad!)

 

[The Rabbi]

Almost every poll shows McConnel with a good lead. Wishful thinking for the Dums.
RealClearPolitics - Election 2014 - Kentucky Senate - McConnell vs. Grimes

 

[NYcarbineer]

Grimes is done.

Grimes Staff Caught on Hidden Camera She 8217 s Lying About Support for Coal Industry Washington Free Beacon
She never had much of a chance to begin with.

...A Democrat...lie???

"If you like your plan, you can keep it. Period"

Did you lose your plan, Frank?

 

[guno]

Bluegrass Poll Grimes leads McConnell in Ky. Senate race

GOP Senate is not so sure

we are seeing the deconstruction of the old white goat party

 

[rightwinger]

Almost every poll shows McConnel with a good lead. Wishful thinking for the Dums.
RealClearPolitics - Election 2014 - Kentucky Senate - McConnell vs. Grimes

Real Clear is a great site

But they tend to falter in averaging month old polls with recently conducted polls

 

[Statistikhengst]

Ok, some information for comparison:


2008 Kentucky Senatorial: McConnell (R-inc) vs. Lunsford (D)
Final Bluegrass poll: McConnell 47 / Lunsford 42 / margin: McConnell +5

Bluegrass Poll McConnell leads Lunsford by 5 Bluegrass Politics

Actual result, 2008 Senatorial:
McConnell 52.97% / Lunsford 47.03% / Margin: McConnell +5.93% (it looks like it should be +5.94, but when you divide the actual raw vote margin by the total, it rounds DOWN to 5.93)

http://uselectionatlas.org/RESULTS/...&fips=21&f=1&off=3&elect=0&class=3&type=state

So, the Bluegrass poll was off to the LEFT by 1 point, but picked the correct winner.


2008 Presidential election in Kentucky: McCain (R) vs. Obama (D)

Final Bluegrass poll:
McCain 51 / Obama 42 / margin: McCain +9

Actual results:
McCain 57.37% / Obama 41.15% / margin: McCain +16.22%

http://uselectionatlas.org/RESULTS/compare.php?year=2008&fips=21&f=1&off=0&elect=0&type=state

So, the bluegrass poll was off to the LEFT by 7 points, but picked the correct winner.

2010 Kentucky Senatorial election: Paul (R) vs. Conway (D)
Final Bluegrass poll
Paul 52 / Conway 43 / margin: Paul +9

Local News The Courier-Journal courier-journal.com

Actual result:

Paul 55.69% / Conway 44.22% / margin: Paul +11.47%

http://uselectionatlas.org/RESULTS/...&fips=21&f=1&off=3&elect=0&class=3&type=state

So, the Bluegrass poll was off 2.5 points to the LEFT, but picked the correct winner.


2012 Presidential election in Kentucky: Romney (R) vs. Obama (D-inc)
Final Bluegrass poll:
Romney 54 / Obama 41 / margin: Romney +13

http://www.whas11.com/community/blo...l-shows-Romney-landslide-in-Ky-176897031.html

Actual result:

Romney 60.47% / Obama 37.78% / margin: Romney +22.69%

http://uselectionatlas.org/RESULTS/compare.php?year=2008&fips=21&f=1&off=0&elect=0&type=state

So, the Bluegrass poll was off by 10.7 points to the LEFT (which is completely inexcusable, we expect better than this from pollsters), but called the correct winner.

In all four major marquee elections from 2008, 2010 and 2012, the Bluegrass Poll shows a verifiable mathematical bias to the LEFT, consistently.

With the current 2014 Senatorial poll showing Grimes (D) at only 46 and only +2 over McConnell, when you factor in a mathematically proven Liberal bias by this pollster, this poll could mean as much as McConnell +5 to +7.

I am sorry, but the Bluegrass poll does not pass the test of accuracy when it comes to predicting margins, but it has indeed picked the correct winner at least in the last 6 years. Should the next Bluegrass polls show Grimes' margin growing, I could maybe believe it, but for now, this poll is likely the outlier.

rightwinger