List Of Incumbents Not Running For Re-Election

[Dont Taz Me Bro]

Our American Politboro has a 98 percent re-election rate in the House and a 90+ percent re-election rate in the Senate. About the only way to get rid of a Politboro member is for them to decide to quit on their own.

Here is a list of incumbents whose seats will be up for grabs this November.

The number next to each member is the percentage of votes they received in their last election, indicating how vulnerable their seat is to being captured by the opposite party this fall.


The Senate Republicans:
1) Bob Corker (TN): 64.9%
2) Jeff Flake (AZ): 49.2%
3) Orrin Hatch (UT): 65.2%

The Senate Democrats:
1) Al Franken (MN): 53.2% (resigned, sexual harrassment)

The House Republicans:
1) Bill Shuster (PA-9): 63.3%
2) Charles Dent (PA-15): 58.39%
3) Lou Barletta (PA-11): 63.67% (leaving House to run for Senate)
4) Tim Murphy (PA-18): 100% (resigned, pro-lifer impregnated mistress, demanded abortion)
5) Blake Farenthold (TX-27): 61.7% (sexual harrasment, bribery)
6) Jeb Heslering (TX-5): 80.61% (uncontested by Democrats)
7) Joe Barton (TX-6): 58.34%
8) Lamar Smith (TX-21): 57.01%
9) Sam Johnson (TX-3): 61.2%
10) Ted Poe (TX-2): 60.63%
11) Bob Goodlatte (VA-6): 66.63% (spearheading immigration reform, no longer worried about re-election)
12) Evan Jenkins (WV-3): 67.88% (leaving House to run for Senate)
13) Dave Reichart (WA-8): 60.2%
14) David Trott (MI-11): 52.93%
15) Edward Royce (CA-39): 57.6%
16) Frank LoBiondo (NJ-2): 59.21%
17) Gregg Harper (MS-3): 66.2%
18) Ileana Ros-Lehtinen (FL-27): 54.89%
19) Ron DeSantis (FL-6): 58.57% (leaving House to run for Governor)
20) John Duncan (TN-2): 75.64%
21) Marsha Blackburn (TN-7): 72.27% (leaving House to run for Senate)
22) Diane Black (TN-6): 71.09% (leaving House to run for Governor)
23) Lynn Jenkins (KS-2): 60.94%
24) Luke Messer (IN-6): 69.14% (leaving House to run for Senate)
25) Todd Rokita (IN-4): 69.26% (leaving House to run for Senate)
26) Jame Renacci (OH-16): 65.33 (leaving House to run for Governor)
27) Kristia Noem (SD-At Large): 64.10% (leaving House to run for Governor)
28) Raul Labrador (ID-1): 68.17% (leaving House to run for Governor)
29) Steve Pearce (NM-2): 62.72% (leaving House to run for Governor)
30) Jason Chaffetz (UT-3): 73.5% (resigned, "health reasons")
31) Patrick Tiberi (OH-12): 66.55% (abrubtly resigned, sick of GOP's bullshit)
32) Trent Franks (AZ-8): 68.57% (resigned, sexual harrassment)


The House Democrats:
1) Gene Green (TX-29): 72.47
2) Beto O'Rourke (TX-16): 85.73% (leaving House to run for Senate)
3) Carol Shea-Porter (NH-1): 44.34%
4) Sandy Levin (MI-9): 57.91%
5) John Conyers (MI-13): 77.10% (resigned, sexual harrassment)
6) John Delaney (MD-6): 56.0%
7) Luis V. Gutierrez (IL-4): 100% (ran uncontested)
8) Niki Tsongas (MA-3): 68.69%
9) Ruben Kihuen (NV-4): 48.52%
10) Jacky Rosen (NV-3): 47.23% (leaving House to run for Senate)
11) Kyrsten Sinema (AZ-9): 60.94% (leaving House to run for Senate)
12) Colleen Hanabusa (HI-11): 68.09% (leaving House to run for Governor
13) Jared Polis (CO-2): 56.89% (leaving House to run for Governor)
14) Michelle Lujan Grisham (NM-1): 65.15% (leaving House to run for Governor)
15) Tim Walz (MN-1): 50.34% (leaving House to run for Governor)

Issa isn't running either

 

[Toddsterpatriot]

Our American Politboro has a 98 percent re-election rate in the House and a 90+ percent re-election rate in the Senate. About the only way to get rid of a Politboro member is for them to decide to quit on their own.

Here is a list of incumbents whose seats will be up for grabs this November.

The number next to each member is the percentage of votes they received in their last election, indicating how vulnerable their seat is to being captured by the opposite party this fall.


The Senate Republicans:
1) Bob Corker (TN): 64.9%
2) Jeff Flake (AZ): 49.2%
3) Orrin Hatch (UT): 65.2%

The Senate Democrats:
1) Al Franken (MN): 53.2% (resigned, sexual harrassment)

The House Republicans:
1) Bill Shuster (PA-9): 63.3%
2) Charles Dent (PA-15): 58.39%
3) Lou Barletta (PA-11): 63.67% (leaving House to run for Senate)
4) Tim Murphy (PA-18): 100% (resigned, pro-lifer impregnated mistress, demanded abortion)
5) Blake Farenthold (TX-27): 61.7% (sexual harrasment, bribery)
6) Jeb Heslering (TX-5): 80.61% (uncontested by Democrats)
7) Joe Barton (TX-6): 58.34%
8) Lamar Smith (TX-21): 57.01%
9) Sam Johnson (TX-3): 61.2%
10) Ted Poe (TX-2): 60.63%
11) Bob Goodlatte (VA-6): 66.63% (spearheading immigration reform, no longer worried about re-election)
12) Evan Jenkins (WV-3): 67.88% (leaving House to run for Senate)
13) Dave Reichart (WA-8): 60.2%
14) David Trott (MI-11): 52.93%
15) Edward Royce (CA-39): 57.6%
16) Frank LoBiondo (NJ-2): 59.21%
17) Gregg Harper (MS-3): 66.2%
18) Ileana Ros-Lehtinen (FL-27): 54.89%
19) Ron DeSantis (FL-6): 58.57% (leaving House to run for Governor)
20) John Duncan (TN-2): 75.64%
21) Marsha Blackburn (TN-7): 72.27% (leaving House to run for Senate)
22) Diane Black (TN-6): 71.09% (leaving House to run for Governor)
23) Lynn Jenkins (KS-2): 60.94%
24) Luke Messer (IN-6): 69.14% (leaving House to run for Senate)
25) Todd Rokita (IN-4): 69.26% (leaving House to run for Senate)
26) Jame Renacci (OH-16): 65.33 (leaving House to run for Governor)
27) Kristia Noem (SD-At Large): 64.10% (leaving House to run for Governor)
28) Raul Labrador (ID-1): 68.17% (leaving House to run for Governor)
29) Steve Pearce (NM-2): 62.72% (leaving House to run for Governor)
30) Jason Chaffetz (UT-3): 73.5% (resigned, "health reasons")
31) Patrick Tiberi (OH-12): 66.55% (abrubtly resigned, sick of GOP's bullshit)
32) Trent Franks (AZ-8): 68.57% (resigned, sexual harrassment)


The House Democrats:
1) Gene Green (TX-29): 72.47
2) Beto O'Rourke (TX-16): 85.73% (leaving House to run for Senate)
3) Carol Shea-Porter (NH-1): 44.34%
4) Sandy Levin (MI-9): 57.91%
5) John Conyers (MI-13): 77.10% (resigned, sexual harrassment)
6) John Delaney (MD-6): 56.0%
7) Luis V. Gutierrez (IL-4): 100% (ran uncontested)
8) Niki Tsongas (MA-3): 68.69%
9) Ruben Kihuen (NV-4): 48.52%
10) Jacky Rosen (NV-3): 47.23% (leaving House to run for Senate)
11) Kyrsten Sinema (AZ-9): 60.94% (leaving House to run for Senate)
12) Colleen Hanabusa (HI-11): 68.09% (leaving House to run for Governor
13) Jared Polis (CO-2): 56.89% (leaving House to run for Governor)
14) Michelle Lujan Grisham (NM-1): 65.15% (leaving House to run for Governor)
15) Tim Walz (MN-1): 50.34% (leaving House to run for Governor)

indicating how vulnerable their seat is to being captured by the opposite party this fall.

Do you have these percentages reversed?
Did you mean how likely they will be retained by the same party?

 

[g5000]

Regarding the Senate majority, good ol' Pence must be grounded to break voting ties....LOL

The GOP will be closer to 60 than 50 after the next election.


Sent from my iPhone using USMessageBoard.com

Okayyyyyy...

 

[g5000]

Our American Politboro has a 98 percent re-election rate in the House and a 90+ percent re-election rate in the Senate. About the only way to get rid of a Politboro member is for them to decide to quit on their own.

Here is a list of incumbents whose seats will be up for grabs this November.

The number next to each member is the percentage of votes they received in their last election, indicating how vulnerable their seat is to being captured by the opposite party this fall.


The Senate Republicans:
1) Bob Corker (TN): 64.9%
2) Jeff Flake (AZ): 49.2%
3) Orrin Hatch (UT): 65.2%

The Senate Democrats:
1) Al Franken (MN): 53.2% (resigned, sexual harrassment)

The House Republicans:
1) Bill Shuster (PA-9): 63.3%
2) Charles Dent (PA-15): 58.39%
3) Lou Barletta (PA-11): 63.67% (leaving House to run for Senate)
4) Tim Murphy (PA-18): 100% (resigned, pro-lifer impregnated mistress, demanded abortion)
5) Blake Farenthold (TX-27): 61.7% (sexual harrasment, bribery)
6) Jeb Heslering (TX-5): 80.61% (uncontested by Democrats)
7) Joe Barton (TX-6): 58.34%
8) Lamar Smith (TX-21): 57.01%
9) Sam Johnson (TX-3): 61.2%
10) Ted Poe (TX-2): 60.63%
11) Bob Goodlatte (VA-6): 66.63% (spearheading immigration reform, no longer worried about re-election)
12) Evan Jenkins (WV-3): 67.88% (leaving House to run for Senate)
13) Dave Reichart (WA-8): 60.2%
14) David Trott (MI-11): 52.93%
15) Edward Royce (CA-39): 57.6%
16) Frank LoBiondo (NJ-2): 59.21%
17) Gregg Harper (MS-3): 66.2%
18) Ileana Ros-Lehtinen (FL-27): 54.89%
19) Ron DeSantis (FL-6): 58.57% (leaving House to run for Governor)
20) John Duncan (TN-2): 75.64%
21) Marsha Blackburn (TN-7): 72.27% (leaving House to run for Senate)
22) Diane Black (TN-6): 71.09% (leaving House to run for Governor)
23) Lynn Jenkins (KS-2): 60.94%
24) Luke Messer (IN-6): 69.14% (leaving House to run for Senate)
25) Todd Rokita (IN-4): 69.26% (leaving House to run for Senate)
26) Jame Renacci (OH-16): 65.33 (leaving House to run for Governor)
27) Kristia Noem (SD-At Large): 64.10% (leaving House to run for Governor)
28) Raul Labrador (ID-1): 68.17% (leaving House to run for Governor)
29) Steve Pearce (NM-2): 62.72% (leaving House to run for Governor)
30) Jason Chaffetz (UT-3): 73.5% (resigned, "health reasons")
31) Patrick Tiberi (OH-12): 66.55% (abrubtly resigned, sick of GOP's bullshit)
32) Trent Franks (AZ-8): 68.57% (resigned, sexual harrassment)


The House Democrats:
1) Gene Green (TX-29): 72.47
2) Beto O'Rourke (TX-16): 85.73% (leaving House to run for Senate)
3) Carol Shea-Porter (NH-1): 44.34%
4) Sandy Levin (MI-9): 57.91%
5) John Conyers (MI-13): 77.10% (resigned, sexual harrassment)
6) John Delaney (MD-6): 56.0%
7) Luis V. Gutierrez (IL-4): 100% (ran uncontested)
8) Niki Tsongas (MA-3): 68.69%
9) Ruben Kihuen (NV-4): 48.52%
10) Jacky Rosen (NV-3): 47.23% (leaving House to run for Senate)
11) Kyrsten Sinema (AZ-9): 60.94% (leaving House to run for Senate)
12) Colleen Hanabusa (HI-11): 68.09% (leaving House to run for Governor
13) Jared Polis (CO-2): 56.89% (leaving House to run for Governor)
14) Michelle Lujan Grisham (NM-1): 65.15% (leaving House to run for Governor)
15) Tim Walz (MN-1): 50.34% (leaving House to run for Governor)

Issa isn't running either

Ah. That's correct. My list is from before he announced he was not running.

 

[g5000]

33) Darrell Issa (CA-49): 50.3%

 

[g5000]

Our American Politboro has a 98 percent re-election rate in the House and a 90+ percent re-election rate in the Senate. About the only way to get rid of a Politboro member is for them to decide to quit on their own.

Here is a list of incumbents whose seats will be up for grabs this November.

The number next to each member is the percentage of votes they received in their last election, indicating how vulnerable their seat is to being captured by the opposite party this fall.


The Senate Republicans:
1) Bob Corker (TN): 64.9%
2) Jeff Flake (AZ): 49.2%
3) Orrin Hatch (UT): 65.2%

The Senate Democrats:
1) Al Franken (MN): 53.2% (resigned, sexual harrassment)

The House Republicans:
1) Bill Shuster (PA-9): 63.3%
2) Charles Dent (PA-15): 58.39%
3) Lou Barletta (PA-11): 63.67% (leaving House to run for Senate)
4) Tim Murphy (PA-18): 100% (resigned, pro-lifer impregnated mistress, demanded abortion)
5) Blake Farenthold (TX-27): 61.7% (sexual harrasment, bribery)
6) Jeb Heslering (TX-5): 80.61% (uncontested by Democrats)
7) Joe Barton (TX-6): 58.34%
8) Lamar Smith (TX-21): 57.01%
9) Sam Johnson (TX-3): 61.2%
10) Ted Poe (TX-2): 60.63%
11) Bob Goodlatte (VA-6): 66.63% (spearheading immigration reform, no longer worried about re-election)
12) Evan Jenkins (WV-3): 67.88% (leaving House to run for Senate)
13) Dave Reichart (WA-8): 60.2%
14) David Trott (MI-11): 52.93%
15) Edward Royce (CA-39): 57.6%
16) Frank LoBiondo (NJ-2): 59.21%
17) Gregg Harper (MS-3): 66.2%
18) Ileana Ros-Lehtinen (FL-27): 54.89%
19) Ron DeSantis (FL-6): 58.57% (leaving House to run for Governor)
20) John Duncan (TN-2): 75.64%
21) Marsha Blackburn (TN-7): 72.27% (leaving House to run for Senate)
22) Diane Black (TN-6): 71.09% (leaving House to run for Governor)
23) Lynn Jenkins (KS-2): 60.94%
24) Luke Messer (IN-6): 69.14% (leaving House to run for Senate)
25) Todd Rokita (IN-4): 69.26% (leaving House to run for Senate)
26) Jame Renacci (OH-16): 65.33 (leaving House to run for Governor)
27) Kristia Noem (SD-At Large): 64.10% (leaving House to run for Governor)
28) Raul Labrador (ID-1): 68.17% (leaving House to run for Governor)
29) Steve Pearce (NM-2): 62.72% (leaving House to run for Governor)
30) Jason Chaffetz (UT-3): 73.5% (resigned, "health reasons")
31) Patrick Tiberi (OH-12): 66.55% (abrubtly resigned, sick of GOP's bullshit)
32) Trent Franks (AZ-8): 68.57% (resigned, sexual harrassment)


The House Democrats:
1) Gene Green (TX-29): 72.47
2) Beto O'Rourke (TX-16): 85.73% (leaving House to run for Senate)
3) Carol Shea-Porter (NH-1): 44.34%
4) Sandy Levin (MI-9): 57.91%
5) John Conyers (MI-13): 77.10% (resigned, sexual harrassment)
6) John Delaney (MD-6): 56.0%
7) Luis V. Gutierrez (IL-4): 100% (ran uncontested)
8) Niki Tsongas (MA-3): 68.69%
9) Ruben Kihuen (NV-4): 48.52%
10) Jacky Rosen (NV-3): 47.23% (leaving House to run for Senate)
11) Kyrsten Sinema (AZ-9): 60.94% (leaving House to run for Senate)
12) Colleen Hanabusa (HI-11): 68.09% (leaving House to run for Governor
13) Jared Polis (CO-2): 56.89% (leaving House to run for Governor)
14) Michelle Lujan Grisham (NM-1): 65.15% (leaving House to run for Governor)
15) Tim Walz (MN-1): 50.34% (leaving House to run for Governor)

indicating how vulnerable their seat is to being captured by the opposite party this fall.

Do you have these percentages reversed?
Did you mean how likely they will be retained by the same party?

The higher the number, the less vulnerable their district is.

I expect the opposition parties will pour a lot of money into the districts with incumbents who were last elected with numbers in the 40s and 50s.

 

[Toddsterpatriot]

Our American Politboro has a 98 percent re-election rate in the House and a 90+ percent re-election rate in the Senate. About the only way to get rid of a Politboro member is for them to decide to quit on their own.

Here is a list of incumbents whose seats will be up for grabs this November.

The number next to each member is the percentage of votes they received in their last election, indicating how vulnerable their seat is to being captured by the opposite party this fall.


The Senate Republicans:
1) Bob Corker (TN): 64.9%
2) Jeff Flake (AZ): 49.2%
3) Orrin Hatch (UT): 65.2%

The Senate Democrats:
1) Al Franken (MN): 53.2% (resigned, sexual harrassment)

The House Republicans:
1) Bill Shuster (PA-9): 63.3%
2) Charles Dent (PA-15): 58.39%
3) Lou Barletta (PA-11): 63.67% (leaving House to run for Senate)
4) Tim Murphy (PA-18): 100% (resigned, pro-lifer impregnated mistress, demanded abortion)
5) Blake Farenthold (TX-27): 61.7% (sexual harrasment, bribery)
6) Jeb Heslering (TX-5): 80.61% (uncontested by Democrats)
7) Joe Barton (TX-6): 58.34%
8) Lamar Smith (TX-21): 57.01%
9) Sam Johnson (TX-3): 61.2%
10) Ted Poe (TX-2): 60.63%
11) Bob Goodlatte (VA-6): 66.63% (spearheading immigration reform, no longer worried about re-election)
12) Evan Jenkins (WV-3): 67.88% (leaving House to run for Senate)
13) Dave Reichart (WA-8): 60.2%
14) David Trott (MI-11): 52.93%
15) Edward Royce (CA-39): 57.6%
16) Frank LoBiondo (NJ-2): 59.21%
17) Gregg Harper (MS-3): 66.2%
18) Ileana Ros-Lehtinen (FL-27): 54.89%
19) Ron DeSantis (FL-6): 58.57% (leaving House to run for Governor)
20) John Duncan (TN-2): 75.64%
21) Marsha Blackburn (TN-7): 72.27% (leaving House to run for Senate)
22) Diane Black (TN-6): 71.09% (leaving House to run for Governor)
23) Lynn Jenkins (KS-2): 60.94%
24) Luke Messer (IN-6): 69.14% (leaving House to run for Senate)
25) Todd Rokita (IN-4): 69.26% (leaving House to run for Senate)
26) Jame Renacci (OH-16): 65.33 (leaving House to run for Governor)
27) Kristia Noem (SD-At Large): 64.10% (leaving House to run for Governor)
28) Raul Labrador (ID-1): 68.17% (leaving House to run for Governor)
29) Steve Pearce (NM-2): 62.72% (leaving House to run for Governor)
30) Jason Chaffetz (UT-3): 73.5% (resigned, "health reasons")
31) Patrick Tiberi (OH-12): 66.55% (abrubtly resigned, sick of GOP's bullshit)
32) Trent Franks (AZ-8): 68.57% (resigned, sexual harrassment)


The House Democrats:
1) Gene Green (TX-29): 72.47
2) Beto O'Rourke (TX-16): 85.73% (leaving House to run for Senate)
3) Carol Shea-Porter (NH-1): 44.34%
4) Sandy Levin (MI-9): 57.91%
5) John Conyers (MI-13): 77.10% (resigned, sexual harrassment)
6) John Delaney (MD-6): 56.0%
7) Luis V. Gutierrez (IL-4): 100% (ran uncontested)
8) Niki Tsongas (MA-3): 68.69%
9) Ruben Kihuen (NV-4): 48.52%
10) Jacky Rosen (NV-3): 47.23% (leaving House to run for Senate)
11) Kyrsten Sinema (AZ-9): 60.94% (leaving House to run for Senate)
12) Colleen Hanabusa (HI-11): 68.09% (leaving House to run for Governor
13) Jared Polis (CO-2): 56.89% (leaving House to run for Governor)
14) Michelle Lujan Grisham (NM-1): 65.15% (leaving House to run for Governor)
15) Tim Walz (MN-1): 50.34% (leaving House to run for Governor)

indicating how vulnerable their seat is to being captured by the opposite party this fall.

Do you have these percentages reversed?
Did you mean how likely they will be retained by the same party?

The higher the number, the less vulnerable their district is.

I expect the opposition parties will pour a lot of money into the districts with incumbents who were last elected with numbers in the 40s and 50s.

The higher the number, the less vulnerable their district is.

The number next to each member is the percentage of votes they received in their last election, indicating how vulnerable their seat is to being captured by the opposite party this fall.

If they received 100% of the vote (corrupt Luis, for instance), his seat is not vulnerable to capture.
Sounded like you were claiming 100% vulnerable.....maybe you should have said it indicates how safe from capture?

 

[g5000]

No one needs establsihment whores. Bye now!

You pseudocons are positively schizophrenic.

One moment, you are crowing about massive GOP gains and wins. The next moment, you are calling them all RINOs and "establishment whores".

What did you think Trump meant by draining the swamp? Sure, almost all Democrats are swamp creatures, but so are a lot of GOPers.

As I said, you are positively shizophrenic:

Should be great! Dems have 23 senate seats at stake to the Republicans 8. and on an off year too when most Dems don't venture out of their safe spaces or drug-induced comas.

I hope you get some treatment.

 

[g5000]

Our American Politboro has a 98 percent re-election rate in the House and a 90+ percent re-election rate in the Senate. About the only way to get rid of a Politboro member is for them to decide to quit on their own.

Here is a list of incumbents whose seats will be up for grabs this November.

The number next to each member is the percentage of votes they received in their last election, indicating how vulnerable their seat is to being captured by the opposite party this fall.


The Senate Republicans:
1) Bob Corker (TN): 64.9%
2) Jeff Flake (AZ): 49.2%
3) Orrin Hatch (UT): 65.2%

The Senate Democrats:
1) Al Franken (MN): 53.2% (resigned, sexual harrassment)

The House Republicans:
1) Bill Shuster (PA-9): 63.3%
2) Charles Dent (PA-15): 58.39%
3) Lou Barletta (PA-11): 63.67% (leaving House to run for Senate)
4) Tim Murphy (PA-18): 100% (resigned, pro-lifer impregnated mistress, demanded abortion)
5) Blake Farenthold (TX-27): 61.7% (sexual harrasment, bribery)
6) Jeb Heslering (TX-5): 80.61% (uncontested by Democrats)
7) Joe Barton (TX-6): 58.34%
8) Lamar Smith (TX-21): 57.01%
9) Sam Johnson (TX-3): 61.2%
10) Ted Poe (TX-2): 60.63%
11) Bob Goodlatte (VA-6): 66.63% (spearheading immigration reform, no longer worried about re-election)
12) Evan Jenkins (WV-3): 67.88% (leaving House to run for Senate)
13) Dave Reichart (WA-8): 60.2%
14) David Trott (MI-11): 52.93%
15) Edward Royce (CA-39): 57.6%
16) Frank LoBiondo (NJ-2): 59.21%
17) Gregg Harper (MS-3): 66.2%
18) Ileana Ros-Lehtinen (FL-27): 54.89%
19) Ron DeSantis (FL-6): 58.57% (leaving House to run for Governor)
20) John Duncan (TN-2): 75.64%
21) Marsha Blackburn (TN-7): 72.27% (leaving House to run for Senate)
22) Diane Black (TN-6): 71.09% (leaving House to run for Governor)
23) Lynn Jenkins (KS-2): 60.94%
24) Luke Messer (IN-6): 69.14% (leaving House to run for Senate)
25) Todd Rokita (IN-4): 69.26% (leaving House to run for Senate)
26) Jame Renacci (OH-16): 65.33 (leaving House to run for Governor)
27) Kristia Noem (SD-At Large): 64.10% (leaving House to run for Governor)
28) Raul Labrador (ID-1): 68.17% (leaving House to run for Governor)
29) Steve Pearce (NM-2): 62.72% (leaving House to run for Governor)
30) Jason Chaffetz (UT-3): 73.5% (resigned, "health reasons")
31) Patrick Tiberi (OH-12): 66.55% (abrubtly resigned, sick of GOP's bullshit)
32) Trent Franks (AZ-8): 68.57% (resigned, sexual harrassment)


The House Democrats:
1) Gene Green (TX-29): 72.47
2) Beto O'Rourke (TX-16): 85.73% (leaving House to run for Senate)
3) Carol Shea-Porter (NH-1): 44.34%
4) Sandy Levin (MI-9): 57.91%
5) John Conyers (MI-13): 77.10% (resigned, sexual harrassment)
6) John Delaney (MD-6): 56.0%
7) Luis V. Gutierrez (IL-4): 100% (ran uncontested)
8) Niki Tsongas (MA-3): 68.69%
9) Ruben Kihuen (NV-4): 48.52%
10) Jacky Rosen (NV-3): 47.23% (leaving House to run for Senate)
11) Kyrsten Sinema (AZ-9): 60.94% (leaving House to run for Senate)
12) Colleen Hanabusa (HI-11): 68.09% (leaving House to run for Governor
13) Jared Polis (CO-2): 56.89% (leaving House to run for Governor)
14) Michelle Lujan Grisham (NM-1): 65.15% (leaving House to run for Governor)
15) Tim Walz (MN-1): 50.34% (leaving House to run for Governor)

indicating how vulnerable their seat is to being captured by the opposite party this fall.

Do you have these percentages reversed?
Did you mean how likely they will be retained by the same party?

The higher the number, the less vulnerable their district is.

I expect the opposition parties will pour a lot of money into the districts with incumbents who were last elected with numbers in the 40s and 50s.

The higher the number, the less vulnerable their district is.

The number next to each member is the percentage of votes they received in their last election, indicating how vulnerable their seat is to being captured by the opposite party this fall.

If they received 100% of the vote (corrupt Luis, for instance), his seat is not vulnerable to capture.
Sounded like you were claiming 100% vulnerable.....maybe you should have said it indicates how safe from capture?

No, I plainly said the number represented the percentage of the vote they received. The number indicates how vulnerable their seat is. Obviously, if they received 100 percent, the seat is not vulnerable.

I guess it was not so obvious to a tard.

 

[whitehall]

Senate republicans? Flake and Corker might as well have been democrats. Good riddance and drain the swamp. Don't forget that Sen Hatch would have been in his 90's if he ran for another term and he was beginning to show his age.

 

[Toddsterpatriot]

Our American Politboro has a 98 percent re-election rate in the House and a 90+ percent re-election rate in the Senate. About the only way to get rid of a Politboro member is for them to decide to quit on their own.

Here is a list of incumbents whose seats will be up for grabs this November.

The number next to each member is the percentage of votes they received in their last election, indicating how

1) Bob Corker (TN): 64.9%
2) Jeff Flake (AZ): 49.2%
3) Orrin Hatch (UT): 65.2%

The Senate Democrats:
1) Al Franken (MN): 53.2% (resigned, sexual harrassment)

The House Republicans:
1) Bill Shuster (PA-9): 63.3%
2) Charles Dent (PA-15): 58.39%
3) Lou Barletta (PA-11): 63.67% (leaving House to run for Senate)
4) Tim Murphy (PA-18): 100% (resigned, pro-lifer impregnated mistress, demanded abortion)
5) Blake Farenthold (TX-27): 61.7% (sexual harrasment, bribery)
6) Jeb Heslering (TX-5): 80.61% (uncontested by Democrats)
7) Joe Barton (TX-6): 58.34%
8) Lamar Smith (TX-21): 57.01%
9) Sam Johnson (TX-3): 61.2%
10) Ted Poe (TX-2): 60.63%
11) Bob Goodlatte (VA-6): 66.63% (spearheading immigration reform, no longer worried about re-election)
12) Evan Jenkins (WV-3): 67.88% (leaving House to run for Senate)
13) Dave Reichart (WA-8): 60.2%
14) David Trott (MI-11): 52.93%
15) Edward Royce (CA-39): 57.6%
16) Frank LoBiondo (NJ-2): 59.21%
17) Gregg Harper (MS-3): 66.2%
18) Ileana Ros-Lehtinen (FL-27): 54.89%
19) Ron DeSantis (FL-6): 58.57% (leaving House to run for Governor)
20) John Duncan (TN-2): 75.64%
21) Marsha Blackburn (TN-7): 72.27% (leaving House to run for Senate)
22) Diane Black (TN-6): 71.09% (leaving House to run for Governor)
23) Lynn Jenkins (KS-2): 60.94%
24) Luke Messer (IN-6): 69.14% (leaving House to run for Senate)
25) Todd Rokita (IN-4): 69.26% (leaving House to run for Senate)
26) Jame Renacci (OH-16): 65.33 (leaving House to run for Governor)
27) Kristia Noem (SD-At Large): 64.10% (leaving House to run for Governor)
28) Raul Labrador (ID-1): 68.17% (leaving House to run for Governor)
29) Steve Pearce (NM-2): 62.72% (leaving House to run for Governor)
30) Jason Chaffetz (UT-3): 73.5% (resigned, "health reasons")
31) Patrick Tiberi (OH-12): 66.55% (abrubtly resigned, sick of GOP's bullshit)
32) Trent Franks (AZ-8): 68.57% (resigned, sexual harrassment)


The House Democrats:
1) Gene Green (TX-29): 72.47
2) Beto O'Rourke (TX-16): 85.73% (leaving House to run for Senate)
3) Carol Shea-Porter (NH-1): 44.34%
4) Sandy Levin (MI-9): 57.91%
5) John Conyers (MI-13): 77.10% (resigned, sexual harrassment)
6) John Delaney (MD-6): 56.0%
7) Luis V. Gutierrez (IL-4): 100% (ran uncontested)
8) Niki Tsongas (MA-3): 68.69%
9) Ruben Kihuen (NV-4): 48.52%
10) Jacky Rosen (NV-3): 47.23% (leaving House to run for Senate)
11) Kyrsten Sinema (AZ-9): 60.94% (leaving House to run for Senate)
12) Colleen Hanabusa (HI-11): 68.09% (leaving House to run for Governor
13) Jared Polis (CO-2): 56.89% (leaving House to run for Governor)
14) Michelle Lujan Grisham (NM-1): 65.15% (leaving House to run for Governor)
15) Tim Walz (MN-1): 50.34% (leaving House to run for Governor)

indicating how vulnerable their seat is to being captured by the opposite party this fall.

Do you have these percentages reversed?
Did you mean how likely they will be retained by the same party?

The higher the number, the less vulnerable their district is.

I expect the opposition parties will pour a lot of money into the districts with incumbents who were last elected with numbers in the 40s and 50s.

The higher the number, the less vulnerable their district is.

The number next to each member is the percentage of votes they received in their last election, indicating how vulnerable their seat is to being captured by the opposite party this fall.

If they received 100% of the vote (corrupt Luis, for instance), his seat is not vulnerable to capture.
Sounded like you were claiming 100% vulnerable.....maybe you should have said it indicates how safe from capture?

No, I plainly said the number represented the percentage of the vote they received. The number indicates how vulnerable their seat is. Obviously, if they received 100 percent, the seat is not vulnerable.

I guess it was not so obvious to a tard.

7) Luis V. Gutierrez (IL-4): 100% (ran uncontested)

indicating how vulnerable their seat is to being captured by the opposite party this fall.

100% means 0% vulnerable. Clear as mud.

 

[whitehall]

How could you forget that Maverick John McCain ain't likely to live out his term much less run again.

 

[LordBrownTrout]

The current balance of power in the House is 239 Republicans, 193 Democrats, 3 vacancies.

A majority vote is 218.

Rs lose 10 in the house and gain 2 in the senate.

 

[g5000]

Our American Politboro has a 98 percent re-election rate in the House and a 90+ percent re-election rate in the Senate. About the only way to get rid of a Politboro member is for them to decide to quit on their own.

Here is a list of incumbents whose seats will be up for grabs this November.

The number next to each member is the percentage of votes they received in their last election, indicating how

1) Bob Corker (TN): 64.9%
2) Jeff Flake (AZ): 49.2%
3) Orrin Hatch (UT): 65.2%

The Senate Democrats:
1) Al Franken (MN): 53.2% (resigned, sexual harrassment)

The House Republicans:
1) Bill Shuster (PA-9): 63.3%
2) Charles Dent (PA-15): 58.39%
3) Lou Barletta (PA-11): 63.67% (leaving House to run for Senate)
4) Tim Murphy (PA-18): 100% (resigned, pro-lifer impregnated mistress, demanded abortion)
5) Blake Farenthold (TX-27): 61.7% (sexual harrasment, bribery)
6) Jeb Heslering (TX-5): 80.61% (uncontested by Democrats)
7) Joe Barton (TX-6): 58.34%
8) Lamar Smith (TX-21): 57.01%
9) Sam Johnson (TX-3): 61.2%
10) Ted Poe (TX-2): 60.63%
11) Bob Goodlatte (VA-6): 66.63% (spearheading immigration reform, no longer worried about re-election)
12) Evan Jenkins (WV-3): 67.88% (leaving House to run for Senate)
13) Dave Reichart (WA-8): 60.2%
14) David Trott (MI-11): 52.93%
15) Edward Royce (CA-39): 57.6%
16) Frank LoBiondo (NJ-2): 59.21%
17) Gregg Harper (MS-3): 66.2%
18) Ileana Ros-Lehtinen (FL-27): 54.89%
19) Ron DeSantis (FL-6): 58.57% (leaving House to run for Governor)
20) John Duncan (TN-2): 75.64%
21) Marsha Blackburn (TN-7): 72.27% (leaving House to run for Senate)
22) Diane Black (TN-6): 71.09% (leaving House to run for Governor)
23) Lynn Jenkins (KS-2): 60.94%
24) Luke Messer (IN-6): 69.14% (leaving House to run for Senate)
25) Todd Rokita (IN-4): 69.26% (leaving House to run for Senate)
26) Jame Renacci (OH-16): 65.33 (leaving House to run for Governor)
27) Kristia Noem (SD-At Large): 64.10% (leaving House to run for Governor)
28) Raul Labrador (ID-1): 68.17% (leaving House to run for Governor)
29) Steve Pearce (NM-2): 62.72% (leaving House to run for Governor)
30) Jason Chaffetz (UT-3): 73.5% (resigned, "health reasons")
31) Patrick Tiberi (OH-12): 66.55% (abrubtly resigned, sick of GOP's bullshit)
32) Trent Franks (AZ-8): 68.57% (resigned, sexual harrassment)


The House Democrats:
1) Gene Green (TX-29): 72.47
2) Beto O'Rourke (TX-16): 85.73% (leaving House to run for Senate)
3) Carol Shea-Porter (NH-1): 44.34%
4) Sandy Levin (MI-9): 57.91%
5) John Conyers (MI-13): 77.10% (resigned, sexual harrassment)
6) John Delaney (MD-6): 56.0%
7) Luis V. Gutierrez (IL-4): 100% (ran uncontested)
8) Niki Tsongas (MA-3): 68.69%
9) Ruben Kihuen (NV-4): 48.52%
10) Jacky Rosen (NV-3): 47.23% (leaving House to run for Senate)
11) Kyrsten Sinema (AZ-9): 60.94% (leaving House to run for Senate)
12) Colleen Hanabusa (HI-11): 68.09% (leaving House to run for Governor
13) Jared Polis (CO-2): 56.89% (leaving House to run for Governor)
14) Michelle Lujan Grisham (NM-1): 65.15% (leaving House to run for Governor)
15) Tim Walz (MN-1): 50.34% (leaving House to run for Governor)

indicating how vulnerable their seat is to being captured by the opposite party this fall.

Do you have these percentages reversed?
Did you mean how likely they will be retained by the same party?

The higher the number, the less vulnerable their district is.

I expect the opposition parties will pour a lot of money into the districts with incumbents who were last elected with numbers in the 40s and 50s.

The higher the number, the less vulnerable their district is.

The number next to each member is the percentage of votes they received in their last election, indicating how vulnerable their seat is to being captured by the opposite party this fall.

If they received 100% of the vote (corrupt Luis, for instance), his seat is not vulnerable to capture.
Sounded like you were claiming 100% vulnerable.....maybe you should have said it indicates how safe from capture?

No, I plainly said the number represented the percentage of the vote they received. The number indicates how vulnerable their seat is. Obviously, if they received 100 percent, the seat is not vulnerable.

I guess it was not so obvious to a tard.

7) Luis V. Gutierrez (IL-4): 100% (ran uncontested)

indicating how vulnerable their seat is to being captured by the opposite party this fall.

100% means 0% vulnerable. Clear as mud.

Now you are catching on, tard! Very good!

 

[g5000]

The current balance of power in the House is 239 Republicans, 193 Democrats, 3 vacancies.

A majority vote is 218.

Rs lose 10 in the house and gain 2 in the senate.

Is that a prediction for this November?

 

[g5000]

How could you forget that Maverick John McCain ain't likely to live out his term much less run again.

It's not official yet.

McCain isn't up for re-election until 2022.

 

[LordBrownTrout]

The current balance of power in the House is 239 Republicans, 193 Democrats, 3 vacancies.

A majority vote is 218.

Rs lose 10 in the house and gain 2 in the senate.

Is that a prediction for this November?

I'll go with it. I predicted the hillary would win but I lost on that one.

What's your prediction?

 

[g5000]

The current balance of power in the House is 239 Republicans, 193 Democrats, 3 vacancies.

A majority vote is 218.

Rs lose 10 in the house and gain 2 in the senate.

Is that a prediction for this November?

I'll go with it. I predicted the hillary would win but I lost on that one.

What's your prediction?

Most of my predictions on this forum have come to pass. But like you, I also predicted Hillary would win.

As far as the 2018 election, a lot can happen between now and November. I make no predictions except to say the field is strongly tilted in the Democrats favor.

But Democrats have a paranormal ability of snatching defeat from the jaws of victory.

 

[Papageorgio]

Too bad they all won’t retire.

 

[busybee01]

Regarding the Senate majority, good ol' Pence must be grounded to break voting ties....LOL

Democrats actually picked up two seats in the Senate in the 2016 election. People forget that.

To the point I made in the first paragraph of my OP, only two Politboro incumbents lost their re-election bid to the Senate in 2016.

With the election of Doug Jones, the Senate balance of power is now 51-49.


For the 2018 election, 26 Democratic seats and 8 Republican seats are up for election.

I only see 5 seats up for grabs at this point. Republican held seats in Nevada, Arizona and Tennessee and Democrat held seats in Missouri and Indiana. The Republican congressman in ND has passed on a chance to take on Heitkamp, 2 top drawer candidates passed on running for the Senate in Montana, Joe Manchin has a strong lead over his Republican challengers, and Josh Mandel has dropped out of a Senate run in Ohio.

Our American Politboro has a 98 percent re-election rate in the House and a 90+ percent re-election rate in the Senate. About the only way to get rid of a Politboro member is for them to decide to quit on their own.

Here is a list of incumbents whose seats will be up for grabs this November.

The number next to each member is the percentage of votes they received in their last election, indicating how vulnerable their seat is to being captured by the opposite party this fall.


The Senate Republicans:
1) Bob Corker (TN): 64.9%
2) Jeff Flake (AZ): 49.2%
3) Orrin Hatch (UT): 65.2%

The Senate Democrats:
1) Al Franken (MN): 53.2% (resigned, sexual harrassment)

The House Republicans:
1) Bill Shuster (PA-9): 63.3%
2) Charles Dent (PA-15): 58.39%
3) Lou Barletta (PA-11): 63.67% (leaving House to run for Senate)
4) Tim Murphy (PA-18): 100% (resigned, pro-lifer impregnated mistress, demanded abortion)
5) Blake Farenthold (TX-27): 61.7% (sexual harrasment, bribery)
6) Jeb Heslering (TX-5): 80.61% (uncontested by Democrats)
7) Joe Barton (TX-6): 58.34%
8) Lamar Smith (TX-21): 57.01%
9) Sam Johnson (TX-3): 61.2%
10) Ted Poe (TX-2): 60.63%
11) Bob Goodlatte (VA-6): 66.63% (spearheading immigration reform, no longer worried about re-election)
12) Evan Jenkins (WV-3): 67.88% (leaving House to run for Senate)
13) Dave Reichart (WA-8): 60.2%
14) David Trott (MI-11): 52.93%
15) Edward Royce (CA-39): 57.6%
16) Frank LoBiondo (NJ-2): 59.21%
17) Gregg Harper (MS-3): 66.2%
18) Ileana Ros-Lehtinen (FL-27): 54.89%
19) Ron DeSantis (FL-6): 58.57% (leaving House to run for Governor)
20) John Duncan (TN-2): 75.64%
21) Marsha Blackburn (TN-7): 72.27% (leaving House to run for Senate)
22) Diane Black (TN-6): 71.09% (leaving House to run for Governor)
23) Lynn Jenkins (KS-2): 60.94%
24) Luke Messer (IN-6): 69.14% (leaving House to run for Senate)
25) Todd Rokita (IN-4): 69.26% (leaving House to run for Senate)
26) Jame Renacci (OH-16): 65.33 (leaving House to run for Governor)
27) Kristia Noem (SD-At Large): 64.10% (leaving House to run for Governor)
28) Raul Labrador (ID-1): 68.17% (leaving House to run for Governor)
29) Steve Pearce (NM-2): 62.72% (leaving House to run for Governor)
30) Jason Chaffetz (UT-3): 73.5% (resigned, "health reasons")
31) Patrick Tiberi (OH-12): 66.55% (abrubtly resigned, sick of GOP's bullshit)
32) Trent Franks (AZ-8): 68.57% (resigned, sexual harrassment)


The House Democrats:
1) Gene Green (TX-29): 72.47
2) Beto O'Rourke (TX-16): 85.73% (leaving House to run for Senate)
3) Carol Shea-Porter (NH-1): 44.34%
4) Sandy Levin (MI-9): 57.91%
5) John Conyers (MI-13): 77.10% (resigned, sexual harrassment)
6) John Delaney (MD-6): 56.0%
7) Luis V. Gutierrez (IL-4): 100% (ran uncontested)
8) Niki Tsongas (MA-3): 68.69%
9) Ruben Kihuen (NV-4): 48.52%
10) Jacky Rosen (NV-3): 47.23% (leaving House to run for Senate)
11) Kyrsten Sinema (AZ-9): 60.94% (leaving House to run for Senate)
12) Colleen Hanabusa (HI-11): 68.09% (leaving House to run for Governor
13) Jared Polis (CO-2): 56.89% (leaving House to run for Governor)
14) Michelle Lujan Grisham (NM-1): 65.15% (leaving House to run for Governor)
15) Tim Walz (MN-1): 50.34% (leaving House to run for Governor)

indicating how vulnerable their seat is to being captured by the opposite party this fall.

Do you have these percentages reversed?
Did you mean how likely they will be retained by the same party?

The higher the number, the less vulnerable their district is.

I expect the opposition parties will pour a lot of money into the districts with incumbents who were last elected with numbers in the 40s and 50s.

I think Democrats will be looking at even seats where the incumbent won with 60%. If you look at the special election for the 4th CD in Kansas, Pompeo won with 61% and a 32 point margin in the regular election. After he left, the Republican won with 52% and a 6 point margin.