List Of Incumbents Not Running For Re-Election

g5000

Diamond Member
Nov 26, 2011
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Our American Politboro has a 98 percent re-election rate in the House and a 90+ percent re-election rate in the Senate. About the only way to get rid of a Politboro member is for them to decide to quit on their own.

Here is a list of incumbents whose seats will be up for grabs this November.

The number next to each member is the percentage of votes they received in their last election, indicating how vulnerable their seat is to being captured by the opposite party this fall.


The Senate Republicans:
1) Bob Corker (TN): 64.9%
2) Jeff Flake (AZ): 49.2%
3) Orrin Hatch (UT): 65.2%

The Senate Democrats:
1) Al Franken (MN): 53.2% (resigned, sexual harrassment)

The House Republicans:
1) Bill Shuster (PA-9): 63.3%
2) Charles Dent (PA-15): 58.39%
3) Lou Barletta (PA-11): 63.67% (leaving House to run for Senate)
4) Tim Murphy (PA-18): 100% (resigned, pro-lifer impregnated mistress, demanded abortion)
5) Blake Farenthold (TX-27): 61.7% (sexual harrasment, bribery)
6) Jeb Heslering (TX-5): 80.61% (uncontested by Democrats)
7) Joe Barton (TX-6): 58.34%
8) Lamar Smith (TX-21): 57.01%
9) Sam Johnson (TX-3): 61.2%
10) Ted Poe (TX-2): 60.63%
11) Bob Goodlatte (VA-6): 66.63% (spearheading immigration reform, no longer worried about re-election)
12) Evan Jenkins (WV-3): 67.88% (leaving House to run for Senate)
13) Dave Reichart (WA-8): 60.2%
14) David Trott (MI-11): 52.93%
15) Edward Royce (CA-39): 57.6%
16) Frank LoBiondo (NJ-2): 59.21%
17) Gregg Harper (MS-3): 66.2%
18) Ileana Ros-Lehtinen (FL-27): 54.89%
19) Ron DeSantis (FL-6): 58.57% (leaving House to run for Governor)
20) John Duncan (TN-2): 75.64%
21) Marsha Blackburn (TN-7): 72.27% (leaving House to run for Senate)
22) Diane Black (TN-6): 71.09% (leaving House to run for Governor)
23) Lynn Jenkins (KS-2): 60.94%
24) Luke Messer (IN-6): 69.14% (leaving House to run for Senate)
25) Todd Rokita (IN-4): 69.26% (leaving House to run for Senate)
26) Jame Renacci (OH-16): 65.33 (leaving House to run for Governor)
27) Kristia Noem (SD-At Large): 64.10% (leaving House to run for Governor)
28) Raul Labrador (ID-1): 68.17% (leaving House to run for Governor)
29) Steve Pearce (NM-2): 62.72% (leaving House to run for Governor)
30) Jason Chaffetz (UT-3): 73.5% (resigned, "health reasons")
31) Patrick Tiberi (OH-12): 66.55% (abrubtly resigned, sick of GOP's bullshit)
32) Trent Franks (AZ-8): 68.57% (resigned, sexual harrassment)


The House Democrats:
1) Gene Green (TX-29): 72.47
2) Beto O'Rourke (TX-16): 85.73% (leaving House to run for Senate)
3) Carol Shea-Porter (NH-1): 44.34%
4) Sandy Levin (MI-9): 57.91%
5) John Conyers (MI-13): 77.10% (resigned, sexual harrassment)
6) John Delaney (MD-6): 56.0%
7) Luis V. Gutierrez (IL-4): 100% (ran uncontested)
8) Niki Tsongas (MA-3): 68.69%
9) Ruben Kihuen (NV-4): 48.52%
10) Jacky Rosen (NV-3): 47.23% (leaving House to run for Senate)
11) Kyrsten Sinema (AZ-9): 60.94% (leaving House to run for Senate)
12) Colleen Hanabusa (HI-11): 68.09% (leaving House to run for Governor
13) Jared Polis (CO-2): 56.89% (leaving House to run for Governor)
14) Michelle Lujan Grisham (NM-1): 65.15% (leaving House to run for Governor)
15) Tim Walz (MN-1): 50.34% (leaving House to run for Governor)
 
The current balance of power in the House is 239 Republicans, 193 Democrats, 3 vacancies.

A majority vote is 218.
 
I find it interesting that two Republicans in Indiana are both leaving the House to run for the same office. Luke Messer (IN-6) and Todd Rokita (IN-4) are both challenging incumbent Democratic Senator Joe Donnelly.

Donnelly won with exactly 50.0% of the vote in 2012.

His Republican challenger received 44.3%.

The Libertarian spoiler received 5.7%.

In 2016, the Republican Senate candidate won with 52.1% of the vote.
 
Bob Goodlatte is the chairman of the House Judiciary Committee. When he was first elected he said, "If only the people who believed in term limits kept term limits, then the people who don't support term limits would have all the seniority and all of the power in the Congress."

Bob has served for 13 terms.

Bob is one of those guys who believes in term limits who has not kept term limits. But are we really even the slightest bit surprised at Republican hypocrisy any more? Really?

Anyhoo...pay attention. This is important:

Bob is in charge of the House Republican immigration reform plan. He's the guy who will decide what strings will be attached to amnesty when the GOP grants amnesty to the 11 million illegals here in Merka.

Bob is from Virginia. I am sure he remembers what happened to Eric Cantor (VA-7).

For the goldfish with frontal lobe damage, Eric Cantor was the House Minority Whip. In an amazing upset, Cantor lost the 2014 Republican primary due to the bigots perceiving he was soft on illegals.

Plus he was Jewish. Heh.

But good old long timer Bob Goodlatte isn't planning on running for re-election any more. He doesn't have to worry about the bigots any more.

Though somebody did shoot a bullet through Cantor's campaign office over ObamaCare. So there's that.

Oh, wait. Bob won't have a campaign office any more.

Whew!
 
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The percentages do not necessarily reflect how vulnerable a seat is. Sometimes it is held only because of a incumbent. In a special election for a state legislative seat in the Tulsa area of Oklahoma, Democrats took a seat that went 60% for Trump. The seat held by Ileana Ros-Lehtinen was 1 of 23 that Republicans hold where Clinton won. The Republicans are still trying to find a challenger.
 
Regarding the Senate majority, good ol' Pence must be grounded to break voting ties....LOL
 
Our American Politboro has a 98 percent re-election rate in the House and a 90+ percent re-election rate in the Senate. About the only way to get rid of a Politboro member is for them to decide to quit on their own.

Here is a list of incumbents whose seats will be up for grabs this November.

The number next to each member is the percentage of votes they received in their last election, indicating how vulnerable their seat is to being captured by the opposite party this fall.


The Senate Republicans:
1) Bob Corker (TN): 64.9%
2) Jeff Flake (AZ): 49.2%
3) Orrin Hatch (UT): 65.2%

The Senate Democrats:
1) Al Franken (MN): 53.2% (resigned, sexual harrassment)

The House Republicans:
1) Bill Shuster (PA-9): 63.3%
2) Charles Dent (PA-15): 58.39%
3) Lou Barletta (PA-11): 63.67% (leaving House to run for Senate)
4) Tim Murphy (PA-18): 100% (resigned, pro-lifer impregnated mistress, demanded abortion)
5) Blake Farenthold (TX-27): 61.7% (sexual harrasment, bribery)
6) Jeb Heslering (TX-5): 80.61% (uncontested by Democrats)
7) Joe Barton (TX-6): 58.34%
8) Lamar Smith (TX-21): 57.01%
9) Sam Johnson (TX-3): 61.2%
10) Ted Poe (TX-2): 60.63%
11) Bob Goodlatte (VA-6): 66.63% (spearheading immigration reform, no longer worried about re-election)
12) Evan Jenkins (WV-3): 67.88% (leaving House to run for Senate)
13) Dave Reichart (WA-8): 60.2%
14) David Trott (MI-11): 52.93%
15) Edward Royce (CA-39): 57.6%
16) Frank LoBiondo (NJ-2): 59.21%
17) Gregg Harper (MS-3): 66.2%
18) Ileana Ros-Lehtinen (FL-27): 54.89%
19) Ron DeSantis (FL-6): 58.57% (leaving House to run for Governor)
20) John Duncan (TN-2): 75.64%
21) Marsha Blackburn (TN-7): 72.27% (leaving House to run for Senate)
22) Diane Black (TN-6): 71.09% (leaving House to run for Governor)
23) Lynn Jenkins (KS-2): 60.94%
24) Luke Messer (IN-6): 69.14% (leaving House to run for Senate)
25) Todd Rokita (IN-4): 69.26% (leaving House to run for Senate)
26) Jame Renacci (OH-16): 65.33 (leaving House to run for Governor)
27) Kristia Noem (SD-At Large): 64.10% (leaving House to run for Governor)
28) Raul Labrador (ID-1): 68.17% (leaving House to run for Governor)
29) Steve Pearce (NM-2): 62.72% (leaving House to run for Governor)
30) Jason Chaffetz (UT-3): 73.5% (resigned, "health reasons")
31) Patrick Tiberi (OH-12): 66.55% (abrubtly resigned, sick of GOP's bullshit)
32) Trent Franks (AZ-8): 68.57% (resigned, sexual harrassment)


The House Democrats:
1) Gene Green (TX-29): 72.47
2) Beto O'Rourke (TX-16): 85.73% (leaving House to run for Senate)
3) Carol Shea-Porter (NH-1): 44.34%
4) Sandy Levin (MI-9): 57.91%
5) John Conyers (MI-13): 77.10% (resigned, sexual harrassment)
6) John Delaney (MD-6): 56.0%
7) Luis V. Gutierrez (IL-4): 100% (ran uncontested)
8) Niki Tsongas (MA-3): 68.69%
9) Ruben Kihuen (NV-4): 48.52%
10) Jacky Rosen (NV-3): 47.23% (leaving House to run for Senate)
11) Kyrsten Sinema (AZ-9): 60.94% (leaving House to run for Senate)
12) Colleen Hanabusa (HI-11): 68.09% (leaving House to run for Governor
13) Jared Polis (CO-2): 56.89% (leaving House to run for Governor)
14) Michelle Lujan Grisham (NM-1): 65.15% (leaving House to run for Governor)
15) Tim Walz (MN-1): 50.34% (leaving House to run for Governor)

Bye bye swamp! Trump wins again!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!he is draining the swamp!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
 
The percentages do not necessarily reflect how vulnerable a seat is. Sometimes it is held only because of a incumbent. In a special election for a state legislative seat in the Tulsa area of Oklahoma, Democrats took a seat that went 60% for Trump. The seat held by Ileana Ros-Lehtinen was 1 of 23 that Republicans hold where Clinton won. The Republicans are still trying to find a challenger.
And then of course there is Jeff Sessions' Senate seat which went to Democrats in Alabama for the first time in a quarter of a century.
 
didn't know about Crazy Ted Poe & Wacky Raul Labrador leaving. they will be missed.
 
Our American Politboro has a 98 percent re-election rate in the House and a 90+ percent re-election rate in the Senate. About the only way to get rid of a Politboro member is for them to decide to quit on their own.

Here is a list of incumbents whose seats will be up for grabs this November.

The number next to each member is the percentage of votes they received in their last election, indicating how vulnerable their seat is to being captured by the opposite party this fall.


The Senate Republicans:
1) Bob Corker (TN): 64.9%
2) Jeff Flake (AZ): 49.2%
3) Orrin Hatch (UT): 65.2%

The Senate Democrats:
1) Al Franken (MN): 53.2% (resigned, sexual harrassment)

The House Republicans:
1) Bill Shuster (PA-9): 63.3%
2) Charles Dent (PA-15): 58.39%
3) Lou Barletta (PA-11): 63.67% (leaving House to run for Senate)
4) Tim Murphy (PA-18): 100% (resigned, pro-lifer impregnated mistress, demanded abortion)
5) Blake Farenthold (TX-27): 61.7% (sexual harrasment, bribery)
6) Jeb Heslering (TX-5): 80.61% (uncontested by Democrats)
7) Joe Barton (TX-6): 58.34%
8) Lamar Smith (TX-21): 57.01%
9) Sam Johnson (TX-3): 61.2%
10) Ted Poe (TX-2): 60.63%
11) Bob Goodlatte (VA-6): 66.63% (spearheading immigration reform, no longer worried about re-election)
12) Evan Jenkins (WV-3): 67.88% (leaving House to run for Senate)
13) Dave Reichart (WA-8): 60.2%
14) David Trott (MI-11): 52.93%
15) Edward Royce (CA-39): 57.6%
16) Frank LoBiondo (NJ-2): 59.21%
17) Gregg Harper (MS-3): 66.2%
18) Ileana Ros-Lehtinen (FL-27): 54.89%
19) Ron DeSantis (FL-6): 58.57% (leaving House to run for Governor)
20) John Duncan (TN-2): 75.64%
21) Marsha Blackburn (TN-7): 72.27% (leaving House to run for Senate)
22) Diane Black (TN-6): 71.09% (leaving House to run for Governor)
23) Lynn Jenkins (KS-2): 60.94%
24) Luke Messer (IN-6): 69.14% (leaving House to run for Senate)
25) Todd Rokita (IN-4): 69.26% (leaving House to run for Senate)
26) Jame Renacci (OH-16): 65.33 (leaving House to run for Governor)
27) Kristia Noem (SD-At Large): 64.10% (leaving House to run for Governor)
28) Raul Labrador (ID-1): 68.17% (leaving House to run for Governor)
29) Steve Pearce (NM-2): 62.72% (leaving House to run for Governor)
30) Jason Chaffetz (UT-3): 73.5% (resigned, "health reasons")
31) Patrick Tiberi (OH-12): 66.55% (abrubtly resigned, sick of GOP's bullshit)
32) Trent Franks (AZ-8): 68.57% (resigned, sexual harrassment)


The House Democrats:
1) Gene Green (TX-29): 72.47
2) Beto O'Rourke (TX-16): 85.73% (leaving House to run for Senate)
3) Carol Shea-Porter (NH-1): 44.34%
4) Sandy Levin (MI-9): 57.91%
5) John Conyers (MI-13): 77.10% (resigned, sexual harrassment)
6) John Delaney (MD-6): 56.0%
7) Luis V. Gutierrez (IL-4): 100% (ran uncontested)
8) Niki Tsongas (MA-3): 68.69%
9) Ruben Kihuen (NV-4): 48.52%
10) Jacky Rosen (NV-3): 47.23% (leaving House to run for Senate)
11) Kyrsten Sinema (AZ-9): 60.94% (leaving House to run for Senate)
12) Colleen Hanabusa (HI-11): 68.09% (leaving House to run for Governor
13) Jared Polis (CO-2): 56.89% (leaving House to run for Governor)
14) Michelle Lujan Grisham (NM-1): 65.15% (leaving House to run for Governor)
15) Tim Walz (MN-1): 50.34% (leaving House to run for Governor)

Bye bye swamp! Trump wins again!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!he is draining the swamp!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
Trump is draining the swamp by putting Wall St. types in key positions in the government?
The idiot is doing EXACTLY what he accused Hillary would do if elected.
Trump counts on simpletons like you to repeat mindless slogans and not be aware of what he's really doing.
 
Regarding the Senate majority, good ol' Pence must be grounded to break voting ties....LOL
Democrats actually picked up two seats in the Senate in the 2016 election. People forget that.

To the point I made in the first paragraph of my OP, only two Politboro incumbents lost their re-election bid to the Senate in 2016.

With the election of Doug Jones, the Senate balance of power is now 51-49.


For the 2018 election, 26 Democratic seats and 8 Republican seats are up for election.
 
didn't know about Crazy Ted Poe & Wacky Raul Labrador leaving. they will be missed.
Labrador is leaving the House to run for Governor of Idaho. The incumbent governor, Republican Butch Otter, has announced he is not running for re-election.
 
No one needs establsihment whores. Bye now!
You pseudocons are positively schizophrenic.

One moment, you are crowing about massive GOP gains and wins. The next moment, you are calling them all RINOs and "establishment whores".
 
Lot of opportunities on both sides to keep up new seats, but if public opinion of the Trump administration doesn't change by November the Republicans may very well lose the House and Senate as they have a lot of vulnerability too.
 
The current balance of power in the House is 239 Republicans, 193 Democrats, 3 vacancies.

A majority vote is 218.

It will come down to the tax plan. In a few weeks, if the average Joe sees an pay increase as the GOP promised the GOP will get a big win. If people see nothing or glup higher taxes, the House will be lost.


Sent from my iPhone using USMessageBoard.com
 
I find it interesting that two Republicans in Indiana are both leaving the House to run for the same office. Luke Messer (IN-6) and Todd Rokita (IN-4) are both challenging incumbent Democratic Senator Joe Donnelly.

Donnelly won with exactly 50.0% of the vote in 2012.

His Republican challenger received 44.3%.

The Libertarian spoiler received 5.7%.

In 2016, the Republican Senate candidate won with 52.1% of the vote.

That seat will turn red amongst others.


Sent from my iPhone using USMessageBoard.com
 
No one needs establsihment whores. Bye now!
You pseudocons are positively schizophrenic.

One moment, you are crowing about massive GOP gains and wins. The next moment, you are calling them all RINOs and "establishment whores".
What did you think Trump meant by draining the swamp? Sure, almost all Democrats are swamp creatures, but so are a lot of GOPers.
 

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