If Trump becomes the nominee, the Party stalwarts will run an Independent Republican.
The far right would rather have a HRC than a moderate Republican.
No. There's all this bs about "no more Rinos. we'll never win with a rino."
The gop should let it go, and let them have what they want. They won't, and really can't, simply because of all the gop senators up for re-election. The Donald v. Hill would flip the senate and maybe even the House
Trump may get the nomination, I don't think he will win, and the secular Constitution will be used to keep him in line if he does win.
Unless Trump has the pledged delegates to win on a first ballot, I think whoever comes in second will be the nominee. We're two months from Iowa, and first with the wall and Mexican's are rapists, and now this, the Donald has defined himself. This shite storm just isn't gonna die down overnight. The Donald started out as a outsider who was fun, if not funny. It's turned. So, turning on Donald is not so much as the establishment denying an outsider. Now, they'd gladly give the superdelegates to Cruz. I suspect they're hoping it'll be Rubio. But Cruz still has the maj of tea party support (NO the Donald does not), and he can appeal to religious conservatives, and Rain Man has shown he's not playing with a full deck. And Cruz has the money and the ground game to get it done.
If the Rs nominate a flake like kasich, I could definitely see the senate flipping to the dems.
Kasich is not going anywhere. We got the Iowa caucus, NH, SC and the Nev caucus all in one month starting in less than two months. It's really too early to predict....
but Cruz is surging in Iowa ... and Rain Man imploded, so Cruz's got a pool of voters whom he can attract. Rubio will probably finish in the first three. I think it's a Donald Cruz toss up. But, delegates are awarded proportionally. And it looks pretty close.
RealClearPolitics - Election 2016 - Iowa Republican Presidential Caucus
On to NH. Trump is leading there, and I'm not sure what there is that will really change much. But, again, delegates are awarded proportionally to those getting 10% or more.
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/ep...re_republican_presidential_primary-3350.html\
On to SC. I'm not totally sure, but it seems to be a winner take all, but there's some allocation within congressional districts. But Trump is way ahead. Is that a knockout punch. Not for Cruz or Rubio, so long as their fundraising doesn't tank, and I think Cruz has the money already.
RealClearPolitics - Election 2016 - South Carolina Republican Presidential Primary
I don't see polls for Nevada's caucus, but again delegates are awarded proportionally.
Then there's the SEC primary on Mar1 . 565 bound delegates all awarded proportionally, to at least the top three.
Mar 5. Another 145 bound delegates awarded proportionally.
Mar 8 and 9. Another 159 awarded proportionally.
And on to Super Tues, and the beginning of winner take all. But not all primaries are winner take all. A minority remain proportional.
EXCLUSIVE: TIME Guide to Official 2016 Republican Nomination Calendar
So, up until we start winner take all, we've got just north of 1000 pledged delegates. The Donald is not going to get anywhere near 50% of them. There are about 2500 delegates in all. If the Donald runs the table on the winner take all states, it seems to me he can win on the first ballot. But, if he can't, and he may not because there are superdelegates (non pledged) in play, and we get to a second ballot .... then everybody's free to switch sides. If there's ANY way the gop can throw the nomination to whomever is in second place ... I think they do it in a heartbeat.
And Cruz is still the tea party darling.