It wasn't luck at all. Israel and the US were in close communications about the upcoming war. LBJ sent military officers to Israel to assess its chances of winning the war in 1967, and they came back saying Israel would win and Israel and the US worked together on the ceasefire and the same thing happened, in the 1973 war.
AI Overview
Henry Kissinger emphasized that U.S.-Israel cooperation was essential for an American role in the Middle East, viewing Israel as a key, albeit sometimes challenging, partner for achieving regional stability and brokering, according to analysis in this Taylor & Francis Online article. He believed that only the U.S. could influence Israel to make necessary territorial concessions, as outlined in
this YouTube video.
Key elements of this strategy included:
- Strategic Interdependence: Following the 1973 Yom Kippur War, this NYT archive link shows Kissinger recognized that peace negotiations required strengthening Israel's security, even considering a mutual defense pact.
- Pressure for Concessions: Despite securing Israeli security, this JTA archive article highlights his belief that any success required Israel to exchange territory for peace, with the US managing this process.
- Preventing Soviet Influence: The U.S. aimed to be the sole mediator, preventing Soviet interference by providing, as seen in this historical summary, an emergency airlift of weapons to prevent a total Soviet-backed Arab victory.