Hillary Clinton ahead of Donald Trump in most states

[nicoleivy5]

Hillary Clinton vs Donald Trump - forecast and expected margin of victory - more details

Who’s ahead in each state and by how much
Our win probabilities come from simulating the election 20,000 times, which produces a distribution of possible outcomes for each state. Here are the expected margins of victory. The closer the dot is to the center line, the tighter the race. And the wider the bar, the less certain the model is about the outcome.

trump is getting owned

 

[charwin95]

The point of this thread was what ?

to show hillary clinton ahead of Trump

Sadly Trump supporters refused to believed that Trump is behind.

 

[Remodeling Maidiac]

The point of this thread was what ?

That idiots believe any political propaganda they're fed.

 

[Rozman]

The point of this thread was what ?

My Guess....

This... Get used to This...

 

[Rozman]

And this.....

 

[ogibillm]

Romney was ahead by 6 points in the polls with less than a month to go in 2012. How did that work out?

back that up

 

[nicoleivy5]

Hillary Clinton vs Donald Trump - forecast and expected margin of victory - more details

Who’s ahead in each state and by how much
Our win probabilities come from simulating the election 20,000 times, which produces a distribution of possible outcomes for each state. Here are the expected margins of victory. The closer the dot is to the center line, the tighter the race. And the wider the bar, the less certain the model is about the outcome.

Looking good in Georgia for Trump

 

[nicoleivy5]

Hillary Clinton vs Donald Trump - forecast and expected margin of victory - more details

Who’s ahead in each state and by how much
Our win probabilities come from simulating the election 20,000 times, which produces a distribution of possible outcomes for each state. Here are the expected margins of victory. The closer the dot is to the center line, the tighter the race. And the wider the bar, the less certain the model is about the outcome.

looks like hillary wins

 

[nicoleivy5]

Hillary Clinton vs Donald Trump - forecast and expected margin of victory - more details

Who’s ahead in each state and by how much
Our win probabilities come from simulating the election 20,000 times, which produces a distribution of possible outcomes for each state. Here are the expected margins of victory. The closer the dot is to the center line, the tighter the race. And the wider the bar, the less certain the model is about the outcome.

if its stimulated 20,000 times i must be fairly accurate

 

[nicoleivy5]

yep she will win

 

[nicoleivy5]

Hillary Clinton vs Donald Trump - forecast and expected margin of victory - more details

Who’s ahead in each state and by how much
Our win probabilities come from simulating the election 20,000 times, which produces a distribution of possible outcomes for each state. Here are the expected margins of victory. The closer the dot is to the center line, the tighter the race. And the wider the bar, the less certain the model is about the outcome.

nice

 

[nicoleivy5]

Hillary Clinton vs Donald Trump - forecast and expected margin of victory - more details

Who’s ahead in each state and by how much
Our win probabilities come from simulating the election 20,000 times, which produces a distribution of possible outcomes for each state. Here are the expected margins of victory. The closer the dot is to the center line, the tighter the race. And the wider the bar, the less certain the model is about the outcome.

4 states with literally 0 supporters

 

[Pop23]

Hillary Clinton vs Donald Trump - forecast and expected margin of victory - more details

Who’s ahead in each state and by how much
Our win probabilities come from simulating the election 20,000 times, which produces a distribution of possible outcomes for each state. Here are the expected margins of victory. The closer the dot is to the center line, the tighter the race. And the wider the bar, the less certain the model is about the outcome.

trump is getting owned

I find it interesting that Clinton is said to have a 20% lead in California, but realistically is in a dead heat to 4% lead nationally. While also enjoying big leads in New York and Illinois.

That's a big chunk of votes from just 3 States.

I don't see the leads in the swing states being possible with most of her votes coming from commanding leads in 4 to 6 very big states.

She has banked millions of votes in those states.

Somehow the math doesn't work.

 

[nicoleivy5]

Hillary Clinton vs Donald Trump - forecast and expected margin of victory - more details

Who’s ahead in each state and by how much
Our win probabilities come from simulating the election 20,000 times, which produces a distribution of possible outcomes for each state. Here are the expected margins of victory. The closer the dot is to the center line, the tighter the race. And the wider the bar, the less certain the model is about the outcome.

trump is getting owned

I find it interesting that Clinton is said to have a 20% lead in California, but realistically is in a dead heat to 4% lead nationally. While also enjoying big leads in New York and Illinois.

That's a big chunk of votes from just 3 States.

I don't see the leads in the swing states being possible with most of her votes coming from commanding leads in 4 to 6 very big states.

She has banked millions of votes in those states.

Somehow the math doesn't work.

interesting indeed

 

[nicoleivy5]

y

Hillary Clinton vs Donald Trump - forecast and expected margin of victory - more details

Who’s ahead in each state and by how much
Our win probabilities come from simulating the election 20,000 times, which produces a distribution of possible outcomes for each state. Here are the expected margins of victory. The closer the dot is to the center line, the tighter the race. And the wider the bar, the less certain the model is about the outcome.

trump is getting owned

I find it interesting that Clinton is said to have a 20% lead in California, but realistically is in a dead heat to 4% lead nationally. While also enjoying big leads in New York and Illinois.

That's a big chunk of votes from just 3 States.

I don't see the leads in the swing states being possible with most of her votes coming from commanding leads in 4 to 6 very big states.

She has banked millions of votes in those states.

Somehow the math doesn't work.

yeah the maths doesnt work

 

[Sun Devil 92]

yep she will win

Based on what ?

 

[nicoleivy5]

yep she will win

Based on what ?

forecasts

 

[Sun Devil 92]

yep she will win

Based on what ?

forecasts

Those are not forecasts.

Those are polls which tell you how people would vote today.

 

[nicoleivy5]

yep she will win

Based on what ?

come visit me

 

[nicoleivy5]

yep she will win

Based on what ?

forecasts

Those are not forecasts.

Those are polls which tell you how people would vote today.

oh okay