Hillary Clinton ahead of Donald Trump in most states

[nicoleivy5]

bad news for trump

Hillary Clinton vs Donald Trump - forecast and expected margin of victory - more details

Who’s ahead in each state and by how much
Our win probabilities come from simulating the election 20,000 times, which produces a distribution of possible outcomes for each state. Here are the expected margins of victory. The closer the dot is to the center line, the tighter the race. And the wider the bar, the less certain the model is about the outcome.

 

[nicoleivy5]

Hillary Clinton vs Donald Trump - forecast and expected margin of victory - more details

Who’s ahead in each state and by how much
Our win probabilities come from simulating the election 20,000 times, which produces a distribution of possible outcomes for each state. Here are the expected margins of victory. The closer the dot is to the center line, the tighter the race. And the wider the bar, the less certain the model is about the outcome.

he needs to campaign in Nevada more

 

[nicoleivy5]

The point of this thread was what ?

to show hillary clinton ahead of Trump

 

[nicoleivy5]

Romney was ahead by 6 points in the polls with less than a month to go in 2012. How did that work out?

Carter was ahead by 6 points in the polls with less than a month to go in 1980. How did that work out?

good

 

[nicoleivy5]

b

Hillary Clinton vs Donald Trump - forecast and expected margin of victory - more details

Who’s ahead in each state and by how much
Our win probabilities come from simulating the election 20,000 times, which produces a distribution of possible outcomes for each state. Here are the expected margins of victory. The closer the dot is to the center line, the tighter the race. And the wider the bar, the less certain the model is about the outcome.

best in the area nah no way

 

[nicoleivy5]

Hillary Clinton vs Donald Trump - forecast and expected margin of victory - more details

Who’s ahead in each state and by how much
Our win probabilities come from simulating the election 20,000 times, which produces a distribution of possible outcomes for each state. Here are the expected margins of victory. The closer the dot is to the center line, the tighter the race. And the wider the bar, the less certain the model is about the outcome.

Floria not good

 

[Steve_McGarrett]

Hillary Clinton vs Donald Trump - forecast and expected margin of victory - more details

Who’s ahead in each state and by how much
Our win probabilities come from simulating the election 20,000 times, which produces a distribution of possible outcomes for each state. Here are the expected margins of victory. The closer the dot is to the center line, the tighter the race. And the wider the bar, the less certain the model is about the outcome.

Floria not good

What is your race?

 

[nicoleivy5]

The point of this thread was what ?

agreed

 

[nicoleivy5]

Hillary Clinton vs Donald Trump - forecast and expected margin of victory - more details

Who’s ahead in each state and by how much
Our win probabilities come from simulating the election 20,000 times, which produces a distribution of possible outcomes for each state. Here are the expected margins of victory. The closer the dot is to the center line, the tighter the race. And the wider the bar, the less certain the model is about the outcome.

Floria not good

What is your race?

white american

 

[nicoleivy5]

she will win

 

[nicoleivy5]

Hillary Clinton vs Donald Trump - forecast and expected margin of victory - more details

Who’s ahead in each state and by how much
Our win probabilities come from simulating the election 20,000 times, which produces a distribution of possible outcomes for each state. Here are the expected margins of victory. The closer the dot is to the center line, the tighter the race. And the wider the bar, the less certain the model is about the outcome.

bad luck Trump

 

[Steve_McGarrett]

Hillary Clinton vs Donald Trump - forecast and expected margin of victory - more details

Who’s ahead in each state and by how much
Our win probabilities come from simulating the election 20,000 times, which produces a distribution of possible outcomes for each state. Here are the expected margins of victory. The closer the dot is to the center line, the tighter the race. And the wider the bar, the less certain the model is about the outcome.

Floria not good

What is your race?

white american

Actually you're not an American. I asked what your race was and any normal true natural born citizen American would
have just answered white or Caucasian and not add nationality, something I didn't ask you. I have exposed you!

 

[Borillar]

In Indonesia, a muslim country, tv says that Trump was ahead again. Even muslims in Indonesia wasn't offended.

I don't know whether we like trump or not.

What's not to like? He's a sexist, lying, egotistical, hypocritical bigot.

 

[nicoleivy5]

Hillary Clinton vs Donald Trump - forecast and expected margin of victory - more details

Who’s ahead in each state and by how much
Our win probabilities come from simulating the election 20,000 times, which produces a distribution of possible outcomes for each state. Here are the expected margins of victory. The closer the dot is to the center line, the tighter the race. And the wider the bar, the less certain the model is about the outcome.

agreed

 

[nicoleivy5]

Hillary Clinton vs Donald Trump - forecast and expected margin of victory - more details

Who’s ahead in each state and by how much
Our win probabilities come from simulating the election 20,000 times, which produces a distribution of possible outcomes for each state. Here are the expected margins of victory. The closer the dot is to the center line, the tighter the race. And the wider the bar, the less certain the model is about the outcome.

Floria not good

What is your race?

white american

Actually you're not an American. I asked what your race was and any normal true natural born citizen American would
have just answered white or Caucasian and not add nationality, something I didn't ask you. I have exposed you!

okay you got me! Im Indian

 

[Steve_McGarrett]

Hillary Clinton vs Donald Trump - forecast and expected margin of victory - more details

Who’s ahead in each state and by how much
Our win probabilities come from simulating the election 20,000 times, which produces a distribution of possible outcomes for each state. Here are the expected margins of victory. The closer the dot is to the center line, the tighter the race. And the wider the bar, the less certain the model is about the outcome.

agreed

Why are you talking to yourself?

 

[LeftofLeft]

Hillary Clinton vs Donald Trump - forecast and expected margin of victory - more details

Who’s ahead in each state and by how much
Our win probabilities come from simulating the election 20,000 times, which produces a distribution of possible outcomes for each state. Here are the expected margins of victory. The closer the dot is to the center line, the tighter the race. And the wider the bar, the less certain the model is about the outcome.

Hillary Clinton vs Donald Trump - forecast and expected margin of victory - more details

Who’s ahead in each state and by how much
Our win probabilities come from simulating the election 20,000 times, which produces a distribution of possible outcomes for each state. Here are the expected margins of victory. The closer the dot is to the center line, the tighter the race. And the wider the bar, the less certain the model is about the outcome.

Does this mean we can expect to see a decline in the volume of non citizens and dead people voting? Any chance of 119 percent returns?

 

[nicoleivy5]

Hillary Clinton vs Donald Trump - forecast and expected margin of victory - more details

Who’s ahead in each state and by how much
Our win probabilities come from simulating the election 20,000 times, which produces a distribution of possible outcomes for each state. Here are the expected margins of victory. The closer the dot is to the center line, the tighter the race. And the wider the bar, the less certain the model is about the outcome.

agreed

Why are you talking to yourself?

because i have no friends to talk to

 

[nicoleivy5]

Hillary Clinton vs Donald Trump - forecast and expected margin of victory - more details

Who’s ahead in each state and by how much
Our win probabilities come from simulating the election 20,000 times, which produces a distribution of possible outcomes for each state. Here are the expected margins of victory. The closer the dot is to the center line, the tighter the race. And the wider the bar, the less certain the model is about the outcome.

he has no votes for Virginia

 

[nicoleivy5]

Hillary Clinton vs Donald Trump - forecast and expected margin of victory - more details

Who’s ahead in each state and by how much
Our win probabilities come from simulating the election 20,000 times, which produces a distribution of possible outcomes for each state. Here are the expected margins of victory. The closer the dot is to the center line, the tighter the race. And the wider the bar, the less certain the model is about the outcome.

Hillary Clinton vs Donald Trump - forecast and expected margin of victory - more details

Who’s ahead in each state and by how much
Our win probabilities come from simulating the election 20,000 times, which produces a distribution of possible outcomes for each state. Here are the expected margins of victory. The closer the dot is to the center line, the tighter the race. And the wider the bar, the less certain the model is about the outcome.

Does this mean we can expect to see a decline in the volume of non citizens and dead people voting? Any chance of 119 percent returns?

no way 119 percent returns