CDZ Has the curve flattened?

Even by his latest, most recent, and his own admission, it would seem, it is time to end this non-sense. Yet, it does not seem what he is saying on TEE VEE matches the science. . . . . so. . . we must ask, why? :dunno:

Covid-19 — Navigating the Uncharted
List of authors.
  • Anthony S. Fauci, M.D.,
  • H. Clifford Lane, M.D.,
  • and Robert R. Redfield, M.D.
". . . On the basis of a case definition requiring a diagnosis of pneumonia, the currently reported case fatality rate is approximately 2%.4 In another article in the Journal, Guan et al.5 report mortality of 1.4% among 1099 patients with laboratory-confirmed Covid-19; these patients had a wide spectrum of disease severity. If one assumes that the number of asymptomatic or minimally symptomatic cases is several times as high as the number of reported cases, the case fatality rate may be considerably less than 1%. This suggests that the overall clinical consequences of Covid-19 may ultimately be more akin to those of a severe seasonal influenza (which has a case fatality rate of approximately 0.1%) or a pandemic influenza (similar to those in 1957 and 1968) rather than a disease similar to SARS or MERS, which have had case fatality rates of 9 to 10% and 36%, respectively.2

The efficiency of transmission for any respiratory virus has important implications for containment and mitigation strategies. The current study indicates an estimated basic reproduction number (R0) of 2.2, which means that, on average, each infected person spreads the infection to an additional two persons. As the authors note, until this number falls below 1.0, it is likely that the outbreak will continue to spread. Recent reports of high titers of virus in the oropharynx early in the course of disease arouse concern about increased infectivity during the period of minimal symptoms.6,7. . . "

 
Italy and Spain are both starting to show signs of leveling off and even some decline.
 
I suspect it is because we are a Constitutional Democracy...when our citizens defy stay at home and social distancing orders we can't just take them behind the chemical shed and shoot them.

Exactly. totalitarian states have an advantage in that regard, plus, they can lie all day about their statistics and don't have to report anything accurately if they don't want to. The bodies can buried by the tens of thousands in ditches and no one would know.

Just imagine how bad it would be here if Democrats could have made good on their promises to criminal illegal aliens and thorwn our borders wide open like they did in their candidate debates. We would be having a lot more problems by by now, and not just with this virus, but many others as well.
 
Folks, we're going to be at home until at least the end of May.

Buckle up.

I go out every day.
Then you are part of the problem.

Stop being part of the problem.

All essential stores are open here, as are most restaurants and all gas stations. People are walking or biking the streets for exercise and fresh air. Most when around others are practicing distancing, wearing gloves and masks, and have been for some time.

Grow up. The point in "stay home" orders is to not group up. You are not chained to the house.
 
We 'started' later than a lot/most/all of these countries and haven't peaked, so we're still climbing. Not any real surprise as the models forecasted it, which is why we started the efforts at social distancing and 'shelter-in-place' as those models showed the hospital system getting buried without those efforts.

That peak is supposed to happen later this month for the country as a whole and most states, and we should be on the downswing after that, according to the models out there right now.
 
Folks, we're going to be at home until at least the end of May.

Buckle up.

I go out every day.
Then you are part of the problem.

Stop being part of the problem.

All essential stores are open here, as are most restaurants and all gas stations. People are walking or biking the streets for exercise and fresh air. Most when around others are practicing distancing, wearing gloves and masks, and have been for some time.

Grow up. The point in "stay home" orders is to not group up. You are not chained to the house.
Where is "here"?
 
We 'started' later than a lot/most/all of these countries and haven't peaked, so we're still climbing. Not any real surprise as the models forecasted it, which is why we started the efforts at social distancing and 'shelter-in-place' as those models showed the hospital system getting buried without those efforts.

That peak is supposed to happen later this month for the country as a whole and most states, and we should be on the downswing after that, according to the models out there right now.

"we started the efforts at social distancing and 'shelter-in-place' as those models showed the hospital system getting buried without those efforts"???

It seems the Federal Government and states such as Florida, Louisianan and Georgia didn't follow the lead as did other States and regions within our borders.


COVID-19
 
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The media is over-reacting, things are going to be fine. We need to open the nation up for business.

Get on with it already.

https://healthweather.us/?mode=Atypical


Clearly a document which provides a theory on Covid-19. It seems to put to bed the fear of this pandemic, and in terms of transmission should not make anyone go out and about as before in close contact with others. The numbers in Florida and Louisiana should make any rational person believe they are immune from this virus.

We, in the US have not yet seen the curve dip, and even when that may happen, it doesn't mean the virus has gone away.
 

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