Harris / Trump Election Polls

[westwall]

But does Trump ever give straightforward answers and not word salads?

Seems it is unlevel treatment.....goose vs gander?

You're talking about your dummy.

 

[HeyNorm]

One thing that no poll can take into account is the number of women who vote with one issue politics , that being taking away their right to choose, in all elections after the supreme court took that right away, the number one external influence has been that issue . It’s worth 3 to 5% added to any polls Harris numbers. Put that in your Hate Mashed brain. It also doesn't help that Trump is shitting in his pants more now that the pressure is on. They say he is like standing next to an open sewer . Little hard to vote for that. Ish!

exactly why wouldn’t this group be accounted for in polling?

 

[Dont Taz Me Bro]

Harris gets a small jump in polling this morning.

Harris regains slight lead nationally yet Electoral College holds the cards: POLL

Vice President Kamala Harris has regained a slight lead among likely voters nationally in the latest ABC News/Ipsos poll.

abcnews.go.com

I still think she's going to squeak this one out, but I wouldn't be surprised if Trump prevails. I'm seeing good signs for both campaigns, so it's really hard to know anymore.

 

[Slyhunter]

Harris gets a small jump in polling this morning.

Harris regains slight lead nationally yet Electoral College holds the cards: POLL

Vice President Kamala Harris has regained a slight lead among likely voters nationally in the latest ABC News/Ipsos poll.

abcnews.go.com

I still think she's going to squeak this one out, but I wouldn't be surprised if Trump prevails. I'm seeing good signs for both campaigns, so it's really hard to know anymore.

So whoever wins, you can claim that you predicted it.

 

[Delldude]

But does Trump ever give straightforward answers and not word salads?

Seems it is unlevel treatment.....goose vs gander?

Tell me, when Harris speaks, you go all deer in the headlights 'er what?

 

[Dont Taz Me Bro]

So whoever wins, you can claim that you predicted it.

Why?

 

[MisterBeale]

 

[para bellum]

Harris gets a small jump in polling this morning.

ABC News slow to report their own polling?

 

[SweetSue92]

I don't think it's about getting the undecided anymore....it's about enthusiasm.

 

[Lisa558]

Harris gets a small jump in polling this morning.

Harris regains slight lead nationally yet Electoral College holds the cards: POLL

Vice President Kamala Harris has regained a slight lead among likely voters nationally in the latest ABC News/Ipsos poll.

abcnews.go.com

I still think she's going to squeak this one out, but I wouldn't be surprised if Trump prevails. I'm seeing good signs for both campaigns, so it's really hard to know anymore.

How could she squeak it out? The woman cannot answer a basic question, repeats the same mistakes, has told Americans she would not change a thing about Biden’s decisions, and did nothing with her one basic task of Border Czar but make the situation worse.and then that nervous cackle all the times….ye gods.

On the other side, we have a proven president who presided over a booming economy, the lowest unemployment ever for minorities, an increase in real wages, no new wars, progress toward Middle East peace, and a mich more secure border.

It shouldn’t even be close.

 

[Delldude]

You guys aren't even hiding it anymore. I guess you're all in

On Sunday, the former president held a stunningly hateful rally at New York’s Madison Square Garden, where speakers spewed racist vitriol and authoritarian rhetoric.

It comes amid deepening concerns over his cognitive health following strange and erratic behavior on the campaign trail.

Last week, his former chief of staff, John Kelly, came forward to warn that he believes Trump fits the definition of a fascist and would govern like a dictator if elected.
He also said his onetime boss had praised Hitler to him “more than once.”

Eight years ago, in the lead-up to the 2016 presidential election, J.D. Vance was a bitter critic of Donald Trump.
Publicly, he called the Republican presidential candidate an "idiot" and said he was "reprehensible." Privately, he compared him to Adolf Hitler.

Donald Trump has used language shockingly similar to that of Adolf Hitler as he’s attacked immigrants, political rivals and others.

A new video montage shows just how close the former president’s rhetoric matches the Nazi dictator’s:

Damning New Montage Shows How Trump's Rhetoric Has Taken A Nazi Turn

A new "Daily Show" video shows how the former president's language lines up with that of Hitler.

www.huffpost.com

Trump sounds just like Hitler

All due to Harris suddenly shitting the bed.

 

[sealybobo]

All due to Harris suddenly shitting the bed.

Harris has multiple pathways to the 270 electoral votes needed to win the White House and is on track for victory.

We are seeing high turnout everywhere. We are definitely seeing that our voters are turning out. There are more Democratic low-propensity voters currently showing up than Republican ones.

lower propensity voters that don’t always vote, they are tuning in and showing up at a higher level in support of the vice president.”

 

[kyzr]

Harris has multiple pathways to the 270 electoral votes needed to win the White House and is on track for victory.

We are seeing high turnout everywhere. We are definitely seeing that our voters are turning out. There are more Democratic low-propensity voters currently showing up than Republican ones.

lower propensity voters that don’t always vote, they are tuning in and showing up at a higher level in support of the vice president.”

PA has way more registered Republicans in 2024 than previously.
Even the ******* Amish are taking their buggies to register and vote.

 

[Dont Taz Me Bro]

This thread is for discussing the polling and not anything else.

 

[Delldude]

Harris has multiple pathways to the 270 electoral votes needed to win the White House and is on track for victory.

We are seeing high turnout everywhere. We are definitely seeing that our voters are turning out. There are more Democratic low-propensity voters currently showing up than Republican ones.

lower propensity voters that don’t always vote, they are tuning in and showing up at a higher level in support of the vice president.”

Only poll that counts is on Nov 5th.
Both candidates have multiple paths to 270.
So far, polling is showing Harris numbers going in the wrong direction.
I wouldn't get wrapped up in counting chickens.

 

[para bellum]

The polls and early returns indicate that Trump is likely to sweep the Sun Belt States- AZ,GA,NV,NC

That leaves the Rust Belt as Harris's path to victory, and she must sweep to win.

PA has 1 million fewer mail-in ballots compared to 2020.
WI has 400K fewer mail-in ballots compared to 2020
MI has 600K fewer mail-in ballots compared to 2020

Only PA reports early returns by party, and Dems are leading the early returns 58-31 (in 2020 dems led early returns 63-25).

PA does not have early in-person voting, so this is not a big surprise. The dems have about a 400K edge in the mail-in ballots, but Trump will have a huge election day turnout in PA.

Collectively, the 3 Rust Belt States that are "must wins" for KKKamala have 2 Million fewer mail-in ballots this election that in 2020, and it is very hard to see how that favors her...

 

[Missouri_Mike]

The polls and early returns indicate that Trump is likely to sweep the Sun Belt States- AZ,GA,NV,NC

That leaves the Rust Belt as Harris's path to victory, and she must sweep to win.

PA has 1 million fewer mail-in ballots compared to 2020.
WI has 400K fewer mail-in ballots compared to 2020
MI has 600K fewer mail-in ballots compared to 2020

Only PA reports early returns by party, and Dems are leading the early returns 58-31 (in 2020 dems led early returns 63-25).

PA does not have early in-person voting, so this is not a big surprise. The dems have about a 400K edge in the mail-in ballots, but Trump will have a huge election day turnout in PA.

Collectively, the 3 Rust Belt States that are "must wins" for KKKamala have 2 Million fewer mail-in ballots this election that in 2020, and it is very hard to see how that favors her...

Every poll since 2016 has under counted Trump by about 4%. I expect nothing different here.

 

[para bellum]

Every poll since 2016 has under counted Trump by about 4%. I expect nothing different here.

2.5% on average, but I'm not counting on that. The pollsters try to account for the "Trump effect" and I don't know if they have it closer this year or not. I will treat them as close, and work from that assumption.

Given that, the smart money is on Trump.

 

[Missouri_Mike]

2.5% on average, but I'm not counting on that. The pollsters try to account for the "Trump effect" and I don't know if they have it closer this year or not. I will treat them as close, and work from that assumption.

Given that, the smart money is on Trump.

I think it’s built in at this point. If they under estimate by 1% at this point it’s a Trump blow out.

 

[sealybobo]

Only poll that counts is on Nov 5th.
Both candidates have multiple paths to 270.
So far, polling is showing Harris numbers going in the wrong direction.
I wouldn't get wrapped up in counting chickens.

I don’t think so. Early voting shows things going well for Kamala.

I love it how you guys care more about polling and less about elections. Like all the ones you lost last year, 2022 mifpdterms, and 2020