0311
Diamond Member
Texas Public Opinion Research (TPOR) today released a new poll of likely Texas general election voters, surveying their attitudes on the 2026 races for U.S. Senate, Governor, and Attorney General.
texaspublicopinionresearch.substack.com
The survey of 1,670 likely voters was conducted from May 27 to May 28, 2026, and has a margin of error of ±2.8 percentage points. The full topline is available here, and crosstabs are available upon request.
The takeaway: Democrat James Talarico leads Ken Paxton 47% to 44% in the U.S. Senate general election, powered by commanding margins with moderates and independents.
Crucially, among Cornyn runoff voters, nearly a third (30%) say that they would vote for Talarico, while 44% would vote for Paxton—23% remain undecided or say that they will not vote. More than half of GOP runoff voters who now plan to support Talarico cite Paxton’s criminality or corruption as their primary reason.
Here is Paxton's problem, he, like Trump is a criminal. His wife is divorcing him on "biblical grounds.". Trumps brand is wearing thin. Should Talarico win, Cruz is in serious jeopardy. He is one most hated Senators there is. He sacrificed his daughters for his trip to Mexico. Cruz is long hanging fruit right now. Talacrio win, Cruz is dead meat.
NEW POLL: JAMES TALARICO LEADS KEN PAXTON IN TEXAS SENATE GENERAL ELECTION
Texas Public Opinion Research (TPOR) today released a new poll of likely Texas general election voters, surveying their attitudes on the 2026 races for U.S.
The survey of 1,670 likely voters was conducted from May 27 to May 28, 2026, and has a margin of error of ±2.8 percentage points. The full topline is available here, and crosstabs are available upon request.
The takeaway: Democrat James Talarico leads Ken Paxton 47% to 44% in the U.S. Senate general election, powered by commanding margins with moderates and independents.
Crucially, among Cornyn runoff voters, nearly a third (30%) say that they would vote for Talarico, while 44% would vote for Paxton—23% remain undecided or say that they will not vote. More than half of GOP runoff voters who now plan to support Talarico cite Paxton’s criminality or corruption as their primary reason.
Here is Paxton's problem, he, like Trump is a criminal. His wife is divorcing him on "biblical grounds.". Trumps brand is wearing thin. Should Talarico win, Cruz is in serious jeopardy. He is one most hated Senators there is. He sacrificed his daughters for his trip to Mexico. Cruz is long hanging fruit right now. Talacrio win, Cruz is dead meat.