Evidence Obama WILL BE our next president

[DavidS]

I am posting this for informational purposes only. I do not want to demoralize the Republicans, or make the Democrats on here complacent. You MUST go out and vote tomorrow.

There's a lot of assumptions here, so let me list them. In order for Obama to be our next president of the United States:

• He must win every single state that John Kerry won (he holds double digit leads in all of them except PA)
• 95% of Republicans who have already voted in the states I'm about to list must have voted for John McCain
• 85% of Democrats who have already in the states I'm about to list must have voted for Barack Obama
• Independents must split 50% for Obama, 50% for McCain
• ALL polling data shows Obama earning over 90% of his party's vote and McCain earning around 85% and Obama earning an average of 60-65% of the independent vote. I am using very conservative numbers.
• The remaining percentage of voters who have not voted will split evenly between Obama and McCain
• My numbers are based off of 2004 number of voters

In 2004 - North Carolina had 3,552,449 people vote in the election. So far, 2,573,899 have voted, of which 51.5% have been Democrats (1,325,558), 30.1% have been Republicans (774,744) and 18.4% (473,597) have been Indepdents (473,597). 72.5% of North Carolina's 2004 numbers has already voted.

Obama:
Using my percentages, 85% of Democrats voting for Obama would be 1,126,724 votes for Obama. 5% of Republican votes would go for Obama, 38,737 and 50% of independents would have to go for Obama, 236,799 and 50% of the remaining number of votes from the 2004 numbers (978,550), go for Obama, 489,275. This would give Obama a total vote count of 1,891,535 for North Carolina.

McCain:
Using my percentages, 95% of Republicans voting for McCain would be 736,007, 15% of Democratic voters 198,834, 50% of independent, 236,799 and 50% of the remaining number of votes from the 2004 numbers 489,275. This would give McCain a total vote count of 1,660,915.

This is a difference of 230,620 in favor of Obama, which would mean Obama would win North Carolina.

Please look at the voting also going on in Nevada and New Mexico, which both heavily favor Obama. So if Obama wins North Carolina, Nevada, New Mexico and every single other state that Kerry won in 2000, he would win the election 277-261. This does not include Virginia or Iowa, which is polling very well for Obama.

These numbers have been compiled by George Mason Universitiy's Michael McDonald. This isn't polling data, this is pure, hard facts.

2008 Early Voting

 

[Silence]

I like cold hard facts!

 

[Truthmatters]

there may be hope for this country

 

[DavidS]

It's also important to say that many new registered voters from 2004 - 2008, go heavily in Obama's favor. So if more people vote in North Carolina in 2008 than 2004, the heavy odds are that they will go to Obama.

 

[Luc1]

Don't you worry. I'll do my part to ensure he wins Nevada.

 

[DavidS]

Don't you worry. I'll do my part to ensure he wins Nevada.

Please do.

 

[mdjgirl7]

Let us hope and PRAY the MOST LIBERAL senator we have does not win. Wake up get a grip. Obama is a greedy liar and his RECORD proves it. It is like somebody put something in the water to make a lot of people just overlook his actions. I am stunned by this. Now it is not so unbelievable that when the Anti Christ gets here so many will just flock to him regardless of what he does. So many Americans are swayed by a pretty speech. They could care less if the person is a liar or not as long as they can promise whatever they want.

Wow when did Americans get led astray like sheep. This is truly historical.

I am going to say it one more time OBAMA DOES NOT CARE ABOUT YOU.

[ame=http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hP-YoB5mnZs]YouTube - Obama's forgotten people[/ame]

He does not care his poverty stricken bother or his poverty stricken Aunt who lives HERE in the US. OMG wake up. Obama has not fixed his little district in Chicago. Somehow a lot of you people think Obama is going to change hiself. It is not going to happen. He is what he is a selfish greedy liar. Ask and you shall receive you are about to ask a greedy selfish liar to be our president. Get ready you are asking for it.

 

[DavidS]

Let us hope and PRAY the MOST LIBERAL senator we have does not win. Wake up get a grip. Obama is a greedy liar and his RECORD proves it. It is like somebody put something in the water to make a lot of people just overlook his actions. I am stunned by this. Now it is not so unbelievable that when the Anti Christ gets here so many will just flock to him regardless of what he does. So many Americans are swayed by a pretty speech. They could care less if the person is a liar or not as long as they can promise whatever they want.

Wow when did Americans get led astray like sheep. This is truly historical.

I am going to say it one more time OBAMA DOES NOT CARE ABOUT YOU.

YouTube - Obama's forgotten people

He does not care his poverty stricken bother or his poverty stricken Aunt who lives HERE in the US. OMG wake up. Obama has not fixed his little district in Chicago. Somehow a lot of you people think Obama is going to change hiself. It is not going to happen. He is what he is a selfish greedy liar. Ask and you shall receive you are about to ask a greedy selfish liar to be our president. Get ready you are asking for it.

aww how cute.

He was never close to his father, his father left him when he was young. So why would you assume he was close to his father's half-sister?

 

[mdjgirl7]

All you have to do to be elected in this country is promise a free handout and boom you are in. You could be Charles Manson and boom you are in with the PROMISE of a free handout you don't actually have to do it just PROMISE it.

 

[bk1983]

Let us hope and PRAY the MOST LIBERAL senator we have does not win. Wake up get a grip. Obama is a greedy liar and his RECORD proves it. It is like somebody put something in the water to make a lot of people just overlook his actions. I am stunned by this. Now it is not so unbelievable that when the Anti Christ gets here so many will just flock to him regardless of what he does. So many Americans are swayed by a pretty speech. They could care less if the person is a liar or not as long as they can promise whatever they want.

Wow when did Americans get led astray like sheep. This is truly historical.

I am going to say it one more time OBAMA DOES NOT CARE ABOUT YOU.

YouTube - Obama's forgotten people

He does not care his poverty stricken bother or his poverty stricken Aunt who lives HERE in the US. OMG wake up. Obama has not fixed his little district in Chicago. Somehow a lot of you people think Obama is going to change hiself. It is not going to happen. He is what he is a selfish greedy liar. Ask and you shall receive you are about to ask a greedy selfish liar to be our president. Get ready you are asking for it.

Your fear of Obama has turned you into a sheep, and just another member of the herd.

Collective fear stimulates herd instinct, and tends to produce ferocity toward those who are not regarded as members of the herd.
-- Bertrand Russell

 

[Care4all]

All you have to do to be elected in this country is promise a free handout and boom you are in. You could be Charles Manson and boom you are in with the PROMISE of a free handout you don't actually have to do it just PROMISE it.

yes, so true, we see this most every time a republican like president bush does it and is elected....this time the democratic politicians played a CYA....a cover your ass, and tried to outsmart the republicans using the republican playbook on tax reductions.

it's amazing it seems to always come down to this....tax cuts and of course, abortion....as the deciding factor or the straw that breaks the camel's back in our elections instead of the real important issues of the time....

care

 

[Chris]

Let us hope and PRAY the MOST LIBERAL senator we have does not win. Wake up get a grip. Obama is a greedy liar and his RECORD proves it. It is like somebody put something in the water to make a lot of people just overlook his actions. I am stunned by this. Now it is not so unbelievable that when the Anti Christ gets here so many will just flock to him regardless of what he does. So many Americans are swayed by a pretty speech. They could care less if the person is a liar or not as long as they can promise whatever they want.

Wow when did Americans get led astray like sheep. This is truly historical.

I am going to say it one more time OBAMA DOES NOT CARE ABOUT YOU.

YouTube - Obama's forgotten people

He does not care his poverty stricken bother or his poverty stricken Aunt who lives HERE in the US. OMG wake up. Obama has not fixed his little district in Chicago. Somehow a lot of you people think Obama is going to change hiself. It is not going to happen. He is what he is a selfish greedy liar. Ask and you shall receive you are about to ask a greedy selfish liar to be our president. Get ready you are asking for it.

I will call you a whaambulance.

Obama is an intelligent and hard working man. The way he has organized his campaign shows that he will be an excellent president. His priorities are getting out of Iraq, healthcare, and American energy independence. Those are my priorities as well.

 

[CrimsonWhite]

This thread reads like an Obama circle jerk. The only evidence I am going to accept is the final recount.

 

[Chris]

This thread reads like an Obama circle jerk. The only evidence I am going to accept is the final recount.

It's tough to lose, but believe me this is going to be a great day for America.

The policies of trickle down economics, deregulation, and war for war's sake have failed.

Thank God, the American people have finally woken up.

 

[CrimsonWhite]

It's tough to lose, but believe me this is going to be a great day for America.

The policies of trickle down economics, deregulation, and war for war's sake have failed.

Thank God, the American people have finally woken up.

You act as if this a football game. It isn't. I don't see Obama winning as me losing, just as I don't see McCain winnig as me winning. If Obama wins, fantastic, we'll challenge him in four years, simple as that.

Obama winning is not gonna be the orgasmic experience you looking for. I guarantee he dissapoint most. Expectations for a President are always too high anyway. Obama's expectations are astronomical.

 

[Red Dawn]

I'm not taking anything for granted until the morning of Nov. 5.

That said, I'm astonished that republicans spent the last two months yaking about nothing but "fake" birth certificates, Bill Ayers, communism, and socialism.

I haven't heard a peep as to why they're voting for McCain. I haven't heard any sustained defense of the Republican party or their stewardship of the country.

Birth certificates are not the way to win an election. Its like Republicans knew they fucked the country over, and weren't willing to own up to it. The only thing that seems to drive them to the polls, is to keep a Democrat out of office.

 

[CrimsonWhite]

I'm not taking anything for granted until the morning of Nov. 5.

That said, I'm astonished that republicans spent the last two months yaking about nothing but "fake" birth certificates, Bill Ayers, communism, and socialism.

I haven't heard a peep as to why they're voting for McCain. I haven't heard any sustained defense of the Republican party or their stewardship of the country.

Birth certificates are not the way to win an election. Its like Republicans knew they fucked the country over, and weren't willing to own up to it. The only thing that seems to drive them to the polls, is to keep a Democrat out of office.

I have time and again given my reasons for voting McCain. Use the search feature to find these posts. I think I even poted a thread entitled "Why I am voting for McCain."

 

[DavidS]

Well, this has fired up the Democratic base. I've been trying to contact the Obama campaign to donate my time for hours. Can't reach them - because the number is always busy.

 

[bigbroodmaster]

I think the writing is one the wall. The OP certainly did a good job of collecting the data.

 

[CrimsonWhite]

Well, this has fired up the Democratic base. I've been trying to contact the Obama campaign to donate my time for hours. Can't reach them - because the number is always busy.

Phone is off the hook. They knew you were going to call.