- Moderator
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Politics change and shift over the years. About 50 years ago we started seeing the shift of the southern states leaving their 100 year old Democratic roots and start migrating to the Republicans. Now we're a seeing a new shift. Democrats are gaining among white suburbanites, particularly women, while Republicans are peeling away Hispanic and minority voters. Democrats are becoming the "party of the rich," while Republicans have made big inroads with the blue collar working class.
Despite these noticeable changes the Democrat Party seems content to die on the hill of CRT, systemic racism, environmental alarmism, and transgender activism even if means losing a large chunk of their voting base that they once thought would bring them a permanent majority.
Shifts in the demographics of the two parties' supporters — taking place before our eyes — are arguably the biggest political story of our time.
The big picture: Republicans are becoming more working class and a little more multiracial. Democrats are becoming more elite and a little more white.
The great realignment
Even small inroads with Hispanic voters could tip a number of Democratic-held swing seats to the GOP.www.axios.com
What's happening: Democratic strategists say the party's biggest vulnerability is assuming that the priorities of progressive activists are the same as those of working-class voters.
Between the lines: Add the reality of growing inflation and worries of recession, and you see why Democrats are losing ground with a core part of their coalition.
- Progressive activists led the push to cut police budgets. Communities of color have borne the brunt of higher crime.
- Hispanics living on the U.S.-Mexico border are more likely to favor tougher border security measures that Republicans have championed.
- The recall of liberal school board members and a district attorney in San Francisco was fueled by disillusioned Asian-American Democrats.
- Wealthier Americans aren’t feeling the day-to-day hardship hitting the working class.
- This week's Times/Siena poll found affluent voters care about gun control and abortion rights. Working-class voters are squarely focused on the economy.
The striking similarity extends to several other cultural questions as well. Hispanics’ overwhelming rejection of the idea of “systemic racism” (58%) almost exactly mirrored that of working-class voters as a whole (57%).
Whether the issue is transgenderism (they’re strongly against it), funding for police departments (they’re strongly for it), or the belief that hard work generates success in one’s personal life (they strongly espouse it), Hispanics, again and again, look just like the “working class” in their attitudes and not at all like “progressives.”
Even when they aren’t identical to “working class” attitudes, Hispanic attitudes remain vastly different from those of “strong progressives.” On immigration, for example, 97% of “strong progressives” favor easier immigration over tougher enforcement. Hispanics are evenly divided on the question, 44% to 47%.
Despite these noticeable changes the Democrat Party seems content to die on the hill of CRT, systemic racism, environmental alarmism, and transgender activism even if means losing a large chunk of their voting base that they once thought would bring them a permanent majority.
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