Conservatives. Are We A Little Bit Wary/Suspicious Of The Pennsylvania Senate Race Polling? Aren't There More Republicans Than Dems In Pennsylvania?

[My_Chinchilla_Is_A_Racist]

And not just the fact that there should be more registered GOP's than Dem's in Pennsylvania, all you have to do is just look at the Democratic Candidate. Does he come on as someone that up to 55/60 percent of all Pennsylvania voters are so excited over that they have to go to the bathroom 12 times a day being they just cannot contain themselves over this well dress man? Something just can't be right with his polls leading all the time! Do you guys all see it this way too?

 

[TheGreatSatan]

If you don't find the Democrats, their child drag shows, and their child trans surgery creepy, you're creepy.

 

[White 6]

And not just the fact that there should be more registered GOP's than Dem's in Pennsylvania, all you have to do is just look at the Democratic Candidate. Does he come on as someone that up to 55/60 percent of all Pennsylvania voters are so excited over that they have to go to the bathroom 12 times a day being they just cannot contain themselves over this well dress man? Something just can't be right with his polls leading all the time! Do you guys all see it this way too?

They might be sensitive to the fact, Oz is not even a Pennsylvanian. He just came to run there with a Trump endorsement and the people might actually want to be represented by somebody from their own state.

 

[JustAGuy1]

Nobody with a brain listens to the pollsters.

 

[My_Chinchilla_Is_A_Racist]

im so excited over fletterman that it actually cleared up my violent hemmorhoids

 

[My_Chinchilla_Is_A_Racist]

They might be sensitive to the fact, Oz is not even a Pennsylvanian. He just came to run there with a Trump endorsement and the people might actually want to be represented by somebody from their own state.
View attachment 710678

and thats all he had on the wizard of OZ? so what? look at Bill Clintons past before he became President in 1992

 

[JustAGuy1]

They might be sensitive to the fact, Oz is not even a Pennsylvanian. He just came to run there with a Trump endorsement and the people might actually want to be represented by somebody from their own state.
View attachment 710678

It didn't matter that Killary wasn't a New Yorker.

 

[blackhawk]

RCP has Fetterman up by three withing the margin of error basically tied.

 

[My_Chinchilla_Is_A_Racist]

i just found this

Pennsylvania has about 4 million registered Democrats, 3.4 million registered Republicans and about 1.3 million voters who are either registered with another party or with no party affiliation.
so unless this can be updated,,,,we have 1.3 million independents. and they generally vote GOP when we are in a RECESSION!!!

 

[My_Chinchilla_Is_A_Racist]

RCP has Fetterman up by three withing the margin of error basically tied.

looks like its gonna come down to independents again.

 

[Vrenn]

And not just the fact that there should be more registered GOP's than Dem's in Pennsylvania, all you have to do is just look at the Democratic Candidate. Does he come on as someone that up to 55/60 percent of all Pennsylvania voters are so excited over that they have to go to the bathroom 12 times a day being they just cannot contain themselves over this well dress man? Something just can't be right with his polls leading all the time! Do you guys all see it this way too?

So you are already setting up the "Steal" .

 

[White 6]

It didn't matter that Killary wasn't a New Yorker.

That New York went for it, does seem bizarre.
Trump tried to move somebody into Tennessee to run for a new seat after redistricting. Red state or no red state, Tennessee will be represented by Tennesseans. The legislature stepped in with a new law. Donny may be popular here, but he can keep his out-of-state carpet baggers.

 

[My_Chinchilla_Is_A_Racist]

It didn't matter that Killary wasn't a New Yorker.

wasnt senator al franken from the isle of misfits?

 

[1srelluc]

Nobody with a brain listens to the pollsters.

That and the 'submerged" gop voter does not participate in polls forcing "weighted polling" which is dubious at best.

Polling has been turned completely on it's ear and that's why outfits like RCP have put a shot across the pollster's bow to shape up or not be included.

As a example check the poll results in the MI Governor's race. The average is skewed by outrider polls showing Whitmer ahead by double digits.....They are all Detroit based polls.

https://www.realclearpolitics.com/e.../michigan_governor_dixon_vs_whitmer-7545.html

 

[scruffy]

im so excited over fletterman that it actually cleared up my violent hemmorhoids

You should take it easy on that critter.

 

[busybee01]

That and the 'submerged" gop voter does not participate in polls forcing "weighted polling" which is dubious at best.

Polling has been turned completely on it's ear and that's why outfits like RCP have put a shot across the pollster's bow to shape up or not be included.

As a example check the poll results in the MI Governor's race. The average is skewed by outrider polls showing Whitmer ahead by double digits.....They are all Detroit based polls.

https://www.realclearpolitics.com/e.../michigan_governor_dixon_vs_whitmer-7545.html

There is no submerged gop vote. The question is what the voter turnout will be. RCP is not the gospel on polls. It is often a matter of luck. You can have different results based on the turnout. In 20223, I can tell you who the winner will be based on turnout. If it is a normal turnout then Republicans likely will win. The higher the turnout, the better the chance of Democrats winning. 3 special US House elections have been held in 2022. Al three of them were held by Republicans. Democrats took 2 of them and in a district won by Trump by 15, Republicans held the seat by 4. All of them had much higher turnout than expected.

In both Pennsylvania and Michigan, Republicans are running far right wing candidates. In Michigan, there will be a large turnout to vote on a amendment to codify Roe vs Wade. That will help Democrats. If a anti-abortion amendment can lose by double digits in a red state, we can imagine what this amendment will win by.

 

[busybee01]

i just found this

Pennsylvania has about 4 million registered Democrats, 3.4 million registered Republicans and about 1.3 million voters who are either registered with another party or with no party affiliation.
so unless this can be updated,,,,we have 1.3 million independents. and they generally vote GOP when we are in a RECESSION!!!

I predict that this election will be a referendum on Trump not the economy. If Republicans win Congress, they will cause a recession by allowing the US to default on it's debt by refusing to raise the debt limit.

 

[Resnic]

They might be sensitive to the fact, Oz is not even a Pennsylvanian. He just came to run there with a Trump endorsement and the people might actually want to be represented by somebody from their own state.
View attachment 710678

They want a guy with a shitty ghetto gotee that shows up with a Carhartt hoodie sporting his tats?

A guy that has a medical problem so bad he can't have a debate while running for a office? If he can't even have a debate how is he fit to run the office?

They want a guy who wants to get rid of cash bail and let criminals back on the streets faster and easier?

Fetterman supported ending cash bail 'so we don’t criminalize poverty and we don’t criminalize race'

Fetterman said in 2018 that Democrats favor an end to cash bail in an effort not to “criminalize poverty” or “criminalize race."

news.yahoo.com

They want a guy who wants to legalize drugs and have tax payer funded heroin injection sites for dope heads?

Pennsylvania Democrat John Fetterman Again Suggests He Supports Legalizing Heroin: ‘This Is a Thing!’

‘Unfortunately I was right’

news.grabien.com

I don't think they do, at least the vast majority of people who vote don't want him.

 

[1srelluc]

There is no submerged gop vote. The question is what the voter turnout will be. RCP is not the gospel on polls. It is often a matter of luck. You can have different results based on the turnout. In 20223, I can tell you who the winner will be based on turnout. If it is a normal turnout then Republicans likely will win. The higher the turnout, the better the chance of Democrats winning. 3 special US House elections have been held in 2022. Al three of them were held by Republicans. Democrats took 2 of them and in a district won by Trump by 15, Republicans held the seat by 4. All of them had much higher turnout than expected.

In both Pennsylvania and Michigan, Republicans are running far right wing candidates. In Michigan, there will be a large turnout to vote on a amendment to codify Roe vs Wade. That will help Democrats. If a anti-abortion amendment can lose by double digits in a red state, we can imagine what this amendment will win by.

LOL.....Go ahead and hang your hat on "Mah Abortion".....May as well because that's all you got.

 

[Dragonlady]

and thats all he had on the wizard of OZ? so what? look at Bill Clintons past before he became President in 1992

Well there’s all those quack supplements and cures he sells on television, and his general lack of reputation. He’s been fined for lying to his viewers. He fits right into the Trump cult.