CBS Battleground tracker: Sanders +10 (IA), +22 (NH), Clinton +23 (SC)

[Statistikhengst]

Battleground Tracker: Trump leads GOP field in IA, NH, SC - Election 2016 - CBS News

Internals are at the link, in three reports.

IA:

Sanders 43
Clinton 33
Biden 10

Margin: Sanders +10

NH:

Sanders 52
Clinton 30
Biden 9

Margin: Sanders +22


SC:

Clinton 46
Sanders 23
Biden 22

Margin: Clinton +23

 

[Zander]

Looks like hiLIARy is increasingly evitable....

 

[Toro]

Hillary will be the candidate. She has too much money and too big of an infrastructure.

However, it is fun to watch.

It must feel awfully deja vu for her.

 

[Zander]

Hillary will be the candidate. She has too much money and too big of an infrastructure.

However, it is fun to watch.

It must feel awfully deja vu for her.

Democrats are so desperate for an alternative to hiLIARy that they are supporting a Socialist crackpot.

If Biden jumps in- he will give her a real run for the money. hiLIARy's "infrastructure" and money may not be enough to overcome this....

 

[Statistikhengst]

Santorum won IA in 2012. Romney won the nomination.
Tsongas won NH in 1992. Clinton won the nomination.
Dean won NH in 2004. Kerry won the nomination.
Buchanan won NH in 1996. Dole won the nomination.
Gephardt won IA in 1988. Dukakis won the nomination.
Bush won IA in 1980. Reagan won the nomination.


Anyone seeing a pattern, here?

 

[Zander]

Santorum won IA in 2012. Romney won the nomination.
Tsongas won NH in 1992. Clinton won the nomination.
Dean won NH in 2004. Kerry won the nomination.
Buchanan won NH in 1996. Dole won the nomination.
Gephardt won IA in 1988. Dukakis won the nomination.
Bush won IA in 1980. Reagan won the nomination.


Anyone seeing a pattern, here?

How many candidates won both IA and NH and then lost the nomination?

 

[Statistikhengst]

Santorum won IA in 2012. Romney won the nomination.
Tsongas won NH in 1992. Clinton won the nomination.
Dean won NH in 2004. Kerry won the nomination.
Buchanan won NH in 1996. Dole won the nomination.
Gephardt won IA in 1988. Dukakis won the nomination.
Bush won IA in 1980. Reagan won the nomination.


Anyone seeing a pattern, here?

How many candidates won both IA and NH and then lost the nomination?

Not sure. But most of them did win SC and win the nomination.



The point is that the 95% white nature of both IA and NH make it easier for Sanders, whereas Hillary is tromping in the non-white vote, which is a far more important component of the Democratic Party and practically non-existent within the Republican Party.

You are welcome.

 

[Zander]

Santorum won IA in 2012. Romney won the nomination.
Tsongas won NH in 1992. Clinton won the nomination.
Dean won NH in 2004. Kerry won the nomination.
Buchanan won NH in 1996. Dole won the nomination.
Gephardt won IA in 1988. Dukakis won the nomination.
Bush won IA in 1980. Reagan won the nomination.


Anyone seeing a pattern, here?

How many candidates won both IA and NH and then lost the nomination?

Not sure. But most of them did win SC and win the nomination.



The point is that the 95% white nature of both IA and NH make it easier for Sanders, whereas Hillary is tromping in the non-white vote, which is a far more important component of the Democratic Party and practically non-existent within the Republican Party.

You are welcome.

Trump is drawing 25% of the black vote if he runs against hiLIARy according to this poll.

Must be a "bad" poll, eh?

 

[DarkFury]

Santorum won IA in 2012. Romney won the nomination.
Tsongas won NH in 1992. Clinton won the nomination.
Dean won NH in 2004. Kerry won the nomination.
Buchanan won NH in 1996. Dole won the nomination.
Gephardt won IA in 1988. Dukakis won the nomination.
Bush won IA in 1980. Reagan won the nomination.


Anyone seeing a pattern, here?

How many candidates won both IA and NH and then lost the nomination?

Not sure. But most of them did win SC and win the nomination.



The point is that the 95% white nature of both IA and NH make it easier for Sanders, whereas Hillary is tromping in the non-white vote, which is a far more important component of the Democratic Party and practically non-existent within the Republican Party.

You are welcome.

The OP is forgetting something in Sanders favor. Back in his college days Sanders organized and took part in "sit ins" for equal housing laws IN South Carolina.

 

[DarkFury]

Santorum won IA in 2012. Romney won the nomination.
Tsongas won NH in 1992. Clinton won the nomination.
Dean won NH in 2004. Kerry won the nomination.
Buchanan won NH in 1996. Dole won the nomination.
Gephardt won IA in 1988. Dukakis won the nomination.
Bush won IA in 1980. Reagan won the nomination.


Anyone seeing a pattern, here?

The pattern I see is you cherry picking two DIFFERENT states to SALVAGE your opine. A pattern would be ONE state. But then again it IS a salvage operation being used in a desperate attempt to save your skewed slighted bigoted opine.

 

[Toro]

Trump is drawing 25% of the black vote if he runs against hiLIARy according to this poll.

Must be a "bad" poll, eh?

If any Republican gets a quarter of the black vote, they'll be President.

 

[Statistikhengst]

Santorum won IA in 2012. Romney won the nomination.
Tsongas won NH in 1992. Clinton won the nomination.
Dean won NH in 2004. Kerry won the nomination.
Buchanan won NH in 1996. Dole won the nomination.
Gephardt won IA in 1988. Dukakis won the nomination.
Bush won IA in 1980. Reagan won the nomination.


Anyone seeing a pattern, here?

How many candidates won both IA and NH and then lost the nomination?

Not sure. But most of them did win SC and win the nomination.



The point is that the 95% white nature of both IA and NH make it easier for Sanders, whereas Hillary is tromping in the non-white vote, which is a far more important component of the Democratic Party and practically non-existent within the Republican Party.

You are welcome.

Trump is drawing 25% of the black vote if he runs against hiLIARy according to this poll.

Must be a "bad" poll, eh?

25% of Black REPUBLICAN voters, not of all voters.

You do understand the difference, right?

 

[ScienceRocks]

Statisikhegst,,,

What do you think of republican chances in Ohio? That is probably the deal maker this election.

 

[Zander]

Santorum won IA in 2012. Romney won the nomination.
Tsongas won NH in 1992. Clinton won the nomination.
Dean won NH in 2004. Kerry won the nomination.
Buchanan won NH in 1996. Dole won the nomination.
Gephardt won IA in 1988. Dukakis won the nomination.
Bush won IA in 1980. Reagan won the nomination.


Anyone seeing a pattern, here?

How many candidates won both IA and NH and then lost the nomination?

Not sure. But most of them did win SC and win the nomination.



The point is that the 95% white nature of both IA and NH make it easier for Sanders, whereas Hillary is tromping in the non-white vote, which is a far more important component of the Democratic Party and practically non-existent within the Republican Party.

You are welcome.

Trump is drawing 25% of the black vote if he runs against hiLIARy according to this poll.

Must be a "bad" poll, eh?

25% of Black REPUBLICAN voters, not of all voters.

You do understand the difference, right?

You're wrong. Self soothing?

Cell-phone and home-phone respondents are included in this survey. SurveyUSA interviewed 1,000 USA adults 09/02/15 and 09/03/15. Of the adults, 900 were registered to vote. Of the registered voters, 58% (522) pay "a lot" of attention to politics. This survey was conducted using blended sample, mixed-mode. Respondents reachable on a home telephone (62% of registered voters) were interviewed on their home (landline) telephone in the recorded voice of a professional announcer. Respondents not reachable on a home telephone (38% of registered voters) were shown a question on their smartphone, tablet or other electronic device. Cell respondents, as is typically the case, vote more Democratic than do landline respondents. Among just the universe of cell-phone respondents, Clinton defeats Trump by 16 points; Sanders defeats Trump by 12 points; Biden defeats Trump by 17 points; and Gore defeats Trump by 17 points. The more cell-phone respondents a pollster includes in its "mix" of voters, the more Democratic the poll results will be.
​

 

[Toro]

25% of Black REPUBLICAN voters, not of all voters.

You do understand the difference, right?

Actually, it is of the 900 respondents in the poll, regardless of party affiliation.

Re-read it.

SurveyUSA interviewed 1,000 USA adults 09/02/15 and 09/03/15. Of the adults, 900 were registered to vote. ...

In 2016, America will elect a President. If the election for President of the United States were today, and the only two names on the ballot were Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump, who would you vote for?

900 Registered Voters
​

SurveyUSA Election Poll #22490

 

[Geaux4it]

The democratic ticket is a disaster in the making.

Bernie?

LMAO

-Geaux

 

[Statistikhengst]

25% of Black REPUBLICAN voters, not of all voters.

You do understand the difference, right?

Actually, it is of the 900 respondents in the poll, regardless of party affiliation.

Re-read it.

SurveyUSA interviewed 1,000 USA adults 09/02/15 and 09/03/15. Of the adults, 900 were registered to vote. ...

In 2016, America will elect a President. If the election for President of the United States were today, and the only two names on the ballot were Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump, who would you vote for?

900 Registered Voters
​

SurveyUSA Election Poll #22490

Oh sorry, I was thinking of a different poll. Yes, I already laughed but good over that 25% data and already pointed out, on another thread, how unbelievably off SUSA has been in minority vote calculations . But yes, in this case, we are referring to all (of the few) black respondents in this one poll. Lol.

Gesendet von meinem GT-I9515 mit Tapatalk

 

[DarkFury]

The democratic ticket is a disaster in the making.

Bernie?

LMAO

-Geaux

Maybe after this crap from the DNC wonks is over and Hillary goes to prison Bill can get a TV show called "Whose your daddy?"

 

[Zander]

25% of Black REPUBLICAN voters, not of all voters.

You do understand the difference, right?

Actually, it is of the 900 respondents in the poll, regardless of party affiliation.

Re-read it.

SurveyUSA interviewed 1,000 USA adults 09/02/15 and 09/03/15. Of the adults, 900 were registered to vote. ...

In 2016, America will elect a President. If the election for President of the United States were today, and the only two names on the ballot were Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump, who would you vote for?

900 Registered Voters
​

SurveyUSA Election Poll #22490

Oh sorry, I was thinking of a different poll. Yes, I already laughed but good over that 25% data and already pointed out, on another thread, how unbelievably off SUSA has been in minority vote calculations . But yes, in this case, we are referring to all (of the few) black respondents in this one poll. Lol.

Gesendet von meinem GT-I9515 mit Tapatalk

Yeah, it's a "bad" poll.

 

[Preacher]

Santorum won IA in 2012. Romney won the nomination.
Tsongas won NH in 1992. Clinton won the nomination.
Dean won NH in 2004. Kerry won the nomination.
Buchanan won NH in 1996. Dole won the nomination.
Gephardt won IA in 1988. Dukakis won the nomination.
Bush won IA in 1980. Reagan won the nomination.


Anyone seeing a pattern, here?

How many candidates won both IA and NH and then lost the nomination?

None that I can find although Clinton lost both and still won nomination!

Bill Clinton Lost Iowa and New Hampshire Primaries