Do you believe it was the mortgage fraud driving the rising prices by creating artificial demand?
Absolutely not! It was stupidity in the fiscal and monetary policy of Clinton and Bush allowing interest levels to be so artificially low allowing buyers to buy when their credit was not good enough; and, allowing those low interest rates to allow people to buy more house than they could afford. It was also the fault of the government in allowing speculators to use ARMs with very low initial rates, hoping to flip their property before interest went up, then making their payment so high they could not pay it before the property could be sold.
BTW you did note that the FBI warning was about the financial loss of banking institutions rather than being aimed at the people buying and selling. You will also have to recognize that when the banks started PROTECTING themselves against loss by bundling many toxic loans they did so to prevent those losses to valuable lending institutions so needed by the government and the people to use to buy homes. (not low credit risks which were solicited by the government through CRA to "give more people the ability to own their home." You do realize that that solicitation brought people scrambling into a hot real estate market when they had no reasonable expectation to actually buy a house.
I blame the left wing extremist administration idiots who thought poor non credit worthy people deserve to own their own home when they really could not pay for them, much more than the investment bankers trying to mitigate their losses.
If you are going to address these issues, you really should educate yourself as to what they are and the impact on the market.
Look at the graph again, maybe you will understand it this time.
I couldn't help noticing your "educated" rant against government didn't mention the role of private ratings agencies.
Why is that?
1. I don't rant.
2. I explained what genuine economists say about the housing crash.
"Fraud is the principal credit risk of nonprime mortgage lending.
"It is impossible to detect fraud without reviewing a sample of the loan files.
"Paper loan files are bulky, so they are photographed and the images are stored on computer tapes.
"Unfortunately, 'most investors' (the large commercial and investment banks that purchased nonprime loans and pooled them to create financial derivatives) did not review the loan files before purchasing nonprime loans and did not even require the lender to provide loan tapes.
"The rating agencies never reviewed samples of loan files before giving AAA ratings to nonprime mortgage financial derivatives.
"The 'AAA' rating is supposed to indicate that there is virtually no credit risk -- the risk is equivalent to U.S. government bonds, which finance refers to as 'risk-free.'
"We know that the rating agencies attained their lucrative profits because they gave AAA ratings to nonprime financial derivatives exposed to staggering default risk.
"A graph of their profits in this era rises like a stairway to heaven [PDF].
"We also know that turning a blind eye to the mortgage fraud epidemic was the only way the rating agencies could hope to attain those profits.
"If they had reviewed even small samples of nonprime loans they would have had only two choices: (1) rating them as toxic waste, which would have made it impossible to sell the nonprime financial derivatives or (2) documenting that they were committing, and aiding and abetting, accounting control fraud."
William K. Black: The Two Documents Everyone Should Read to Better Understand the Crisis