Why can't you invest when taxes go up? You don't pay taxes on money you put back in the business, so what difference does the tax rate make when it comes to making an investment?
Use WACC.......show that it makes no difference.
The WACC is irrelevant in this case. You don't pay taxes on money you reinvest in the business. So why should the tax rate make a difference?
You still haven't figured out your WACC confusion, have you?
I am not confused,
The rate of corporate tax that companies pay in the U.S. plays a major part in determining WACC because as tax rates go up, the WACC falls.
A company’s weighted average cost of capital, commonly abbreviated as WACC, is part of the calculation of a required return necessary to make a capital-budgeting project worth undertaking. Corporate taxes impact the WACC calculation because of many factors, including deductions and the tax rate.
yourbusiness.azcentral.com
Cool. So prove your claim that someone is more likely to invest at a 35% corporate rate than at a 21% corporate rate. Assume a pre-tax profit of $1 million.......
Do you really believe that a company would refuse a one million dollar profit because they have to pay taxes? Let's say the tax rate is 50%, what, the company doesn't want to put a half million dollars in the bank at the end of the year?
But you are creating a scenario that has no bearing on the real world. Companies don't know if a capital investment will pay off or not. If you want to know how the WACC factors in, along with the marginal tax rate, I will give it a shot.
Typically companies have an IRR that is required to initiate a capital investment. The anticipated IRR is usually projected using a Monte Carlo stimulation with an optimistic projection, a pessimistic projection, and an average baseline projection. If the results project a higher than required IRR the project will be implemented. We have already established that the WACC is inversely related to the marginal tax rate, so the higher the marginal tax rate the lower the WACC and thereby the higher the generated IRR. Typically, that required IRR is lower when marginal tax rates are higher because the risk of loss is offset by the tax implications of that loss.
We see that playing out today. Companies are sitting on piles of cash, and the investments they are making are usually very low risk, low returning, investments. That is because the lower corporate tax rate has increased the cost of a bad investment, they are risk averse. There is an old saying among old time investment managers. It is not the return on an investment a business is concerned with, it is the return of the investment.
So I will make a prediction. If Biden is able to push through a corporate tax increase, which I doubt he can with the current Senate, business investment will increase more sharply than it did when Trump cut that rate.