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2 degrees Celsius has become the catchphrase that people around the world use when talking about climate change and how much average global temperatures will rise by the end of this century. It was the talisman that empowered the Paris climate accords in December 2015. It’s the amount of heating that many climate scientists say the earth can tolerate without global warming going completely off the rails and over a cliff.
climate change
The new projected global average temperature change by 2100 is 3.2 degrees C, with a 90% chance it will fall within 2.0-4.9 degrees C. Source: Adrian Raftery/University of Washington
But a new study by researchers at the University of Washington and funded by the National Institute of Health finds that average temperature rise will most likely be 3.2 degrees Celsius by 2100. They say 2°C is the “best case scenario.” In fact, they say there is a 90% chance that global temperatures will increase between 2° and 4.9° Celsius. That upper number is equivalent to just under 9° Fahrenheit.
“Our analysis shows that the goal of 2 degrees is very much a best-case scenario,” says lead author Adrian Raftery, a UW professor of statistics and sociology. “It is achievable, but only with major, sustained effort on all fronts over the next 80 years. Our analysis is compatible with previous estimates, but it finds that the most optimistic projections are unlikely to happen,” Raftery says. “We’re closer to the margin than we think.”
Statistically, the researchers found there is only a 5% chance that Earth will warm 2 degrees or less by the end of this century. The chance that warming will be at or below 1.5 degrees is less than 1%.
The most recent report from the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) included future warming rates based on four scenarios for future carbon emissions. The scenarios ranged from “business-as-usual” emissions from growing economies to serious worldwide efforts to transition away from fossil fuels.
“The IPCC was clear that these scenarios were not forecasts,” Raftery said. “The big problem with scenarios is that you don’t know how likely they are, and whether they span the full range of possibilities or are just a few examples. Scientifically, this type of storytelling approach was not fully satisfying.”
Rather than use the IPCC approach, the researchers focused on three factors they believe are more relevant to predicting climate change — total world population, gross domestic product per person, and the amount of carbon emitted for each dollar of economic activity, a factor known as carbon intensity.
Nice to see the Mathew propaganda machine is in full operation..2° Celsius Rise In Global Temperature Is Climate Change “Best Case Scenario”
August 10th, 2017 by Steve Hanley
2 degrees Celsius has become the catchphrase that people around the world use when talking about climate change and how much average global temperatures will rise by the end of this century. It was the talisman that empowered the Paris climate accords in December 2015. It’s the amount of heating that many climate scientists say the earth can tolerate without global warming going completely off the rails and over a cliff.
climate change
The new projected global average temperature change by 2100 is 3.2 degrees C, with a 90% chance it will fall within 2.0-4.9 degrees C. Source: Adrian Raftery/University of Washington
But a new study by researchers at the University of Washington and funded by the National Institute of Health finds that average temperature rise will most likely be 3.2 degrees Celsius by 2100. They say 2°C is the “best case scenario.” In fact, they say there is a 90% chance that global temperatures will increase between 2° and 4.9° Celsius. That upper number is equivalent to just under 9° Fahrenheit.
“Our analysis shows that the goal of 2 degrees is very much a best-case scenario,” says lead author Adrian Raftery, a UW professor of statistics and sociology. “It is achievable, but only with major, sustained effort on all fronts over the next 80 years. Our analysis is compatible with previous estimates, but it finds that the most optimistic projections are unlikely to happen,” Raftery says. “We’re closer to the margin than we think.”
Statistically, the researchers found there is only a 5% chance that Earth will warm 2 degrees or less by the end of this century. The chance that warming will be at or below 1.5 degrees is less than 1%.
The most recent report from the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) included future warming rates based on four scenarios for future carbon emissions. The scenarios ranged from “business-as-usual” emissions from growing economies to serious worldwide efforts to transition away from fossil fuels.
“The IPCC was clear that these scenarios were not forecasts,” Raftery said. “The big problem with scenarios is that you don’t know how likely they are, and whether they span the full range of possibilities or are just a few examples. Scientifically, this type of storytelling approach was not fully satisfying.”
Rather than use the IPCC approach, the researchers focused on three factors they believe are more relevant to predicting climate change — total world population, gross domestic product per person, and the amount of carbon emitted for each dollar of economic activity, a factor known as carbon intensity.
2° Celsius Rise In Global Temperature Is Climate Change “Best Case Scenario”
wow is all I will say!
2° Celsius Rise In Global Temperature Is Climate Change “Best Case Scenario”
August 10th, 2017 by Steve Hanley
2 degrees Celsius has become the catchphrase that people around the world use when talking about climate change and how much average global temperatures will rise by the end of this century. It was the talisman that empowered the Paris climate accords in December 2015. It’s the amount of heating that many climate scientists say the earth can tolerate without global warming going completely off the rails and over a cliff.
climate change
The new projected global average temperature change by 2100 is 3.2 degrees C, with a 90% chance it will fall within 2.0-4.9 degrees C. Source: Adrian Raftery/University of Washington
But a new study by researchers at the University of Washington and funded by the National Institute of Health finds that average temperature rise will most likely be 3.2 degrees Celsius by 2100. They say 2°C is the “best case scenario.” In fact, they say there is a 90% chance that global temperatures will increase between 2° and 4.9° Celsius. That upper number is equivalent to just under 9° Fahrenheit.
“Our analysis shows that the goal of 2 degrees is very much a best-case scenario,” says lead author Adrian Raftery, a UW professor of statistics and sociology. “It is achievable, but only with major, sustained effort on all fronts over the next 80 years. Our analysis is compatible with previous estimates, but it finds that the most optimistic projections are unlikely to happen,” Raftery says. “We’re closer to the margin than we think.”
Statistically, the researchers found there is only a 5% chance that Earth will warm 2 degrees or less by the end of this century. The chance that warming will be at or below 1.5 degrees is less than 1%.
The most recent report from the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) included future warming rates based on four scenarios for future carbon emissions. The scenarios ranged from “business-as-usual” emissions from growing economies to serious worldwide efforts to transition away from fossil fuels.
“The IPCC was clear that these scenarios were not forecasts,” Raftery said. “The big problem with scenarios is that you don’t know how likely they are, and whether they span the full range of possibilities or are just a few examples. Scientifically, this type of storytelling approach was not fully satisfying.”
Rather than use the IPCC approach, the researchers focused on three factors they believe are more relevant to predicting climate change — total world population, gross domestic product per person, and the amount of carbon emitted for each dollar of economic activity, a factor known as carbon intensity.
2° Celsius Rise In Global Temperature Is Climate Change “Best Case Scenario”
wow is all I will say!
Nice to see the Mathew propaganda machine is in full operation..2° Celsius Rise In Global Temperature Is Climate Change “Best Case Scenario”
August 10th, 2017 by Steve Hanley
2 degrees Celsius has become the catchphrase that people around the world use when talking about climate change and how much average global temperatures will rise by the end of this century. It was the talisman that empowered the Paris climate accords in December 2015. It’s the amount of heating that many climate scientists say the earth can tolerate without global warming going completely off the rails and over a cliff.
climate change
The new projected global average temperature change by 2100 is 3.2 degrees C, with a 90% chance it will fall within 2.0-4.9 degrees C. Source: Adrian Raftery/University of Washington
But a new study by researchers at the University of Washington and funded by the National Institute of Health finds that average temperature rise will most likely be 3.2 degrees Celsius by 2100. They say 2°C is the “best case scenario.” In fact, they say there is a 90% chance that global temperatures will increase between 2° and 4.9° Celsius. That upper number is equivalent to just under 9° Fahrenheit.
“Our analysis shows that the goal of 2 degrees is very much a best-case scenario,” says lead author Adrian Raftery, a UW professor of statistics and sociology. “It is achievable, but only with major, sustained effort on all fronts over the next 80 years. Our analysis is compatible with previous estimates, but it finds that the most optimistic projections are unlikely to happen,” Raftery says. “We’re closer to the margin than we think.”
Statistically, the researchers found there is only a 5% chance that Earth will warm 2 degrees or less by the end of this century. The chance that warming will be at or below 1.5 degrees is less than 1%.
The most recent report from the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) included future warming rates based on four scenarios for future carbon emissions. The scenarios ranged from “business-as-usual” emissions from growing economies to serious worldwide efforts to transition away from fossil fuels.
“The IPCC was clear that these scenarios were not forecasts,” Raftery said. “The big problem with scenarios is that you don’t know how likely they are, and whether they span the full range of possibilities or are just a few examples. Scientifically, this type of storytelling approach was not fully satisfying.”
Rather than use the IPCC approach, the researchers focused on three factors they believe are more relevant to predicting climate change — total world population, gross domestic product per person, and the amount of carbon emitted for each dollar of economic activity, a factor known as carbon intensity.
2° Celsius Rise In Global Temperature Is Climate Change “Best Case Scenario”
wow is all I will say!
A failed model being propped up by ANOTHER FAILED MODEL..
Tell me Mathew where is your empirical observed evidence?
2° Celsius Rise In Global Temperature Is Climate Change “Best Case Scenario”
August 10th, 2017 by Steve Hanley
2 degrees Celsius has become the catchphrase that people around the world use when talking about climate change and how much average global temperatures will rise by the end of this century. It was the talisman that empowered the Paris climate accords in December 2015. It’s the amount of heating that many climate scientists say the earth can tolerate without global warming going completely off the rails and over a cliff.
climate change
The new projected global average temperature change by 2100 is 3.2 degrees C, with a 90% chance it will fall within 2.0-4.9 degrees C. Source: Adrian Raftery/University of Washington
But a new study by researchers at the University of Washington and funded by the National Institute of Health finds that average temperature rise will most likely be 3.2 degrees Celsius by 2100. They say 2°C is the “best case scenario.” In fact, they say there is a 90% chance that global temperatures will increase between 2° and 4.9° Celsius. That upper number is equivalent to just under 9° Fahrenheit.
“Our analysis shows that the goal of 2 degrees is very much a best-case scenario,” says lead author Adrian Raftery, a UW professor of statistics and sociology. “It is achievable, but only with major, sustained effort on all fronts over the next 80 years. Our analysis is compatible with previous estimates, but it finds that the most optimistic projections are unlikely to happen,” Raftery says. “We’re closer to the margin than we think.”
Statistically, the researchers found there is only a 5% chance that Earth will warm 2 degrees or less by the end of this century. The chance that warming will be at or below 1.5 degrees is less than 1%.
The most recent report from the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) included future warming rates based on four scenarios for future carbon emissions. The scenarios ranged from “business-as-usual” emissions from growing economies to serious worldwide efforts to transition away from fossil fuels.
“The IPCC was clear that these scenarios were not forecasts,” Raftery said. “The big problem with scenarios is that you don’t know how likely they are, and whether they span the full range of possibilities or are just a few examples. Scientifically, this type of storytelling approach was not fully satisfying.”
Rather than use the IPCC approach, the researchers focused on three factors they believe are more relevant to predicting climate change — total world population, gross domestic product per person, and the amount of carbon emitted for each dollar of economic activity, a factor known as carbon intensity.
2° Celsius Rise In Global Temperature Is Climate Change “Best Case Scenario”
wow is all I will say!
"I wish I was like you, easily amused..."
Whiffs on the easy lay-up pop culture reference."I wish I was like you, easily amused..."
Believe me, this isn't amusing.
Lets show just how stupid you really are..Nice to see the Mathew propaganda machine is in full operation..2° Celsius Rise In Global Temperature Is Climate Change “Best Case Scenario”
August 10th, 2017 by Steve Hanley
2 degrees Celsius has become the catchphrase that people around the world use when talking about climate change and how much average global temperatures will rise by the end of this century. It was the talisman that empowered the Paris climate accords in December 2015. It’s the amount of heating that many climate scientists say the earth can tolerate without global warming going completely off the rails and over a cliff.
climate change
The new projected global average temperature change by 2100 is 3.2 degrees C, with a 90% chance it will fall within 2.0-4.9 degrees C. Source: Adrian Raftery/University of Washington
But a new study by researchers at the University of Washington and funded by the National Institute of Health finds that average temperature rise will most likely be 3.2 degrees Celsius by 2100. They say 2°C is the “best case scenario.” In fact, they say there is a 90% chance that global temperatures will increase between 2° and 4.9° Celsius. That upper number is equivalent to just under 9° Fahrenheit.
“Our analysis shows that the goal of 2 degrees is very much a best-case scenario,” says lead author Adrian Raftery, a UW professor of statistics and sociology. “It is achievable, but only with major, sustained effort on all fronts over the next 80 years. Our analysis is compatible with previous estimates, but it finds that the most optimistic projections are unlikely to happen,” Raftery says. “We’re closer to the margin than we think.”
Statistically, the researchers found there is only a 5% chance that Earth will warm 2 degrees or less by the end of this century. The chance that warming will be at or below 1.5 degrees is less than 1%.
The most recent report from the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) included future warming rates based on four scenarios for future carbon emissions. The scenarios ranged from “business-as-usual” emissions from growing economies to serious worldwide efforts to transition away from fossil fuels.
“The IPCC was clear that these scenarios were not forecasts,” Raftery said. “The big problem with scenarios is that you don’t know how likely they are, and whether they span the full range of possibilities or are just a few examples. Scientifically, this type of storytelling approach was not fully satisfying.”
Rather than use the IPCC approach, the researchers focused on three factors they believe are more relevant to predicting climate change — total world population, gross domestic product per person, and the amount of carbon emitted for each dollar of economic activity, a factor known as carbon intensity.
2° Celsius Rise In Global Temperature Is Climate Change “Best Case Scenario”
wow is all I will say!
A failed model being propped up by ANOTHER FAILED MODEL..
Tell me Mathew where is your empirical observed evidence?
Where's yours? I ask you seriously, wheres yours? There isn't one ounce of data in the entire fucking world that supports your views and that is a goddamn fact.It would be like arguing that BIG FOOT is real but without proof or a line of evidence showing differently.
You have no DATA! What's to debate? You bring nothing to the table as you can only attack science and the temperature data with BULLSHIT. NOT FACTS, and sure as fuck not empirical evidence. What a joke.
https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v3/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt
Global Climate Report - June 2017 | State of the Climate | National Centers for Environmental Information (NCEI)
Global Temperature Report :: The University of Alabama in Huntsville
What do you have? I doubt you have one single database that disproves what I am saying. Even UAH and RSS agrees with me.
Where's yours? I ask you seriously, wheres yours? There isn't one ounce of data in the entire fucking world that supports your views and that is a goddamn fact.It would be like arguing that BIG FOOT is real but without proof or a line of evidence showing differently.
.
You just put an end to all the progtard global warming dumbfuckery in this thread.Lets show just how stupid you really are..Nice to see the Mathew propaganda machine is in full operation..2° Celsius Rise In Global Temperature Is Climate Change “Best Case Scenario”
August 10th, 2017 by Steve Hanley
2 degrees Celsius has become the catchphrase that people around the world use when talking about climate change and how much average global temperatures will rise by the end of this century. It was the talisman that empowered the Paris climate accords in December 2015. It’s the amount of heating that many climate scientists say the earth can tolerate without global warming going completely off the rails and over a cliff.
climate change
The new projected global average temperature change by 2100 is 3.2 degrees C, with a 90% chance it will fall within 2.0-4.9 degrees C. Source: Adrian Raftery/University of Washington
But a new study by researchers at the University of Washington and funded by the National Institute of Health finds that average temperature rise will most likely be 3.2 degrees Celsius by 2100. They say 2°C is the “best case scenario.” In fact, they say there is a 90% chance that global temperatures will increase between 2° and 4.9° Celsius. That upper number is equivalent to just under 9° Fahrenheit.
“Our analysis shows that the goal of 2 degrees is very much a best-case scenario,” says lead author Adrian Raftery, a UW professor of statistics and sociology. “It is achievable, but only with major, sustained effort on all fronts over the next 80 years. Our analysis is compatible with previous estimates, but it finds that the most optimistic projections are unlikely to happen,” Raftery says. “We’re closer to the margin than we think.”
Statistically, the researchers found there is only a 5% chance that Earth will warm 2 degrees or less by the end of this century. The chance that warming will be at or below 1.5 degrees is less than 1%.
The most recent report from the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) included future warming rates based on four scenarios for future carbon emissions. The scenarios ranged from “business-as-usual” emissions from growing economies to serious worldwide efforts to transition away from fossil fuels.
“The IPCC was clear that these scenarios were not forecasts,” Raftery said. “The big problem with scenarios is that you don’t know how likely they are, and whether they span the full range of possibilities or are just a few examples. Scientifically, this type of storytelling approach was not fully satisfying.”
Rather than use the IPCC approach, the researchers focused on three factors they believe are more relevant to predicting climate change — total world population, gross domestic product per person, and the amount of carbon emitted for each dollar of economic activity, a factor known as carbon intensity.
2° Celsius Rise In Global Temperature Is Climate Change “Best Case Scenario”
wow is all I will say!
A failed model being propped up by ANOTHER FAILED MODEL..
Tell me Mathew where is your empirical observed evidence?
Where's yours? I ask you seriously, wheres yours? There isn't one ounce of data in the entire fucking world that supports your views and that is a goddamn fact.It would be like arguing that BIG FOOT is real but without proof or a line of evidence showing differently.
You have no DATA! What's to debate? You bring nothing to the table as you can only attack science and the temperature data with BULLSHIT. NOT FACTS, and sure as fuck not empirical evidence. What a joke.
https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v3/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt
Global Climate Report - June 2017 | State of the Climate | National Centers for Environmental Information (NCEI)
Global Temperature Report :: The University of Alabama in Huntsville
What do you have? I doubt you have one single database that disproves what I am saying. Even UAH and RSS agrees with me.
Temperature:
The rise and fall of the earths temp is well within its historical 12 deg C range over 450 million years.
View attachment 143204
IF we increase resolution of time and shorten the duration we can see the wide swings, which are far greater and faster than today's warming.
View attachment 143206
If we take it further in time resolution to just our current interglacial, it gets far worse for your ilk.
View attachment 143207
The graphing I have shown you, shows that our current warming is nothing to fear and not unusual in earths history. CO2 has risen and fallen in respect to the natural warming and cooling laging by 200-800 years.
Now these are empirically observed and documented facts... Not the failed models you base your claims on. Lets see just how well your so called scientists do when they put their models up for real world empirical review..
View attachment 143209
Not only do your models fail but CO2 is a lagging indicator (which means it is not driving the climate). You've taken the lie, hook, line, and sinker... Your so called "evidence" (modeling) shows they are total failures and unreliable for any purpose.. I will call them simply, Garbage.
I'll put my Masters degree in Atmospheric Physics against your cult beliefs any day of the week..
