Ok so we're 18 trillion dollars in debt most of which is owed to china. So with the situation in Greece whats going to happen when we can't pay back that debt? I know we are a much bigger country and have a higher GDP but we spend and owe so much money that not even the billions of dollars the government collects in tax is enough , so we end up borrowing more and printing more money which is decreasing the value of the dollar if I'm not wrong.
Actually, the dollar is getting stronger and stronger right now.
We are the cleanest shirt in a pile of dirty shirts. While our debt is bad, it is nothing compared to the rest of the developed world. There is a currency war on right now. A race to the bottom, and we are losing.
What i meant about china is that out of all the countries we owe them the most most money I know that most of our debt is owed to ourselves and how come they say that the coming economic collapse is gonna be 10x worse than the great depression
Well, for the past six years someone has predicted another crash every five minutes. The law of averages says a doom and gloom prediction will eventually coincide with the next crash.
A wise man once said you can predict what the next crash will be, or you can predict when the next crash will be, but you cannot predict both at the same time.
I will tell you what the next crash will be.
The next crash will be the implosion of the Fed's bond bubble. As interest rates rise, the bonds that were bought during the bubble (ZIRP, QE I, QE II, QE III, QE Infinity, etc.), will suddenly become worth a lot less than the price that was paid for them.
Just like with housing, those bonds will be "underwater".
And just like with the housing bubble, there will be a loud POP! A much bigger pop, too, because the bond bubble dwarfs the housing bubble.
Now...the Fed (Ben Bernake, actually) swore they could handle the collapse of the bond bubble. Helicopter Ben swore with 100 percent confidence (literally) that we would have a soft landing.
Yeah. Just like Bush said we would have a soft landing from the housing bubble collapse. Go figure.
I don't buy it.
There is no way the Fed will be able to sell all those bonds and not lose a shitload of money. In fact, we are going to have to invent a new term because "shitload" won't even approach the disastrous losses of the bond bubble's fallout.
And that's not to mention the derivatives built on the bond bubble.
By the way, those "conservative" funds in your 401k portfolio? Those ones that say they invest in bonds? You better read the fine print. You will find a lot of "conservative" bond funds invest in bond derivatives.
Anyway, that's my guesstimate about the next crash. And I really do pray every day I am very, very wrong.
There is no way the Fed will be able to sell all those bonds and not lose a shitload of money.
Ok so we're 18 trillion dollars in debt most of which is owed to china. So with the situation in Greece whats going to happen when we can't pay back that debt? I know we are a much bigger country and have a higher GDP but we spend and owe so much money that not even the billions of dollars the government collects in tax is enough , so we end up borrowing more and printing more money which is decreasing the value of the dollar if I'm not wrong.
Actually, the dollar is getting stronger and stronger right now.
We are the cleanest shirt in a pile of dirty shirts. While our debt is bad, it is nothing compared to the rest of the developed world. There is a currency war on right now. A race to the bottom, and we are losing.
What i meant about china is that out of all the countries we owe them the most most money I know that most of our debt is owed to ourselves and how come they say that the coming economic collapse is gonna be 10x worse than the great depression
Well, for the past six years someone has predicted another crash every five minutes. The law of averages says a doom and gloom prediction will eventually coincide with the next crash.
A wise man once said you can predict what the next crash will be, or you can predict when the next crash will be, but you cannot predict both at the same time.
I will tell you what the next crash will be.
The next crash will be the implosion of the Fed's bond bubble. As interest rates rise, the bonds that were bought during the bubble (ZIRP, QE I, QE II, QE III, QE Infinity, etc.), will suddenly become worth a lot less than the price that was paid for them.
Just like with housing, those bonds will be "underwater".
And just like with the housing bubble, there will be a loud POP! A much bigger pop, too, because the bond bubble dwarfs the housing bubble.
Now...the Fed (Ben Bernake, actually) swore they could handle the collapse of the bond bubble. Helicopter Ben swore with 100 percent confidence (literally) that we would have a soft landing.
Yeah. Just like Bush said we would have a soft landing from the housing bubble collapse. Go figure.
I don't buy it.
There is no way the Fed will be able to sell all those bonds and not lose a shitload of money. In fact, we are going to have to invent a new term because "shitload" won't even approach the disastrous losses of the bond bubble's fallout.
And that's not to mention the derivatives built on the bond bubble.
By the way, those "conservative" funds in your 401k portfolio? Those ones that say they invest in bonds? You better read the fine print. You will find a lot of "conservative" bond funds invest in bond derivatives.
Anyway, that's my guesstimate about the next crash. And I really do pray every day I am very, very wrong.
There is no way the Fed will be able to sell all those bonds and not lose a shitload of money.
Why does the Fed have to sell any of the bonds, let alone all of them?