uh-oh...long time presidential predictor says

[justoffal]

Wow 24/26 is low nineties for accuracy! .... Not based on public queries ... Real, hard empirical data. Hmmm.

Jo

 

[bluzman61]

I thi

View attachment 402772
Wow 24/26 is high nineties for accuracy! .... Not based on public queries ... Real, hard empirical data. Hmmm.

Jo

I think that prediction is probably a bit high for President Trump. My final prediction for the election is Trump wins 32 states, and receives 320 Electoral College votes to Biden's 218.

 

[MarathonMike]

Wow I hope you guys are right. I just see an unprecedented push by the Democrats to get out the stupid vote. That could push the worst candidate in Presidential history over the finish line.

 

[justoffal]

I thi

View attachment 402772
Wow 24/26 is high nineties for accuracy! .... Not based on public queries ... Real, hard empirical data. Hmmm.

Jo

I think that prediction is probably a bit high for President Trump. My final prediction for the election is Trump wins 32 states, and receives 320 Electoral College votes to Biden's 218.

I agree but I just wanted to show how easy it is to throw numbers at the screen.

 

[Oddball]

New York is a bridge too far.

 

[Toro]

View attachment 402772
Wow 24/26 is low nineties for accuracy! .... Not based on public queries ... Real, hard empirical data. Hmmm.

Jo

^^^^^^^^^
Performance Art

 

[XponentialChaos]

LoL, not even close to reality.

 

[Jackson]

View attachment 402772
Wow 24/26 is low nineties for accuracy! .... Not based on public queries ... Real, hard empirical data. Hmmm.

Jo

Could you provide a link? I would like to send this to someone.

 

[ImAlwaysRight]

Unlike many other projections, Norpoth’s equation ignores approval ratings and polls. His mathematical model uses things that have already happened, real primary election results and how those candidates performed.

 

[HereWeGoAgain]

Wow I hope you guys are right. I just see an unprecedented push by the Democrats to get out the stupid vote. That could push the worst candidate in Presidential history over the finish line.

I'm more concerned about election fraud than I am of the ability of dems to get out the vote.

 

[depotoo]

View attachment 402772
Wow 24/26 is low nineties for accuracy! .... Not based on public queries ... Real, hard empirical data. Hmmm.

Jo

Could you provide a link? I would like to send this to someone.

Maverick Modeller Helmut Norpoth Predicts Another Win for Trump - SBU News

The political science professor has enjoyed notable success forecasting elections based on his Primary Model, a statistical representation of U.S. presidential races.

news.stonybrook.edu

The Primary Model

primary model is a scientific model of forecasting election results. The Primary Model forecasts presidential elections with great accuracy. Author of The Primary Model, Helmut Norpoth. Political Scientist and Professor at Stony Brook University.

primarymodel.com

 

[justoffal]

View attachment 402772
Wow 24/26 is low nineties for accuracy! .... Not based on public queries ... Real, hard empirical data. Hmmm.

Jo

Could you provide a link? I would like to send this to someone.

Ok.....hang on I'll get it for you.

 

[Maxdeath]

While believe Trump will win. I still want everyone to get out and vote. Don’t think that Trump will win and you don’t need to vote.
we need not only every vote we can get for Trump but every vote we can get for every Republican.
maybe just maybe if the democrats loose enough they will understand that their crazy agenda is not wanted by the average American.
i doubt they will but there is always hope

 

[justoffal]

View attachment 402772
Wow 24/26 is low nineties for accuracy! .... Not based on public queries ... Real, hard empirical data. Hmmm.

Jo

Could you provide a link? I would like to send this to someone.

Parler Free Speech Social Network

Parler is an unbiased social media focused on real user experiences and engagement. Free expression without violence and no censorship. Parler never shares your personal data.

share.par.pw

 

[two_iron]

He's a scholar with an incredible record.... "follow the science" the marxist rodents insist.... well, until they don't like the message.... much like "believe all women!!"

I agree 100% with Helmut Norpoth.

 

[JimBowie1958]

I thi

View attachment 402772
Wow 24/26 is high nineties for accuracy! .... Not based on public queries ... Real, hard empirical data. Hmmm.

Jo

I think that prediction is probably a bit high for President Trump. My final prediction for the election is Trump wins 32 states, and receives 320 Electoral College votes to Biden's 218.

Yeah, Trump taking New York is a bit too optimistic, lol.

I think the final map will look something like this:

I fiogure if Trump is less than five points behind Biden in the average polls or Biden is at less than what Hillary had in the polls in 2016, give the state to Trump and this is the map results.

 

[Sun Devil 92]

271 is all I care about.